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Minimum Wage Increase Would Help Sluggish Economy, Say Experts


First Posted: 06/07/11 04:01 PM ET Updated: 08/07/11 06:12 AM ET

WASHINGTON -- A group of economists made the case on Tuesday for raising the federal and state minimum wages across the country as a way to boost the stagnant economy and improve the standard of living among low-wage earners.

Backed by what they described as 15 years' worth of research, a panel at progressive think tank the Center for American Progress (CAP) argued that higher minimum wages flush more money into the economy without cutting into job growth -- the latter a long-held contention of business interests and many conservatives.

Michael Reich, an economics professor and director of the Institute for Research on Labor and Employment at the University of California, Berkeley, said his research has shown that businesses don't suffer from having to dish out slightly higher wages to their lowest-paid employees. In fact, he argued there are benefits to employers.

"The labor market absorbs the minimum wage," said Reich. "Turnover goes way down when there's a minimum-wage increase. Employees -- when they stay longer, they'll be more experienced and more productive. And the employers will have lower turnover costs."

The economists made their argument at a time when the American economy remains stubbornly sluggish. On Friday, the federal government released a disappointing report showing that the economy hasn't been adding jobs at the pace it needs to for a robust recovery. The unemployment rate has risen to 9.1 percent, and many experts believe it will be several years before it drops to pre-recession levels. Many of the jobs being added also happen to be lower-wage positions.

The current federal minimum wage is $7.25, or about $15,000 a year for a full-time worker. The minimum wage had been stuck at $5.15 for over 10 years until 2007, when a series of increases were put into effect. Seventeen states currently have a minimum wage set higher than the federal standard, and a number of states are considering giving their lowest-paid workers another raise.

The economists arguing for a minimum-wage boost compared it to stimulus action, saying that it pumps money into local economies and can even lead to job growth. Such an increase is like food stamps or unemployment benefits in that the recipients, who tend to be low-wage workers and their family members, usually have to spend the money rather than sock it away.

Heidi Shierholz, an economist at the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute, said it's one way to shift money from corporate profits -- which companies often sit on -- to low-income workers, who can do more immediate spending.

"When you get an increase in the minimum wage, you're getting a wage increase to the people that are low-wage families who depend on these earnings to make ends meet," said Shierholz. "They have no choice but to spend that money in their local economy. That's the stimulus you get."

Still, despite a growing body of research extolling the benefits of higher minimum wages, it can be politically tricky to bring such increases to pass. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, along with myriad restaurant and retail trade groups, generally opposes raising the minimum wage or enacting cost-of-living adjustments, which tie the wage to inflation.

Even though there were a raft of minimum wage raises on the state level a few years ago, some of them have recently been assaulted as small business job killers. This year, Missouri Republicans tried and failed to cap their state's minimum wage. A Florida federal judge ruled in May that a state agency there had been illegally suppressing its own minimum wage. And business interests in Maine have been lobbying for the creation of a "training wage" that would let companies pay teenagers less than the state minimum.

Yet public opinion polls consistently show that voters like seeing the minimum wage raised, said Celinda Lake, president of polling firm Lake Research Partners. "When we've done public polls, anywhere from 86 to 67 percent say they support an increase in the minimum wage," Lake said at the CAP event. "A solid majority of voters believe that raising the minimum wage will help the economy."

About 1.8 million of the country's 73 million hourly-wage earners were making the federal minimum during 2010. Another 2.5 million made even less than that, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. These minimum wage earners tend to be younger. Workers under age 25 account for roughly half of those making the minimum wage or less.

According to Shierholz, jacking the federal minimum wage from $7.25 to $8.25 would give a raise to 10 million workers, including many currently earning their state minimum wage. That could ultimately pump as much as $9 billion into the economy, she said. "At a time like this, there is nothing else putting upward pressure on wages."

