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French Elections 2012: President Nicolas Sarkozy's Fate Hangs In The Balance

By ANGELA CHARLTON 04/22/12 09:01 PM ET AP

PARIS — Francois Hollande, a mild-mannered French Socialist who wants to take better care of the jobless and the poor, is heading to a presidential runoff election against tough-on-immigration Nicolas Sarkozy in a vote that could alter Europe's political and economic landscape.

Hollande heads into the May 6 second round with the upper hand after narrowly edging the conservative Sarkozy in the first round of France's voting Sunday, according to near-complete official results.

In the campaign's biggest surprise, nearly one in five voters chose far right candidate Marine Le Pen instead, handing her a solid third place and a chance to weigh in on French politics with her anti-immigration platform that targets France's millions of Muslims.

With 93 percent of the vote counted, Hollande had 28.4 percent of the ballots cast and Sarkozy 27 percent, according to figures released by the Interior Ministry.

Le Pen was in third with 18.3 percent of the vote so far, the best showing ever by the far right National Front party founded by her father Jean-Marie Le Pen. In fourth place was leftist firebrand Jean-Luc Melenchon with 11 percent, followed by centrist Francois Bayrou with 9.1 percent and five other candidates with minimal support.

Turnout was also surprisingly high, at more than 80 percent, despite concern that a campaign focusing on nostalgia for a more protected past would fail to inspire voters.

Hollande, a 57-year-old who has worried financial markets with his pledges to boost government spending, vowed Sunday night to cut France's huge debts, boost growth and unite the French after Sarkozy's divisive first term.

"Tonight I become the candidate of all the forces who want to turn one page and turn over another," Hollande, displaying a confidence and stately air he has often lacked during the campaign, told an exuberant crowd in his political fiefdom of Tulle in central France.

Sarkozy, speaking at his campaign headquarters on Paris' Left Bank, said he recognized voters' concerns about jobs and immigration, and "the concern of our compatriots to preserve their way of life."

Ten candidates faced off for Sunday's first round of voting, a referendum on Sarkozy at a time when many French voters are worried about high joblessness and weak economic prospects and the president is seen as too cozy with the rich.

"Hollande should be happy. ... Sarkozy's objective was to beat him. It will be very difficult for Sarkozy now," said Damien Philippot of polling agency IFOP. "When you see the results it's clearly a vote of sanction for Nicolas Sarkozy."

Three French polls conducted Sunday evening as results came in predicted Hollande would win the May 6 runoff by 8 to 12 percentage points. Ipsos, CSA and IFOP said their soundings showed worries about jobs and personal income which drove many voters.

Sarkozy is battling to avoid becoming France's first one-term president since Valery Giscard d'Estaing lost to Socialist Francois Mitterrand in 1981. Sarkozy has said he'll pull out of politics if he loses.

The race is on now to sway Le Pen's voters for the decisive second round. Le Pen herself told AP last week that she was not going to give instructions to her voters.

While Sarkozy has borrowed some of her anti-immigrant rhetoric and campaign themes of national identity, Le Pen has repeatedly criticized Sarkozy and says he is a has-been with no chance of returning to office.

The Socialist camp – not a natural ally for Le Pen supporters – reached out to her voters after Sunday's result.

"We also have to think of those who are angry," who feel forgotten and humiliated by Sarkozy's first term, Socialist Party chief Martine Aubry said.

Sarkozy ally and Foreign Minister Alain Juppe, asked by the AP about Le Pen's strong showing, said, "We have to speak to these French people – that doesn't mean doing a party-to-party accord, surely not. Their aspirations must be taken into account, and Nicolas Sarkozy has largely done that by developing certain themes like a Europe that protects us against some mishaps of globalization."

Le Pen rails against Europe, what she claims is the Islamization of France and the "system" of bankers and decision-makers that she says is ruining France. She said Sunday that the "battle of France has just begun."

Le Pen said in the interview last week with The Associated Press that she would consider it a victory if she matched the first-round score of her father in 2002. That year, he got nearly 16.8 percent of the vote and was propelled into the final round and a face-off with then-President Jacques Chirac.

Anti-racism group SOS Racisme said Le Pen's victory could represent "a major danger for democracy." It blamed Sarkozy for allowing Le Pen's party to push extremist themes to the front of the national debate, and urged the candidates for the runoff "to put equality, more than ever, at the heart of their plans."

"This is an election that will weigh on the future of Europe. That's why many people are watching us," said Hollande after voting.

Whatever happens to France's leadership will affect the rest of the 27-nation European Union.

France was one of six countries that in the 1950s founded the predecessor of the EU, and is the eurozone's second-largest economy after Germany.

Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel – a tandem that some call "Merkozy" – have championed a treaty on budget austerity for the 17-nation eurozone. But Hollande wants the treaty to also address economic growth, not just cost-cutting.

Julien Vadrot, 18, in his last year in high school, said he voted for Sarkozy "because he seems the best in this crisis. For five years, he held the country together ... and kept the country standing better than the other (countries)" like Spain, Portugal or Italy, he said. "It's lost less than the other euro countries."

At a time when voters across Europe have ousted incumbents amid economic woes, a Hollande victory would tilt the continent's political balance to the left even as other leading European nations have governments on the right.

Hollande, who wants to tax high-income earners at 75 percent, has tapped into a fear of the free market that has always held more sway in France than almost anywhere in the West, and has enjoyed a resurgence in the era of Occupy Wall Street and anti-banker backlash.

Foreign policy has barely played a role in this campaign but will be a big part of the next president's job. Candidates of many stripes want to bring France's 3,600 troops home from the NATO-led mission in Afghanistan, and Hollande has vowed a fast timetable: A pullout by the end of this year.

Sarkozy said he wants three debates before the May 6 runoff, on the economy, society and international affairs. But Hollande dismissed that, saying one debate, as had been previously planned, is plenty.

"Because (Sarkozy) is in a very difficult situation he wants to change the rules. But you can't change the rules. When you are a bad student, you get bad grades, you cannot ask to change professors," Hollande said as he left Tulle late Sunday night for Paris.

___

Sarah DiLorenzo, Elaine Ganley, Jamey Keaten, Thomas Adamson, Cecile Brisson, Sylvie Corbet, Greg Keller, Jonathan Shenfield in Paris, and Masha Macpherson in Tulle contributed to this report.

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11:24 PM on 04/25/2012
www.servicescleans.com/
06:21 PM on 04/23/2012
The far right won about 20% of the vote. Who are they going to vote for in the runoff? The Socialist? Highly unlikely. Are they going to stay home? Also unlikely. Sarkozy will win the runoff with a very respectable margin.
10:20 AM on 04/23/2012
Could you American People stop repeating like robots that socialism is the problem. You don't know what socialism is (it's not red aliens from planet Mars) and you never have had to pay the consequences of your ideology.

If capitalism still exists in Europe, it is THANKS to socialism or welfare measures, taken to save Peoples. Each time capitalism has ruined Europe:

- 1rst world war.
- 1929 crash.
- 2nd world war.
- 1972-1973 oil crisis and stock market crash.
- subprime crisis still strong...

it has led to "leftists", "socialists", "interventionists" measures or politics taken by MEN against "the hand of God", to SURVIVE. Even for the banks, the rich, the ruling class, the industrials, who play with the $$$ of the working people.

The USA do nothing to fix the Wall Street problem and punish the criminals (25 000 people die every single day of "starvation" because of food speculation). When the next crisis is gonna strike the world (because the vultures are already having fun), it is very likely that Europe this time will collapse (and probably with you).

And the American robots will sing in choir, along with their TV pastors:

"Oh Lord save again your "job creators" from the European socialism, Mexican illegals, the poors from anywhere, Islam terrorists, the Natives, the Natives in Palestine, Evil, the nature, and the science community."
09:56 AM on 04/23/2012
Those french have some of the best desserts in the world!
05:01 PM on 04/23/2012
As well as cheeses, wine, champagne and fries! :-D
05:53 PM on 04/23/2012
So true!
05:09 PM on 04/23/2012
Ditto that...
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GravitonX
10^300 bosons could care less.
08:55 AM on 04/23/2012
Kudos to François Hollande!!!
06:28 PM on 04/23/2012
He beat Sarkozy by less than 2% points in the first round. The far right got almost 18%. Who do you think they are going to vote for? The socialist? Sarkozy will win the run off by a healthy margin.
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GravitonX
10^300 bosons could care less.
09:55 PM on 04/23/2012
The far right will never join Sarkozy; they will demand he join them. You have no idea what you're talking about.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
fastronaut
Something witty
08:13 AM on 04/23/2012
When conservatives take over, it just means one thing: people are poor and scared.
06:23 PM on 04/23/2012
When socialist take over, it just means one thing: economic collapse.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
fastronaut
Something witty
07:01 PM on 04/23/2012
That's a logic that doesn't work in most socialist countries. Try selling it to Scandinavians.
07:54 AM on 04/23/2012
Socialist another words like here lazy do nothing want it all for free on someone else labor.
08:42 AM on 04/23/2012
Conservative another words like there pompous know-it-all enjoying someone else's labor for free
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
JoenArgentina
06:51 AM on 04/23/2012
Hey French Socialist, who is going to pay for this change? Where is the money coming from? It's not going to work, it's not SUSTAINABLE, candidate Hollande is saying whatever it takes to get elected. It didn't work for Mitterand, if it did why is he not still in office or another Socialist. Socialist don't tell the people the truth, their rhetoric is they will help, give to the jobless and poor to get their votes. The Socialist never state how in detail they are going to accomplish this feat. They need to look at Spain, look what the Socialist government & policies have done to that great country. It's great to give away free health care, free subsidies, but it COST MONEY and it has to come from somewhere. Again, who is going to pay for all of this, the Islamist, Socialist, simple economics IF YOU DON'T HAVE THE MONEY OR ENOUGH MONEY COMING IN, ONE CANNOT SPEND MORE OR SPEND WHAT YOU DON'T HAVE. It's not SUSTAINABLE, the nation must balance it's BUDGET FIRST AND FOREMOST then address the possibility of Social investment such as the elderly.

