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Germany Austerity Policies: Berlin Unmoved By Votes In France, Greece

Reuters  |  By Posted: 05/07/2012 11:31 am

Germany Austerity
Angela Merkel (Steffi Loos/AP Photo)

By Noah Barkin and Stephen Brown

BERLIN, May 7 (Reuters) - Germany is ruling out any substantive shift in its approach to Europe's debt crisis despite a rising chorus of opposition to Berlin's austerity policies that reached a crescendo in Sunday's elections in Greece and France.

Chancellor Angela Merkel, speaking in Berlin on Monday, rejected the notion that Europe was on the brink of a major policy shift after Socialist Francois Hollande defeated her fellow conservative Nicolas Sarkozy and Greek voters punished ruling parties who slashed spending to secure a foreign bailout.

Shunned by Merkel, who publicly backed Sarkozy's campaign, Hollande repeatedly criticised Germany's focus on budget cuts and labour law reforms as the solution to Europe's debt crisis. Many saw his victory and the outcome in Greece as heralding a shift in Europe toward higher-spending growth-oriented policies.

But close Merkel allies made clear within hours that the expectation in Berlin was that it would be Hollande who would be making the lion's share of the concessions, and rowing back on policy promises made during the French campaign which the Germans view as dangerous for the entire single-currency bloc.

"The position of the German government is clear. We will continue on our savings path," said Volker Kauder, parliamentary leader of Merkel's conservatives and one of her closest allies.

After another bad night for her Christian Democrats (CDU) in a state election on Sunday, Merkel knows that if she is to win a third term next year she can ill afford to ignore German voters' demands that she give no more of their cash away to foreigners.

"Germans could end up paying for the Socialist victory in France with more guarantees, more money. And that is not acceptable," her ally Kauder said. "Germany is not here to finance French election promises."

FRENCH PROMISES

Those promises appear potentially costly.

Hollande has pledged to balance the French budget in five years, but he also wants to hire tens of thousands of new teachers, introduce a 75-percent tax on million-euro annual incomes and raise the minimum wage.

He favours the introduction of joint euro zone bonds and a more active role for the European Central Bank in fostering growth - both taboos in Germany.

Andreas Schockenhoff, a leading CDU lawmaker who heads a Franco-German parliamentary group, told Reuters he expected Hollande to commit "very quickly" to "stability policies".

Pressed repeatedly at a news conference on whether the French and Greek votes might change the policy debate in Europe, Merkel's spokesman Steffen Seibert insisted the only way forward was growth through structural reform - such as of tax and labour rules aimed at improving trade - not debt-funded stimulus plans.

Merkel herself made clear that, while there was scope to discuss tactics, the overall strategy EU leaders committed to by agreeing a compact on fiscal consolidation was "not negotiable".

"We are in the middle of a debate to which France, of course, under its new president will bring its own emphasis," she said. "But we are talking about two sides of the same coin - progress is only achievable via solid finances plus growth."

"OPEN ARMS"

The German leader telephoned Hollande, whom she has never met, on Sunday night after his victory and the two spoke, with the help of interpreters, for nearly a quarter of an hour.

Sources told Reuters the conversation was friendly and that Hollande assured Merkel he wanted very close ties. The president is expected to visit Berlin next week, most likely on May 16, the day after he takes office, on his first foreign trip. Merkel said Hollande would be welcomed with "open arms".

Germany has already signaled it is ready to negotiate a "growth pact" with the new French leader. Though its terms may well be vague, that would allow Hollande to claim victory in his push for a more balanced approach to the crisis.

But bold new initiatives that might give ailing economies like Greece and Spain a substantial boost are unlikely.

"Boosting growth is fine, but the question is how," CDU budget expert Norbert Barthle told Reuters. "Our focus remains firmly on structural reforms."

German officials have indicated they are prepared to explore a more flexible use of EU structural funds, bolster the capital of the European Investment Bank (EIB) and allow the issuance of so-called "project bonds" to fund investment in infrastructure.

These steps would not require substantial new funds from Berlin and this is why they are acceptable. But launching new government stimulus programmes, allowing euro members more time to cut deficits they have pledged to get down, or giving the ECB new powers to bolster growth remain anathema to Germany.

"There will be no loosening of the deficit targets," one high-level German source said, pointing to Hollande's victory speech in Tulle as a sign of his readiness to work with Germany.

"He mentioned cutting back the deficit as his second priority. That was significant and a signal."

Hollande's chief economic adviser, former finance minister Michel Sapin, also said on Monday: "Nobody expects that we simply arrive in power and hand out money."

HARD LINE ON GREECE

On Greece, officials in Berlin and Brussels are also taking a hard line, making clear they see no room for the country to renege on or renegotiate the terms set out in its multi-billion euro rescues by the bloc and the IMF.

