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Japan Nuclear Crisis: Naoto Kan, Ex-Prime Minister, Feared For Country's Survival

Naoto Kan

09/ 7/11 11:14 AM ET   AP

TOKYO -- Japan's former prime minister says he feared early in the March nuclear crisis that it might become many times worse than the Chernobyl disaster and threaten the nation's survival.

Naoto Kan says he imagined "deserted scenes of Tokyo without a single man" and the need to evacuate tens of millions of people.

"It was truly a spine-chilling thought," Kan said in an interview with the Tokyo Shimbun daily published Tuesday.

Kan said those images flashed in his mind during the first week of the crisis, when information coming from the radiation-leaking Fukushima Dai-ichi plant was sketchy and he was told that its operator, Tokyo Electric Power Co., was considering pulling out its staff. TEPCO has since said that it never planned to withdraw from the plant.

Kan, who resigned last week amid criticism over his administration's handling of the disaster, said when he heard that cooling systems had failed at the nuclear plant soon after it was damaged by a March 11 tsunami, he understood the gravity of the situation.

"The power was totally lost and there was no cooling capacity. I knew what that meant. So I thought, 'This is going to be a disaster.'"

Kan said crisis management at the plant failed because the emergency plans included no scenario for a total power failure.

Authorities have since said that the cores of three of the six reactors melted down – much worse than they said initially – spewing about one-sixth the radiation emitted by the accident at Chernobyl.

After a series of hydrogen explosions, Kan said he heard from then-Trade Minister Banri Kaieda that TEPCO was considering pulling out staff from the nuclear plant.

Without staff to cool the overheated reactors, Kan said he knew the reactors and spent nuclear fuel stored in pools would "rapidly melt down and release massive amounts of radiation."

He said he summoned then-TEPCO President Masataka Shimizu for an explanation, but he "never told me anything clearly."

"Withdrawing from the plant was out of the question. If that had happened, Tokyo would have been deserted by now. It was a critical moment for Japan's survival. It could have been a disaster leaking dozens of times more radiation than Chernobyl," he said.

"Japan was facing the possibility of a collapse" at that time, he said in a separate interview published Wednesday by the Mainichi newspaper. "I was under an enormous sense of crisis."

As Kan grew more skeptical of TEPCO's handling of the accident, he established a joint task force with the company at its headquarters four days after the crisis began.

At about that time, the U.S. government, which had been providing assistance from the start, was becoming frustrated, Kan said.

"We were not told straight out, but it was obvious that they questioned whether we were really taking this seriously," Kan said. Japan then sent a pair of helicopters to pour water over one of the reactors in a largely unsuccessful attempt to cool it down. He said the move had a "symbolic" effect that eased some concerns.

Because of the high radiation levels, he said officials feared there would be a shortage of workers at the plant even after their maximum radiation exposure limit was raised to 250 millisieverts from 100 millisieverts. Kan said officials considered raising the limit further, but the discussion abated as the initial critical situation eased.

The Fukushima complex is about 140 miles (225 kilometers) northeast of Tokyo. The greater Tokyo area has more than 30 million people.

Some 100,000 people from around the plant have been evacuated. While the amount of radiation leaking from the plant has dropped significantly, authorities say accumulated radiation in the soil and vegetation may make it difficult for residents to return to their homes for some time, perhaps years.

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TOKYO -- Japan's former prime minister says he feared early in the March nuclear crisis that it might become many times worse than the Chernobyl disaster and threaten the nation's survival. Naoto Kan...
TOKYO -- Japan's former prime minister says he feared early in the March nuclear crisis that it might become many times worse than the Chernobyl disaster and threaten the nation's survival. Naoto Kan...
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01:31 PM on 09/08/2011
Not a single person died from the Fukushima reactor accident while thousands died in natural gas and refinery fires and dam bursts. The forever toxic pollution emitted by the refinery fire will kill thousands.

Folks in Ramsar,Iran have peak yearly doses of 260 mSv far higher than anything outside the Fukushima plant itself but have a lower incidence of cancer than average. Other studies have found the same results in folks that lived in radiation environments as high as 900 mSV per annum. The US average is under 3.

The Japanese govennment is using the ancient , unproven, junk science based linear theories for their exclusion zones, based solely on politics. The peer reviewed studies referenced above published in reputable journal shows the linear theory as the junk science it is.
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Atoms4Peace1
Applying the atom peacefully since 1978
09:50 AM on 09/08/2011
Kan's doomsday scenario never came to fruition. Even with the worst nuclear incident since Chernobyl, Japan presses on.

The reactors will come back.
06:34 AM on 09/08/2011
I have read where real nuclear specialists suggested a 20 mile off limits zone to all humans due to the high radiation poisoning that has been (And still being) released. This disaster is worse than Chernobyl. There is massive ground, food, and water contamination.The government is lying about this disaster and in a short time will encourage people to return to their homes and property as they continues to raise the "safe" levels of radiation. This is business as usual and the people do not matter.
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Atoms4Peace1
Applying the atom peacefully since 1978
09:51 AM on 09/08/2011
Their people do matter. I think they have more a handle on the situation than you give them credit. I dispute the "high radiation poisoning" which is inflammatory. Please provide levels in Sv and Sv/hr to support that claim.
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
06:24 PM on 09/08/2011
Which real nuclear specialists would that be?
How would you justify your claim that this is worse than Chernobyl?

Show your work.
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Max Headroom
Your micro-bio is empty
02:48 AM on 09/08/2011
To think that it is over is a big mistake. To think that the worst has past is a big mistake. To think that the cancers won't start piling up is a big mistake. To think that it is safe for the Japanese people to eat the local food is a big mistake. His vision of a deserted Tokyo is still a very real possibility. If his government had been telling the people the true extent of the damage already done, Tokyo already would be a ghost town.
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Atoms4Peace1
Applying the atom peacefully since 1978
09:54 AM on 09/08/2011
To think that it is what it isnt is a big mistake. To extrapolate it to some doom and gloom outcome is a big mistake. To think that Tokyo will be deserted is a big mistake. The reality is that no matter how people thought Fukushima was going to be the worst accident of all time, it never came to pass.

Its winding down. Its always been an industrial accident with localized and limited consequences.

To think that millions are going to die from this event is a mistake as well. 25% of the population will die from cancer independent of radiation. The long term stochastic (chance) effect of this event is down in the weeds.
12:08 AM on 09/08/2011
This disaster is not over.

Nuclear energy is too costly and too dangerous.

People and technology do FAIL.
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
07:04 PM on 09/08/2011
Kenz, it's pretty much over. What remains of this for the Japanese, mostly involves soap and water and a little elbow grease. This on top of the damage from the quake and tsunami gives them a tough row to hoe, but not impossible.
3 Reactors and a 50' wave? This could have been a lot worse. The containments, damaged though the were, still did their jobs.
It could all have been done better. Next time we will do better. It's called progress.
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crydespite
oh go on then
09:57 PM on 09/07/2011
"Japan Nuclear Crisis: Naoto Kan, Ex-Prime Minister, Feared For Country's Survival " unquote

so it's over, then?

clearly not as bad as his worst scenario but the use of the past tense seems a bit premature.
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omobob
left coast, usa
10:22 PM on 09/07/2011
> Some 100,000 people from around the plant have been evacuated. While the amount of radiation leaking from the plant has dropped significantly, authorities say accumulated radiation in the soil and vegetation may make it difficult for residents to return to their homes for some time, perhaps years.

You are correct. This is far from over. More lies and misdirection from the Governmnetis not what the people of Japan need to hear right now. faved. cheers