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James Hansen TED Talk: 'Why I Must Speak Out About Climate Change' (VIDEO)

Posted: 03/ 7/2012 1:54 pm

Climate scientist Dr. James Hansen, began a recent TED talk with two important questions.

He asks, "What do I know that would cause me -- a reticent, midwestern scientist -- to get myself arrested in front of the White House protesting? And what would you do if you knew what I know?"

Hansen explains that his work as a climate scientist dates back to 1981 and a paper he co-authored on global warming. He and his colleagues found that "observed warming of 0.4 C in the prior century was consistent with the greenhouse effect of increasing CO2." He says that they also found, "that Earth would likely warm in the 1980s, and warming would exceed the noise level of random weather by the end of the century."

(Watch his entire TED talk, titled "Why I must speak out about climate change," in the video above.)

Most strikingly, Hansen says, the paper predicted that the 21st century "would see shifting climate zones, creation of drought-prone regions in North America and Asia, erosion of ice sheets, rising sea levels and opening of the fabled Northwest Passage."

Noting that "most of the things mentioned in our 1981 paper were facts," Hansen moves to the present and makes a case for working to decrease atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations.

Hansen shows pictures of his young grandchildren and argues that "It would be immoral to leave these young people with a climate system spiraling out of control."

Hansen, the director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City and Adjunct Professor of Earth Sciences at Columbia University’s Earth Institute, has been outspoken on environmental issues. He was arrested last year during a protest at the White House against the Keystone XL pipeline -- the incident he mentions at the beginning of his TED talk.

Blogging for The Huffington Post last June, he urged the scientific community to step up and help "control the tar sands monster."

"The tar sands pipeline project does not serve the national interest," he wrote, "because it will result in large adverse impacts, on the public and wildlife, by contributing substantially to climate change."

While the Keystone XL pipeline was shelved in January, Hansen's message remains relevant. Polls show that the number of Americans who believe in climate change is rising, as interest groups are making concerted efforts to negatively impact public opinion and school curricula.

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Climate scientist Dr. James Hansen, began a recent TED talk with two important questions. He asks, "What do I know that would cause me -- a reticent, midwestern scientist -- to get myself arrested...
Climate scientist Dr. James Hansen, began a recent TED talk with two important questions. He asks, "What do I know that would cause me -- a reticent, midwestern scientist -- to get myself arrested...
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03:18 PM on 10/03/2012
It never fails. Every time someone comes out with a warning about global warming, the ostriches start sticking their heads in the ground. Let me ask this: what WOULD convince you that global warming is caused by humans and is a very real threat to the future of life on this planet? How many deaths? How much land rendered uninhabitable? Yeah, I know...let's just stick it to our poor kids...they'll find out a solution, right?
03:09 PM on 10/03/2012
he more I watch these, and the more I think about the future. I see why so many at the top decry global climate change. It is inevitable that one day, we will have to change from oil to renewable resources. What exactly will happen when that takes place? 4 of the top 10 most valuable companies are companies. Imagine how much the global economy would be effected if all of a sudden, those 4 companies, plus the many many others, that aren't worth near as much, yet employ millions of people. From the oil worker to the gas station attendant, to the CEO, to the lobbyist in DC. If we actually tried to find renewable energy, who would stand to lose the most? It would cause a global economic collapse. Think of that, next time you think of a welfare state, and the government upholding companies, or corporatism, their refusal to save our planet, can only be a side effect of them trying to keep this inevitability from taking place. Terror attacks, middle eastern conflicts, aids, all will mean nothing when our planet is inhabitable. So who will be the voice of reason? Certainly not the two leading candidates..
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07:21 PM on 03/24/2012
The 2x price gap between power plant coal costs and solar electricity has been closing at ~17% per year.

New technology will also hasten the closure. E.g.,

"The secret to Twin Creeks’ new solar cells is thinness.

Most crystalline solar panels use sheets of silicon that are around 200 micons thick".

