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Few Americans Fear 'Economic Catastrophe' If Debt Ceiling Not Raised: Poll

Debt Ceiling

The Huffington Post   First Posted: 07/14/11 12:33 PM ET Updated: 09/13/11 06:12 AM ET

Of the 22 percent of Americans who want the federal government to raise the debt ceiling, less than a third say that "economic catastrophe" would result from not doing so, according to a Gallup poll released Wednesday.

The poll examines Americans' reasons for why they do or don't want to see the debt ceiling raised. Only 22 percent of Americans want their member of Congress to vote in favor of increasing the debt ceiling, compared with 42 percent who would like their member of Congress to vote against it, a Gallup survey noted on Tuesday.

About a third of those who want the debt ceiling raised -- 32 percent -- said it should be done in order to "avoid economic catastrophe" when asked to give their reasons in an open-ended format. Another 23 percent said it had to be done so as "to not default on debt," 17 percent said it was "necessary" or there was "no choice," and 16 percent said it should be done "to avoid [a] government shutdown" or a "suspension of services/benefits."

By contrast, among the percentage who told Gallup they don't want to see the debt ceiling raised, 38 percent said the U.S. already has "too much debt" and "cannot afford more." Twenty-one percent said the U.S. needs to stop or cut spending, 13 percent said the country "needs to live within its means" and "budget better," and 17 percent said that raising the debt ceiling "does not address [the] problem" and the country would only "keep raising [the] limit in [the] future."

Economic catastrophe is more or less what members of the Obama administration have suggested will happen if the debt ceiling is not raised. In May, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner warned that if a deal is not struck by the August 2 deadline, and the U.S. defaults on its loans, it could precipitate a market panic "that threatens the health of our entire global economy and the jobs of millions of Americans."

Yet as of Wednesday evening, the issue appears far from resolved. On Wednesday, the president had what reports describe as a contentious and unfruitful meeting with Congressional leaders, in which House Majority Leader Eric Cantor pressed Obama for greater spending cuts while remaining adamant that a deal could not raise tax revenues.

According to Reuters, Wednesday's meeting ended with Obama warning those in attendance, "I have reached the point where I say enough."

While Cantor says a debt ceiling deal could not involve tax increases, nearly three-quarters of Americans are willing to accept some level of tax increases if it means reducing the deficit, Gallup finds.

Only 20 percent of those responding to Wednesday's poll said that they'd like Congress to reduce the deficit entirely through spending cuts, with no tax increases. A combined 73 percent said they would accept either a combination of spending cuts and tax increases, or a plan that relies entirely on tax increases.

Thirty percent said they'd prefer budget reduction to be done "mostly with spending cuts," while 32 percent said they'd like it to happen "equally with spending cuts and tax increases."

The Gallup poll aligns with a number of others in recent months showing public tolerance of tax increases for the sake of deficit reduction. A Pew poll in June found that 66 percent of respondents supported raising taxes on incomes over $250,000, while an Ipsos poll in May found that 61 percent of respondents favored tax increases as a means of getting the national debt down, either accompanied by cuts in existing programs or as the sole means.

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Of the 22 percent of Americans who want the federal government to raise the debt ceiling, less than a third say that "economic catastrophe" would result from not doing so, according to a Gallup poll r...
Of the 22 percent of Americans who want the federal government to raise the debt ceiling, less than a third say that "economic catastrophe" would result from not doing so, according to a Gallup poll r...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Chris Corcoran
10:15 PM on 07/18/2011
Why do we have such a stupid electorate?
08:32 AM on 07/18/2011
It is interesting that default might be taken so casually by anyone. Our country's word and liberal bankruptcy laws make it possible.. Of course, business reputations can eventually be restored. However, it may not be easy to forget what happened. I once read something about bankruptcies in China under Genghiz Khan. One was allowed two bankruptcies - the third resulted in the bankrupt being executed. Creditors may forgive us but hedge their bets on our credibility later, as logic would demand. Perhaps sovereign debt will become the stuff of credit default swaps. Somehow, it all seems morally perverse.
nothingchanges
too soon old, too late smart
10:34 AM on 07/17/2011
The "Dumbing down" of America, has worked, possibly beyond it's instigators wildest dreams.

One only has to look at the popularity of Fox "News" to corroborate that statement.
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ztck5356
When in doubt, Google it.
05:07 PM on 07/16/2011
Most "Americans" probably have no jobs, no food, no housing, no healthcare, so......this is a catastrophe to them ......how?
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exclintonsupporter
Love your enemy --- it messes with their heads!!!
02:55 PM on 07/16/2011
Since they don't fear it, they don't care if it is raised or not...thus, when the GOP doesn't raise it and everything starts going to hell, they will BLAME the GOP and not OBAMA for the mess????

I didn't thing so...
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Jason Vineyard
Dem turned Repub Constitutionalist
11:31 AM on 07/16/2011
Bring on the default, if you havent prepared yet then its already to late. Things you should be doing are building a panic room in case of mob uprisings. Buy seeds, fertilizer, water purification, livestock, land, small denominations of silver and gold, potassium iodide, guns, ammo, concrete, block, storable grains etc. The revolution will not be televised.
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11:12 AM on 07/16/2011
I don't believe a word that comes out of a politicans mouth.
11:00 AM on 07/16/2011
President Obama is a compulsive spender....and now he has to cover his a..It will never stop , and he will just continue to handle our debt in the same manner, One more time won't help, because it won't be one more time. If you overspend, using your own money is one thing, but overspending using someone else's money is another. If he were my accountant, I would now "see the light," and fire him as you cannot change a compulsive spender, alcoholic, drug addict's behavior...because it is a mental illness.. Now fix it, America!
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exclintonsupporter
Love your enemy --- it messes with their heads!!!
02:59 PM on 07/16/2011
oh stop it...the President is NOT a compulsive spender...get this...the money spent was already budgeted to be spent...he can't be a compulsive spender because the GOP has not approved anything for him to spend money on...if you are talking about the bail outs and other money spend because he SAVED this country from going belly-up into the abyss...don't you get it...that was ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY...otherwise the entire country would have been over the cliff by now...
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golions
Real Americans drink coffee, not tea.
08:16 PM on 07/16/2011
It's hardly worth debating, unfortunately. A certain portion of the media has been repeating the same talking points so long that the people who repeat them have a self-contained ideology. If you present them with anything that challenges that world view they write you off and ignore you.

