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Robert Gates: U.S. Lacks Policy To Curb Iran's Nuclear Drive

04/18/10 12:28 AM ET   AP

Robert Gates Iran
Robert Gates

WASHINGTON — A memo from Defense Secretary Robert Gates to the White House warned that the United States lacks a nimble long-term plan for dealing with Iran's nuclear program, according to a published report.

Gates wrote the three-page memo in January and it set off efforts in the Pentagon, White House and intelligence agencies to come up with new options, including the use of the military, The New York Times said in its Sunday editions, quoting unnamed government officials.

White House officials Saturday night strongly disagreed with the comments that the memo caused a reconsideration of the administration's approach to Iran.

"It is absolutely false that any memo touched off a reassessment of our options," National Security Council spokesman Benjamin Rhodes told The Associated Press. "This administration has been planning for all contingencies regarding Iran for many months."

One senior official described the memo as "a wake-up call," the paper reported. But the recipient of the document, Gen. James Jones, President Barack Obama's national security adviser, told the newspaper in an interview that the administration has a plan that "anticipates the full range of contingencies."

Pentagon spokesman Geoff Morrell, who did not confirm the memo Saturday night, said the White House has reviewed many Iran options.

"The secretary believes the president and his national security team have spent an extraordinary amount of time and effort considering and preparing for the full range of contingencies with respect to Iran," Morrell said.

The U.S. is pressing for new international sanctions against Iran. The memo contemplates a situation in which sanctions and diplomacy fail to dissuade Iran from pursuing nuclear capability, the Times said.

Obama set a deadline of the end of 2009 for Iran to respond to his offer of dialogue to resolve concerns about Iran's accelerated nuclear development.

Iran spurned the offer, and since then the administration has pursued what it calls the "pressure track," a combination of stepped-up military activity in Iran's neighborhood and a hard push for a new round of international sanctions that would pinch Iran economically.

Gates and other senior members of the administration have issued increasingly stern warnings to Iran that its nuclear program is costing it friends and options worldwide, while sticking to the long-held view that a U.S. or Israeli military strike on Iranian nuclear facilities would be counterproductive.

Obama and other administration figures have drawn a line that says Iran will not be allowed to become a nuclear state, but they have not spelled out what the United States would do if Iran gained the ability to produce a weapon but does not actually field one.

Four senior administration officials told Congress last week that Iran is perhaps a year away from being able to build a weapon but that it would take two- to five additional years to turn the device into an effective weapon that could be launched against an enemy.

Iran claims its nuclear program is intended for energy production, not a weapon.

"All we really know is that Iran is widening and deepening its nuclear weapons capabilities, David Albright, founder and president of the Institute for Science and International Security, told the AP. "We don't have any insight into what they're thinking about doing – whether they'll just live with a nuclear weapons capability which will probably include learning more about nuclear weapons themselves, or they'll actually build them."

___

Associated Press National Security Writer Anne Gearan and AP writer Jackie Quinn contributed to this report.

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WASHINGTON — A memo from Defense Secretary Robert Gates to the White House warned that the United States lacks a nimble long-term plan for dealing with Iran's nuclear program, according to a pub...
WASHINGTON — A memo from Defense Secretary Robert Gates to the White House warned that the United States lacks a nimble long-term plan for dealing with Iran's nuclear program, according to a pub...
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10:48 AM on 04/19/2010
The volcanic ash cloud spreads like a Nuclear Bomb ash cloud
over the earth without the scorching radiation shower, of course.

God Help Us All if this was a nuclear bomb anywhere on earth.

That's why we need to eradicate these Horrors On Humanity.

Thank God for the global above ground test ban agreement
honored by even the most paranoid states on earth.

The second-hand radiation dissolving into our atmosphere
would be devastating to the health of all living on earth.

It would have been a cold day in hell, in deed, if this Icelandic plume
had resulted from an above ground nuclear detonation.
03:52 PM on 04/19/2010
Tell this to Mr. Obama who does exclude Iran and North Korea from US new non-use of nuclear weapon.
We are all in the same both. Iran's approach of "Nuclear energy for everybody and nuclear bomb for no one" is making a lot of sense when we see this natural phenomenon and think about a huge nuclear detonation.

