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Unemployment Rate Holds Steady, Jobs Report For February 2012

Posted: 03/ 9/2012 7:31 am Updated: 03/ 9/2012 5:09 pm

Unemployment Rate

It's not hitting home runs or anything, but the job market is starting to put together a hitting streak of solid singles and doubles.

The economy clocked in a third straight month of decent job growth in February, keeping unemployment steady, the government said Friday.

It was not exactly the spectacular report many on Wall Street were drooling for. And there is still a long way to go to close the gap in what has been the slowest job-market recovery since World War II.

You will not hear loud cheering from the 12.8 million people still unemployed today, up from less than 7 million before the recession began in 2007. Payrolls are still down by 5 million jobs from their peak.

African-Americans actually saw their unemployment rate rise in February.

But the report was just healthy enough to keep some hope alive for millions of job seekers -- although the three guys trying to take President Obama's job in November are sweating it a little bit more today.

The economy added 227,000 workers to nonfarm payrolls in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported, while the unemployment rate held steady at 8.3 percent. That's the lowest jobless rate since February 2009, and down from a peak of 9.9 percent.

But it's still well above a low of 4.4 percent before the recession, so let's not all go slapping each other on the back just yet.

The gain in payrolls was a little bit more than economists had expected, but a little less than some Wall Street traders had hoped, and the result for the U.S. stock market was a wash -- the Dow Jones Industrial Average was recently just 20 points higher.

Solid employment data makes it a little less likely that Gentle Ben Bernanke will fire up his money helicopter, which makes Wall Street feel a little sad.

February's payroll gain was down a bit from the 283,000 jobs added to payrolls in January, but that number was revised higher on Friday, as was December's figure. Together, the revisions added 61,000 more jobs to the past two months' gains. And payrolls have grown by 245,000 jobs, on average, for the past three months.

"For the US economy to have piled on more than 200,000 jobs a month three times in a row will dispel any impression that the improvement is a blip," Marcus Bullus, trading director of MB Capital, wrote in an email. "The talk will now be of a sustained recovery."

President Obama will perhaps be interested to know that, according to the Atlanta Fed's nifty unemployment rate calculator, the recent pace of payroll growth could be just enough to get unemployment down to 7.5 percent by October -- just before the election.

The risk for the president is that the pace of job growth could slow, delaying the improvement in the jobless rate. What's more, the jobless rate could be pushed higher as encouraged workers re-enter the work force.

And it would take more than three years of this kind of job growth to get the unemployment rate back down to 4.4 percent.

The factory sector, which has been a relative bright spot in the economy recently, added 31,000 jobs in February, while the retail sector cut more than 7,000 jobs. Temporary help services added 45,000 jobs, possibly a leading indicator of permanent hiring ahead.

The government sector cut 6,000 jobs, but in a semi-miraculous development, local governments actually added 2,000 jobs.

There are still plenty of reasons for caution. In addition to the still-high number of unemployed people, the average duration of unemployment is still high, at 40 weeks.

The labor market is not spreading its love evenly -- black unemployment jumped to 14.1 percent from 13.6 percent in January. White unemployment, in contrast, ticked down to 7.3 percent.

And wages continue to lag -- average hourly earnings were up just 1.9 percent from a year ago, noted BTIG chief global economist Dan Greenhaus, not enough to keep up with inflation.

"We are disappointed yet again that income growth is not picking up in a more meaningful way," Greenhaus wrote in an email.

Still, he added, steady job growth should eventually lead to higher wages. "More people working suggests that over time, people’s incomes should begin to rise," Greenhaus wrote.

The U-6 measure of unemployment, which counts people marginally attached to the labor force, such as those forced to work part-time, fell to 14.9 percent, the lowest since January 2009.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady even as the labor force grew in February -- helping address another concern of some skeptics, that unemployment has only been falling because people have given up looking for work, taking them out of the labor force and off of the Labor Department's radar.

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It's not hitting home runs or anything, but the job market is starting to put together a hitting streak of solid singles and doubles. The economy clocked in a third straight month of decent job gro...
It's not hitting home runs or anything, but the job market is starting to put together a hitting streak of solid singles and doubles. The economy clocked in a third straight month of decent job gro...
 
 
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COMMUNITY PUNDITS
Gaylord P Farqua 08:53 AM on 03/09/2012
This news is a big headache for the TPGOP. They will have to work even harder to screw up the economy by blocking anything and everything in Congress that might add to the job growth. The Transportation Bill obstruction with meaningless amendments having nothing to do with the Bill is a good example. Corporate America is doing its best to help by laying off or firing millions and scaring the surviving  Read More...
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Paul Sta
08:35 AM on 03/23/2012
Bush didn't create the recession, Obama didn't get us out of it.

repeat.

