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'Climategate' Investigation VINDICATES Scientists, Finds Research Reliable

RAPHAEL G. SATTER   07/ 7/10 01:42 PM ET   AP

Climategate Scientists

LONDON — An independent report into the leak of hundreds of e-mails from one of the world's leading climate research centers on Wednesday largely vindicated the scientists involved, saying they acted honestly and that their research was reliable.

But the panel of inquiry, led by former U.K. civil servant Muir Russell, did chide scientists at the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit for failing to share their data with critics.

"We find that their rigor and honesty as scientists are not in doubt," Russell said. "But we do find that there has been a consistent pattern of failing to display the proper degree of openness."

Russell's inquiry is the third major U.K. investigation into the theft and dissemination of more than 1,000 e-mails taken from a back-up server at the university.

They caused a sensation when they were published online in November. The stolen correspondence captured researchers speaking in scathing terms about their critics, discussing ways to stonewall skeptics of man-made climate change, and talking about how to freeze opponents out of peer-reviewed journals.

Beyond specific allegations of scientific misconduct, the furor over the e-mails fed the notion that, at worse, a closed community of climate scientists was systematically exaggerating the threat of climate change, or at least giving skeptics' arguments the collective cold shoulder.

The scandal destabilized the U.N. climate change conference at Copenhagen and led to the temporary resignation of Climatic Research Unit director Phil Jones, who stepped down as Russell was brought in to investigate.

The carefully worded report mostly defended the scientists from attacks, saying there was no evidence Jones had destroyed evidence that he knew critics were seeking, or that he or others perverted the peer review process.

It also largely excused the intemperate language that helped make the e-mails such an Internet sensation, saying that the more extreme exchanges – such as when one scientist cheers the death of a skeptic and another jokingly threatened to beat a prominent critic – were typical of often over-the-top electronic missives friends and colleagues trade every day.

But the report did dole out some criticism, saying that Jones clearly pushed others to delete e-mails that he thought might provide ammunition to skeptics, and that the University of East Anglia had been "unhelpful" in dealing with Freedom of Information Act requests – an issue Britain's data-protection watchdog has also flagged.

Importantly, the report also revisited the now infamous e-mail exchange between Jones and a colleague in which the climatologist refers to a "trick" used to "hide the decline" in a chart used to track global temperatures.

The chart, which shows an alarming temperature spike at the end of the last millennium, became a powerful visual tool in the campaign to control greenhouse gas emissions, gracing the front cover of the World Meteorological Organization's 1999 report on climate change. Russell said the chart was misleading because it wasn't explicit enough about the way in which the underlying data had been spliced together.

Jones' critics were only partially mollified. Canadian economics professor Ross McKitrick welcomed the conclusion that the 1999 chart was misleading. But he still said that the inquiry seemed "unduly concerned to downplay the problems they found" and offer excuses for the researchers involved.

University of East Anglia Vice-Chancellor Edward Acton claimed that the report had "completely exonerated" Jones, who is returning to the Climatic Research Unit as director of research.

But Benny Feiser, who runs the skeptic-leaning Global Warming Policy Foundation, said there was strong evidence that legitimate requests for information had been repeatedly stifled.

"I don't think the university can just claim that this is a vindication," he said. He promised his own inquiry into the matter, to publish its report in August.

There have already been two major British reports on the e-mail leak and its aftermath. A British parliamentary inquiry largely backed the scientists involved, while another independent investigation, which like Russell's report was commissioned by the University of East Anglia, gave a clean bill of health to the science itself.

A flood of other investigations have also dealt with various aspects of the issue over the past nine months. Two U.S. university reviews of Penn State University professor Michael Mann – a prominent player in the controversy – have cleared him of wrongdoing. Other organizations, such as the Union of Concerned Scientists, have also conducted their own investigations.

An AP review of the e-mails, published in December, said they didn't support claims that the science of global warming was being faked.

