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Chernobyl Disaster Repeat In Japan Not Expected At Fukushima Nuclear Plant

Chernobyl Disaster Japan

First Posted: 03/12/11 02:25 PM ET Updated: 05/25/11 07:40 PM ET

BRUSSELS (Elizabeth Piper) – Japan should not expect a repeat of the Chernobyl nuclear disaster after an explosion blew the roof off one of its nuclear power plants that had been shaken in a huge earthquake, experts said on Saturday.

Japan's Daiichi 1 reactor north of the capital Tokyo began leaking radiation after the 8.9-magnitude earthquake triggered a tsunami, and swiftly prompted fears of a nuclear meltdown.

But experts said pictures of mist above the plant suggested only small amounts of radiation had been expelled as part of measures to ensure its stability, far from the radioactive clouds that Chernobyl spewed out when it exploded in 1986.

"The explosion at No. 1 generating set of the Fukushima nuclear plant in Japan, which took place today, will not be a repetition of the Chernobyl nuclear disaster," said Valeriy Hlyhalo, deputy director of the Chernobyl nuclear safety center.

He was quoted by Interfax news agency as saying Japanese reactors were better protected than Chernobyl, where just over 30 firefighters were killed in the explosion. The world's worst civilian nuclear disaster, Chernobyl has also been blamed for thousands of deaths due to radiation-linked illness.

"Apart from that, these reactors are designed to work at a high seismicity zone, although what has happened is beyond the impact the plants were designed to withstand," Hlyhalo said.

"Therefore, the consequences should not be as serious as after the Chernobyl nuclear disaster."

CORE INTACT

Japanese officials said on Saturday that the nuclear reactor's core was intact, and that sea water would be poured into the leaking reactor to cool it down and reduce pressure in the unit -- a statement that should calm any fears.

Experts said it was crucial to make sure the steel reactor container had not been shattered in the explosion or in the earthquake.

"If the pressure vessel, which is the thing that actually holds all the nuclear fuel ... if that was to explode -- that's basically what happened at Chernobyl -- you get an enormous release of radioactive material," said Prof. Paddy Regan, nuclear physicist from Britain's Surrey University.

"It doesn't look from the television pictures ... as though it's the vessel itself."

Television footage showed an explosion in a large building in the area of the number one reactor at the Daiichi nuclear facility. Grey smoke billowed from the site and later, a building was shown without its exterior walls.

Robert Grimes, professor of materials physics at Imperial College London, said earlier it had seemed that back-up generators had failed and had allowed pressure to build up.

"It does seem as if the back-up generators although they started initially to work, then failed," Grimes told BBC television, adding that the explosion was probably the large release of that pressure.

"If it's that, then we're not in such bad circumstances ... Despite the damage to the outer structure, as long as that steel inner vessel remains intact, then the vast majority of the radiation will be contained.

Most experts said the relatively slight damage to the reactor was testimony to the improved security of nuclear power, something that has convinced more governments to adopt the technology in recent years despite environmentalists' concerns.

"We must remember that there are 55 reactors in Japan and this was a huge earthquake, and as a test of the resilience and robustness of nuclear plants it seems they have withstood the effects very well," Regan said.

(Editing by Jon Boyle)

Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions.

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BRUSSELS (Elizabeth Piper) – Japan should not expect a repeat of the Chernobyl nuclear disaster after an explosion blew the roof off one of its nuclear power plants that had been shaken in a huge ea...
BRUSSELS (Elizabeth Piper) – Japan should not expect a repeat of the Chernobyl nuclear disaster after an explosion blew the roof off one of its nuclear power plants that had been shaken in a huge ea...
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09:54 PM on 03/19/2011
I'm currently in Kiev covering a story for the upcoming 25 years of Chernobyl. The media here is very in tune with what is happening in Japan, it's almost as if there is a relief of "finally somebody else understands us." I but together some illustrative tables comparing the two events if anybody is interested.
http://smithjan.com/blog/2011/03/19/fukushima-daiichi-is-not-chernobyl-fortunately/
07:51 AM on 03/17/2011
20,000 deaths per year in United States directly attributable to burning coal.
09:18 AM on 03/15/2011
"Plan for the worst --- hope for the best outcome."

It looks like we forgot about the first part of that saying.
07:25 PM on 03/23/2011
The idea of planning insinuates foresight. If the earthquake and tsunami in Japan were able to be predicted I can assure you the death toll would be closer to 0 then 10K.

Next we should plan for the end of the world. I mean, what if Earth's orbit around the sun rapidly deteriorated in the next week due to an error in our understanding of basic physics. It would be our own fault that we didn't plan for that to happen.
Yes, Japan is near a major fault line. Yes, fault lines generally create earthquakes/tsunamis. But its asking a bit much to try to prepare for an unpredicatble event.
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Michael Mann
Nuclear Educator
07:59 PM on 03/13/2011
A Chernobyl type event cannot happen with these reactors, it's physically impossible.
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Overtone
See bio on the Aesop Institute website
12:20 PM on 03/13/2011
We can hope and pray. But two reactors have partial meltdowns and four more may have soon.

