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Climate Change Could Make Chocolate A Luxury Item, Report Finds

The Huffington Post  
First Posted: 10/03/2011 9:59 pm EDT Updated: 12/03/2011 5:12 am EST

Chocolate lovers, embrace those chocoholic fixes now. A recent report from the International Center for Tropical Agriculture predicts it could become a luxury product if West Africa's temperatures rise thanks to climate change.

The world's $9 billion chocolate industry gets almost half of its cocoa from West African farmers in Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast), reports Thinkprogress.org.

According to the International Center for Tropical Agriculture, if Ghana and the Ivory Coast experience a 2.3 Celsius degree jump in temperature by 2050, the climate won't be suitably cool enough to grow the crop.

This is a problem, given these farmers financially rely on cocoa as their sole crop. "Many of these farmers use their cocoa trees like ATM machines," said CIAT's Dr. Peter Laderach, the report's lead author, in a press statement. "They pick some pods and sell them to quickly raise cash for school fees or medical expenses. The trees play an absolutely critical role in rural life."

The research, commissioned by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, used the combined results of 19 climate models to assess the impact of climate change on cocoa production.

As early as 2030, farmers will begin to see an impact on the crop, notes Scientific American.

So why not just move the crops? Treehugger.com explains that might not be so simple:

The report's findings show that the ideal conditions for cocoa-growing will shift to higher altitudes -- but most of West Africa is relatively flat, so there is not a lot of land at higher elevation to move to. Even where there is higher land, establishing new cocoa-producing areas could trigger the clearing of forests and important habitats for flora and fauna. Which means, yes, exacerbating climate change even further.

According to responsiblecocoa.com, cocoa comes from the incredibly fragile cacao tree, which is "vulnerable to pests and disease: each year, farmers can lose anywhere from 30 percent to nearly their entire cocoa crop." For instance, TIME points out Brazil used to be one of the leading cocoa suppliers in the world until a fungus wiped out the plant.

To adapt to the changes, the report calls for farmers to invest in shading to protect trees from the rising temperatures. But farmers will also have to branch out from cocoa and diversify with crops that can sustain hotter temperatures. But fair trade chocolate suppliers also take the position that switching to a high quality strategy instead of mass production of cocoa might be a better idea. Rodney North, spokesman for Equal Exchange, a provider of fair trade chocolate, told Scientific American, "You want to be growing the high-quality stuff."

This isn't the first time studies have found an export threatened by global warming. Other products reportedly affected by climate change include French wine, and Italian pasta.

