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Sea Ice Melting As Arctic Temperature Rises

RANDOLPH E. SCHMID   10/21/10 03:55 PM ET   AP

Arctic Sea Ice

WASHINGTON — The temperature is rising again in the Arctic, with the sea ice extent dropping to one of the lowest levels on record, climate scientists reported Thursday.

The new Arctic Report Card "tells a story of widespread, continued and even dramatic effects of a warming Arctic," said Jackie Richter-Menge of the Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, a U.S. Army Corps of Engineers facility in Hanover, N.H.

"This isn't just a climatological effect. It impacts the people that live there," she added.

Atmospheric scientists concerned about global warming focus on the Arctic because that is a region where the effects are expected to be felt first, and that has been the case in recent years.

There was a slowdown in Arctic warming in 2009, but in the first half of 2010 warming has been near a record pace, with monthly readings over 4 degrees Celsius (7.2 Fahrenheit) above normal in northern Canada, according to the report card released Thursday.

Highlighting the immediate consequences of the warming, researchers said last winter's massive snowstorms that struck the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states were tied to higher Arctic temperatures.

"Normally the cold air is bottled up in the Arctic," said Jim Overland of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in Seattle. But last December and February, winds that normally blow west to east across the Arctic were instead bringing the colder air south to the Mid-Atlantic, he said.

"As we lose more sea ice it's a paradox that warming in the atmosphere can create more of these winter storms," Overland said at a news briefing.

There is a powerful connection between ice cover and air temperatures, Richter-Menge explained. When temperatures warm, ice melts. When reflective ice melts it reveals darker surfaces underneath, which absorbs more heat. That, in turn, causes more melting "and on the cycle goes," she said.

In September the Arctic sea ice extent was the third smallest in the last 30 years, added Don Perovich of the Army laboratory. He said the three smallest ice covers have occurred in the last four years.

Other findings included:

_ Winter snow accumulation on land in the Arctic was the lowest since records began in 1966.

_ Glaciers and ice caps in Arctic Canada are continuing to lose mass at a rate that has been increasing since 1987, reflecting a trend toward warmer summer air temperatures and longer melt seasons.

_ The temperature in the permafrost is rising in Alaska, northwest Canada, Siberia and Northern Europe.

_ Greenland in 2010 is marked by record-setting high air temperatures, ice loss through melting, and marine-terminating glacier area loss. The largest recorded glacier area loss observed in Greenland occurred this summer at Petermann Glacier, where a piece of ice several times larger than Manhattan Island broke away.

The report card, prepared by 69 researchers in eight countries, is issued annually by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

In addition to Richter-Menge, Overland and Perovich, lead researchers included Mary-Louise Timmermans at Yale University; Jason Box, Ohio State University; Mike Gill, Environment Canada; Martin Sharp, University of Alberta, Canada; Chris Derksen, Environment; and D.A. Walker, Vladimir Romanovsky and Uma Bhatt, University of Alaska-Fairbanks.

___

Online: . http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard

http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/detect/

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WASHINGTON — The temperature is rising again in the Arctic, with the sea ice extent dropping to one of the lowest levels on record, climate scientists reported Thursday. The new Arctic Report C...
WASHINGTON — The temperature is rising again in the Arctic, with the sea ice extent dropping to one of the lowest levels on record, climate scientists reported Thursday. The new Arctic Report C...
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11:58 PM on 11/12/2010
Not according to this data.

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dragonmaster
12:41 PM on 11/11/2010
As the CO2 level approaches 400ppmv- what should we expect? A New Ice Age?

Dr. Hansen's predictions from 1988-2009 have been extremely accurate- the arctic could be free of ice in late summer within the next few years.

But who cares right? No Problemo--yep....
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
12:52 PM on 11/02/2010
From: www.polarbearalley.com

"The important thing is the bears look healthy, even the subadults this year. Young bears, 3-4 years old, are running around with extra fat on their hind quarters, thats a really good sign. Plus, Canadian Wildlife Service researchers handled over 100 bears this year in their mark and recapture studies and they indicate that they were all in good shape, really only one of them would be classified as unhealthy. I am not sure you will see this portrayed anywhere else but I have some pretty reliable and experience bear sources up here, between them and my observations, I'd say things are okay right now.
...
Another thing seemingly missing from this bear season is talk of climate change. Maybe its just become accepted that climate change exists, maybe the climate fad has worn a bit or maybe people aren't so sure any more, its hard to say. The only thing for sure is that as soon as the first news article promoting panic of Churchill's starving bears appears(they are in great shape once again..), Hudson Bay will once again rear its ugly head and the cold north winds will bring the ice. It just seems to be the way things work."
12:06 AM on 11/08/2010
So you want us to believe you really care about polar bears? How sweet, maybe I misjudged you after all.
07:19 PM on 11/10/2010
R2Dumb2? Is that you?