JoenArgentina
07:22 AM on 04/23/2012
Argentinian Tea Bagger. Who knew.
07:53 AM on 04/23/2012
Tea Party not bagger. Shame your not even smart enough to know what the Tea Party stands for.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
JoenArgentina
10:39 AM on 04/23/2012
No Tea Bagger here, Again it's all about the Benjamin's ($$$).
07:34 AM on 04/23/2012
Mitterrand is not in office anymore because he is dead. In my book, that's a pretty good reason.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
bmiller616
Live Music with Bernie Miller/FB
06:48 AM on 04/23/2012
I hate to say this, and as much as I am a freedom fighter, socialist are the way of the future.. The 1% have brought this on... We have no one to blame but ourselves.. We let this happen.. France is going that direction, others will follow....The people have not stood up and when you don't fight, this is what happens...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
fapescia
06:17 AM on 04/23/2012
Sarcozy dissed Netanyahu by calling him a liar in a conversation with President Obama. Any world leader who will not support Israel will be defeated.
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07:07 AM on 04/23/2012
hmm...so that's the reason. I think his anti immigrant stance is blowing up in his face.
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Yank in France
Rien se cree tout se transforme
12:37 PM on 04/23/2012
Both of you are OFF THE WALL.

Sarcozy said nothing even remotely controversial about Netanyahu, as far as the French are concerned. He is a really repugnant person, as is his party.

But Sarkozy's anti-immigration policy is wildly popular in France, even among the left. Hollande has avoided the issue like the plague and for good cause: it is Sarko's strong point!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
hueylover
carry on
06:08 AM on 04/23/2012
Could a more peculiar photo of M Sarkozy have been found?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Crazyknightz
Henry A. Wallace, The Last Real Lib Betrayed by De
05:59 AM on 04/23/2012
nice one France 80% of the population voted today that would be a miracle in the US.
07:49 AM on 04/23/2012
That counting the dead also?
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OntheBorder
Part of the 53% that carries the Liberal weight
05:51 AM on 04/23/2012
I hope France elects the socialists......They will then take their rightful global resting place.....in the bottom of the dust bin.

A socialist spending spree and higher taxation of the working and upper class to support all those lovable muslims and the "poor" will crater France for the foreseeable far into the future.

Another nail in the coffin of the Great European Social Experiment called Socialism is about to driven.

And good riddence.
Cinquopated
Your micro-bio is either half-empty or half-full
06:16 AM on 04/23/2012
Blch. You're about as uninformed, nasty as they get. France is ALREADY a Socialist country and has been since the end of WWII. In fact, it's called a Social Democracy... And while it does have it's faults, the quality of life is FAR better there.
Oh, and BTW, your microbio, it's incorrect.
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OntheBorder
Part of the 53% that carries the Liberal weight
12:57 PM on 04/23/2012
Thanks, you do realize that you have just made my point.....Sooner or later you run out of other people's money.

Progressives.....a scourge of free men everywhere.
07:24 AM on 04/23/2012
Does a monkey dictate and you type?
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OntheBorder
Part of the 53% that carries the Liberal weight
12:29 PM on 04/23/2012
No, the monkey is busy with Obama's teleprompter.
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Yank in France
Rien se cree tout se transforme
12:38 PM on 04/23/2012
Bluedanube, your comment is highly insulting … to monkeys!
05:17 AM on 04/23/2012
his wife looks like a man
06:20 AM on 04/23/2012
What does yours look like?
06:42 AM on 04/23/2012
she looks like someone with a FEMALE face
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Yank in France
Rien se cree tout se transforme
10:30 AM on 04/23/2012
I see, and how long have you had this problem, RawDogger?
04:57 AM on 04/23/2012
We have a saying in Germany: When the French vote they have their heart on the left and their wallet on the right. No one knows right now how the 2nd one will turn out. And anyway, Hollande may be from the left, but it does not mean he will oppose all contracts and agreements in the EU that are working right now.