___

Online:

http://www.cce-review.org/

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LONDON — An independent report into the leak of hundreds of e-mails from one of the world's leading climate research centers on Wednesday largely vindicated the scientists involved, saying they ...
LONDON — An independent report into the leak of hundreds of e-mails from one of the world's leading climate research centers on Wednesday largely vindicated the scientists involved, saying they ...
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11:32 AM on 08/01/2010
AKA "Logrolling"
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ReedYoung
global mean temperature, obviously INCREASING
12:04 AM on 08/22/2010
trolling
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
06:27 PM on 07/26/2010
Chip Knappenberger on Climategate:

So Muir Russell’s “findings” shouldn’t be given any more credence than anybody else’s “findings.” It really doesn’t take any special talent to read through the Climategate emails and see that something was amiss—either in the layfolks’ opinions as to how scientists conduct themselves or as to how the scientists actually conducted themselves.

The shenanigans on display in the Climategate emails are just not right, no matter how you look at them.

The (mis)behavior revealed in the Climategate emails not only negatively impacted the work of those who it was directed towards, but also the general scientific community as well—which in turn effects each and every one of us, as the topic of anthropogenic climate change and what and whether to do anything to try to mitigate it is among the burning topics of the day. Gaming of the science has huge implications—look no further than the EPA to see this.
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
03:07 PM on 08/02/2010
Since you reject the findings of independent inquiries, then there isn't any need to have any more of them.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
10:17 PM on 07/22/2010
Actual climate science as presented by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences (2010):

-------------------------------------------------

There is a strong, credible body of evidence, based on multiple lines of research, documenting that Earth is warming. Strong evidence also indicates that recent warming is largely caused by human activities, especially the release of greenhouse gases through the burning of fossil fuels. Global warming is closely associated with other climate changes and impacts, including rising sea levels, increases in intense rainfall events, decreases in snow cover and sea ice, more frequent and intense heat waves, increases in wildfires, longer growing seasons, and ocean acidification. Individually and collectively, these changes pose risks for a wide range of human and environmental systems. While much remains to be learned, the core phenomenon, scientific questions, and hypotheses have been examined thoroughly and have stood firm in the face of serious scientific debate and careful evaluation of alternative explanations...

Projections of future climate change anticipate an additional warming of 2.0 to 11.5 F (1.1 to 6.4 C) over the 21st century, on top of the 1.4 oF already observed over the past 100 years...
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
10:18 PM on 07/22/2010
... continued

There is also the potential that the Earth system could cross thresholds that result in abrupt changes or other "surprises." The potential consequences of such events could be irreversible and highly challenging, but their likelihood is not very well understood.

Despite these uncertainties and complexities, it is clear that Earth's future climate will be unlike the climate that ecosystems and human societies have become accustomed to during the last 10,000 years, leading to significant challenges across a broad range of human endeavors. It is likewise reasonable to expect that the magnitude of future climate change and the severity of its impacts will be larger if actions are not taken to limit its magnitude and adapt to its impacts.

http://dels.nas.edu/resources/static-assets/materials-based-on-reports/reports-in-brief/Science_Report_Brief_Final.pdf
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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10:36 PM on 07/22/2010
Yeah, surprises like methane caltrate!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
09:17 PM on 07/22/2010
Steve McIntyre, at climate audit, discusses the failure of Russel to investigate the alleged deleting of e-mails:

"....It is, of course, possible that the Muir Russell panel is not subject to any code of conduct and can blatantly misrepresent the facts surrounding the “delete any emails” request with impunity.

The most logical way to clear the air would be for the Parliamentary Committee to invite Muir Russell (and Oxburgh) to testify to them about their findings. They had asked Muir Russell to thoroughly investigate the ‘delete any emails’ request and to “conclusively resolve” the matter. They should invite Muir Russell (and obviously Geoffrey Boulton as well) to explain the basis of their findings on the “delete any emails” request, as well as other incongruous findings that I will report on in other posts.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
10:07 PM on 07/22/2010
Do you acknowledge the scientific fact that the Earth has statistically significantly warmed over recent decades, while the Sun's average radiative output has stayed essentially flat, R2?