The failure of the big parties that have dominated Greek politics for decades to secure a majority, and a surge in support for extreme parties from the left and right, has raised questions about whether Athens will stick to its commitments and sparked speculation it could be forced out of the euro zone.

"Either they stick to the programme and receive the financing from member states - or they will have to default," said a senior euro zone source before the pro-EU Greek Socialist party leader called explicitly for a renegotiated bailout deal.

"What the default would lead to, I don't know," the source said. "But certainly to even more hardship for Greek citizens."

At the core of the European project, formed around France and Germany to end a succession of wars, Hollande can look to the euro zone's third economy, Italy, for support. Sapped by a moribund business climate and budget cuts meant to appease wary creditors, Prime Minister Mario Monti's technocratic government endorsed the new French president's pro-growth agenda.

An indication of whether Hollande is ready for confrontation with France's key partner, Germany, or will seek reconciliation will come when he names his government later this month.

A leading candidate for the post of prime minister is Jean-Marc Ayrault, a German-speaker who knows the country well and who has sent conciliatory messages to Berlin in recent weeks.

Choosing him over Martine Aubry, a more traditional Socialist who was responsible for introducing France's 35-hour workweek, would signal that Hollande is ready for compromise.

"I will be very interested to see whether or not Hollande kicks off his presidency with a battle with Merkel," said Louis Gargour, chief investment officer of hedge fund LNG Capital.

"This is a contest of Keynesian economics and a focus on growth versus an extended phase of austerity that electorates are fast becoming tired of."

Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions.

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By Noah Barkin and Stephen Brown BERLIN, May 7 (Reuters) - Germany is ruling out any substantive shift in its approach to Europe's debt crisis despite a rising chorus of opposition to Berlin's aust...
By Noah Barkin and Stephen Brown BERLIN, May 7 (Reuters) - Germany is ruling out any substantive shift in its approach to Europe's debt crisis despite a rising chorus of opposition to Berlin's aust...
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07:41 PM on 05/10/2012
We know the current economic mess started with mortgage giant Fanny Mae and Freddy Mac along with Wall Street.
You might be surprised who wanted to enforce more regulation on Wall Street and Fanny Mae to prevent such a collaspe.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMnSp4qEXNM&feature=email

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EzWrnUezDOU&feature=email”
06:21 PM on 05/09/2012
This one is not about austerity vs. keynesianism.
It's about corruption and misspend money vs. sanity.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
wirepaladinSF
SHALL NOT BE INFRINGED-COME AND TAKE IT
09:24 AM on 05/09/2012
The French are going to finally confirm that socialism only works until you run out of other peoples money.
12:45 PM on 05/09/2012
Look at his election program. He is maintaining the Sarkozy reforms and will be cutting expenditure quite a bit indeed. The renegotiation is part campaign spin part tinkering with dates and definitions, hoping to talk to the (already planned) project grants under the growth pact and claiming credit. The consensus among European governments for the stability pact is not under threat.

As to your jipe about socialism, I assume you mean the American obscure imaginary version. That is just for domestic conflictual wedge populism I'm afraid.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
wirepaladinSF
SHALL NOT BE INFRINGED-COME AND TAKE IT
01:24 PM on 05/09/2012
Number first, Hollande didn't get elected to follow the same path as Sarkozy. Just as the Greeks can't be trusted to fiscal responsibility, neither can the FRench. They rioted over raising the retirement age to 62 ! They will attempt to worm more money from the Germans, just hide and watch. ..As for my " jibe", France is truly a socialist country, with government ownership of major industries and companies. the Obama administration only " hopes that you'll change " and except some of the same. This socialist administration (not unlike the Chavez regime in Caracas), simply has no regard for the Constitution, and therefore no regard for the wishes of their employers ( citizens of the US). 
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12:27 PM on 05/08/2012
"Germany is not here to finance French election promises."