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TaxpayingVoter
Support Marriage Equality
07:56 AM on 10/06/2011
Fortunately, I'm a white chocolate fan and I'm picky about which of THOSE I eat, too....lol
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MJinCanada
Safe from zombies until my 2nd cup of coffee
05:35 PM on 10/05/2011
Monoculture doesn't help either. If you have entire plantations of the same plant, diseases can spread like wildfire.
02:52 PM on 10/05/2011
it already is a luxury item. most of the candy bars and snacks sold here in the US that pass for "chocolate" have as low as 10-20% actual chocolate content. buying real chocolate costs up to 5-6x as much, if not more.
PATOISJAM
reason: strategize: succeed
11:08 AM on 10/05/2011
A small bottle of water for a $1 will cease to exist. Only the rich will be able to buy anything. Chocolate is and will be the least of poor people worries.
10:19 AM on 10/05/2011
http://www.foodreview101.com/ because people will pay anything for chocolate
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03:23 AM on 10/05/2011
Does this mean extremist Republicans and Christians will arm their rump rangers to guard the Hershey Highway when Looter Limbaugh and Evil Inhofe types look for facts on their sex tours of conserving barrenness?
04:39 AM on 10/05/2011
Que es esso?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gentlemanscumbag
Only sheep need a shepherd
11:00 PM on 10/04/2011
Now if you tell America that Global Warming could affect our cheeseburger supply, they may pay attention.
06:53 PM on 10/04/2011
Well, this is a complicated issue and the answers are not easy. Ecologically, cacao only grows in the tropics and at sea level to about 3000 ft (in some areas). What happens when (if) the tropics move? This is a long term event. With extreme weather events occurring due to climate fluctuations what's going to happen with those areas where cacao grows? Many times there already have been hurricanes that have decimated whole areas of land - is this going to be even greater in the cacao growing areas? One way to ameliorate those areas that are likely to become more like the Sahara right now is to plant more rainforest overstory, at least up to 30%. This will provide more shade, lessen the heat and provide more habitat and ecological diversity. Which is what needs to happen in any case. This instead of cutting more rainforest to produce crops for the luxury market. Sure, moving up to higher elevation will help, with most crops, including cacao. But again, this is a long term idea - not something that can be done right away. AND Then, What the heck do you do with the human population that also needs to move? ...baring any other extreme weather circumstances... ...baring political/military upheaval... Chocolate throughout history has always been a luxury good. And yes, the price is going to go up.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Daniel Zook
Just an observant Millenial.
03:58 PM on 10/04/2011
If Chocolate becomes a scarce (or at least tough) thing to find. Wouldn't chocolate at some point become a valuable resource like gold?
10:23 PM on 10/04/2011
I've read that the ancient Aztecs used cocoa pods as money. It WAS treated as gold! (IMHO much more useful than gold, but I'd personally be perennially poor from eating my money!)
12:01 AM on 10/05/2011
Caryn, actually it was the cocoa beans (read 'seeds') that were used as a form of exchange, not the cacao fruit pods. Also, the Aztecs borrowed that practice from several other Mesoamerican Indian groups, including the Mayan peoples who were using cacao beans as "money". Interestingly enough, there were several varieties of cacao (all from the Theobroma cacao species - what are called sub-forms) of which only one or two varieties were used for use in drinking chocolate among the elites and rulers. The other two or so types were used for exchange for goods and services. There were even counterfeit beans made - so yes, cacao beans were quite valuable. I utilize my 'extra' money to buy chocolate - although I consider dark chocolate and drinking chocolate to be part of my 'daily rations', so I don't really consider chocolate to be an extra expenditure :-)
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AKansasComment
Don't it make my brown eyes blue
01:09 PM on 10/04/2011
I just fainted.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Louise Aloft
no man is an island
12:58 PM on 10/04/2011
this should have read 'why chocolate is going back to being a luxury item'
12:47 PM on 10/04/2011
Well if the climate is slowly warming, can't they just move the crop further from the equator, where in the ideal temperature zone?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
chrisd3
Excelsior!
02:53 PM on 10/04/2011
That question is answered in the article. It's even highlighted in its own little box.

PS: "Just move your farm" isn't a suggestion that most farmers would take kindly to, anyway.
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MJinCanada
Safe from zombies until my 2nd cup of coffee
05:43 PM on 10/05/2011
Many people don't really *get* what farming is, I've discovered.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
06:52 AM on 10/05/2011
'just' , ha ha ha.
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Debbie338
What we manifest is before us
12:40 PM on 10/04/2011
Actually, hasn't chocolate always been a luxury item? Why shouldn't it be?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lawyerfan
02:39 PM on 10/04/2011
You obviously are not a chocoholic. For those of us who are, chocolate should no more be a luxury item than bread or milk or gasoline or breathable air or health care or ice cream cake roll.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Daniel Zook
Just an observant Millenial.
03:55 PM on 10/04/2011
Everything there is edible except gas.. XD
El Justiciero
HP mods have NO sense of humor, obviously
11:18 AM on 10/05/2011
You liberals want everything for free or on the cheap, never willing to put in the hard work for your breathable air, your clean water and your bread and butter. BTW, I'm just kidding!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
karen lyons kalmenson
i poem/paint, sometimes, i ain't
12:23 PM on 10/04/2011
the way things are going, eating is going to be a luxury item:(
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Ossit
Ossit
12:16 PM on 10/04/2011
Carob is good and tastes like chocolate perhaps someone could whip up a decent candy with that? Its evergreen trees are native to the Mediterranean. Are those trees affected?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lawyerfan
02:39 PM on 10/04/2011
GAG!
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12:17 AM on 10/05/2011
Carob tastes NOTHING like chocolate!
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Ossit
Ossit
06:12 AM on 10/05/2011
Does to me. It is a little bitter though at least to me.