PA-Pres: 52% Opponent (R), 42% Obama (D) (PPP 10/31)

PPP
10/30-31/10
772 Likely voters (3.5% margin of error), including 283 Likely GOP primary voters (5.8% margin of error)
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP PDF)

Pennsylvania

2012 Presidential General Election
52% Opponent (R), 42% Obama (D)

2012 Presidential Republican Primary
2% Mitch Daniels
15% Newt Gingrich
23% Mike Huckabee
16% Sarah Palin
2% Tim Pawlenty
2% Mike Pence
16% Mitt Romney
1% John Thune

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Comments

[grk96]

09:56 AM on 11/11/2010

These numbers look bad. If the GOP can hold it's nose and nominate Mitt Romney then Obama is in trouble.

[AaronTX]

10:14 AM on 11/11/2010

I doubt they do that. If getting rid of Obama is their only goal, they might, but Romney's connections to the health care bill are way too close.

[stillow1]

04:41 PM on 11/11/2010

Either Ro0mney or Huck will beat Obama if one of them can get the nomination. But being me, the nominee will be someo9ne not on this list....I still say Jindal jumps in and emerges as the top tier guy to beat.

[Xenobion]

03:49 AM on 11/11/2010

Who's your dreamy generic republican? Perhaps we should start pulling Match.com republicans to see if we have a winner.

[stillow1]

05:01 PM on 11/11/2010

Maybe Romney will legally change his name to "Generic Republican"

[AaronTX]

11:43 PM on 11/10/2010

Well it gives us a sense of what would happen if nothing changes and the republicans field a perfect candidate, which is none of these guys. They should just run "opponent" (R).

Incidentally, I was reading some op-eds from 1994 and 95, and more than one suggested that democrats should consider dumping Clinton from the ticket for fear he becomes another Carter. Clinton was getting uncomfortable comparisons to Carter at multiple press conferences. He went on to win pretty easy re-election.

[stillow1]

01:22 AM on 11/11/2010

With less than 50 percent......but I digress.

the comparison with Carter and Clinton is just bogus. Clinton shot like a bullet to the center after the 94 elections and stopped trying to govern like a liberal fro mthe left. However with Obama, he is like Carter...Obama shows no signs of moderating....he and many on the fringe left have convinced themselves its simply a mesaging problem...that they just had poor communication....and of cours ehte total oppositte is true.

People are not as dumb as Obama and liberals need them to be...they just aren't. Unless Obama surprises everyone and dashes to the center his goose is cooked. Obama campaigned as a pretty centrist guy and has governed way to the left....and these deficits have americans spooked now....

Carter just didn't know any better, he just was not that smart....we will see how Obama reacts i nthe coming months. 2012 will be all about repeal of HCR assuming the scotus does not get it first and take care of it....

As to the perfect candidate, watch Huckabee, there are "numerous" polls showing huckabee beating Obama or running even.

[grk96]

09:57 AM on 11/11/2010

Clinton moved to the center in compromise whereas Obama starts from that compromised position and then gets forced to the right.

[AaronTX]

10:12 AM on 11/11/2010

In other words, if Obama acts like a republican, he'll be okay. Got it.

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

06:40 PM on 11/10/2010

I am dreading to see how unpopular Tester and Mccaskill must be right now. They will probably be 20 points behind some unexperienced Teabagger. I was in fear of Mccaskill's safety that time when the audience was yelling at her proposing health care reform, as though, she was talking about banning automatic weapons. I am so sick of these segments of the population that have treated Health reform as though it is a war on religious freedom or something.

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

04:43 PM on 11/10/2010

These polls are ridiculous. First off they are with Likely voters; we all know that off year elections turnout drops off, and younger voters are so stubborn to turnout. Looking at a state like PA or NH seeing the GOP ahead among likely voters by 10-12 points is just about what you would expect. When you think of a 20 point swing in presidential election turnouts. That usually favors those who would be more likely to vote for Obama.

[Lat1]

03:34 PM on 11/10/2010

Because polls 2 years out are just so indicative of what people will do. Give me a break ppp this poll is useless.