We have to remind ourselves again and again that Hiroshima bomb was like a toy compared to current nukes, but nobody is ready to see the facts and confront with these statements of using nukes.
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07:18 AM on 04/19/2010
We've had all kinds of plans and options for years. This is basically a phony story to get the right winger's excited and foaming-at-the-mouth.
03:54 PM on 04/19/2010
Fanned!!!!!!!!!!
05:09 AM on 04/19/2010
Leave Iran alone . . . . they have every right to develop nuclear power for domestic use . . . they have signed the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty and they have been open about their nuclear policy . . .all this drum beating for yet another war is stupid . . . it is the continuation of the sick amoral neo con agenda and bibi . . . who doesn't have the courage to sit down at the negotiating table with the Palestinians
06:11 AM on 04/19/2010
What we are doing is setting the bar low - it doesn't matter that Iran has signed the NPT. It doesn't matter that we have no evidence that Iran is developing nuclear weapons; all that matters is that they are enriching uranium on their own soil and since both the U.S. and Israel don't like it we have the right to proceed forward with a pre-emptive attack, which could even entail the use of nuclear weapons on a non-nuclear state.

This is insane, illogical and illegal. However, we call this diplomacy!
06:36 AM on 04/19/2010
thank you Foxrun . . it is totally insane, illogical and illegal for the US to keep up this so called facade of diplomacy . . . it beggars belief . . how many war fronts do they want and why? the invasion of Iraq was illegal . . . and for what mythical WMD . . . and all to feed the military-industrial complex . . . and the amoral neocon agenda
05:05 AM on 04/19/2010
What is wrong with this post and the so called intial report in the newspaper.

It states:

"A memo from Defense Secretary Robert Gates to the White House warned that the United States lacks a nimble long-term plan for dealing with Iran's nuclear program".

It discusses:

...the White House has viewed numerous strategies from sanctions to military action.

It goes on to say:

Gates and other senior members of the administration have issued increasingly stern warnings to Iran ... ..., while sticking to the long-held view that a U.S. or Israeli military strike on Iranian nuclear facilities would be counterproductive.

So what other nimble long term plan would anyone suggest?

If war is ill advised (though never entirely off the table if we are attacked) and we are working on sanctions, what is missing or suggested by the Secy of Defense if this letter from him is real?
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chlai88
Change is the only constant
04:02 AM on 04/19/2010
I hope the contingencies thought out by the administration takes into serious account the neocon war drumming and have a plan to contain them. We have Iran in our sights but we also have the neocons egging us on to war disaster 2.0. The hardline conservative forces on both sides who desire stalemate & conflict for their own twisted reasons are our real enemies. it's never been a America vs Iran issue and it's about time to start putting this 30-year hatred behind us.
01:30 AM on 04/19/2010
Why is this considered a huge issue? After all, Bush had his finger on the trigger for 8 long years and most of us are still here. Are we supposed to believe the Iranians are crazier than him? Of course they are smarter than the Bush Junta but it won't disguise the reality that solar and wind could fuel Iran efficiently and without the problem of nuclear waste.

Iran does not need nuclear power but they want to play crazy too. It's a playback of the Crusades with a bit of 'Fail Safe' and 'Dumb and Dumber' thrown in. What will Empire do, and can they afford it?
06:28 AM on 04/19/2010
"Iran doesn't need nuclear power but they want to play crazy too"!

This is one of the most ignorant comments I have read. Iran just like every other country needs alternative sources of energy to feed its growing population. Second nuclear power is used in different sectors and not just for "energy" use - have you ever heard of nuclear medicine?

"In reality solar and wind could fuel Iran efficiently and without the problem of nuclear waste" - Do you know the cost of solar and wind, and other "green technologies"? Have we the great super-power who continues to brag about diverting away from Middle Eastern oil developed these alternatives to provide the energy needs of our people? No. Why not? Why are we developing more nuclear plants?

Go read the details of these alternative "green energies" and then come back and discuss them. WIthout significant knowledge you have no clue what you are speaking about but simply regurgitating what sounds "good".

The crazies are us who continue to meddle in the affairs of other countries and wage illegal wars, killing millions of people simply because we need to run our military industrial complex, want to control the natural resources of other countries and need to keep Israel happy.
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Richard Pearce
Atheistic-agnostic Canadian polymath
01:14 AM on 04/19/2010
You know, now that everyone in the US will have to have health care, there is a strategy that could be tried.

Therapy. With modern drugs, and a good shrink, the desire to do something (or at least have a plan to do something) based on paranoid beliefs can be at least diminished to managable levels.
01:00 AM on 04/19/2010
If we attack Iran’s nuclear weapons labs it will only set back their program by two years. I have worked through the math. Much too complicated to reproduce here, but it turns out if we attack Iran’s nuclear weapons labs every year they never get there.
02:52 AM on 04/19/2010
have you taken into account that Iran has demonstrated home made S-300 missile system yesterday capable to shoot down any flying objects within 150 km.

Do you know what does this mean? Maybe this is the end of US air dominance in ME. Iran is almost a superpower. Are you sure you want to mess with Iran?