"The process of cutting the silicon down to 200 microns results in massive waste. But Twin Creeks uses a hydrogen ion particle accelerator to create silicon solar wafers that measure a mere 20 microns thick, and are at least as efficient at turning sun rays into electricity as their 200-micron counterparts. The innovative production process creates almost no waste, and cuts the cost of solar cell production from about

80 cents per watt down to 40 cents per watt."

80 down to 40 cents means 2x becomes grid parity.

Imagine that !

http://tinyurl.com/6rj74b8

And for vehicles, the holy grail comes into focus.

"We report a novel catalyst that uses CO2 and hydrogen to store energy in formic acid. Using a homogeneous iridium catalyst with a proton-responsive ligand, we show the first reversible and recyclable hydrogen storage system that operates under mild conditions using CO2, formate and formic acid. This system is energy-efficient and green because it operates near ambient conditions, uses water as a solvent, produces high-pressure CO-free hydrogen, and uses pH to control hydrogen production or consumption."

http://tinyurl.com/7amkxsr
02:12 AM on 03/23/2012
From the Weather Channel on this latest extremely early heatwave:

"First, consider the sheer number of daily record highs either tied or broken over the past two weeks. The counts below are courtesy of the National Climatic Data Center. If you pull out your calculator and add the numbers up from March 9 to March 19, the total exceeds 4,300!! This speaks to the widespread nature and longevity of this warm spell. The records from March 20 to March 21 have not been fully compiled at this time and will be added when they become available.

Day # of Records
Fri. Mar. 9 101
Sat. Mar. 10 105
Sun. Mar. 11 189
Mon. Mar. 12 138
Tue. Mar. 13 218
Wed. Mar. 14 457
Thu. Mar. 15 593
Fri. Mar. 16 631
Sat. Mar. 17 735
Sun. Mar. 18 747
Mon. Mar. 19 435

In a typical March, particularly in the nation's northern tier, you may see, perhaps, one or perhaps two days of record warmth before a sharp cold front brings that spring tease to a screeching halt. Not so in March 2012."

For more, see: http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/perspective-march-record-warmth_2012-03-22
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06:32 PM on 03/15/2012
And for those of you either envying or incessantly smearing James Hansen, here's another source of his "outside income."

"TOKYO, Japan, June 20, 2010 (ENS) - Two prominent climate scientists - one from Great Britain and one from the United States - have been are the winners of the 2010 Blue Planet Prize, an international environmental award which is considered to be Japan's equivalent of the Nobel Prize.

Dr. Robert Watson, chief scientific adviser of the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, and chair of environmental science and science director at Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, the University of East Anglia, was named as one awardee in a ceremony in Tokyo on Thursday.

Dr. James Hansen, director at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, where he has worked since 1967, and adjunct professor in the Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences at Columbia University, was named as the other awardee.

Each recipient is presented with a certificate of merit, a commemorative trophy and an award of 50 million yen (US$550,600 or 372,000 pounds). "

http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/jun2010/2010-06-20-01.html
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alteredstory
Hold on to the center
10:58 AM on 03/21/2012
I'm not sure about this award in particular, but these prizes usually specify that the money is for them to be able to fund further research - it's not usually just a straight cash prize.
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04:10 PM on 03/21/2012
There's some fraudulent story aired among all the other despicable denier canards that Hansen is somehow profiting financially from global warming. I'm simply pointing out that Hansen's won a lot of well-deserved science prizes, some of them partly monetary.

Though of course, I don't sit on those committees, I also suspect he's been a Nobel candidate for several years.
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08:46 PM on 03/13/2012
The sky is falling the sky is falling!!!!! Clearly us the human beings are so great that we control climate shifts that happen on this planet now, before we were here or after we are long gone. Sorry do we affect it to some degree? Yes but we do not control the earth, really certain people need to get over themselves in thinking climate change or global warming is such a threat that the way they see it the world is near end. Sorry, but I fully believe if that were the case the earth would correct itself, but hey we have science (I love science really really I do) so obviously we must be able to control everything.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
10:52 PM on 03/13/2012
Climate scientists do not claim that we control the earth's climate.

Climate scientists do not claim that global waming will cause the world to end either.

