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Rick Santorum Wins: Minnesota Caucus Results 2012

Posted: 02/07/12 10:18 PM ET  |  Updated: 02/26/12 02:30 PM ET

Rick Santorum Minnesota Primary Results

Rick Santorum was projected the winner of the Minnesota caucus on Tuesday night by NBC News.

ABC News projected Ron Paul to finish in second place in the North Star State. Mitt Romney was projected to come in third place, with Newt Gingrich in fourth.

Earlier in the night, Santorum was projected to come in first place in Missouri's non-binding primary contest.

The AP reports:

Returns from 25 percent of Minnesota's precincts showed Santorum with 44 percent support, Paul with 27 percent and [Mitt] Romney – who won the state in his first try for the nomination four years ago – with 17 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich trailed with 11 percent.
...
He campaigned more aggressively this week than any of the other contenders, and he spent the day hopscotching from Colorado to Minnesota to Missouri in hopes of nailing down a victory in one of the states. Touting himself as a true conservative – a slap at Gingrich – he sought to undermine Romney's electability claim at the same time by predicting the former Massachusetts governor would lose to Obama.

Romney responded by assailing Santorum as an advocate of congressional earmarks – shifting the criticism he had leveled at Gingrich when the Georgian seemed a more imposing threat.

Click here to check out HuffPost's Minnesota caucus real-time results map.

Check out the live blog below for the latest developments out of Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado.

live blog

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Rick Santorum and his campaign had a very good night Tuesday. Or, if you prefer, Mitt Romney had a very bad night. Romney's loss of the Missouri "beauty contest" primary was no big deal in the larger scheme of things. Losing Minnesota, on the other hand, was worse. And losing Colorado was a disaster.

Like a lot of people, I figured that Romney would use results in Nevada, Colorado and Michigan to bridge the gap between the early primaries and Super Tuesday. It didn't happen.

So the Santorum camp is cheered by tonight's results. But it's very possible to overstate Santorum's gains. At the end of the night, he added no delegates to his tally: All of these contests were nonbinding. So all of Santorum's achievements tonight were of the more ephemeral variety. This is not to say they aren't significant. To my mind, here's what Santorum gets out of the night.

1. A rationale to carry on in the race

Back when South Carolina was wrapping up its primary, the Santorum campaign could bear the loss by saying, "Three contests, three winners." But with a third-place finish in Florida and a fourth-place finish in Nevada, Santorum was teetering close to the edge of the map, and Newt Gingrich was renewing his call for get him to quit the race. Tonight's results prove that Gingrich's demands were premature. In fact, now it's Gingrich that doesn't look like he has a sound rationale to continue. (Gingrich, of course, is well beyond "sound rationales" by now.)

2. A new "electability" argument

Santorum can take tonight's victories and couple them with recent poll fluctuations to make an argument that he is now the candidate that can beat Barack Obama in November. It's an admittedly thin case, but you can expect him to make it. Begin with the fact that Santorum's central argument is that he can cut a starker contrast with Obama than can Romney and Gingrich for a number of reasons -- the fact that both have supported all or parts of what became "Obamacare" being the pre-eminent one.

Next, you can expect Santorum to point to the most recent Rasmussen poll, which came back with a surprising result: The survey said that Santorum was the only GOP candidate that would prevail over Obama, by a 45-to-44 margin. Romney, the poll found, would lose 47 to 43.

Now, I'd call that Rasmussen result an outlier, but that won't stop Santorum from hyping it. And he'll likely make a big deal about the Washington Post/ABC poll that suggested Romney would lose a head-to-head matchup with Obama by a 51-to-45 margin.

Why shouldn't he? The Romney campaign has positively flipped out over that result, mounting a frenzied pushback that's honestly pretty outsized for a February head-to-head poll result.

Why would you freak out over that sort of poll result? I'm guessing that it's because it undermines your electability argument at the worst possible time.

3. 'Momentum'

You know, whatever "momentum" is. Chances are, we'll be able to measure momentum in the number of news stories about Santorum that come out between now and Sunday morning. There should be quite a lot -- and it will be nice to get credit for a win the day after, rather then three weeks after it would have mattered, as was the case with Santorum's Iowa win.