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WASHINGTON -- A group of economists made the case on Tuesday for raising the federal and state minimum wages across the country as a way to boost the stagnant economy and improve the standard of livin...
WASHINGTON -- A group of economists made the case on Tuesday for raising the federal and state minimum wages across the country as a way to boost the stagnant economy and improve the standard of livin...
WASHINGTON -- A group of economists made the case on Tuesday for raising the federal and state minimum wages across the country as a way to boost the stagnant economy and improve the standard of livin...
WASHINGTON -- A group of economists made the case on Tuesday for raising the federal and state minimum wages across the country as a way to boost the stagnant economy and improve the standard of livin...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Watching rock grow
FE = Iron, and Female = Iron Male :)
01:12 PM on 06/10/2011
An increase in minimum wage won't get passed by a Republican controlled House not when they claim we are too poor for even infrastructure repair, and disaster aid for Americans.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
smburwick
08:09 AM on 06/10/2011
The guy from GM doesn't have to pay taxes. He wants you to spend 40,000 to buy the volt. You are the one who is wrong. I didn't get this from what you say. I heard it on NBC.
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zerovampire311
Somewhere between right and left is correct.
07:30 PM on 06/09/2011
The problem isn't the minimum wage, the problem is people are being PAID minimum wage when they shouldn't be. Minimum wage work is essentially something that should just require a warm body with half a brain to complete the tasks presented. Look at the general spread of income from jobs (google it if you'd like, I'm too lazy to right now) and you'll see a drastic increase in minimum wage work over the years. There are fewer and fewer jobs in the $15-25/hour range. What's worse is how many jobs offer what is essentially minimum wage "salary" and go on to have their employees work 50+ hours per week. Not to mention the loopholes when commission becomes involved...

In addition, when minimum wage rises, inflation goes wild. Corporations assume everyone will have a little more money, because the average income rises. Minimum wage workers are left at a stalemate and everyone else suffers.
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05:16 PM on 06/09/2011
Let's raise the minimum wage to $100/hour. Wait, why stop there? Lets raise it to $1 billion/hour. Then, everyone can be rich.
02:29 PM on 07/10/2011
Your point is well argued. I like that! A billion dollars an hour. There is nothing greater than using over exaggerated arguments to avoid having anything of substance to say. Some of my favorites are "If you let them marry than people will want to marry animals next", "the reason we have no manufacturing in America is corporate taxes/unions/satan". I personally like to use logic, and facts to win an argument. Does this tactic work for you? Could you give me some pointers on not arguing with facts? What do you think of this one? "If we give everyone a living rage Satan will come out of the ground and an#ly ra#e us!" I think I came on to strong. Looking forward to your review.
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Charles L King
Retiree
01:38 PM on 06/09/2011
The word confidence has different meanings/connotations when applied to the big corporations as opposed to the ordinary consumer.

In the case of the consumer, consumer confidence simply means that the consumer is worried about his future earnings capability, job security that is, and fears of inflation. This is different from but it plays into the other kind of confidence I've outlined below.

In the case of the big banks etc. their LACK of confidence, is not in their ability to perform, but in the ECONOMY itself. In some instances, they are actually betting on the economy to fail, because even though the absolute value of their holdings go down, they can make money by shorting the markets, whilst waiting on the inevitable recovery of the value of their holdings, (which they can now buy more of at lower prices, if they are sitting on a lot of cash. That's why they hoard cash, whenever the signs say that the markets are or will be falling,) whether it's one year or four, or ten. So "confidence" in their case doesn't mean that they have no money, or that they fear the future, it is simply a strategic position that guarantees them the most profitability in a changing economy.
09:26 AM on 06/09/2011
Minimum wage increases simply cut out more entry-level workers. That's the crime of minimum wages. Some workers, primarily unskilled younger people who have not had a job before, aren't worth 7.25 per hour. This isn't a slam against them, but they need to learn. Smaller local businesses used to be a great place for kids to get a first job -- the local drug store, the local grocery, etc. The government has made much of this impossible, unless a small business is willing to pay cash under the table.
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hardrain77
R3VOLUTION
02:52 PM on 06/09/2011
Agree. What many people don't realize is that min. wage laws and outsourcing are interrelated. Unemployment remains high b/c it's harder to hire more people at $7.25 in hour than it is at a negotiable, under the table rate--or just pack up and mover overseas and hire a fleet of workers for .25 cents an hour instead.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
PetrBuben
controlled demolition, irrefutable evidence
06:17 PM on 06/09/2011
well no, you need to make sure that minimum wage increase, for bigger employers, cuts into 100$ of billions of corporate profits flowing abroad as investments or tax cheat.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Charles L King
Retiree
07:17 AM on 06/09/2011
Both, beer and cigarettes are billion dollar industries, centered in the USA. Those are GOODS, for the economy. Cirrhosis, and lung cancer are good for the health care industry, but they reduce productivity far more than they increase demand IN THE LONG RUN.