HTH.
01:29 PM on 03/14/2012
How much does the fossil fuel groups pay you to post this drivel?
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
01:42 PM on 03/13/2012
Conservative Climate Scientist Dr. Barry Bickmore:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I’ve recently been involved with other scientists and scholars in Utah trying to stop the spread of outright lies, half-truths, abuses of data, and distortions about climate change.  Much of this disinformation is coming from (or through) some Republican members of the Utah Legislature...

I'm a Republican myself, and it galls me that my own party has locally fallen for a bunch of conspiracy theories and scientifically incompetent trash. In my opinion, something has to be done to save the party from disaster in the long run....

Democracy depends on accurate information being readily available to the public, and I see people who propagate such disinformation campaigns as enemies of Democracy.

http://bbickmore.wordpress.com/about-this-blog/
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01:31 PM on 03/13/2012
“Climate change has the prospect of affecting Iwi and Māori to potentially the same extent as colonization, and in disturbingly similar ways.”

http://www.iwichairs.maori.nz/Kaupapa/Climate/Climate.pdf

Maori Party Deal to Benefit all New Zealand’s role in global warming and its financial commitments are set to be lowered as a result of the afforestation provision the Maori Party has negotiated with the Government.

http://www.globalwarmingnewsblog.com/4943/maori-party-deal-to-benefit...

Office of the Convenor, Ministerial Group on Climate Change
Chair, Cabinet Policy Committee
CLIMATE CHANGE-DIALOGUE WITH MÄORI: REPORT BACK ON ISSUES ARISING FROM
THE INITIAL DIALOGUE PHASE

http://www.mfe.govt.nz/issues/climate/resources/cabinet-papers/pol-01...

New Zealand's Maori Party on Global Warming and Environmental Issues:

“The Maori Party agrees that most global warming over the last 150 years is attributable to human activity. “The time to debate climate change is over,” said Tariana Turia, Environment Spokesperson for the Maori Party, in a policy statement. “The effects of global climate
change are being felt on the ground.”

“The Maori Party remains supportive of a carbon tax regime to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.”

http://glassbooth.org/explore/index/maori-party/35/environment-and-en...
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05:31 AM on 03/13/2012
So. Dr Hansen had been released from custody?

Has NASA released his required and FOIA requested personal financial disclosures yet?

Or is NASA still stonewalling about his user USA Taxpayer funding for personal gain?

Que mendacious adhomenum attacks on me from the usual Rommulans such as Pepsicola and Teaspoon (aka Half Pint) and smallstuff.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
12:20 PM on 03/13/2012
Heartland Institute "Expert" Hides the Global Warming Incline

Orkneygal: "Dr Hansen had been released from custody?"

As you Orkneygal are surely well aware, Dr. Hansen was only detained for a few hours after being arrested for protesting the Keystone pipeline. Nice smear attempt though.

Dear Orkneygal,

Isn't Heartland Institute Global Warming "Expert" Dr. Robert M "Bob" Carter committing facto global warming fraud by misrepresenting increasing global temperature trend lines as flat?* 

Isn't that like a climate science scam, a global warming hoax?

If you disagree please provide a scientifically-valid explanation for Bob Carter's gross misrepresentation of scientific data.

Bob Carter is a leader of and/or major contributo­r to several of the most prominent organizati­ons that are "skeptical­­" of man-made global warming, including:

* The Heartland Institute
* The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF)
* The Science & Public Policy Institute (SPPI)
* The Science & Environmen­tal Policy Project (SEPP)
* The Nongovernm­ental Internatio­nal Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC)
* The Internatio­nal Climate Science Coalition (ICSC)

Also:

You Orkneygal have indicated that you live in New Zealand - what relationship do you have with Bob Carter's global warming "skeptic" organization the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition (NZCSC)?

Please finally answer these questions instead of continuing to run away from them - thank you.