Please answer the question, thanks.

[ Cue: Still more evasions of actual climate science by Richard2. ]
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
10:20 PM on 07/23/2010
Are you not finished yet?
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
04:52 PM on 07/22/2010
You claim to not be a science denier Richard2 but you have repeatedly avoided answering the following question - here it is again:

Do you acknowledge the scientific fact that the Earth has statistically significantly warmed over recent decades, while the Sun's average radiative output has stayed essentially flat?

Please answer the question, thanks.

[ Cue: Still more evasions of actual climate science by Richard2. ]
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
10:07 PM on 07/22/2010
R2: {{{ ... crickets ... }}}
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
04:05 PM on 07/22/2010
Die Weltwoche met up with Stephen McIntyre for an interview in London.

Q: Mr. McIntyre, the Russell Inquiry concluded that no data were manipulated by CRU scientists. Other inquiries have come to the same conclusion. Was the Climategate affair only a storm in a teacup?

A: The Russell inquiry had many problems. For example the inquiry team did not interview any CRU critics.

Q: They did not?

A: No. They did not interview me or any other critics.

Q: Why do you think they did not interview you?

A: It is quite difficult to say. That is a real defect of the process. The inquiry's report only says it is "natural justice" that the CRU-researchers, who are the focus of the investigation, get an opportunity to be heard - in contrast to other actors. However if they had wanted to truly [investigate] this affair, it would have been important to talk to both sides of the dispute. What they did was to give a short, two-week window for submissions. If you were busy or had other things to do in this short time, you would not be able to make a submission.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
04:57 PM on 07/22/2010
Who is paying you to incessantly post global warming science disinformation, Richard2?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
07:44 PM on 07/22/2010
Why would a panel charged with an analysis of a scientific inquiry interview persons not pleased with the science? One does not need the opinions of untrained critics in order to evaluate whether or not there has been academic misconduct. This is a fantasy of the loony right. I don't need to call a student's parents if the student has been caught cheating, nor do I need to interview the person who sold them lunch every day. The proof (or lack thereof) is in the pudding.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
12:44 PM on 07/22/2010
Richard2: "The IPCC has been exaggerating the risks of a rapid sea level rise."

Wrong again, Richard2 - you've got that backwards. Per more recent studies the IPCC has underestimated the risks of a rapid sea level rise by about half.

For example, a 2007 study published in Science gives projects sea level rise by 2010 to be between 0.6 and 1.3 meters (2.0 - 4.3 feet) - roughly twice the IPCC's projection of 0.2 - 0.7 meters:

http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~stefan/Publications/Nature/rahmstorf_science_2007.pdf

To put these numbers in context, a 1.5-meter sea level rise would submerge tens of thousands of square miles of coastal land in the US, most notably in Florida, Louisiana, and North Carolina.

http://www.int-res.com/articles/cr/18/c018p205.pdf
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
01:38 PM on 07/22/2010
Who is paying you to incessantly post global warming science disinformation, Richard2?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
11:23 AM on 07/22/2010
The Economist magazine tactfully urges reforms in the IPCC:

"The governments which run the IPCC will meet in South Korea in October. They should use the opportunity to begin a full reappraisal of what they and their citizens want from the panel in terms of timeliness, transparency and trust, and how to get it; if this means pausing the current assessment round, then so be it. They should give the panel new staff, resources and rules. And they should look at a range of candidates for a new position as the full-time chair. Dr Pachauri has been a staunch defender of the panel as it is rather than an advocate for reform that would improve it. He is not the man to carry out the changes it badly needs."
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
11:32 AM on 07/22/2010
Do you agree with this part of that Economist article too, Richard2?

