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Mars Mission Cuts In NASA Budget Have Space Scientists Seeing Red

SETH BORENSTEIN and ALICIA CHANG   02/27/12 03:25 PM ET  AP

In this photo taken on Wednesday, Feb. 22, 2012, NASA administrators and workers examine a replica of the Mars Science Laboratory rover at NASA' Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif.

WASHINGTON — NASA said Monday it's not giving up on Mars, but it'll have to get there later and at a lower price.

Earlier this month, the president's budget canceled joint U.S.-European robotic missions to Mars in 2016 and 2018. Now top science officials say they are scrambling to come up with a plan by the end of the summer for a cut-rate journey to the red planet in 2018.

NASA sciences chief John Grunsfeld said he thinks there's a better than even chance that NASA will not miss the 2018 opportunity. That's when Mars passes closest to Earth, something that only happens once every 15 years. It offers a chance at fuel cost-savings and the ability to send up more equipment.

Agency officials who met with upset scientists on Monday seemed intent on salvaging a program that took some of the deepest science spending hits in the president's budget. Until this month, NASA had been ramping up its Martian ambitions.

Meanwhile, this summer, the most high-tech rover ever, Curiosity, will land near the Martian equator in search of the chemical building blocks of life. The more scientists study Mars, the closer they get to answering whether microbial life once existed there, a clue to the ultimate question: Are we alone?

Two years ago, President Barack Obama stood at Kennedy Space Center and said it was more of a priority than going to the moon. He wanted astronauts there by the mid-2030s.

But the two upcoming missions were then canceled along with the most ambitious Mars flight yet – one the National Academy of Sciences endorsed as the No. 1 solar system priority. That was a plan to grab Martian rocks and soil and bring them back to Earth. Now that's "not an option" given the current budget, Grunsfeld said.

Mars researcher Steve Squyres of Cornell University, who headed the national academy panel said if NASA couldn't make progress on a Mars sample return, the space agency should think about moving on to the next priorities, such as visiting Jupiter's moon Europa.

"We're really at a crossroads," NASA planetary sciences chief Jim Green said.

NASA said it doesn't quite know what a reconfigured 2018 mission would look like, but it would be cost-capped at $700 million and it won't be landing. If it's lucky, it may orbit Mars.

After Curiosity lands in August, the next NASA Mars surface mission is probably close to a decade away, Grunsfeld said.

To scientists, the message from the White House seems simple: Bye-bye, Mars.

If Obama's budget sails through as outlined, "in essence, it is the end of the Mars program," said Phil Christensen, a Mars researcher at Arizona State University. It's like "we've just flown Apollo 10 and now we're going to cancel the Apollo program when we're one step from landing," he said.

Stanford University professor Scott Hubbard, who used to run NASA's Mars programs, said Mars researchers at the Monday meeting "were just sitting there sort of stunned and depressed."

It's not that NASA officials don't think Mars is worth exploring further; it's just that they don't think they can afford it anymore. Obama has proposed cutting 10 other federal agency budgets this year including Defense, Homeland Security and Education. NASA's 0.3 percent budget cut was among the smallest. In fact, the $28.3 billion cuts to the Defense Department dwarf NASA's entire $17.7 spending plan for 2013.

"We're trying to identify a way to (explore Mars) in these very difficult fiscal times," NASA Administrator Charles Bolden said last week at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., the epicenter of Mars research.

Researchers are partly to blame because they promise to do a mission cheaply and when they get approval, costs soar, said Alan Stern, a former NASA sciences chief. He called it "committing suicide in slow motion" and said it's been happening in the Mars program since 2006. An even more over-budget space telescope forced more cuts to NASA science.

The Curiosity mission costs $2.5 billion – almost $1 billion over budget.

Many scientists believe the life question can only be answered by examining Martian samples back on Earth and that astronauts should not set foot on Mars before that happens. Stern said: "We are probably back to being 15 to 20 years from a Mars sample return."

If NASA ignores Mars for a decade, it runs the risk of a brain drain, said Ed Weiler, who resigned last year as NASA's sciences chief because of budget battles over Mars.

"Landing on Mars is a uniquely American talent and there aren't too many things that are uniquely American," Weiler said.

In 19 tries, Russia has had little to no success when it comes to Mars. The European Space Agency currently has a spacecraft circling the planet but its lander crashed. NASA has had six Martian failures during its 20 tries.