One woman in Berlin negates the votes of millions of frogs hoping to milk the gravy-train that is the German economy even more. But hey, that's what happens when you tie your national soveriegnty to 20-something other nations. Clearly, Merkel and Germany are calling the shots in Europe, not the mobs of French leaches and deadbeats that think they are sending a message with Hollande's victory. Le boo hoo.
01:58 AM on 05/09/2012
grow up
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wirepaladinSF
SHALL NOT BE INFRINGED-COME AND TAKE IT
09:25 AM on 05/09/2012
Simonsays OhNo is correct.
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10:34 AM on 05/09/2012
How typically pathetic. I quoted Chancellor Merkel directly. Tell her to grow up. Better yet, tell voters in France to grow up, fund their own campaign promises and stop relying on others (Germany) to generate the wealth, make the tough decisions necessary to accomodate cushy French lifestyles and France's decedence, lack of productivity and naive, childish political demands. When your country signed away aspects of its economic soveriegnty to latch onto your neighbor's inherent wealth and productivity, you need to stop pretending you are calling the shots and are masters of your own fate.
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Jerry Bourbon
12:23 PM on 05/08/2012
The Greek model of socialism apparently only works until Germany tires of financing it...
08:13 PM on 05/12/2012
For the moment the Euro became Germany's currency in 2002, Germany has steadily benefitted to the extreme by eradicating competitiveness in the continent and opening up a 170 million free market for itself. I hardly think Germany is financing anything at the moment. They are just partially lending Euros to Greece at market rates of 5% - essentially making even more money in the process. Perfect all around.
06:23 PM on 05/16/2012
Well, it's called capitalism. Nobody forces EU countries to buy German products. But you also forget, that Germany is the number one contributor to the EU... If the Germany economy tumbles, so does the rest of the EU.
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groland
socially left, fiscally right
10:16 AM on 05/08/2012
As a German who grew up in the US and has lived and worked in Germany, I think I can safely say that there is nothing more self-righteous than a German intellectual who is assured of their position on an ideological issue. It is a character trait difficult to avoid, myself included.
10:43 AM on 05/08/2012
Interesting...I've run into this also. Of course, self righteousness is not just a trait of the well to do German intellectual.

All people who are fortunate enough to become well to do...whether it be from inheritance, hard work/smart ideas, thrift, criminality/rule breaking...they also tend toward being self righteous and arrogant.

And they always forget that society made their wealth possible...and that others played a helping hand in their success. Their focus is always on THEIR own prowess and discipline ...luck and assistance are NEVER acknowledged. I guess that's only human...
01:59 AM on 05/09/2012
Now you're doing it again :)
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dragucci
Caustic1
07:47 AM on 05/08/2012
Time to rip up the I.o.u and start over,besides it's the same people making the money on the loans.Those nice plutocrat.
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Jerry Bourbon
12:24 PM on 05/08/2012
But then how will Greece finance its budget deficit?
07:00 AM on 05/08/2012
In a sense this is all irrelevant...Europe's terrible demographic realities are basically insurmountable.
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12:37 PM on 05/08/2012
They are doomed - just like us! France can elect whoever it wants, but in the end, it won't make much of a difference. Maybe France would have been better off (certainly more productive and capable of making a decent car) had German control of their once great nation continued after the war?
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05:51 AM on 05/08/2012
Sometimes I can't believe I live in the same city as that woman, she should probably go outside into the streets of Berlin more often and see how well "growth" is going and one could find themselves tripping over the sea of fallen start-up businesses blind optimism included. Germany's economic stability is partly an illusion enabled by some odd labor rules and will only last as long as we keep manufacturing Americas weapons for their wars (Sweden, Norway too) other than that our domestic manufacturing sector isn't going to keep up those good times very long on its own.
07:17 AM on 05/08/2012
Ever been to Detroit?
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08:57 AM on 05/08/2012
yes, sadly the answer is yes.
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12:50 PM on 05/08/2012
What? I thought Detroit was the posterchild for business-friendly, clean, prosperous, innovative, desirable and safe American cities. What with the auto bailouts and all the people there receiving federal assistance, you would think BO & Co. would be touting Detroit as a city "all America can resemble" by following the same prescriptions of inefficiency, rampant crime, hostile business environment and one-party rule.
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12:46 PM on 05/08/2012
Well whatever Merkel and Germany are doing, it has been working out better than what the rest of the EU (France especially) is doing. But I guess you can't satisfy everyone all the time. I would think Germans would be getting tired of making up for French deficiencies over the last 50 or so years. Does anyone outside of France really believe their new Socialist President is going to be able to do anything significant about Europe's economic situation?
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06:32 PM on 05/08/2012
Germany is doing what everyone else is doing, selling their debt to other nations whom then sells it someone else ad infinitum making some people very rich who sometimes re-invest this money to start a business, apparently this is capitalism.

As for France I have nothing to bad to say about the people they are kind of enough to let me go do my studies for free in a few months as long as I can prove that I'm actually learning.
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Molly D
03:08 AM on 05/08/2012
All that debt, all that money, Euros and dollars are so much paper. The pretending act is mind boggling. "Easing", "monetizing debt", the Fed "buying US debt", "growth oriented policies", euphemisms for accellerating money printing, which everybody is going to keep on doing regardless. How could they not? Since 1974 this had been writ in immutable stone.
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Richard Bartholomew
My micro-bio isn't empty.
05:25 AM on 05/08/2012
It's not a good situation at all. Maybe the goldbugs are going to come out on top after all.
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Molly D
12:54 PM on 05/08/2012
The world is in a twilight zone of paper currency. We've been incrementally expanding off pure gold as money since 1913. That's a short slice of human history. There's no question where it leads. The questions are the timetable, what turmoil to a very populous capitalist world without usable currency, and what phases in to replace it. The US can't abandon the dollar early, so the emergency money will have to come from somewhere else. The goldbugs who imagine circulating old gold and bullion coins, among many fantasies, have no idea how easily those coins are counterfeited. What life was like with moneychangers in essentially medieval economies. The damn thing is we'll probably live to see it.
Dragonlupin
Edit your micro-bio.
12:38 AM on 05/08/2012
There is one simple fact, Keynesian economics work.
That has been proven time and time again.