We were officially out of the recession before 15% of the stimulus was even spent.

But they again the sheeple love to root for their party like a baseball team. Obama or Romney, the Main Street economy will notice little difference, the recovery was about banks, WS and the stock market. Statistically insignificant, but everyone I know in their 40's is in a panic, jobs being slashed, layoffs, companies merging. All are middle upper middle, white collar. Everyone who got laid off, had to take a job at a lower rate of pay.
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09:08 PM on 03/13/2012
The economy added 227,000 workers. New unemployment claims were 363,000. BUT the UNEMPLOYMENT RATE STAYED THE SAME. Wish I could balance my checkbook like the government does their figures. I'd be as rich as George Soros in no time.
11:39 AM on 03/11/2012
As one who managed to keep my job through the worst of the unemployment crisis only to be laid off in Dec. 2011, I and others in the job club at my local state unemployment office are finding the wages being offered for similar or even higher level jobs than we previously held at ridiculously low rates. My experience has been that the jobs that most closely match my previous job are paying between 30 - 60 percent less than I made a few months ago.

I am not seeing news stories on the wages of the re-employed, and the what the loss of taxable income by wage earners means for the over all U.S. economy. Especially when many of us are still trapped by expenses and bills based on higher incomes. For those of us who haven't lost our homes to foreclosures, our expenses haven't gone down.

With many impoverished people doubling their earning power with jobs that used be performed by high-earning Americans at ridiculously discounted costs for employers, U.S. wages are bound to keep coming down; unless housing, durable goods and other costs come down to match what people can afford to pay in this country, I see our nation experience ever increasing rates of poverty and social unrest.
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AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
09:45 AM on 03/11/2012
Singles and doubles? How about "bunts"? Especially "sacrifice bunts"! More temp and part-time employment, stagnant or even less pay, more hours with no overtime, few or no benefits even for full-time workers.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Whogivesafox
How did right go so wrong
11:22 PM on 03/10/2012
Imagine where the numbers would be if there hadn't been so much Republican obstructionism.
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Paul Sta
08:30 AM on 03/23/2012
About the same. Obamas "stimulus" is over.
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99er2049er
Democrats create jobs and build strong economies
02:01 PM on 03/10/2012
Imagine how low the unemployment numbers would be and what a thriving economy we would have right now if Al Gore would have won instead of George Bush.

Imagine what president Obama could have done with a solid economy rather than a great recession that George Bush and the republicans left us with.

Obama 2012
08:28 PM on 03/10/2012
Be careful what you wish for. If Gore had served two successful terms, his heir apparent would have been Vice President Joseph I. Lieberman.
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Whogivesafox
How did right go so wrong
11:19 PM on 03/10/2012
No.
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99er2049er
Democrats create jobs and build strong economies
11:48 AM on 03/11/2012
Although I don't want Lieberman becoming president, I thought John McCain's major mistake was not picking Liberman as his VP, but instead picking Palin.

I believe Gore would have invested heavily in alternative energy and we would have better choices to fuel our vehicles right now. The oil industry would of course responded by lowering oil prices so gas prices at the pump would drop out of fear of losing their business.
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09:09 PM on 03/12/2012
Imagine Obama being a real president!!
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99er2049er
Democrats create jobs and build strong economies
07:40 AM on 03/13/2012
You look like you need a good dosage of Obama accomplishments:

http://obamaachievements.org/list
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01:48 PM on 03/10/2012
All this is far from close even for new workers joining workforce. Or they are not counted as unemployed because thay did not work before?
01:11 PM on 03/10/2012
Black unemployment went up to 14.1% while white unemployment went down to 7.3%. Why doesn't Obama care about minorities? Bush's worst unemployment month for blacks was 10.1% and now Obama's black unemployment rate is almost 40% higher.
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99er2049er
Democrats create jobs and build strong economies
02:02 PM on 03/10/2012
Seriously, this is what you got.

Only republicans can take positive news and turn it into something negative.