The political media were prepping a "Santorum surge" narrative even before the evening began -- and that was well before anyone realized that Romney was going to lose Colorado. The double-edged sword here, of course, is that the moment the media start taking you seriously is the moment that scrutiny of your record intensifies.

4. Romney gets put in a bind.

We'll get more stories about his inability to "close the deal." We'll hear about how he badly underperformed tonight, as compared with his 2008 results. And it will be interesting to see if Romney is forced to re-engage.

In the past three weeks, Mitt's been crated up, lashed to the roof of the car and driven from stump speech to stump speech. According to the Washington Post, it's been three weeks since he's taken a question from a voter. And he's been kept away from the media as well.

There's a good reason why that is: "the more they learn about Mitt Romney, the less they like him."

So those are some nice short-term advantages for Santorum. In the long run, however, it won't matter much unless the wins add to his war chest, earn him endorsements and allow his campaign to build out its ability to compete across the nation. Mostly, Santorum needs cash, because right now, cash rules everything around Mitt Romney.

And if Santorum's Colorado win has Team Romney reaching for the panic button, remember what happens when that gets pressed: It unleashes an unholy deluge of attack ads across the full spectrum of human consciousness.

By and large, Romney held his powder in the states where tonight's competitions were held. That's going to be cited as the reason Romney faltered tonight, and so that's going to change. (Santorum could also really benefit from Gingrich dropping out; he and Newt will probably go halfsies on the non-Paul Not Romney votes in Arizona. But Newt's staying in.)

-- Jason Linkins

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Rick Santorum's statewide win in Minnesota was built upon wins at the local level. Patch has more coverage of Santorum's local wins throughout the Minneapolis-St. Paul region. The Twin Cities wins include those in Shakopee, Rosemount, Inver Grove Heights and St. Louis Park.

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@ MattOrtega : With Newt wounded after Florida, conservatives coalesce around Santorum in Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri. It really is Anybody But Mitt.

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Republican presidential candidates fought for momentum in three contests on Tuesday, in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri.

As with every competition, regardless of how they are formulated, there can be both winners and losers. HuffPost compiled a list of the biggest winners and losers from today's GOP races.

Click here to take a look and vote for the biggest in each category.

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@ thinkprogress : STATE COUNT: Santorum 4, Romney 3, Gingrich 1

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@ RickSantorum : My morning media schedule: CNN - 6:30am CST; @FoxandFriends - 7am CST; @MorningJoe - 7:10am CST #Decision2012

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@ cschweitz : To call tonight an embarrassment for @MittRomney is literally an understatement. @RickSantorum just swept the floor with Mitt as the broom.

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@ thinkprogress : ROMNEY'S NIGHT: Lost 3 battleground states, finished 3rd in Minnesota, lost every county in Missouri #rickrolled

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Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum was projected the winner of the Colorado caucus by the state's GOP chair on CNN.

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@ mikeallen : Colorado GOP tells @FoxNews @BretBaier expect full results in next 10-20 minutes ... Baier says panel will stay on air until called

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@ jonward11 : santorum has 13k votes in CO to romney's 12.4k, w 70% reporting, but El Paso County, where Romney got 7k votes in 08, has not yet reported

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@ cschweitz : At this point, it's just embarrassing for @MittRomney. He's been running since the 2008 election. How has he not lost all his self esteem?

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@ thinkprogress : With 100% of the vote in, Santorum beats Romney in every single county in Missouri. Wins state by 30 points. #rickrolled

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@ michaelpfalcone : RT @AriFleischer: My sources are now telling me Santorum will win CO...wow.

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@ michaelpfalcone : 4 years ago Romney won 45 of Minnesota's 87 counties, this year he's on track to lose all of them

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@ thinkprogress : Tally has Santorum 900 votes. But Denver Post says Santorum is up 1700+ in El Paso, not yet included http://t.co/2Y7r2H0r

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@ sppeoples : How bad was Romney's night? His press bus took out a traffic sign in the parking lot. Filling out police report now. #2012

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The AP/HuffPost reports:

Ron Paul is emphasizing his ability to collect GOP delegates as the presidential nominating contest continues.

Speaking from a campaign rally in Minnesota on Tuesday, Paul says he's pleased with his showing in recent caucus contests.