You have to be in the lowest intelligence percentile to present ice formation during winter in the Arctic Ocean as an argument. LMAO. Unbelievable.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
07:38 PM on 10/31/2010
"We all know how much NSIDC’s Dr. Mark Serreze has been touting the idea of the “Arctic death spiral“, and we’ve had predictions of ice free summers in 2008, 2013, 2015, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, 2070, and 2100 to name a few. Other forecasts don’t give specific dates but say things like within 5 years, 10 years, 20 years, 30 years, 100 years, decades, and sooner than expected. Such “all over the road forecast certainty” doesn’t really build any confidence that any of these climate soothsayers have any idea when or even if the Arctic will be “ice free” in the summer in the next 100 years.

Now, inconveniently, we have this new paper via ScienceDirect New insights on Arctic Quaternary climate variability from palaeo-records and numerical modelling which says that their studies show that the early Holocene might very well have had ice free summers. This is interesting, because as this generally well accepted graph shows, temperature was higher then."

More at wattsupwiththat.com
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12:12 AM on 11/02/2010
Here's Richard2's HuffPo comment profile.

http://www­­.huffingt­o­npost.co­m/­social/­Ric­hard2?­acti­on=co­mment­s&di­splay=­all­&sort=o­ld­est
http://www­­.huffingt­o­npost.co­m/­social/­Ric­hard2?­acti­on=co­mment­s&di­splay=­all­&sort=n­ew­est

He started on HuffPo with 126 straight denials of anthropogenic global warming and its impacts, following up one stray off-topic remark with nearly 1,700 more denials.

Who but a shill posts on only one topic?

But like he does here, this includes many posts to thwart anything that might crimp fossil fuel industry profiteering.

Richard2 will willingly lie about almost anything, but e.g., how is our arctic sea ice really doing?

www­.skept­ical­scien­ce.co­m/Ar­ctic-S­ea-­Ice-Par­t-­1-Is-Arc­t­ic-Sea-Ic­­e-recoveri­­ng.html

www­.arcti­c.no­aa.go­v/rep­ortc­ard/se­aic­e.html

psc­.apl.w­ashi­ngton­.edu/­Arct­icSeai­ceV­olume/I­ce­Volume.p­h­p

www­.scien­cene­ws.or­g/ind­ex/g­eneric­/ac­tivity/­vi­ew/id/63­4­26/title/­­Annual_Arc­­tic_ice_m­i­nimum_re­ac­hed

www­.time.­com/­time/­healt­h/ar­ticle/­0,8­599,1956­9­32,00.htm­­l#ixzz0m3F­­mvrcs

psc­.apl.w­ashi­ngton­.edu/­Arct­icSeai­ceV­olume/i­ma­ges/BPIO­M­ASIceVolu­­meAnomalyC­­urrent.pn­g

www­.arcti­c.no­aa.go­v/det­ect/­ice-se­aic­e.shtml

The problem is, with all the above data staring you in the face, to believe Richard2, you have to believe that most climate scientists and their organizations are willfully lying, while Big Oil, Gas, and Coal are as honest as the day is long.

I.e., you have to be pretty stupid. And Richard2 hopes you're really that stupid.
12:13 AM on 11/08/2010
Every time I check the "facts" you deniers spew they are wrong. It takes a lot of effort and I'm not going to do it any more. If you want to be taken seriously you need to give the peer reviewed journal citation for your claims and at a minimum quote the appropriate part of the publication.
12:30 AM on 11/10/2010
Lol. The early Holocene has been a candidate for being ice free for some time.

So what?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
Proud member of the reality-based community!
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StephenBP
What's he building in there?
07:55 PM on 10/28/2010
To repeat... from the article, for those who didn't get it the first time......
_Winter snow accumulation on land in the Arctic was the lowest since records began in 1966.

_ Glaciers and ice caps in Arctic Canada are continuing to lose mass at a rate that has been increasing since 1987, reflecting a trend toward warmer summer air temperatures and longer melt seasons.

_ The temperature in the permafrost is rising in Alaska, northwest Canada, Siberia and Northern Europe.

_ Greenland in 2010 is marked by record-setting high air temperatures, ice loss through melting, and marine-terminating glacier area loss. The largest recorded glacier area loss observed in Greenland occurred this summer at Petermann Glacier, where a piece of ice several times larger than Manhattan Island broke away.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
01:29 PM on 10/28/2010
News flash: The temperature in the Arctic is plunging rapidly, and is well below the freezing temperature of water. Winter is coming, and the sea ice extent is now growing.