"The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change needs reform. The case for climate action does not ... Greenhouse gases still warm planets, carbon dioxide is still a greenhouse gas and the amount of it in the Earth’s atmosphere is still shooting up. The temperature rose over the 20th century in a way that follows from these basic truths. Other mechanisms at play in the climate complicate the issue, but none of them offers a remotely satisfactory alternative explanation for the temperature rise. It is impossible to say with certainty how bad the 21st century’s heating will be, but there is a large chance of it getting hot enough to do harm, and a far from trivial chance of things turning catastrophic. This makes moving away from fossil fuels a global priority."

http://www.economist.com/node/16539392?story_id=16539392

Funny how you left that part out.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
01:09 PM on 07/22/2010
The Economist became a socialist paper so gradually I hardly even noticed...;)
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
09:22 PM on 07/22/2010
No. I think there is much more uncertainty about the items discussed than the Economist acknowledged. The Economist still thinks there is credible science supporting its conclusions. This may or may not be so.

An open presentation of all data and analysis concerning climate issues needs to begin. This has not yet occurred. After it occurs, it may be that the Economist's position is supported. However, parts or all of it may not be.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
10:47 AM on 07/22/2010
We interrupt the spam and lies by a global warming denier here to bring you a public service message from those radical environmentalists at the Pentagon.

From the Pentagon's Quadrennial Defense Review, February 2010:

-------------------------------------------

Climate-related changes are already being observed in every region of the world, including the United States and its coastal waters. Among these physical changes are increases in heavy downpours, rising temperature and sea level, rapidly retreating glaciers, thawing permafrost, lengthening growing seasons, lengthening ice-free seasons in the oceans and on lakes and rivers, earlier snowmelt, and alterations in river flows.

Assessments conducted by the intelligence community indicate that climate change could have significant geopolitical impacts around the world, contributing to poverty, environmental degradation, and the further weakening of fragile governments. Climate change will contribute to food and water scarcity, will increase the spread of disease, and may spur or exacerbate mass migration.

continued...
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
10:48 AM on 07/22/2010
...continued

While climate change alone does not cause conflict, it may act as an accelerant of instability or conflict, placing a burden to respond on civilian institutions and militaries around the world. In addition, extreme weather events may lead to increased demands for defense support to civil authorities for humanitarian assistance or disaster response both within the United States and overseas. In some nations, the military is the only institution with the capacity to respond to a large-scale natural disaster. Proactive engagement with these countries can help build their capability to respond to such events. Working closely with relevant U.S. departments and agencies, DoD has undertaken environmental security cooperative initiatives with foreign militaries that represent a nonthreatening way of building trust, sharing best practices on installations management and operations, and developing response capacity.

http://www.defense.gov/qdr/images/QDR_as_of_12Feb10_1000.pdf
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
01:09 PM on 07/22/2010
More lies I tell you. The conspiracy is vast. Only the oil companies tell the truth! Free Tony Hayward!
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
10:40 AM on 07/22/2010
Again, as I've demonstrated to you SoCalHO the site you get that information from, appinsys.com, misrepresents climate climate science.

As such, why do you continue to cite that source?

Oh, right - you are a science denier.
03:41 AM on 07/22/2010
Publicola, isn't it about time we talked about your avatar, now that we've established Reed Young's is a total fraud?

http://www.cse.unsw.edu.au/~lambert/parody/tcs/
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ReedYoung
global mean temperature, obviously INCREASING
06:37 AM on 07/22/2010
You have not established that.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Source_code

I want to see the source code appinsys uses.
03:19 AM on 07/23/2010
Obviously I don't run that website. So I can't give it to you. But I'll bet if you put in a request they'll send it to you.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
10:37 AM on 07/22/2010
Do you tire of ly//ing? He has refuted all of your so-called evidence. You've demonstrated a collosal ignorance of basic scientific method, not to mention stats and math. You have also yet to reveal your credentials. Until you answer these questions, you're just another shill.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
12:33 AM on 07/22/2010
How SoCalHO's source, appinsys.com, deceives by omission:

That site, run by a global warming "skeptic" who is a non-climate scientist, literally presents a misleading picture of actual sea level rise on the Pacific Coast. Looking at that site's presentation:

http://www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/GW_4CE_SeaLevel.htm

one would be mislead into believing that sea levels are dropping from Alaska all the way down to at minimum CA just south of the Oregon border, if not all the way to LA (appinsys.com's misleading presentation omits all points in between).