The Europeans are talking to the Russians and Chinese to replace the U.S. in the upcoming missions.

Earthlings have been captivated by Mars since the 1900s when amateur astronomer Percival Lowell saw what looked like canals. The life question was tackled by the twin Viking spacecraft, which landed in 1976. Their rudimentary experiments failed to turn up signs of life and NASA lost interest.

After a 1992 return attempt failed, NASA came up with a blueprint for Mars: Each mission followed up on discoveries found in the previous flight, and all focused on water, a key element for life.

"It's become a more interesting planet every time we go back there," said Wesley Huntress, who spearheaded the new Mars program and went on to run NASA's sciences division.

___

Online:

NASA's Mars program: http://mars.jpl.nasa.gov/

___

Alicia Chang reported from Pasadena, Calif. Follow her at . http://twitter.com/SciWriAlicia

Follow Seth Borenstein at http://twitter.com/borenbears

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
07:00 PM on 02/28/2012
USA is blowing its resouces on permanent war and tax cuts for the rich. So we can't afford to feed or educate our children these days, for pete's sake. And go to Mars too? No way. It's time scientists realize that they and the rest of the 99 percent have been consigned permanently to the bottom of the food chain. Either that or overthrow the plutocrats, but we all know that won't be happening ever.
01:27 AM on 02/29/2012
You really think the top 1% couldn't pay for the education of your kids AND NASA at the same time?

I think you really underestimate the financial means of the top 1%.

:-)
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
02:12 PM on 02/29/2012
Your comment belies your moniker. I suggest getting a new one.
02:12 AM on 02/28/2012
i rather only american JPL / NASA have own spacecrafts can going to mars,
no no need depend on ussr russia,
yes forget it about ussr russia,
JPL / NASA can make it spacecrafts and sending outer space / planets,
dont worry about budget / currency,
thinking about positively and be happy to see the real mars
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
06:57 AM on 02/28/2012
You did see `Curiousity' leave for Mars on a US Atlas-IV?
Russians are just being paid to put spam in and out of cans.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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10:29 PM on 02/27/2012
I agree that NASA cost overruns are a problem.

However, if we just abandon our expertise in Mars robotic landings...that will be a national disgrace. It's simply unacceptable. Hard blow to self-esteem, and a utterly stupid way to pinch pennies.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
06:59 AM on 02/28/2012
If the Curiosity rover makes it safely to Mars, it will be a few more years before it's clear what the next important thing to do on Mars in. Studying a sample-return mission can quietly proceed, but signing up for partnership in the ESA ExoMars mission is probably premature.
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Mister Grumpy
An Angry American
08:37 PM on 02/27/2012
Seems the choices have been made by the bureaucrats. They would rather fight wars in foreign lands than spend the money to advance technology.
06:25 PM on 02/27/2012
Sorry, folks, you can't have tax breaks for everyone (especially the rich), the most expensive wars in history AND a functioning space program that gets you to the stars.

When Kennedy got you to the Moon, the marginal tax rate on billionaires was 90%. That's how that worked.
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oneeasyrider
E=mc2: From light you exist
02:42 AM on 02/28/2012
Well stated...that's the bottom line.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Gcock10
Que sera, sera
04:49 PM on 02/27/2012
SEND PRESIDENT NEWT TO MARS
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
07:00 AM on 02/28/2012
He's already higher than that.
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Joseph Veverka
03:58 PM on 02/27/2012
NASA should have invested more time and money into propulsion systems because, their love of slow rockets has doomed them into irrelevancy. Did we really think this rocketry thing is going to get a manned mission passed the moon? Have a better chance with the Virgin Space program.
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Jarrod Putnam
And so long as men die, liberty will never perish
06:02 PM on 02/27/2012
There is only so much to do in that regard. Nuclear fusion is realistically the next step when it comes to space propulsion(That is unless we make an absurd breakthrough with anti-matter, fingers crossed XD), and im not sure where NASA lays when it comes to research in that area...But liquid fueled rockets could TECHNICALLY be used in a better manner if we had a space station staging system of sorts. So then most of the fuel wouldn't be used to simply get off the rock, but purely for space travel.
06:39 PM on 02/27/2012
That's not accurate, I'm afraid.