Reminds me of when Obama had Bin Laden taken out. Within days, republicans were complaining about it.
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02:13 PM on 03/10/2012
That's because the best repubs could take out was Wesley Snipes.
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emanonecafon
03:59 PM on 03/10/2012
Because the way Obama got Bin Laden was by following republican ideals which he was trying as hard as he could to bring to an end. If democrats and Obama could have had their way with no republican influence, Bin Laden would still be alive today.
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emanonecafon
04:11 PM on 03/10/2012
Some people thought when Obama was elected that it was holiday time for them. They thought all their problems in life were because of leaders with the wring skin color. They thought once a leader with their skin color got in that all their life struggles would dissolve. They thought Obama was going to pay all their bills and they would never have to work again. The liberal mantra off preaching that white racism was the only thing holding blacks down handicapped blacks. The moral of the story: It takes more than leaders with your favorite skin color to be successful. It takes personal determination, perseverance in the face of adversity, and lots and lots of hard work. The whole skin color thing plays a tiny part, but has been trumped up bigger than life by democrats for their own political gains. One day blacks will understand how they have been used by democrats and that being used as democrat's political pawns has been their biggest contemporary setback in climbing the socioeconomic ladder.
12:39 PM on 03/11/2012
Thank you. Very well said and I agree 100%.
12:50 PM on 03/10/2012
Obama has continued the trend of shipping jobs overseas, making us pay for the illegals, laying of people of my age group, cutting ss and medicare.
Allowing the elite to rob the savings and pensions of the middle class.
The jobs being created are not good enough. We have had to do entry level jobs many times. We do not want to do this over again.
This may be good enough for a lot of people but it is not good enough for the majority.
01:00 PM on 03/10/2012
Nice speech, not very accurate though.
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Eris23Skidoo
Dischordian Keynesian
01:57 PM on 03/10/2012
Obama doesn't "ship jobs overseas". The Bush tax cuts do that. There is a tax cut in there specifically for employers who ship jobs overseas. Obama has tried to get rid of the Bush tax cuts. But the republicans wouldn't let him. You think Obama is personally out to get you, don't you. He's "laying off people of my age group" because he's got it in for you and he's hoping that he'll lay you off one day but he keeps missing at laying off others in your age group. One of these times, you'll get laid off and you'll know for a fact that it was Obama who personally gave the order.
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AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
09:48 AM on 03/11/2012
Immelt, the "jobs czar" on Obama's economic team, brags about creating jobs. One little problem - those jobs are in CHINA, where GE is expanding.
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12:43 PM on 03/10/2012
http://www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2011/06/01/a-nobel-economist-says-globalism-is-costly-for-americans/
A Nobel Economist Says Globalism Is Costly For Americans | Foreign Policy Journal

"Offshoring has destroyed the economy

by Paul Craig Roberts
June 1, 2011

These are discouraging times, but once in a blue moon a bit of hope appears. I am pleased to report on the bit of hope delivered in March of 2011 by Michael Spence, a Nobel prize-winning economist, assisted by Sandile Hlatshwayo, a researcher at New York University. The two economists have taken a careful empirical look at jobs offshoring and concluded that it has ruined the income and employment prospects for most Americans.

To add to the amazement, their research report, “The Evolving Structure of the American Economy and the Employment Challenge,” was published by the very establishment Council on Foreign Relations.

For a decade, I have warned that US corporations, pressed by Wall Street and large retailers such as Wal-Mart, to move offshore their production for US consumer markets, were simultaneously moving offshore US GDP, US tax base, US consumer income, and irreplaceable career opportunities for American citizens.

Among the serious consequences of offshoring are the dismantling of the ladders of upward mobility that made the US an “opportunity society,” an extraordinary worsening of the income distribution, and large trade and federal budget deficits that cannot be closed by normal means. These deficits now threaten the US dollar’s role as world reserve currency..."
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01:06 PM on 03/10/2012
As has been stated before, this is only the beginning. It dismantles the ladders of mobility first, but then the fun starts as it dismantles any ties that bind the society together. Add in a love for firearms, a cultural tendency to praise the successful at the expense of others, a dislike for public education... no one needs to paint the picture more than that. But looking at the hostility one sees here in comments generally toward any collective action-- taxes, social security, healthcare-- even when the benefits are obvious, creates a sense of pessimism.
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01:57 PM on 03/10/2012
http://www.counterpunch.org/2010/07/26/the-year-america-dissolved/
The Year America Dissolved » Counterpunch

"by PAUL CRAIG ROBERTS

It was 2017. Clans were governing America.

The first clans organized around local police forces. The conservatives’ war on crime during the late 20th century and the Bush/Obama war on terror during the first decade of the 21st century had resulted in the police becoming militarized and unaccountable..."
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99er2049er
Democrats create jobs and build strong economies
12:05 PM on 03/10/2012
And something we rarely ever discuss. It is far easier to destroy an economy than it is to rebuild it.

