IA-2012 Primary: 29% Bachmann, 16% Romney, 8% Pawlenty, 8% Cain (Magellan 7/10-11)

Magellan
7/10-11/11; 1,024 likely Republican caucus-goers, 3.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
Magellan release

Iowa

2012 President: Republican Caucus
29% Bachmann
16% Romney
8% Pawlenty
8% Cain
5% Paul
5% Gingirch
3% Santorum

Comments

[AaronTX]

05:25 PM on 07/13/2011

Bachmann is also surging nationally.

[Turukano]

05:16 PM on 07/13/2011

Our children will be forced to learn that homosexuality is normal and natural and that perhaps they should try it, and that’ll be very soon in our public schools all across the state, beginning in kindergarten.” — Senator Michele Bachmann, appearing as guest on radio program “Prophetic Views Behind The News”, hosted by Jan Markell, KKMS 980-​AM, March 6, 2004.

[Dave WI]

05:14 PM on 07/13/2011

So, I hadn't heard about Michelle's husband's business venture 'til today. That's not playing well in New Hampshire.

[Xenobion]

03:29 PM on 07/13/2011

McConnell quite the bowl of laughs today. He'd make Pelosi proud.

[stillow1]

03:28 PM on 07/13/2011

We really need SC primary polling. Its fairly safe to say with Romney's ignore IA strategy he is not going to win there, but will win easily in NH and NV......SC will be the key pivotal state on wheather Romney runs away with this thing, or Bachman or antoher more hard line conservative makes a fight out of it. Someone tell the polling gods to poll SC more.

[gevan]

03:13 PM on 07/13/2011

Ever since the Iowa caucuses first became noticed on the political landscape (1976-Jimmy Carter) the winners have had an extremely mixed prospect of success in winning their party's nomination. Why we should care about the choices of this non-typical little state is somewhat of a mystery to me.

[stillow1]

03:22 PM on 07/13/2011

It serves as a name recongition booster for the following states, because the media blabbers and blabbers about the winner. IMO that is really all IA is about, is boosting your name rec for the states to come. Romney is pretty much ignoring IA and if he holds onto a solid 2nd place finish there, he will probably have easy crusing to the nomination. If he drops to a lowly 3rd or worse, he may have a problem.

[AaronTX]

05:29 PM on 07/13/2011

No, but it can cause a downward spiral a la Dean or Hillary. The real danger is that Romney would fall to 3rd in IA, and not win a blowout in NH. That would be a disaster for him.

[gevan]

08:51 PM on 07/13/2011

Poor Mittens.

[Xenobion]

02:50 PM on 07/13/2011

Who knows, Romney could be the next Howard Dean.

[stillow1]

03:17 PM on 07/13/2011

Its pretty good being in a strong 2nd place cosnidering he is totally ignoring the state.

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

05:05 PM on 07/13/2011

Except, I couldn't exactly see Romney sounding like a drunk out of control captain of a football team after winning the Iowa primary. I never know why he had to have made a fool of himself like that. I think had that happened with Republicans, it wouldn't have done as much damage. I think Democrats have much higher standards for their demeanor, and words and being polished at the presidential level. People in the Democratic party like Grayson or Weiner, are usually encouraged by progressives, but we would never want them to be nominated for president.

[Lat1]

02:34 PM on 07/13/2011

Yeah baby! Go Michele Go (I see dead people they walk among us!)!

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

02:29 PM on 07/13/2011

Okay: I'm going to have my Pat Robertson 700 club moment here.

Pat Robertson:

"Dear Lord...Please pray for Republican voters that they will cast their ballot for this woman who embodies values and morals and your laws...Dear lord, please pray that the man who is not your follower, and whose faith has turned it's back against your true word and deluded it does not win. Pray that you empower the voters to vote their conscience with all your power and might, and we can take this country back for you dear lord. Amen.

His Son: Dad:, okay. Thats enough. I just want to pray for all our leaders that they make the right decisions, and guide them through these tough times. Now here is the CBN news.

[Field Marshall]

03:05 PM on 07/13/2011

Beware, if you remember, there were a lot of us righties, I included, who were PRAYING that Obama beat Hillary to get the nomination. We boasted how there was no way the American people would vote for a extreme far-lefty who was inexperienced, and a man with so many questionable associates like Rac.ist Reverand Wright and Bill Ayres.

Now, to the detriment of the US, he is our president. Watch what you wish for....

[rltballer]

03:44 PM on 07/13/2011

Obama has done more for the betterment of our nation than any republican in the last 50 years.

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

04:58 PM on 07/13/2011

I actually felt as though for different reasons Hillary and Obama would have had equally different but difficult obstacles. Hillary had Bill Clinton's past history both as a virtue but also a detrement. I think she would have won had she been nominated, but I know very well, that the right wing would have brought back Whitewater, Monica, the Rose Law Firm, and that lawyer she was close friends with who shot himself. Obama's views in my book were not very much different, and both had respect within the base. I see Romney and Huntsman as the level-headed candidates, who could win a general, and I'm still betting my money on Romney.

The Reverend wright friendship and attending his church is no comparison to any of the comments Bachmann has said. I mean, many Americans find Mormonism controversial, just as some Americans who don't know the plight of inner city African Americans would be scared of Jeremiah Wright. Personally, Obama made the right decision by not attending the church anymore, but honestly a lot of black churches stereotype white people.