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Massive Solar Flares' Effects Arriving On Earth

Solar Flare Effects

By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID   08/ 5/11 04:14 PM ET   AP

WASHINGTON -- The impact of a series of eruptions on the sun began arriving at Earth on Friday and could affect some communications for a day or so.

Operators of electrical grids are working to avoid outages, but the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says some satellite communications and Global Positioning Systems could face problems.

Three solar flares erupted on the sun starting Tuesday, and the strongest electromagnetic shocks were being felt Friday by the ACE spacecraft, a satellite that measures radiation bursts a few minutes before they strike Earth, said Joseph Kunches, a scientist at NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colo.

Tom Bogdan, director of the center, said the sun is going from a quiet period into a busier cycle for solar flares and an increase in the number of such blasts is expected over the next three to five years.

Solar flares send out bursts of electromagnetic energy that strike the Earth's magnetic field. The most common impacts for the average person are the glowing auroras around the north and south poles, and the researchers said those could be visible this weekend.

The magnetic blasts, which Bogdan likened to a tsunami in space, can also affect electronic communications and electrical systems. A 1989 solar flare knocked out the electrical systems in Quebec, Canada, but the current solar storm is not expected to be that powerful. On a scale of 1 to 5, he said, it is probably a 2 or 3.

But more significant solar storms are expected in the next few years, he said.

The most powerful known solar storm occurred in 1859, Bogdan said. There were not as many vulnerable electrical items then, but it did knock out telegraph services, even burning down some telegraph stations, he said.

Other serious solar blasts occurred in 1921 and 1940, he noted, and Kunches recalled one on Halloween in 2003.

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02:50 AM on 08/09/2011
The next couple of years will be full of CMEs. Make sure you can go without electricity for three weeks, in case a bunch of power grids get put out of commission. Most of these eruptions will miss the Earth but it just takes one hit to cause major disruptions.
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OdinsEye
Korean-Latino cop and retired military combat vet
01:01 PM on 08/09/2011
This happens roughly every 11 years. This cycle's solar max is predicted to be less active than cycle 23's which occured from 2000 to 2002.
02:05 PM on 08/08/2011
I could have sworn that just a few months ago they said that there would be a decade long period with no big solar flares! How can they tell the future of solar flares?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
LynxAlexiaBlack
To all the world I am but one to me that is enough
03:27 PM on 08/08/2011
I wish I could find a good link for you but the study of the solar cycles is well known I just can't seem to find a comprehensive and easy to understand site for you. I did at least find a wiki that lists the known observed cycles to date

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_solar_cycles

roughly the sun swings between a Min and a Max every 11 years we are entering the next Maxim that should peak in 2013. during this time there will be increased sun spot activity and solar storms that will eject massive amounts of solar plasma and radiation from the surface and stream outward from the sun in all directions. many can head our way and wreak havoc with our equipment.
08:13 PM on 08/08/2011
http://www­.skyandtel­escope.com­/news/1238­44859.html

This is a semi-technical explanation of the lines of evidence that solar activity is declining.
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gts31bumbee
a Warehouse of Information
01:28 PM on 08/08/2011
What if any predictions are there for December of next year ? The Myans and Egyptians and others say the world will end along about 12/22/12. I am ready.... are you ?
05:38 PM on 08/08/2011
Um no they didn't. Research please. Throw "big change" somewhere in there.
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Levelheaded Guy
Keep your eye on the ball
10:53 AM on 09/17/2011
If the world ends on 12/22/12, what will the stock market do the next day?
12:29 PM on 08/08/2011
Gettng closer to 2012..
11:45 AM on 08/08/2011
That is cool! But kinda freaky! LOL :)
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StephenJK
All your consciousness are belong to us
06:13 AM on 08/08/2011
This cycle will make 1859 look like a gastrointestinal anomoly.
08:20 AM on 08/08/2011
Or maybe not. Preliminary indications are that it'll be pretty wimpy, I hear.
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StephenJK
All your consciousness are belong to us
08:28 AM on 08/08/2011
Preliminary indications are preliminary indications. The science community wouldn't want to panic anyone, either. Especially that NASA guy on youtube and Neil De Grasse Tyson. ;)
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balmora
Liberals = feel good solutions that don't work
03:38 AM on 08/08/2011
Solar activity has more effect on the climate than CO2.
08:17 AM on 08/08/2011
What is your evidence?

The variation in solar irradiance over the last two cycles was of order 0.1 per cent. It is very unlikely, a priori, that this has much of an effect on climate.

Meanwhile, there is a very well-understood physical mechanism by which increased CO2 concentration causes the equilibrium temperature of the earth to increase.
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qwert1234
haha, charade you are
08:50 AM on 08/08/2011
so then why do temps continue to rise even though solar iradiance is down?
12:56 AM on 08/08/2011
Big deal, what a waste of time even reporting it. We got bigger problems,no jobs
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Jeffrey Williams
Don't worry ! Nothing is going to be OK !!!
11:34 PM on 08/07/2011
Solar flares and Black Mondays always get me down !
10:47 PM on 08/07/2011
Its that damn global warming again!
08:19 AM on 08/08/2011
Solar flares, while dramatic, have little or no effect on the sun's time-averaged output, which is almost entirely photospheric radiation. Global warming is a local phenomenon caused by an increase in the opacity of the earth's atmosphere in the infrared.
08:58 PM on 08/07/2011
The fiction book, Preppers Road March, By Ron Foster portrayed a pretty vivid account of what it would be like to be stuck in the aftermath of a solar storm if it created enough electromagnetic pulse to take the grid down.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
07:58 PM on 08/07/2011
Billo the clown might have been onto something: sun blows up, sun blows down, never a miscommunication. Unless perhaps you're beaming the call via satellite or prone to hysterics.
05:16 PM on 08/07/2011
I guess these solar flares are man made? What are we going to do to stop them? How many tax dollars is this going to cost us? See how stupid global warming excuses are? We cannot do a thing.
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ILoveFiction
That's unbelievable!
07:09 PM on 08/07/2011
"See how stupid global warming excuses are?"

There's just no excuse for it.

Like that?
08:37 PM on 08/07/2011
"See how stupid global warming excuses are? We cannot do a thing. "

We obviously can't do anything to control solar flares. But solar flares have practically nothing to do with climate change.
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Bruce A Savini
10:25 AM on 08/08/2011
really? really? solar flares have next to nothing to do with climate change? ok scientifically speaking, your retarded. Solar flares are concentrated bursts of heat, and the burst of heat can increase the temperature of the earth when it hits the ozone layer, and like a magnifying glass will increase in heat. Solar flares have something to do with climate change, not everything, but not practically nothing as you think. a large enough solar flare could wipe all life off this planet. every respectable scientist thats has half a brain has said this.
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phoebequeen
I blame the dog
02:16 PM on 08/07/2011
Oh good, I thought it was just me having a hot flash.
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Brenda Starr
Time is before us. Time is after us.
01:21 PM on 08/07/2011
If we go visit the sun, we'd better do it at night...
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rednrag
life is the leading cause of death
01:30 PM on 08/07/2011
:)
12:12 PM on 08/08/2011
You must belong to the Tea Party! How can I tell?