The republicans have an easy time killing jobs, giving tax breaks to the wealthy and screwing up our economy, but it takes a lot more work and talent to actually repair a bad economy like the democrats are doing.

Do not allow republicans to hold any elected office, not even chief dog catcher.

Obama 2012
01:01 PM on 03/10/2012
Work and talent isn't what Republicans are about
12:04 PM on 03/10/2012
Obama's best unemployment rate of 8.3% still can't beat Bush's worst full month at 7.8% which is why I can't understand why the liberal media keeps hyping the economy as "getting better."

I guess the only way to hype Obama on the economy is to compare his own horrendous record against other periods of his failed presidency such as when unemployment was at 10%.
12:26 PM on 03/10/2012
FYI -

02/2009 - US losing 600,000 - 700,000 jobs per month
02/2012 - US gaining 200,000 + jobs per month
01:06 PM on 03/10/2012
Yet the number of unemployed persons remained the same at 12.8 million according to the latest BLS stats. Obama is busy making movie pitches to Harvey Weinstein and throwing $38,000 a plate fundraisers instead of concentrating on the economy.
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12:36 PM on 03/10/2012
In 2004, the Bush administra­tion stated that the offshoring of blue-colla­r AND white-coll­ar jobs would ENRICH the U.S. Link available upon request.

In 2011, the Obama administra­tion selected Jeff "I'm a nut on China" Immelt, GE's CEO, a high priest of the offshoring cult, to be the jobs czar.
10:19 AM on 03/10/2012
“Socialism has been tried, it usually fails.

Is that why Germany cleans our clock in manufacturing excellence. Are you to dense to understand socialism can live quite happily with capitalism and it dose, as can communism, because China hasn't turned into a democracy last time I checked. Capitalism even works in a theocratic aristocracy, Saudi Arabia comes to mind. Your neo-con notions of capitalism, vs socialism, vs democracy are limited at best.”
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LeftForTheDay on Mar 9, 2012 at 12:57:28
“Sorry, stopped reading after typed 'to dense'....made me burst out laughing.”

“Sorry, stopped reading after typed 'to dense'....made me burst out laughing.”

You don't have to be sorry for me, your one who doesn't know socialism is and what capitalism isn't.
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cjjanis
Stop eating the poor, tax the rich
10:08 AM on 03/10/2012
In the Frank/Dodd bill there is a new law that states that speculators have to be able to take delivery of at least 10% of what they are bidding on. This became law Jan 1, yet today the big banks are still playing with the oil market, even as we all know they wouldn't take delivery of any oil. Call the congress and ask why the law is not being enforced. Speculation adds over 20% to the cost of oil and in the end it adds to everything we buy and use.
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smooth black
Progress is inevitable
10:10 AM on 03/10/2012
That's a easy answer. When they held up the conformation hearings for the director it left the deputies in charge. they could do the ground work but there was no one to sign off on the enforcement. That will change in the coming months.
10:23 AM on 03/10/2012
This was discussed on Chris Hays show this morning, 70% of Frank/Dodd is being blocked by a Republican commodities exchange commissioner. Why can't we fire these thugs?
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99er2049er
Democrats create jobs and build strong economies
02:10 PM on 03/10/2012
I would make those speculator laws even more aggressive. Why are we allowing our most important commodity, something every American depends on from driving to buying groceries, be controlled by a greedy group of thugs?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
smooth black
Progress is inevitable
10:04 AM on 03/10/2012
Found out something interesting last night. The B.LS. seems to have a reputation for priding themselves on being independent and not letting anyone influence them or how they do their job. Seems that reputation has been in tact for over 50 years, then something strange happened.

It seems one particular "news" station by inference started questing their independence, no one with any credibility listened to them of course. Except a certain group of people with extremist views and has a history of thinking the Federal Government is their sworn enemy.

Wonder who that could be?
12:18 PM on 03/10/2012
Obama's best unemployment rate is 8.3% and Bush's worst was 7.8% in a presidency where the average unemployment rate was under 5%. And this is supposed to be progress?

By the way, the libs criticized Bush on the economy during his 2004 re-election campaign when unemployment was at 4.6%. Just sayin'.
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Eris23Skidoo
Dischordian Keynesian
02:09 PM on 03/10/2012
Bush CAUSED the crisis, idiot. It doesn't matter that the worst of the crisis didn't occur until after Bush left. Obama is making things better. Have you seen the jobs chart? It's going to be a fact that most Americans will have seen that chart by the time Flip Romney loses the general election.