Luckily, you are wrong on the beer and cigarettes analysis, because you are confusing minimum wage workers with welfare unemployables. You're probably rich and just out of touch with that aspect of life.
01:15 AM on 06/09/2011
I actually feel we need to lower the wages of Washington and some in the public sector.

http://www.alleducationschools.com/education-careers/school-leadership/education-administration-salary

Walmart should be made an example of and be forced to hire more fulltime and increased pay and benefits.
http://www.therichest.org/tag/walton-family-net-worth/
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liberalarmyfamily
let them eat blue velvet cake!
11:53 PM on 06/08/2011
what about taxing the highest tier and using that tax money to give to small private companies that might feel the hurt with the raised minimum wage?
Otherwise I do not see a problem. Big Corporations like Walmart are making huge profits selling crap made in China while their employees are making minimum wage. In fact, these companies are the reason government had to make govt healthcare. They juggle employee hours so they can work just under the time needed to qualify for company health insurance. I know this, I worked for many of these companies- Target, Barnes and Noble, Old Navy, ect...all for minimum wage.
Every single conservative I know complains that the welfare system is abused by lazy druggies that don't want to work. In reality a lot of people would like to be independent and not use assistance. By increasing the minimum wage those people will get a sense of self worth, spend more money on the economy, and perhaps the gov't will save money with less welfare payments.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ABACADABRA RABBIT
09:24 PM on 06/08/2011
Just do what FDR did. Create 3-5 million jobs that pay prevailing wage. Do it until unemployment is back to 4.5%

This would have cost less that TARP:

"The Works Progress Administration (renamed during 1939; WPA) was the largest and most ambitious New Deal agency, employing millions of unskilled workers to carry out public works projects,[1] including the construction of public buildings and roads, and operated large arts, drama, media, and literacy projects. It fed children and redistributed food, clothing, and housing. Almost every community in the United States had a park, bridge or school constructed by the agency, which especially benefited rural and Western areas. The budget at the outset of the WPA in 1935 was $1.4 billion a year. (about 6.7 percent of the 1935 GDP), and in total it spent $13.4 billion.[2] At its peak in 1938 it provided paid jobs for three million unemployed men (and some women), as well as youth in a separate division the National Youth Administration."

"...the WPA had provided millions of Americans with jobs for 8 years.[5] Most people who needed a job were eligible for at least some of its positions.[6] Hourly wages were typically set to the prevailing wages in each area.[7] However workers could not be paid more than 30 hours a week. Before 1940, there was very little training to teach new skills, to meet the objections of the labor unions."
timber1647
It's either sadness or euphoria
10:43 AM on 06/09/2011
Everything FDR did was great for keeping up the spirits of Americans during the Great Depression, but it didn't bring this country out of same, WWII did. If FDR were alive today and doing the same things, the Republicans, the Tea Party and the Media would be all over him for not getting the country turned around. Back then, the lack of 24/7 media coverage and the greater patience of the American people, benefitted FDR. Today 24/7 media coverage is a fact of life and the American people aren't as patient as they once were. All the best.
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ABACADABRA RABBIT
03:04 PM on 06/09/2011
He could just use DOD or DHS money to do this. He could use foreign aid money to do this. He needs to create jobs or he is doomed.

Do you think this man will be reelected with a 10% unemployment rate?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
beGrown beSexy
05:07 PM on 06/09/2011
wow... FDR? I was taught that but one thing didn't make sense to me... the fact that they came back with an amendment to keep presidents to 2 terms.

even as a kid I didn't get it if FDR was so loved.

ANYway, from what I read from the time outside of the history books we were given he did more damage than good and literally killed many small businesses by creating price fixing.

As for the government crating jobs... just keep in mind that for all those government workers put to work, there are less people working in the private sector to pay for them.

You want to create jobs?Make sure that people can start their own businesses. Do any of you know how to do that? I learned and maybe I can be the future employer.

What are YOU doing?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ABACADABRA RABBIT
05:25 PM on 06/09/2011
"even as a kid I didn't get it if FDR was so loved."

Please tell us what that sentence is supposed to mean.

"As for the government crating jobs... just keep in mind that for all those government workers put to work, there are less people working in the private sector to pay for them."

Please explain the above sentence in plain English as well. 10 percent unemployment is better than 4 percent unemployment?

What am I doing?

I am one unit and a Thesis Defense away from my MS at a Tier 1 University. Meeting with prospective faculty for my Doctoral work.

What business are you planning to open?
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nmaddog7
05:17 PM on 06/08/2011
My huge problem with this: it ignores the underlying issues,a major one is automation,here's a list I made of the ridiculous advance made in this area