See www.aesopinstitute.org for a map of a worst case scenario. It could involve massive evacuation in the Western USA if we are not very, very, lucky.
07:45 PM on 03/23/2011
Slight exaggeration. Worst case scencario would call for massive evacuation. Worst case scenraio is not imminent and would require a multitude of variables to be just right: Core temperatures, cooling pond water levels, pumping capabilities, restoring power to reactor cooling systems, location of radiation leakage. If all these fail then wind vectors have to be perfect and consistent for near a week for radiation to make it across the pacific. However, this isn't to say there is no danger, especially to the Japanese!
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04:01 PM on 03/12/2011
This is what happened:
The reactor core is hot enough to break down water into hydrogen and oxygen, which basically means there's little liquid water left inside. The oxygen reacts with the metals in the core. The resultant mix of steam and hydrogen reached a pressure high enough that technicians had to reduce it by venting it into the building.
Something caused a spark and the hydrogen-air mixture exploded. What blew is the outer building shell of reactor number 1, not the containment vessel, which is made of steel in this old design (ironically it was to be decommissioned later this month.) This design has no concrete containment vessel, so we have basically TMI without the concrete containment.
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TheWanderer
Above us only sky
03:14 PM on 03/12/2011
"Pay no attention to those explosions that blew the roof off the nuclear power plant. It was a GOOD explosion that reduced dangerous air pressure in the cooling blah blah blah blah blah...."
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Overtone
See bio on the Aesop Institute website
03:10 PM on 03/12/2011
A safe, inexpensive, reactor has gone into production. It is a Low Energy Nuclear Reactor demonstrated in Italy and scheduled to provide a 1 Megawatt heating plant in Athens, Greece in October.

See Cold Fusion at www.aesopinstitute.org

The claim is it can produce electricity at one penny per kilowatt hour.

And the small modules are inherently safe when contrasted with conventional nuclear power.

A scientist says there will be a "stampede" when these units go into commercial use.
05:01 PM on 03/12/2011
The same kind of propaganda was touted when today's trouble Japanese reactors were being built. At what point does the world say "ENOUGH" to you people?
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Overtone
See bio on the Aesop Institute website
06:33 PM on 03/12/2011
When safe, cheap, green, energy has superseded fossil and uranium fuels.
02:21 PM on 03/13/2011
The politicians want to keep big expensive central nuke units to keep their monopoly utility buddies happy to give campaign contributions . Big expensive central nuke units ensure monopoly electric utilities will have a good "return" on investments thru State authorized retail tariffs to taxpayers keeping utilities whole and Wall Street happy.
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swerver
I'm walkin' here!
03:10 PM on 03/12/2011
The official death toll directly attributable to Chernobyl passed the one million mark in Dec. 2010. If this core cannot be controlled quickly and Tokyo is 150 miles away, we may be watching the greatest environmental disaster of all time beginning to evolve!
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04:03 PM on 03/12/2011
Agree. It's between TMI and Chernobyl right now. Let's see where it goes. The reactor is several times as powerful as Chernobyl.
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Doug Hake
Nuclear Engineer and Radiological Scientist
07:17 PM on 03/13/2011
Its unknown if its even as bad as TMI right now.
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Michael Mann
Nuclear Educator
09:31 PM on 03/13/2011
The official death toll for Chernobyl is 56 with the WHO estimating a possible 4,000 early deaths due to cancers. Your million is very inaccurate to the point of being total fabrication. The events in Japan are not Chernobyl type events which are impossible with this design of reactor. Ther are plenty of real problems in Japan without fabricating panic over these nuclear power plants.
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swerver
I'm walkin' here!
09:41 PM on 03/18/2011
Poor records and methodology, omissions, and the failure of various committees to consider all health issues resulting from the Chernobyl nuclear power plant disaster in 1986, have meant the real consequences for the many millions of affected people have been hidden from public scrutiny, DR. ROSALIE BERTELL reports. Using a report from a U.N. science committee in 2000, Dr Bertell identifies the many omissions and makes a very conservative, preliminary estimate of the eventual death toll from the Chernobyl disaster to be 1 to 2 million
02:56 PM on 03/12/2011
"We must remember that there are 55 reactors in Japan and this was a huge earthquake, and as a test of the resilience and robustness of nuclear plants it seems they have withstood the effects very well," Regan said.

Yes in fact they are so safe let's build more nuclear power plants until one of them does explode again in an accident and we lose our lives and our economies. Brilliant. The important thing is PR for the vested interests in the nuclear power industry.

Build nuclear plants is so much fun though, if you don't have the risk of earthquakes and tsunamis or simply design or human failure then there is always the fact they would be the first target for bombs in a war, large or small.

But the important thing to do is maintain the PR image.

Yay we didn't all die yet, congrats, awesome! Build more.
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06:26 AM on 03/13/2011
I want one Mommy! I WAAAANT one!
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myth buster
10:11 PM on 03/13/2011
Any nation that bombs a nuclear plant fully intends to start a nuclear war. Not much we can do about a country that WANTS a nuclear war.
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Rickyrab
Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy
02:42 PM on 03/12/2011
We should use the geiger counters just in case.
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04:08 PM on 03/12/2011
They do that. The people evacuated were all scanned with Geiger counters.
Not in the US though... yet. You can be sure that Navy planes are measuring radioactivity in the air. It takes at least three days for air to make it to the west coast.
I was in Germany during Chernobyl, now in California. Deja vu all over again.
10:11 PM on 03/13/2011
You have no idea what you are talking about.
02:39 PM on 03/12/2011
Okay, so the standard of analysis has become: "If it's not as bad as Chernobyl, then it's not bad at all." ROFL.