Paul settled into his stump speech, at one point giving off an excited "yeah" that BuzzFeed calls almost "a Howard Dean moment."

Click here to read more and watch a video of the "yeahhhhhh!"

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@ Philip_Elliott : Santorum aide to bartender: "Do you have champagne?" The answer? Nope. He instead takes wine up to the senator's suite. #2012

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@ DWStweets : Republicans are reluctant to get behind Romney. It's clear that the more people get to know Romney, the less they like him.

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@ Redistrict : Writing on the Red Rocks wall in CO...Santorum sweeps all 3 contests tonight.

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Apple Valley Patch's Allison Wickler reports from Minnesota:

In the state of Minnesota, as of 10:45 p.m. Tuesday, Santorum had beat the other three hopefuls with 44.79 percent of Minnesota Republican caucus votes, with 74 percent of locations reporting.

Ron Paul followed with 27.21 percent, Mitt Romney with 17.08 percent and Newt Gingrich with 10.61 percent.

Read more

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@ mpoindc : "A lot of the stuff is made up in the media," Huntsman says when asked about tension with Romney, without ever denying it.

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Hopkins Patch's James Warden's reports from an uncontested Democratic caucus in Minnesota.

Redistricting, voter ID and a proposed constitutional amendment that would ban gay marriage were both big topics of conversation at the caucuses, said Eric Margolis, the Hopkins caucus organizer.

Margolis said caucus-goers didn’t focus too much on the national issues that generated so much discussion at the Republican caucuses just across Highway 7.

"Really, people are just excited about taking back our legislative houses," he said.

Read more

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@ 2chambers : 70K votes were cast in '08 CO GOP caucuses. 2nite, fewer than 8K votes have been counted so far -- too early to read into current vote tally

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@ EmilyABC : Romney senior adviser on how campaign will handle Santorum going forward: "I think we’ll see differences in approach that’ll be explored"

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@ 2chambers : Minnesota turnout, with 77 percent reporting, is at about 40,000. Four years ago, was at 62,000.

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@ samsteinhp : CNN has a shot of the glitter thrown at Mitt Romney now resting, lonely, on the floor. -- the scene of the crime

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When Newt Gingrich gave his election night speech in Florida, he didn't acknowledge that he had lost. He also never congratulated Mitt Romney, who won that state.

Romney was more gracious in his defeat on Tuesday, congratulating Rick Santorum, who had already won Minnesota and Missouri. (The results in Colorado have not yet been announced.)

"I expect to become our nominee with your help. So I want to congratulate all of my fellow Republicans, particularly Sen. Santorum, and I look forward to the contest to come," he said.

Much of Romney's speech was devoted to memories of his father, George Romney, who was head of American Motors Corp. and governor of Michigan. While Romney often invokes the lessons of his father on the trail, he used his story in a more personal way Tuesday to talk about his vision of America:

My father never graduated from college. He apprenticed, as a lath and plaster carpenter, and he's pretty good at it. He actually could take a handful of nails, stick them in his mouth and spit them out, pointy end forward. On his honeymoon, he put aluminum paint in the truck of the car and sold it along the way to pay for the gas and the hotels.

There were a lot reasons my father could have given up or set his sights lower. But my dad believed in America. And in the America that he believed in, a lath and plaster guy could work up to become head of a car company. And a guy who had sold aluminum paint out of his car, could end up being governor in one of the states where he sold that aluminum paint.

For my dad and for hundreds of thousands, millions of others like him -- like my mom as well -- this was the land of opportunity, where the circumstance of birth was no barrier to achieving one's dreams. In dad's America, small business, entrepreneurs -- these were encouraged and respected.

The spirit of enterprise, innovation and derring-do propelled our standard of living and our economy passed every other nation on earth. I refuse to believe that America is just another place on the map with a flag. We stand for freedom and hope and opportunity.



-- Amanda Terkel

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HuffPost's Elise Foley reports:

Mitt Romney was glitter-bombed on Tuesday after a speech in Denver, Colorado, the second time in a week that someone has thrown glitter at the candidate.

Last week, the glitter-bomber was more successful: Romney joked then that he had glitter in his hair, but said it was confetti to celebrate his victory in the Florida primary.