--- Service industry---
This will have the most impact in the next decade or two. It means the replacement of relatively expensive workers in most warehousing,service jobs which require sorting,retrieval,organizing,for example, like librarians or post office workers. 
-Incredible robot that can sort,move, stack and  lift products  http://bit.ly/keELqn
-Completely automated library planned for Seattle (http://bit.ly/jZHjp8) which is built relatively expensively now but we just need to look at Moore's Law to see what is possible in robotics when rate of technology change is further along the exponential curve. 
-high end jobs like surgery http://bit.ly/mHJxlg
---Dangerous, repetitive, or low paying task---
-Automated recycler will replace inefficient system that relies on things like can collectors who live on the street and horrible jobs sorting through huge landfills http://bit.ly/iPXcan 
-Automated & programable for any repetitive and dehumanizing work done at the factory line:FRIDA robot  http://bit.ly/mPbRBb
-Drone based crop dusting(crop dusting is the most dangerous job in aviation) http://bit.ly/kbDxdT
-bomb detonation http://bit.ly/jpJDkR
--- Construction,custom parts manufacturing,mockups for engineers/architects---
-self replication of themselves:http://bit.ly/iFXzoF They'll need very little human intervention to carry out their task from day one
-Metal motorcycle helmet carved from a block of steel http://bit.ly/kGPo8e
-3D printing concrete structures: http://bit.ly/kUJhBH
04:54 PM on 06/08/2011
Try talking to a small business owner before you get excited about "a group of experts." Why not raise the minimum wage to $30.00 per hour?

Forced government wage increases are supported when people forget that the money used to cover the increase does not magically materialize. It must come from somewhere. Since Americans love the best products for the lowest prices, businesses will not likely pass the cost of the wage increase on to consumers in the form of higher prices. They will, instead, reduce their costs by laying off workers with the lowest skills, relocating the jobs (or the entire business) to another country, or skirting the law altogether by paying employees “under the table” or by hiring illegal immigrants... from acton.org
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nmaddog7
05:22 PM on 06/08/2011
Also, robotic automation is in the path of the silicon chip,ridiculous innovation speed.so far we have only seen them in shipping,car manufacturing,and other factories. The next big change is the service industry

--- Service industry---
-Incredible robot that can sort,move, stack and  lift products  http://bit.ly/keELqn
-Completely automated library planned for Seattle (http://bit.ly/jZHjp8
-surgery http://bit.ly/mHJxlg
-Automated factory line robot programmable for each task:FRIDA robot  http://bit.ly/mPbRBb
--- Construction,custom parts manufacturing,mockups for architects,self replicate---
-self replication of themselves: http://bit.ly/iFXzoF
-Metal motorcycle helmet carved from a block of steel http://bit.ly/kGPo8e
-3D printing concrete structures: http://bit.ly/kUJhBH Yep,this is what the Zeitgeist project would like to use to build entire cities
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tman418
Liberal policies work everytime
04:51 PM on 06/08/2011
"Even though there were a raft of minimum wage raises on the state level a few years ago, some of them have recently been assaulted as small business job killers. This year, Missouri Republicans tried and failed to cap their state's minimum wage."

O...M...G. That is just horrible!

So what...? They wanted to cap the minimum wage permanently? They wanted it to never increase, even for inflation?

Wow. I'm speechless. $5.15 an hour was nothing, and so is $7.25 an hour. I can't believe that Republicans and other right-wingers felt that letting the tax cuts expire for people earning $250K was stealing. There was one Fox Business commentator who tried to say that $250K is poverty for many people. What about people making $7.25 an hour...and that's only assuming that they have the luxury of a secure job with steady hours and full-time. Most minimum-wage workers don't even receive benefits.

Republicans sure seem to have a hard time realizing why they aren't very trusted on the economy...in general. Well, with Missouri Republicans trying to permanently cap their minimum wage, maybe they should apologize for that failed effort.
04:13 PM on 06/08/2011
There has NOT been a growing amount of reports that prove that increasing the minimum wage helps the poor. According to David Neumark MOST research on this subject shows negative effects on the minimum wage on the economy and labor market. Most research says that the long run effects of increasing the minimum wage has a negative effect on the economy. The short term effects may be minimal, as Card and others have suggested. But in basically all studies the long term effect of increasing the minimum wage is negative. There was a huge commission of economists who came up with similar answers in the 1980s.

Furthermore there is NO proof that a higher minimum wage reduces poverty. As the last comment of the article mentioned, most of the minimum wage workers are under 25. There is no correlation between poor people and people who earn the minimum wage. Many of the people who work for the minimum wage come from families outside of the poverty level.

90% of economists do not believe the minimum wage INCREASES unemployment. That is a huge percentage.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mudshark12
Now who are you jiving with that cosmik debris?
04:10 PM on 06/08/2011
I've often wondered, how someone can survive on minimum wage? Probably the only people who live comfortably on it still live with their parents.
04:23 PM on 06/08/2011
Half the people that earn minimum wage are under 25 years old.
People earning the minimum wage and over 25 make up less than 1.5% of all workers in the US.

http://www.bls.gov/cps/minwage2009.htm