[ Que: Orkneygal's continued running away from addressing Bob Carter's de facto global warming fraud and her relationship to Bob Carter's NZCSC. ]

------------------
* http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2011/07/bob_carters_trend_lines.php
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Arthur Walsh
The Shadow Knows!
07:32 PM on 03/16/2012
There are many global warming deniers who are lying and making up data. I am not a scientist nor do I play one on television but I accept the evidence put forth by a "majority of the climate science community"! These liars that are being paid and the people who are paying them should and I hope will go to jail when the truth is told.
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03:14 AM on 03/17/2012
I have replied to your mendacious drivel many times and you know it.

Why do you refuse to accept the truth?

Oh, I forgot, you're a Rommulan warmist, that's why.
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01:39 PM on 03/13/2012
Slandering/smearing OrkneyGal claims she works in a New Zealand bagelry. So, she's the climate expert.

Meanwhile,

2001, Hansen received the 7th Annual Heinz Award in the Environment (endowed with US$250,000) for his research on global warming,

2006, the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) selected James Hansen to receive their Award for Scientific Freedom and Responsibility "for his courageous and steadfast advocacy in support of scientists' responsibilities to communicate their scientific opinions and findings openly and honestly on matters of public importance.

2007, Hansen shared the US $1 million Dan David Prize for "achievements having an outstanding scientific, technological, cultural or social impact on our world".

2008, he received the PNC Bank Common Wealth Award of Distinguished Service for his "outstanding achievements" in science.

2008, Hansen was named by EarthSky Communications and a panel of 600 scientist-advisors as the Scientist Communicator of the Year.

2009, Hansen was awarded the 2009 Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal,[73] the highest honor bestowed by the American Meteorological Society, for his "outstanding contributions to climate modeling, understanding climate change forcings and sensitivity, and for clear communication of climate science in the public arena."[74]

2010: Hansen won the Sophie Prize, set up in 1997 by Norwegian Jostein Gaarder, the author of the 1991 best-selling novel and teenagers' guide to philosophy "Sophie's World", for his " key role for the development of our understanding of human-induced climate change."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_E._Hansen
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03:46 AM on 03/17/2012
No one will know how many USA Federal Laws Dr Hansen has violated until NASA complies with the FOIA request about his required Financial Disclosure Statements.

Since NASA is stonewalling, why would any reasonably person think Dr Hansen has clean hands?
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Steve Brian Davis
How is my micro-bio empty, I'm a microbiologist?
12:07 PM on 03/12/2012
Chemistry/physics would have to be incorrect to assume an estimated 600,000,000 (600 million) motor vehicles combusting hydrocarbon chains at rates of 3,000,000,000 (3 trillion) gallons of fuel daily is having no impact over-time on the planet's finite troposphere.

Heat energy liberated from breaking chemical bonds alone, without CO2 energy entrapment is huge. Release of this energy, previously not released but stored/formed from solar energy long ago, is significant if unmitigated by a parallel mechanism.

Newton said for every action in the universe there exists an equal and opposite reaction. Fossil fuel combustion proponents must violate this axiom at the atomic level, and gas/matter input to earth's physical atmospheric content.

Exhaust gases composed of semi-volatile & volatile organics are not something we should continue due to long term public safety, as most of the 46 peaks in a calibration spike matrix from cummins #2 diesel are tetratogenic, mutagenic, carcinogenic, or EPA hazmat listed substances.

Gradual conversion of the fuel industry to a hydrogen gas or methane compressed gas based system can be an immediate target, a target often distorted by forces willfully ignorant of the safety realm as they ignore any need to remove these compounds for respiratory safety. AGW notwithstanding, we should concentrate on technology creating jobs & focus on relevant technology. A bottom line loss for those who for 100+ years sponsored the fossil fuel industry. I assume this post gets attacked by those of this agenda and rea$on, because this post impugns.
12:48 AM on 03/12/2012
James Hansen isn't just speaking out about global warming. He's altering data to make it look like it's actually happening.

http://www.real-science.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Reykjavik_2000.gif
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
12:39 PM on 03/12/2012
Good old' JunkScience - still slandering scientists to still deny that global waming even exists. You're behind the times on that one though - many if not most of your climate science denying breathren at least acknowledge that much. Perhaps you didn't get the memo.

---------------

The 4 Stages of Global Warming Denial:

1) GW deniers: "There is no global warming!"