Clearly there is a need for R&D in something other than chemical rocketry, as humankind is not going anywhere so long as we rely on that old fashion rockets.

There are many other technologies that can provide propulsion in space, technologies which NASA really has chosen NOT to invest in as seriously as it should. (Could that be due to the unhealthy relationship between NASA administrators and engineers, and the corporate contractors who provide outdated rocket technologies?) There are electrostatic ion thrusters, electromagnetic thrusters, other schemes for electric propulsion, nuclear electric rockets, colloid thrusters, magnetoplasmadynamic thrusters, electrodeless plasma thrusters, field emission electronic propulsion, etc.

Some or all of those methods *might* prove ill-suited to launching things from Earth, but once in space they'd prove more powerful and efficient than chemical rocket. We'll never know will we invest as much in developing those as we spend relying on chemical rocket technology from the 1940s.

I assume that you do not really mean nuclear fusion as a means of propulsion and are perhaps referring to one of the other forms of nuclear propulsion (none of which involve fusion).
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Joseph Veverka
07:38 PM on 02/27/2012
We tried a space station and for some reason Nasa refused to use it, as the next commenter suggest they had too much invested in rocket infrastructure. The problem with alternate fuels use in space is some where the space ships will have to land and then will need to overcome a plants gravity. In short the whole space program could be set back for decades to come. Perhaps the man that could have designed a new propulsion system is black and sitting in a cell some where. We sure have waste other resources.
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cre8iveman
08:55 PM on 02/27/2012
NASA has done just that. A number of Ion propulsion drives have been flown in space.
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Joseph Veverka
09:44 PM on 02/27/2012
Try landing and takeoff with an ion drive.If you venture to anther planet you can never land unless you don't ever want to leave.
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Joseph Veverka
03:49 PM on 02/27/2012
Nasa budget cut weren't deep enough, I see six men standing around watching one man work?
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cre8iveman
09:00 PM on 02/27/2012
Yeah right, and the machine in front of them was built by one man. This is a science site. Use your brain.
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rwsmetros
12:39 AM on 02/28/2012
Joe Joe Joe what the heck is your agenda just writing to see yourself write? Using only one propulshion system, Black men in cells, six men doing what? I don't get it. Whoa wait a minute, the moon just came out.
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Joseph Veverka
04:27 PM on 02/28/2012
Lets try to connect some dots. Is it true that there are geniuses in jail i don't know that for sure. Is the main goal of our society to protect and promote every child in the country, absolutely not. Are there people with skills and the brains that don't fit the standard model and fall through the cracks and never allow to contribute to society, absolutely. Could a geniuses be kill__ed on the way to school by a drive by shooter, absolutely. Can anyone be framed for a crime they did not commit, absolutely. Is the cure for cancer, drug addiction, and space propulsion completed, absolutely not. If we don't care about every child or, care about every citizen finding a useful purpose or, care about people with the skills and talent to find new methods to create a better world then all the geniuses might as well be sitting in a cell. I don't write to write, I write because I am angry and ashamed of the world we are forced to in.
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Tomaniac
Science keeps us from lying to ourselves
02:57 PM on 02/27/2012
Is there any chance that private space enterprise can pick up the slack? To me the best way to make space exploration viable is to make it a "for profit" business, so that's where the focus should be.

Space based energy and mining are two businesses that come to mind. I don't believe space tourism is going to be profitable for private investors for a long time, but the moon has vast resources like helium 3 and solar installations make more sense in space if we can develop a good way to safely beam the energy back to Earths surface.

To me it makes more sense in the short term to support the kinds of projects with tax dollars that result in reducing our demand on the ever shrinking availability of fossil fuels. Mars is going to be around for a long time, but if we don't start fixing some of our energy problems, we may not be.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
03:34 PM on 02/27/2012
None of that makes sense. Unless something that you want that costs over $1m per pound is sitting on the surface of the Moon, or over $10m per pound is sitting on the surface of Mars.
Helium-3 is bunk and solar installations in space are only a few times more efficient than on the ground, but cost $1-10 per pound to install on the ground and ~$10,000 per pound to install in space.