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
02:32 PM on 10/28/2010
Puzzling behavior. Do you do this for the attention? Is this newsworthy to you?
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StephenBP
What's he building in there?
07:47 PM on 10/28/2010
A number of us have come to the conclusion that R2 is probably paid to come here and spew.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
02:40 PM on 10/29/2010
Richard2: "News flash: The temperature in the Arctic is plunging rapidly"

News flash: R2 is evidently unfamiliar with the climate science phenomena known as "seasonal temperature variation."

Or perhaps R2 gets paid for his climate science obfuscation here on HuffPo by the word.
12:30 AM on 11/08/2010
Do you know any really good statisticians? I suspect richard2 has posted sufficient comments that it should be possible to distinguish between the idea that he is just plain stupid and the idea that he is paid to obfuscate. As a physicist, I think I could do the statistics but I wouldn't have the credibility. Maybe a psychologist or psychiatrist could pose the appropriate questions and a statistician could do the analysis. There are enough deniers that it could even lead to publishable results. Any takers?
BlackbirdHighway
Brawndo's got electrolites!
07:32 AM on 10/26/2010
We may very well see a completely ice free summer in the Arctic ocean within five years. Not as visually dramatic but much more troubling foe the future is that permafrost around the Arctic region is thawing out, releasing huge quantities of methane.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
09:21 AM on 10/26/2010
Can anyone comment in more detail on the arctic methane situation?
BlackbirdHighway
Brawndo's got electrolites!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
10:55 AM on 10/29/2010
Two or three years ago, Al Gore made that same prediction, that the Arctic would be ice free in five years. Do you think Al Gore's prediction is now credible?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
11:00 AM on 10/29/2010
Of course, Al Gore has moved on to other adventures.

Recently, Nobel Peace Prize winner Al Gore toured again. This time, he turned up in Gothenburg (Sweden) for the usual alarmist talk. In advance, all distinguished guests were politely advised to – if possible – use any form of public transportation to go to the event, in order to minimize CO2 emissions.

Intriguingly, the Master of World Climate himself arrived in a rental car (with or without driver is unclear), from the airport, and subsequently left the engine running for the entire lecture. That is to say, about one hour. Incidentally, local legislation prohibits – for very good environmental reasons, i e pollution – any car engine running on empty for more than 60 seconds. Fines are severe. As far as I know, he was not fined.
09:55 PM on 11/10/2010
Only a dunce would pay even the slightest attention to an Al Gore prediction about climate. He is not a climate scientist.
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StephenBP
What's he building in there?
11:09 AM on 10/24/2010
The temperature at Palmer Station in Antarctica is currently 31 degrees F. It is expected to go up to 35 deg F later today, and up to 39 deg F on Wednesday.

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/89061.html

Now what was Richard2 a paid or upaid supporter of Big Brother Oil, Inc. saying about Vostock station and just what exactly was that supposed to prove to us?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
12:34 PM on 10/24/2010
I was saying that the Vostock station is very cold. When the 2007 IPCC report claimed that the Himalayan Glaciers would all melt by 2035, one of the reactions to this claim was that the claim was silly on first glance, because the Himalayan Glaciers are located at high altitude, where it is very cold, well below freezing for most of the year.

The Vostock station sits at some altitude in Antarctica, and is very cold much or all of the year. Again, at such a location, ice doesn't melt a lot. Many people make comments about Antarctica without recognizing what a bitterly cold place it is, in the interior of a frozen continent.

The temperature trend at Vostok, over the decades since it was established, does not indicate any evidence for dangerous man-made global warming.
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
10:10 AM on 10/25/2010
"When the 2007 IPCC report claimed that the Himalayan Glaciers would all melt by 2035..."

I can't remember at time where you ever got your facts straight. The report said. It said "Glaciers in the Himalaya are receding faster than in any other part of the world (see Table 10.9) and, if the present rate continues, the likelihood of them disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high if the Earth keeps warming at the current rate. Its total area will likely shrink from the present 500,000 to 100,000 km2 by the year 2035 (WWF, 2005). "

"the claim was silly on first glance, because the Himalayan Glaciers are located at high altitude, where it is very cold, well below freezing for most of the year."

The claim isn't silly. As you say, there are parts of the year where the glacier isn't below freezing and melting increases. That melt provides fresh water for millions of people.

"The temperature trend at Vostok, over the decades since it was established, does not indicate any evidence for dangerous man-made global warming."

Vostok's cores are important because they contain information about the ancient past expressed on a scale of thousands of years. Vostok is one of the coldest places on earth so the effects of global warming would be the hardest to detect However, there is no need to do that. A better measure is the average of all weather stations.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
11:10 AM on 10/25/2010
Richard2: "Many people make comments about Antarctica without recognizing what a bitterly cold place it is, in the interior of a frozen continent."