GW deniers + acknowledgment that the globe is warming =

2) AGW deniers: "Of course there is global warming - we skeptics have never said otherwise. But humans aren't causing it!"

AGW deniers + acknowledgment that humans are causing global warming =

3) "CAGW" deniers: "Ok, sure, humans are causing global warming. But AGW can't cause a catastrophe!"

"CAGW" deniers + irrefutably AGW-related catastrophe =

4) "CAGWW" ("CAGW" warning) deniers:

"Why didn't you warn us?"
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02:01 PM on 03/12/2012
Reviewing Junksciencecutecritters record:

Before being banned as SoCalHotOne, 97 of her first 100 posts denied any global warming anywhere on Earth.

From her first post: "I'm new to this whole thing". Her next one: "Are these any good?" referring to five global warming denial books.

Naive innocent or sent by an institute like Cascade Policy, Heartland, Cato?

She spammed data incessantly from appinsys.c­­om - which on its home page rants on Jesus vs. the U.N. Legitimate science site?

Quoted Tim Balling, who claimed a professorship in a department its university says never existed.

Or David Deming, who wrote this to his campus paper:

"... Her possession of an unregister­­­ed vagina also equips her to work as a prostitute and spread venereal diseases. Let's hope Kletter is as responsibl­­­e with her equipment as most gun owners are with theirs."

The ensuing law suit got Deming kicked out of his department­­.

From Junk aka SoCal herself:

Commented Jul 18, 2010 at 16:42:42 in Media (to Wag the God)
“That's because I'm on a site that caters to anti-Ameri­can, Marxist filth (many of whom are not American themselves­).”

'Climatega­te' Debunking Gets Less Coverage Than Original Trumped-Up Scandal (VIDEO)
Commented Jul 18, 2010 at 16:16:43 in Media (comment to Anthropolo­­­­gistAmo­n­g­A­pes)

'... global warming scam is a communist/­bankster plot to destroy the United States. You're obviously a communist....'
04:28 PM on 03/12/2012
Quotes out of context. Guilt by association and adhominem personal attacks. Conspiracy theories about oil company funded think tanks.

Of course, you have nothing to refute the fraudulent pseudoscience, altering data to remove past warmth.

As for the charge of marxism; if you don't believe me you can take it directly from your fellow travelers:

"To mount a serious fight against global warming means to mount a serious fight against capitalism. Any other measures, no matter how well meant, will fail in the face of the implacable opposition of the capitalist class to anything that threatens their privilege and profit."
http://www.marxist.com/financial-times-exposes-carbon-trading-fraud.htm
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05:46 PM on 03/12/2012
On David Deming: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Deming

On Tim Ball: he claimed,

"I was the first Canadian Ph.D. in Climatolog­­y and I have an extensive background in climatolog­­y, especially the reconstruc­­tion of past climates and the impact of climate change on human history and the human condition. Few listen, even though I have a Ph.D, (Doctor of Science) from the University of London, England and that for 32 years I was a Professor of Climatolog­­y at the University of Winnipeg."

But Prof. Dan Johnson says Univ. of Winnipeg never had a climatolog­y department­.

"...he was a junior Lecturer who rarely published, and then spent 8 years as a geography professor. His work does not show any evidence of research regarding climate and atmosphere and the few papers he has published concern other matters...­­.

http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2007/06/ball_abandons_lawsuit.php
http://www.desmogblog.com/timothy-f-ball-tim-ball

So, what were Tim Ball's FOUR total peer-revie­­wed publicatio­­ns about?

1983:"a long and relatively continuous record of daily and monthly average temperatur­­es has been created for Central Canada."

1982:"Changes in the migration pattern of geese are reflected in the changing date of arrival at the same location over a long period of time."

1981:"This paper describes historical climatic research based on content analysis of Hudson's Bay company records."

Amazing science, Tim.

Prior to fossil fuel shilling, he was a "bean counter".
02:30 PM on 03/11/2012
He's right. We need to act now to stop the coming ice age.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zEQ79hE-Uo0
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03:58 PM on 03/11/2012
Hi Junk !

