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Moody's Downgrades Credit Ratings Of Italy, Portugal And Spain

02/13/12 07:36 PM ET AP

NEW YORK -- Ratings agency Moody's Investor Service on Monday downgraded its credit ratings on Italy, Portugal and Spain, while France, Britain and Austria kept their top ratings but had their outlooks dropped to "negative" from "stable."

Moody's also cut its ratings on the smaller nations of Slovakia, Slovenia and Malta. All nine countries are members of the European Union.

The agency said it took the actions due to the uncertainty over EU financial reforms, the region's weak economic outlook and the resulting pressure on fragile markets. Government debt ratings can play a major role in countries' borrowing costs because they often lead to higher interest rates that must be paid to offset investors taking on greater risk.

Moody's moves were less severe than those taken last month by rival ratings agency Standard & Poor's, which downgraded nine European countries, including stripping France and Austria of their AAA status. Fitch ratings downgraded Italy, Spain, Belgium, Cyprus and Slovenia last month.

"The limited magnitude of our rating adjustments reflects the gradual progress that European policymakers have made in agreeing to and implementing reforms, and their demonstrated commitment and desire to resolve the underlying fundamental macroeconomic and fiscal imbalances," Moody's said in a statement.

Italy's rating was dropped to A3 from A2, which keeps it at investment grade under Moody's system. Spain fell to A3 from A1. Portugal was cut further into "junk" status, dropping to Ba3 from Ba2.

Slovakia and Slovenia were lowered to A2 from A1, while Malta dipped to A3 from A2.

"All of these ratings remain on negative outlook given the continued uncertainty regarding financing conditions over the next few quarters and its corresponding impact on creditworthiness," Moody's said. A negative outlook means Moody's sees at least a 40 percent chance that it could downgrade a country's rating over the next 18 months.

While Moody's lowered its outlook on France, Britain and Austria, it maintained those countries' Aaa ratings. It also maintained its Aaa rating on the eurozone's bailout fund, known as the European Financial Stability Facility.

Despite the downgrades, Moody's sounded a relatively optimistic note. It said it expects European policy makers to move ahead with economic reforms and does not foresee any government losses on bailout loans. Its Aaa ratings on Germany, the Netherlands and Finland are not expected to come under pressure, it said.

"We continue to believe that the euro area as a whole possesses considerable economic and financial strength, with its creditworthiness constrained by its institutions and by a legacy of fiscal imbalances rather than by its access to resources," Moody's said.

The agency warned, however, that there still could be more downgrades. It cited the possibility of "extreme downside scenarios" coming to fruition, policymakers backing off their reforms, or the region being hit by further significant economic or market downturns.

The ratings actions are only the latest to hit Europe, which has been struggling to contain a debt crisis.

S&P and Fitch downgraded their ratings on a host of Spanish banks Monday. That followed S&P's downgrade of 34 Italian banks on Friday.

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Erikhuffpost
Anything can happen within the next 5 minutes
02:47 PM on 02/14/2012
"Its Aaa ratings on Germany, the Netherlands and Finland are not expected to come under pressure, it said."

Austerity in the Netherlands:

-the Dutch have a collective 6,3 billion euro of debt at collecting agencies
-government cuts to education will make approx. 2,000 schoolteachers lose their job
-Dutch mortgage debt is now 128% of GDP at 662 billion euro
-10.5% of the population now lives beneath the poverty line relying on food relief
-emergence of the working poor
-sales of antidepressants have gone up
-rates of dentists have gone up

etc.

We're doing okidoki, Moody's. Let's bring out the booze and have a ball. Keep up the good work.