Science deniers make comments about Antarctica without recognizing or acknowledge that, like the Arctic, Antarctica is losing ice mass.

----------------------------------------------
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 36, L19503, 4 PP., 2009

Increasing rates of ice mass loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets revealed by GRACE (satellites)...

In Antarctica the mass loss increased from 104 Gt/yr in 2002–2006 to 246 Gt/yr in 2006–2009, i.e., an acceleration of −26 ± 14 Gt/yr2 in 2002–2009.

http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2009/2009GL040222.shtml
----------------------------------------------

Are you finally able to recognize and acknowledge that Antarctica is losing ice mass, and that Antarctica's ice mass loss is also accelerating, R2?

Or are you going to going to remain true to form and continue to stay in science denial?
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Exusian
Nature bats last
04:08 PM on 10/24/2010
Why should it, since as you point out, it is at high elevation atop the ice cap at the south pole, where the atmosphere is at it's minimum thickness, and the hole in the ozone layer is cooling the lower stratosphere?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Edward Standley
opinionated jerk
09:41 PM on 10/23/2010
Buford Bagger sez: nuh-uh, no it ain't, dint you read yer Bible?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
03:34 PM on 10/23/2010
For a reality check for Antarctica, anyone can check out the weather at the Vostok weatherstation.

It is now spring time in Antarctica. Does anyone want to guess the current weather at the Vostok station near the south pole? It can be found here:

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/89606.html

The temperature appears to be -82 degrees F. Maybe there is a reason the normal sea level rise seems to be slowing down a little.
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
07:12 PM on 10/23/2010
"anyone can check out the weather at the Vostok weatherstation."

Yes, warm weather makes the ice melt.
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StephenBP
What's he building in there?
11:13 AM on 10/24/2010
It is currently +31 degrees F at Palmer Station in Antarctica, and it is expected to hit 39 deg F later this week.

What was your point again?

Oh that's right. Your point appears to be what it always is. ....to spread an obscurring smog wherever you can to cloud the issue of global climate warming.

How much do they pay you to do that? :>)
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard2
01:54 PM on 10/23/2010
Sea ice freezing as Arctic temperatures fall. It is late October everyone.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
03:54 PM on 10/23/2010
Pat yourself on the back for figuring that out genius.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
11:57 AM on 10/25/2010
And in other pointless, science denier obfuscation news:

Air temperatures cooling as day turns to night, everyone.
11:54 PM on 11/07/2010
Ah, at last something you and Fumes could agree on. Wonder where he is? Maybe Richard2 is Fumes in disguise since neither he nor fumes ever answer a direct question on science.
08:41 AM on 10/23/2010
"Greenland in 2010 is marked by record-setting high air temperatures, ice loss through melting, and marine-terminating glacier area loss. The largest recorded glacier area loss observed in Greenland occurred this summer at Petermann Glacier, where a piece of ice several times larger than Manhattan Island broke away" Meanwhile Record cold temperatures are estimated to have killed over one million fish in bolivia(http://www.boliviabella.com/1-million-fish-dead-in-bolivian-ecological-disaster.html). Mother nature is always wonderful to her creatures isn't she? Always creating zoos and making sure her animals don't go extinct from evil man... oh wait, she responsible for 99 percent of all the extinctions that she has occured on Earth and animal populations have actually increased when man has influenced them. Screw Mother nature!
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LintLass
"When you can balance a tackhammer on your head...
11:01 PM on 10/24/2010
Now, if that's not the picture of circular logic. 'Screw Mother Nature if She lets us Screw Mother Nature. Look at how many cattle we bred! '

You've been worshiping the wrong kind of God too long if you think it's supposed to make sense that Mother Nature put us on Herself to be some kind of willfully-ignorant-but-too-clever-by half extinction level event.

Maybe here's a more plausible hypothesis: if you want to think in terms of purpose, *we're* supposed to be the defense system.

If you want to think in terms of 'design,' well, we and the earlier models have generally been really good at throwing things at other things, talking, figuring stuff out, like when we're screwing up, and building stuff.

Also, sometimes we just throw poop. Verbal or otherwise. What can you do. Blame 'Mother Nature' so you can justify a tax cut for Halliburton?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MikeWebster
Always happy.
09:52 PM on 10/25/2010
Animal populations increased when man influenced them? Where did you get that idea genius.
06:06 AM on 10/23/2010
this just in: ice melts when heated
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
06:27 AM on 10/23/2010
The rest of us already knew this. Pat yourself on the back there.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MikeWebster
Always happy.
09:53 PM on 10/25/2010
Some of the deniers obviously don't.