Launch providers could maybe sponsor Mars science missions, but a $3bn publicity effort is difficult to justify to shareholders.
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Tomaniac
Science keeps us from lying to ourselves
06:03 PM on 02/27/2012
I guess I envision space based industrialization utilizing raw materials from asteroids or the moon with orbiting and or moon based factories with only the basic components needed to get started being built and launched from the earth. Once space based manufacturing got established, earth bound products could be made and sent to the surface of the earth in container ships that would be made out of re-usable components specifically designed for a zero waste model so that cargo ends up being a one-way, space to earth, zero earth energy proposition with humans, robots and any supplies that can't be provided for from asteroids or the moon being the only things launched from the earth.

Who knows, I probably won't be around to see any of it happen anyway. I watched the lunar landing when I was an eighth grader and thought we would be a lot further along in our quest for space.
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General Washington
In the future, I return as Geddy Lee
03:18 AM on 02/28/2012
Getting resources from the Moon wouldn't cost $1 million per pound.

Despite the fact that I'm not sanguine about returning to the Moon for any reason (Titanium? Really??), you're ignoring the process of building upon an initial beachhead with in-situ resources, and then delivering materials back to the Earth from a shallower gravity well.

As to solar installations, a few times more efficient would be approaching (actually, overtaking) 100%, rather than the 35% maximum possible on the surface.

And, again, we could develop the infrastructure necessary to utilize resources from the Near Earth environment, rather than lifting every single nut and bolt from the surface.

Or is that too akin to men going to the Moon, circa 1960?
04:40 PM on 02/27/2012
Space is a for profit business... all the profits are being made by getting the government to send you large amounts of tax payer dollars.
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General Washington
In the future, I return as Geddy Lee
02:36 PM on 02/27/2012
Well, here we are again.

Like fusion (which for the past 50 years has been "50 years away") a Mars mission remains 30 years away, 30 years after it should already have been accomplished.

And people wonder why we can't get our students interested in math, science and engineering...
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
03:35 PM on 02/27/2012
People will never go beyond Mars, and there is no reason for them to ever go to Mars.
The rovers already there have got a great number of students interested in STEM already.
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General Washington
In the future, I return as Geddy Lee
02:28 AM on 02/28/2012
Ah, so that explains why the number of science and engineering degrees awarded over the last decade has been flat... especially as compared with the period centered on the Apollo program.

You have every right to your opinions, regardless of how narrow - and potentially disastrous - they might be.

And, by the way, drop the Science, Technology, Engineering and Math acronym.

That's the first sign that your promoting a very bad idea promulgated by individuals who have interests at odds with what is best for the Republic, or it's future.
04:39 PM on 02/27/2012
Your students are not interested in math, science and engineering because they are HARD and not as much fun as video games.
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General Washington
In the future, I return as Geddy Lee
02:32 AM on 02/28/2012
Know what I'm doing right now?

Ever seen that hand motion, where someone flaps their fingers down together, while bringing the thumb upwards, to signify flapping of the jaws but saying nothing?

Yeah, that's what I'm doing...

When you can do more than read off the cue cards of popular opinion, and generate some self-thought on the subject, you let us know!
01:16 PM on 02/27/2012
Wow... that's a lot of whining about a president who has given NASA its largest budgets since... 1994!
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General Washington
In the future, I return as Geddy Lee
02:33 PM on 02/27/2012
Do you ever fact-check yourself before you comment?

NASA's budget has been steadily declining to its smallest share of the total Federal Budget ever since Obama's first budget was submitted.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NASA_Budget#Annual_budget.2C_1958-2012

And the actual dollar amounts, while higher under Obama's two submitted budget years (2010 and 2011), included the finishing touches on the ISS (including Shuttle launches) and winding down the Constellation program, not science missions.
04:36 PM on 02/27/2012
The total size of the federal budget doesn't matter. The absolute amount of money matters.

The total size of the budget merely means that we have been borrowing ever more for things like "wars".

Sorry... fail in math.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
03:39 PM on 02/27/2012
That's largely down to the Curiosity and Webb overruns, and the foolish and entirely wasted expenditure on Constellation and now SLS. Add the election year belt-tightening message, and here we are.

The White House would benefit from a clear rational science-based NASA policy, but I guess there is other stuff higher up in the in-tray.
04:38 PM on 02/27/2012
I agree... NASA is forced to a stop and go mode by Congress.

But, as you can see... they were getting more than before and they are still getting more than before. Just what I said.

The White House has a clear, rational science based policy. It's Congress which orders foolish things like the mother of all rockets, which basically kill science.