Woohahahahahahaha (sarcastic laughter from the Netherlands)
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
demilieu
Texas liberal...with reservations
02:20 PM on 02/14/2012
Italians - with another reason to skip going to work.
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08:39 AM on 02/14/2012
They say that ‘patriotism is the last refuge of the scoundrel’ (S Johnson).
However, now we can resort to listening to Moody’s and other such raters.
07:35 AM on 02/14/2012
Moody's is right to continue this so long as the euro system remains one where only banks have the right to obtain cheap money directly from the ECB. This system is fundamentally unjust as well as fatally flawed and Greece has been a victim of this system.
Michael II
Neither the one, nor the only
06:47 AM on 02/14/2012
Didn't Italy just raise a few billion on the markets at lower rates than in November?
07:38 AM on 02/14/2012
I think that was a manifestation of the ECB's perverse idea of serving as a "lender of last resort". They declared that member states must always raise money on the secondary market (and thus be in danger of being attacked), whilst the for profit banks get free euros straight from the ECB, they decided to give to the banks many billions of euros so that they could possibly buy the bonds from some of these countries.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
HellBank
Curve: The loveliest distance between two points.
06:36 AM on 02/14/2012
I know, let's let the banksters enslave whole nations now with their credit scoring.
05:00 AM on 02/14/2012
lehman brothers, one week prior to fail, had AAA. is not right that the agencies that refer to U.S. investment banks, to judge the economies of other countries, when those same bankers speculate on these economies
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vicla1942
04:58 AM on 02/14/2012
Europe is in worst shape then America.Hopefully they can ban together and enact
meaningful reforms.
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06:56 AM on 02/14/2012
The only problem is while they're united under a single currency, they still hang on tightly to their nation sovereignty. That's why there's so much turbulence and the reason why the Germans are being so overbearing. It was the German insistence on controlling inflation that was the stumbling block every nation wanting to get into the EU had to accept. Once they shored up their economies, access was granted. The only trick was they were suppose to all keep an eye on their own national economies to keep inflation low. Unfortunately, access to the EU meant national interest rate for money dropped from approximately 12% down to 4% and everyone of the PIIGS acted like kids in a candy store without any adult nearby to supervise them. It's time to pay the piper and they refuse to accept their responsibility for the actions.
04:34 AM on 02/14/2012
Moody's should downgrade the USA with the amount of debt we're racking up. Oh and more to come since Oh-Bomb-ya, the Great Detainer, is already going to ask for another debt ceiling rise only 1 year after the last one.
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07:02 AM on 02/14/2012
Unfortunately, the deficit is so high because of both of Bu$h's tax cuts and both wars - Iraq and Afgan - were floated as T-bills instead of raising taxes by the GOP Congress from 2001 to 2006. And those T-bill costs the taxpayer both principle and interest ... that's more than what a simple tax increase would have cost. The cost of the wars is money down a rat hole, but repealing those Bu$h tax cuts would bring the deficit back to zero within 4 years.
02:12 PM on 02/14/2012
and you still blame GWbush.

One thing you're choosing to ignore: what GWBush did is done, now we have to deal with it. what GWBush did in wasteful spending doesn't actually excuse more debt spending on top of it. do you get it now?
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Sabrae
Talk to the paws.
02:42 AM on 02/14/2012
At what point did Moody and Standard and Poor hold so much sway?

I say we all get a little crown and scepter and declare ourselves an authority like they did.
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07:07 AM on 02/14/2012
It matters to those who lend money by purchasing sovereign bonds on the open markets. PIMCO Global is the leader of the pack and they have the ability to make or break a nation simply by deciding whether or not a nation is capable of servicing their sovereign bond issues.
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YeahIThoughtSo
We're all in this together.....
02:23 AM on 02/14/2012
Yeah, Moody's, whatever...
01:16 AM on 02/14/2012
These ratings come after the market has already observed and priced them in.
Like the weather man telling you there is a blizzard going on when there is already ten inches of snow on your driveway.
01:12 AM on 02/14/2012
Th credit rating agencies are a bad joke. They are directly connected to making a profit from the financial systems it rates.
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06:37 AM on 02/16/2012
Right on, mate. And can we downgrade Moodys and S&P, please? I believe their performance just before the crash should have classified them as junk. Which they are.
01:09 AM on 02/14/2012
Next: Apple buys Greece, Google buys Portugal.
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Patrap
NOLA resident
12:35 AM on 02/14/2012
All this has been predicted as the March 2-9th event nears.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki6afaXjAoo