How's life at Cascade Policy Institute, now that your BMF, Richard2, seems to have left the airwaves?
04:55 PM on 03/11/2012
I don't work for Cascade Policy Institute, or anyone else.
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jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
05:23 PM on 03/11/2012
You're still with us?
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
04:37 PM on 03/14/2012
Different sock, same oily hand.
09:16 PM on 03/10/2012
In June 1986, Dr. James Hansen made a prediction to a newspaper reporter in Oxnard, CA of a 2 degree temperature rise by 2006.

Seems the good Dr. was/is wrong.

The question now is, does anyone believe anything he says today?
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
09:23 PM on 03/10/2012
It was in a hallway conversation, 25 years ago. His published, peer reviewed science still stands. Unless of course, you can cite science refuting all of known science which supports AGW.
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jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
05:30 PM on 03/11/2012
That's right! Because as we know, being mistaken about a future prediction in a casual conversation means that physics is wrong.

Do you really think that is a credible argument, or are you just smearing someone without any real knowledge?

Pick one of his published papers and show how it is faulty. Just one.

We'll get the popcorn.
01:42 PM on 03/12/2012
"...Do you really think that is a credible argument,...."

It gets to the root of his credibility.

He was wrong.

And not by a little.

It means that his science is WRONG.
06:48 PM on 03/10/2012
Despite the delusion that Hansen's models are right on target they actually predicted 3.5 times more warming than actually happened.

That is not very close.
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07:59 PM on 03/10/2012
Ahh... http://tinyurl.com/323xvum = neptune2/netdr/NGC2623/HoosierDaddy25/Ptolemy101/Texas-Titan ,

you've managed to resurrect your leesburg-larry account. What happened? Got banned again?

The way I see it, here's your on-going problem.

Anyone can see you can't post 70 times a day here like you've been doing, w/o being full-time 8+ hours a day at it.

But by doing so, haven't you unintentionally “outed” yourself?

If so, consider that the more often and more hysterically you keep posting, the more you spotlight your own status as a poster boy for the AGW denial industry and thereby the existence of that industry - a much bigger admission.

Thus, due to your increasingly frenzied efforts here, you're actually being quite counter-productive.

I.e., your net contribution to your "patrons" interests is now firmly negative.

Ergo, you can slink away dishonorably or press on, hoping your “patrons” haven't noticed and keep squandering small sums on you. Since we're unlikely to relinquish your obvious counter-productivity, it seems more probable that another jealous pro shill here may rat you out to your patrons.

So, don't blame us if/when that happens.
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Jim Milks
Ecologist
08:57 AM on 03/11/2012
Oh, really. Let's check that claim out. Hansen's scenario B predicted atmospheric temperatures would rise by ~1.5ºC by 2010. Actual rise: 0.6ºC (2.5x). The prediction for 2011: 1.0ºC. Actual: 0.5ºC (2x). Looks like your 3.5x claim is a gross exaggeration.

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/02/2011-updates-to-model-data-comparisons/

BTW, we know why Hansen's 1988 models are predicting greater warming than has been observed: Hansen used a climate sensitivity value of 4.2ºC per doubling CO2. Plug in the current measurement of climate sensitivity and Hansen's models predict warming that is very close to reality (see http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2009/12/updates-to-model-data-comparisons/).
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
04:41 PM on 03/14/2012
Nice job Jim.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
12:29 PM on 03/10/2012
Republican senator says the Bible tells him that scientific global-warming theories are wrong

By Pat Cunningham
State-Journal Register, Springfield IL
March 10, 2012

Sen. James Inhofe, the Oklahoma Republican, is the leading global-warming denier in all of Congress, but his position on the issue is not based on any scientific evidence.

Rather, Inhofe says the Good Book tells him that the theories advanced by the overwhelming majority of climate scientists are simply wrong...

http://tinyurl.com/7fr6z36
This comment has been removed due to violations of our [Guidelines]
ubrew12
that crazy uncle from Amarcord
02:25 PM on 03/10/2012
On the bright side, the Good Book had little to say against the Internal Combustion Engine. Although you can probably find something in there against the idea of human flight...