Iran is not Iraq for sure, it is 4 times bigger with a goverment support many times more than Saddam in Iraq.

Can we have some of your assumptions?
06:34 AM on 04/19/2010
In your assumptions have you thought about what we are going to use to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities? Could it be nuclear-bunker buster weapons? Have you taken into account the radiation this would spread to Iran and the region? Have you taken into account that the Iranians are not just going to sit with their hands folded as we try to bomb their facilities? Have you taken into account how Iran could retaliate for our illegal actions? Does any of these register into your simplistic logic?
12:55 AM on 04/19/2010
Iran is developing nuclear weapons for peaceful purposes. Obama is busy trying to not notice.
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profco
Freedom- just another word for nothin left to lose
12:40 AM on 04/19/2010
Gates' one year of staying on as Defense Secretary was over 3 1/2 months ago. Time to replace him with Chuck Hagel.
11:48 PM on 04/18/2010
it time to retire these old school Dr. Strangelove generals. We do not need another war. If war is the answer, you are STILL asking the wrong question.
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cliffhammond
Onward through the fog!
12:20 AM on 04/19/2010
What would Dick Cheney do for a living then?
12:56 AM on 04/19/2010
We should all hide under our beds. It is quite safe under there. And lint is full of protein and can sustain and adult for several years.
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cliffhammond
Onward through the fog!
11:45 PM on 04/18/2010
Pardon me for challenging the underlying assumption regarding Iran, but just who is Iran a threat to? The U.S.? Our plans to pump oil and gas out of Central Asia (if we can get those pesky Taliban and Mujaheddin "terrorists" to let us secure a pipeline infrastructure through their countries, Afghanistan and Pakistan)? Or is it the security interests of that Middle Eastern tail forever wagging the dog in Washington? This dog needs to stub its tail, a tail which is starting to knock things over in the house.
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wwoody
Retired fishing for the truth.
11:35 PM on 04/18/2010
First we need is to STOP TALKING WAR, John Wayne is dead, and the Cavalry is not coming. So the best thing to do now is TALK, AND KEEP TALKING UNTIL HELL FREEZE'S OVER. Let talking be one of those "CONTINGENCIES". Russia and China are not going to sign off on sanction. Russia need the money and trade with Iran, China need the oil.
11:11 PM on 04/18/2010
It has been argued that the Atomic Attacks may have shortened the war. No my friends, it was diplomacy as stated in this document.

Document 40: "Magic" – Diplomatic Summary, War Department, Office of Assistant Chief of Staff, G-2, No. 1214 – July 22, 1945, Top Secret Ultra
Source: Record Group 457, Records of the National Security Agency/Central Security Service, "Magic" Diplomatic Summaries 1942-1945, box 18.

This “Magic” summary includes messages from both Togo and Sato. In a long and impassioned message, the latter argued why Japan must accept defeat: “it is meaningless to prove one’s devotion [to the emperor] by wrecking the State.” Togo rejected Sato’s advice that Japan accept unconditional surrender except for one provision: the “preservation of the Imperial House.” Probably unable or unwilling to take a soft position in an official cable, Togo declared that “the whole country … will pit itself against the enemy in accordance with the Imperial Will as long as the enemy demands unconditional surrender.”
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wwoody
Retired fishing for the truth.
10:25 PM on 04/18/2010
There is no way that we can STOP Iran from wanting to have nuclear bomb. Surely sanction is not the way, and neither is war. The whole world is not frightened by Iran having a nuclear bomb.
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Actionmac
Mind your wants, because the GOP wants your mind
10:29 PM on 04/18/2010
It's not Iran having nuclear capability it's who they will share it with that frightens people.
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wwoody
Retired fishing for the truth.
11:02 PM on 04/18/2010
Well that is very correct, who they may share it with that is also very frighten. especially Iran is just a screw away in having a bomb.
06:46 AM on 04/19/2010
This comment has been debunked so many times. Give us a break! Who is more of an extremist country - Pakistan or Iran? Another thing Iran has not even shared its sophisticated military arsenal with any other country or organization, on what basis do you think it will share it's non-existant nuclear weapons technology?

Stop using the same line that our government likes to use to create fear that nuclear technology is going to fall into the hands of terrorists. We have done a good job of creating terrorists, by invading, occupying other countries. In fact It seems that both the dog and its tail are the most dangerous countries.
11:15 PM on 04/18/2010
The genie is out of the bottle. Iran will have a bomb. Welcome them to the club I guess. Sanctions may slow it down, but it's coming. I don't think they will share with anyone as history has shown in other cases.