I think Greece would be better off if they just default.
01:07 AM on 05/08/2012
Since the haircut was conducted, most of the Greek sovereign debt is held by Greek institutions (Greek banks, insurance and pension funds). They would be wiped out. And though it is one of the uncertainties, it seems likely that Greece will then have to leave the Eurozone and maybe even the EU.

I don't think the - somewhat American, GOP vs Democrats - debate about Chicago School vs Keynes is misplaced regarding Europe. If you take a closer look at what Germany did during recession, it was Keynes. The lesson though (and that was a debate that we had in Germany years BEFORE the crisis) is that other than in the previous decades a "Keynesian approach" must be implemented full circle - so to speak. Certainly Merkel's party is not averse to the idea that government has to step in during a crisis even at the cost of deficits but right after the crisis the debt needs to be fully paid back before considering to enlarge programs or cutting taxes again. That mistake is, at least in Germany but I guess in most European countries, too, responsible how we got to 80% debt/ GDP. During crisis, the government cushioned the impact by spending but when later revenues increased again, the money did not went into paying back debt but instead it went into other places.
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Molly D
03:12 AM on 05/08/2012
Can you imagine Greece going off the Euro under these circumstances? Their new currency would be virtually useless outside their borders. Prices would soar.
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jeremyemilio
My micro-bio is NOT empty
03:45 AM on 05/08/2012
Ummm... if Keynesian economics 'worked,' Greece wouldn't NEED to default.

But, yeah... I actually agree that at this point, they would be much better served to simply default.
Dragonlupin
Edit your micro-bio.
04:37 AM on 05/08/2012
Greece hasn't recently been using Keynesian economics.
TooManyTequilas
In Tequilas Veritas!
12:11 AM on 05/08/2012
Some people learn faster than others while getting the hammer of austerity banging on their heads and watching who benefits the most from these policies. Unfortunately it'll take us another three election cycles to figure out where the con in conservative comes from. Europe has been around a lot longer than we have and seen these cycles come and go before. The BS just doesn't impress them for very.long.
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icon22
12:09 AM on 05/08/2012
Only a radical leftist would believe that if you're hopelessly in debt, the solution is to spend more money that you don't have. Mitt Romney's a smart businessman, who would never do such a thing and for the good of the country, we need to stop all the partisan bickering, dump Obama and elect ourselves a president who will be a responsible steward of our hard earned tax dollars (for those of us in the 50% who actually pay taxes) and make this country work again!
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Richard Bartholomew
My micro-bio isn't empty.
02:32 AM on 05/08/2012
Vote Libertarian. Elect for Gary Johnson and James Gray as U.S. president and vice president respectively.
04:18 AM on 05/08/2012
Only a conservative would fail to realize that with your own central bank you can print money in your currency endlessly into infinity and it won't matter. no one pays off their national debt anyways. It almost never happens in the history of the world. The current conservative models of inflation almost pretend there is this causual relationship between money in circulation and inflation that is a 1:1 ratio. that is if the money supply is doubled prices inflate 200% and that just does not hold up to the economic reality we are observin right now. Reality itself would seem to argue with their their theories. it would seem to suggest that one actually CAN create REAL VALUE out of thin air (gasp. heresy!) so long as one does not produce so much it exceeds the capacity of those investments to spur economic growth... If greece defaults and makes it's own central bank so many other countries will follow suit-the crisis iwll be over.
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waaboos
Elephant hunting is fun
11:57 PM on 05/07/2012
Germany and Greece are doomed to failure. Austerity may not be much fun, but it is essential. It is gong to happen one way or another. Socialists will just speed it up and make it worse. And we have a socialist president here in USA that is doing everything possible to tax and spend us into oblivion. An Obama re-election is the end of the USA economy. I have already moved a good portion of my business out of USA. If Obama gets re-elected I will likely shut down USA operations altogether and just stay in eastern Europe and Asia.
06:26 PM on 05/16/2012
oy, another kook-aid drinker
11:50 PM on 05/07/2012
"Savings Path"... now that's a joke..!