Click here to read more.

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Rick Santorum was projected the winner of the Minnesota caucus on Tuesday night by NBC News. ABC News projected Ron Paul to finish in second place in the North Star State. Mitt Romney was projected...
Rick Santorum was projected the winner of the Minnesota caucus on Tuesday night by NBC News. ABC News projected Ron Paul to finish in second place in the North Star State. Mitt Romney was projected...
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Page: 1 2 3 4 5  Next ›  Last »  (11 total)
12:05 AM on 02/10/2012
Rick Santorum and the Catholic Church still are against birth control in 2012!
Beware the ONLY people; they cause wars.
I am a recovering Catholic. It took me years to realize it is all about $$$.
02:44 PM on 02/08/2012
Don't laught my American kith and kin a man with about the same ability and temperment got control of our country , and we have entered a long and dark period. An i don't think Canadians will understand or comprend until they shake off the shackels and that will be a very long time coming .I'm sorry to say so don't let that happen to you, treat all Republicans as giants and their backers as even bigger killer giants.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
dianhow
former Repub till W
02:41 PM on 02/08/2012
GOP   what  a freaking   mess you got yourself into .
Baggers  do not like - trust   Mitt    Gee wonder why  ?
01:30 PM on 02/08/2012
I've never actually witnessed an entire political Party implode before. Pass three popcorn Man...this it's more fun than a line dance at a Greek wedding. Who Let The Poor Out? Who Who Who Who Who Let The Poor Out? Thoughts at 3 A.M. http://thoughtsatthreeam.blogspot.com/?spref=tw
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ralph Boyd
Look, . . right behind you!
12:05 PM on 02/08/2012
"A Huge Night For Santorum"

There's no way to read that headline without laughing.
12:00 PM on 02/08/2012
Keep moving to the right. The far, far right. GOP to be in parking lane by super Tuesday.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rockysparks
there's no law against being annoying.
11:50 AM on 02/08/2012
A Santorum win is awesome!

(1) It keeps the Republican Clown Car going and the in-party bickering continuing. This exposes not only the basic mean-spiritedness at the core of the Party of No, but also means the party continues to waste financial resources as the candidates battle with each other.

(2) It creates a negative impression of Republican voters and further erodes all the bad will the party created for itself through the congressional leadership of John Boehner and Mitch McConnell.

(3) All this bickering gives Democrat candidates for Congress fodder to use against the Republicans, as the Party of No presidential candidates continue to air each other's dirty laundry.

(4) And finally --- if the remote possibility that Santorum, the most psychotic and obsessive of all Republicans, gets the nomination, it means a shoe-in victory for Obama. Santorum will NEVER be elected president, if for no other reason than he's perceived as anti-woman, who make up more than half of the American electorate.
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X-JerseyGuy
Bus.Owner/TaxPayer & a Thorn in the Right's side!
11:43 AM on 02/08/2012
I can't wait for SNL this week!
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
dianhow
former Repub till W
02:43 PM on 02/08/2012
Colbert   will slam this one
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
drhooper
Obama Common Sense 2012
10:52 AM on 02/08/2012
Uhm...Lets see who will be the front runner next week. Watch Mittens carpet bomb Santorum with negative ads....15 million or 20 million
10:39 AM on 02/08/2012
mitt,newt,rick?>>>>>i dont think so
10:35 AM on 02/08/2012
pin drop
10:34 AM on 02/08/2012
only question to ask is>>>>> who of the candidates would be reelected into their former position>>>> there is only one
10:34 AM on 02/08/2012
Watch Gingrich attack now.
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kewps
My Altered Ego
10:32 AM on 02/08/2012
Ricky looks just like a dic tator in training in that picture.
09:34 AM on 02/08/2012
Yes you have a right to worship as you chose but you do not have the right to make me worship in the manner you chose.Mr.Santorum says he will stop the war of government on religion by making his religion the government.This sounds all to familiar to the governments we are opposed to except that they are ruled by another religion.These people are dangerous and do not deserve to be given power.Teapublicans want to enact a narrow social agenda that allows us to have the freedoms that they support through their claimed divinity.God help us if they win this arguement.