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The 2012 Speculatron Weekly Roundup For April 29, 2011

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This week, the 2012 landscape was rocked by a couple of big announcements and one very bizarre news development. First, the field: it has changed. Haley Barbour, who had us more or less convinced he was going to take a run at the White House, surprised everyone by announcing that he had decided against mounting a campaign. Now, the insider knowledge and deep connections that Barbour has spent his career cultivating are hot commodities -- as is his endorsement. Will Barbour lay his kiss of approval on the brow of Mitch Daniels? Or will he back his fellow southerner, Mike Huckabee? Or could it be Tim Pawlenty? One thing's for sure, Barbour will not try to kiss Rick Santorum, lest Santorum vomit up his duodenum in revulsion.

Also, Ron Paul has formed his own presidential exploratory committee, edging closer to another run for the White House -- probably the last before he passes the "someone named Paul running for President" baton to his son, Rand. With Paul in the race again, the classic Paul issues -- ending foreign wars, dismantling the Federal Reserve, returning to the gold standard -- will get a hearing on the stump and in debates. And Paul's going to have no trouble getting his hardworking posse of libertarian devotees back together. Speaking of, that whole Gary Johnson campaign: man, that was sure fun while it lasted.

Of course, the crazy news of the week was that President Barack Obama released his long-form birth certificate, and now Donald Trump -- simultaneously the GOP frontrunner and the man voters least want to see become president (try wrapping your head around that!) -- is taking credit for the fact that Obama has again confirmed what hundreds of millions of Americans, save for a few determined nutters, have already known for years: that Obama was born in the United States, duh. But will it even matter, if Obama has lost an important part of his base, by which we mean "hedge fund managers?"

And by the way: Mike Huckabee is not out of this race yet. A day of wild rumors flying hither and yon got sorted out in such a way that it actually looks like Huck is closer than ever to getting into the race. (On the other hand, it's reached the point where it's hard to believe Sarah Palin is going to run.)

That's the overview of yet another wild week in the 2012 race. Still a big field full of people whose American citizenship is something for which we cannot officially vouch. But we'll take them all at their word. Except for you, Trump! We demand that the season finale of Celebrity Apprentice feature a live re-enactment of your emergence from the womb, featuring NeNe Leakes and Meat Loaf. Now there's a mental image to carry with you, as you enter the Speculatron for the week of April 29, 2011.

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  Obama Romney
Obama Romney
332 206
Obama leading
Obama won
Romney leading
Romney won
Popular Vote
33 out of 100 seats are up for election. 51 are needed for a majority.
Democrat leading
Democrat won
Holdover
Republican leading
Republican won
Democrats* Republicans
Current Senate 53 47
Seats gained or lost +2 -2
New Total 55 45
* Includes two independent senators expected to caucus with the Democrats: Angus King (Maine) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vt.).
All 435 seats are up for election. 218 are needed for a majority.
Democrat leading
Democrat won
Republican leading
Republican won
Democrats Republicans
Seats won 201 234
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