Here we have an essay by a Nobel Prizewinning economist, and you see how much of an impact it makes. Blaming the Obama administration is a mantra to part of the population--and the actual facts don't matter, even when you can prove the facts. It's as if they prefer their own ideological echo chamber.

It is difficult to have an actual policy dialog under these circumstances. Wall Street has been unanimous in saying that failure to raise the debt ceiling would be a disaster for the economy. But one has to have a basic understanding about finance to see why that is necessary. And a lot of people lack that background.

Krugman's frustration is well founded, but he also frames his essay in a partisan manner that is likely to turn off the people who don't already agree with his conclusions. Really, the executives from Standard & Poor's and the leading bond traders might be more persuasive. Nobody doubts their conservative credentials or their understanding of economics. Yet according to current polls, most of the public does not actually understand why this is a big deal.
apiazza
There is no such thing as a fiscal conservative.
02:33 AM on 07/17/2011
Your accountant is telling you it's okay not to pay your credit card bills. You are going to listen to him just because it's Eric Cantor and sink your credit rating. Only in the case of the United States government, it wrecks havoc on the world's financial markets as well.
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exclintonsupporter
Love your enemy --- it messes with their heads!!!
03:11 AM on 07/17/2011
lol...f&f
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dbw53022
Fiscally conservative. Socially liberal.
09:25 AM on 07/16/2011
How many Americans have taken (and passed) an Economics class? Few "average" Americans understand the personal implications of a US default. But when the price of gas, food, clothing, rent and interest on credit card balances all jump in comparison to their income, the bleak reality will start to set in. And of course, by then it's too late.
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fgbouman
Curmudgeon & Designer
07:43 AM on 07/16/2011
Gold is at $1,590 per ounce. The Singapore Dollar is up to $1.21. The American IQ is down to 75.
When the stuff hits the fan, all of these numbers will, be reminders of the good old days.
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Eileenla
Author, "Sacred Economics"
01:22 AM on 07/16/2011
This kind of poll simply illustrates the complete lack of financial knowledge held by the average American. Sadly, most people seem not to grasp the global implications of a default on the nation's credit, on the dollar's status as a global currency, and on the government services we mainly take for granted...until they disappear.
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StJames
In absentia luci tenebrae vincunt
09:53 PM on 07/15/2011
Are 78% of Americans really that uninformed?
apiazza
There is no such thing as a fiscal conservative.
02:35 AM on 07/17/2011
I will just sum it up like this...the press and the Republican Party spent three years "looking" for President Obama's birth certificate as if it was missing. If I do recall, there was a high percentage people who actually doubted he was born in the United States. Do I need to say any more?
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Ember Firedog
A satiated micro-bio is not empty.
08:06 PM on 07/15/2011
Savvy Wall Streeters have given their lackeys marching orders to pass the increase in the debt ceiling. I'm sure that they would not have done so if they did not anticipate chaos and massive monetary losses if the debt ceiling is not raised.
06:44 PM on 07/15/2011
Republicans and Democrats now agree that we need to cut entitlements (as does I suspect every rational voter). Even in cities like Atlanta and Chicago (with Rahm no less!) they are cutting jobs and entitlement programs (like cushy pensions that we can't pay for anymore). Both parties also agree in general that the tax code needs to be simplified.

With that said all politicians are basically gutless who value their jobs and re-election more than taking leadership and fixing the broken economy. Because of this we need to hold spending in check with a balanced budget amendment.

In regards to the dire predictions on the ceiling BULL... These politicans sound like chicken little with the sky falling. It won't. Our rating should be downgraded ANYWAY! Why can't we face the same realities as a country that we do as individuals if we can't pay our debts? Tighter credit and a tougher future. We have become a country who belives we deserve things we no longer have earned!
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StJames
In absentia luci tenebrae vincunt
09:58 PM on 07/15/2011
Have you ever seen the Treasury Regulations?  My son just completed his LL.M. in Tax Law....we laughed hysterically going through some of the regulations...He had to buy one of those wheeled carts (as he spends time every day in the gym working out and is freakishly strong you can imagine how that took him aback!) because he had to bring the Treas Regs to classes along with his laptop...In any case, they will never simplify the tax code...they talk about it in every administration....and then they go about their business because they know its not possible....;-)
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StJames
In absentia luci tenebrae vincunt
09:59 PM on 07/15/2011
oopas....it's
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Droid Noir
Graphic Designer, Writer.
05:31 PM on 07/15/2011
At a time when the top 400 Americans earn as much as the bottom 150 Million, surely that enough will open the blinds to show you the extent to which the gaps between rich and poor are increasing. It is not my place to say this, but at this point the American Dream is either a nightmare or non-existent. It doesn't matter how hard you work unless you have the room for fluid upward mobility through the system to better your life. I can't speak for anyone else but I am sure that some Americans have at least noticed that it is not going well at all. You can blame whomever you like, but face that 'catastrophe' will not only strike America but THE WORLD. Once the financial systems of many of the world's economy's are effected by this, who by the way are still in recovery, well...we might as well hit the red button.