While sea levels are indeed falling in Alaska, they in fact start to rise in northern Washington State, where they rise and fall until they reach the San Francisco area (if not further north, up to perhaps near the Oregon border) where sea levels are then uniformly rising. Here is a more complete graph, which provides a far more balanced picture (Figure 353.1):

http://oaspub.epa.gov/eims/eimscomm.getfile?p_download_id=446967

appinsys.com repeatedly misleads by omission.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
11:30 AM on 07/22/2010
The NOAA tide station data offer an alternative source of sea level trend data. One thing to note is that a "long term average" sea level rise is just that, a long term trend. A short term trend, from the same data, will usually indicate a more recent slowdown or even a reversal of the sea level rise.

In any case, there is no evidence of any accelerated sea level rise, which had been predicted by the IPCC, and by many other persons and organizations. The IPCC has been exaggerating the risks of a rapid sea level rise.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
11:53 AM on 07/22/2010
Richard2: "The NOAA tide station data offer an alternative source of sea level trend data."

Another Richard2 lie.

Try to pay attention, Richard2 - appinsys.com *cited the NOAA's data*, and then cherry-picked the NOAA's stations that gave a misleading impression about sea level rise.

Richard2: "In any case, there is no evidence of any accelerated sea level rise"

Yet another Richard2 lie.

As I've pointed out to you the last time you told that lie, the sea level is not only rising:

http://sealevel.colorado.edu/2005_rel5/sl_noib_cu2005_rel5_global.jpg

but it is also accelerating:

http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2006/2005GL024826.shtml
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
02:17 PM on 07/22/2010
As the volume of water in the oceans increases, so does the bulge at the equator, which is a factor of a) the rotation of the earth creating more centripetal force at the equator) and b) the graviational pull of the moon. That means higher tides in one part of the world, and potentially lower tides at the poles.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
02:56 PM on 07/22/2010
I'm no expert in this area but I think the overriding factor as to why the sea level is going down is high latitude areas like Alaska is because of isostatic rebound, aka post-glacial rebound - "the rise of land masses that were depressed by the huge weight of ice sheets during the last glacial period."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isostatic_rebound
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ReedYoung
global mean temperature, obviously INCREASING
12:08 AM on 07/22/2010
Let's see your source code. I don't believe you're calculating correctly.
12:40 AM on 07/22/2010
All the stations are listed. Like Darwin Airport, for example.

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/gistemp_station.py?id=501941200001&data_set=0&num_neighbors=1
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ReedYoung
global mean temperature, obviously INCREASING
01:01 AM on 07/22/2010
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Source_code

I want to see the source code appinsys uses.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
12:26 AM on 07/22/2010
Again, as I've demonstrated to you SoCalHO the site you get that information from, appinsys.com, misrepresents climate climate science - amongst other things it deceives by omission.

As such, why do you continue to cite and trust that source?

Oh, right - you are a science denier.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
12:26 AM on 07/22/2010
Again, as I've demonstrated to you SoCalHO the site you get that information from, appinsys.com, misrepresents climate climate science - amongst other things it deceives by omission.

As such, why do you continue to cite and trust that source?

Oh, right - you are a science denier.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
10:40 AM on 07/22/2010
You need to use all the data, not simply that which your pet website deems appropriate. Moreover, there is no peer review involved there. Nor have you bothered to do any research beyond googlz. My students fail when they do this kind of shoddy work.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
03:32 PM on 07/21/2010
If there has been "no significant warming" since 1995, then I would ask the "skeptics" (a generous use of the term if there ever was one) to explain this data set:

http://www.usatoday.com/weather/climate/2008-04-23-gardening-map_N.htm

It uses a slide to animate the change...should be easy for everyone. Now, keep in mind that this data is corroborated by individual gardeners and farmers all over the USA...