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Joshua Hersh
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Afghanistan's Trade Deal With Iran Complicates U.S. Aims

Posted: 05/09/2012 5:28 pm

KABUL, Afghanistan -- Last Wednesday, government officials from two countries met here to finalize an international pact that would help define their relationship many years into the future.

But it wasn't the U.S.-Afghan strategic partnership agreement, which Afghanistan's President Hamid Karzai had signed in the early hours of the night with U.S. President Barack Obama, who had flown into the country on a surprise mission.

Instead, it was a simple but crucial trade deal with Iran, Afghanistan's immediate neighbor to the west.

That deal, which would secure Afghanistan's access to the new Iranian shipping port of Chabahar in the Indian Ocean, has been in the works for years.

Indian companies, which would be some of the main beneficiaries of the sea link to Central Asia and the mining sites of Afghanistan -- bypassing the politically and geographically more treacherous land route through Pakistan -- have poured millions of dollars into roads in both Iran and southern Afghanistan to access the port.

It's not the first time Iran has been linked to Afghanistan, nor is it even the first Iranian port employed for this purpose, but the new deal -- and its timing -- underscores a dilemma facing American officials who seek to economically isolate Iran on the one hand, while simultaneously stabilize and strengthen the Afghan economy on the other.

"The U.S. has the objective of preventing Iran from becoming a nuclear armed state, of imposing sanctions, of encouraging other countries, including Afghanistan and India, to curtail trade with them," said Alireza Nader, a senior Iran policy analyst at the RAND Corporation, a national security policy group. "But these countries have their own interests ... The reality is that Iran is not going to go anywhere, and no matter who rules Iran, it's going to be Afghanistan's more powerful neighbor."

Afghan officials, who were loath to extensively discuss the deal this week despite the fact that it was openly reported in Afghan and Iranian press, tended to describe it mainly as a deal for private enterprise.

"Chabahar is a new facility, and a new issue, and it will depend on the private sector to choose how they want to use it," said Wahidullah Ghazikhail, the spokesman for the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.

But they have not shied away from making clear just how crucial trade links with Iran are for Afghanistan's economic health.

In March, Afghan Minister of Commerce Anwar al Haq Ahady told reporters at a roundtable in Washington, D.C. that about 50 percent of Afghanistan's oil comes from Iran.

Afghan officials have told The Huffington Post that, overall, trade with Iran composed a little less than half of the entire Afghan economy, and that it is increasing.

"It's going to have a large part in the Afghan economy," one official said of Iranian bilateral trade.

These officials, and Afghan businessmen in the trading business, say that American diplomats have been pushing Afghanistan to reduce its trade and dependence on Iran for months now, but that without any alternative routes, this course was close to impossible.

"Afghanistan is bound on all sides without access to an ocean," Ghazikhail said. "We don't want to be dependent on just one port, or just one partner. We want both, for safety."

In recent months, Pakistani officials have held up large deliveries of supplies going in and out of Afghanistan, costing Afghan businesses millions of dollars in shipping delays and lost inventory.

"This is where the American issue comes in," said one Afghan businessman, who owns a major trade and logistics company and asked to remain anonymous in order to discuss politics. "If you don't want us to do business with Iran, then give us an alternative."

Despite their frequent protestations about violators of sanctions on Iran -- including strong words this week toward India, which still consumes large quantities of Iranian oil, from the visiting Secretary of State Hillary Clinton -- American officials in Kabul seem resigned to this reality, and to let deals like Chabahar pass unremarked.

"Pakistan and Iran are the two most commercially viable seaports available to land-locked Afghanistan," a U.S. official in Kabul told HuffPost. "Afghan traders consistently say they would prefer to use the Karachi ports as the most economical option," the official went on, but acknowledged that "long and unpredictable delays clearing goods" sometimes makes that a less viable option.

"The U.S. continues to support Afghan efforts to work with Pakistan to improve the implementation of the Afghan-Pakistan Transit Trade Agreement and to work with both countries to improve the flow of goods through Pakistan to Afghanistan," the official added.

Trading with Iran is not a panacea for Afghanistan. Iran and its agents have long been accused of playing a pernicious role in Afghanistan, even reportedly going so far as to violently resist efforts by the Afghan government to control or impose tariffs on the export of water into Iran.

The new trade deal also comes at a moment when, politically at least, relations between the two countries seem to be at a low point. On Monday, the Iranian ambassador to Afghanistan appeared before the Parliament here to urge members to reject the strategic pact with the U.S., a move that infuriated several lawmakers.

The political uproar worries some of the same Afghan businessman who hope to make money off deals between the two nations. "As good as the strategic partnership is for stability, there is also a concern that it could be bad for external relations, because it makes the neighbors unhappy," said the Afghan businessman who owns a logistics company.

Javed Noorani, a researcher with Integrity Watch Afghanistan, a watchdog group for the country's minerals and trading industries, said that the Chabahar port may well end up playing an essential role in another major part of the Afghan economy: the newly explored mining industry.

Having access to exporting lanes via Iran, Noorani said, "gives bargaining power" over the Pakistani ports of Karachi and Gwadar that will likely come in handy. "We'll just have to use that [power] smartly."

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KABUL, Afghanistan -- Last Wednesday, government officials from two countries met here to finalize an international pact that would help define their relationship many years into the future. But it...
KABUL, Afghanistan -- Last Wednesday, government officials from two countries met here to finalize an international pact that would help define their relationship many years into the future. But it...
 
 
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02:32 PM on 05/12/2013
USED PAKISTAN INSTEAD OF IRAN. IRAN IS A TERRORIST NATION.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
08:26 AM on 05/12/2012
Imagıne Afghanıstan or Iran crıtıcızıng NAFTA as though ıt were a threat to world peace.

Hollow argument agaınst neıghborly trade.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
08:24 AM on 05/12/2012
tee-hee.
The law of unıntended consequences has consequences.
Ironıc.
Another self-defeat at the hands of our own hubrıs and ımperıal demands.
kevinclennon
print the money ben
08:35 PM on 05/11/2012
just more proof how OBAMA and Hillary have sold America out. Did China and India buy oil from Iran? what sanactions? What two countrys have oil and natural gas rights in Iraq? China And Russia? what country is in Afganastan extracting copper? China? What country was just award first oil rights in Afganastan? China? Why no news on this ? Protecting Obama?
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Yank in France
Rien se cree tout se transforme
05:23 PM on 05/12/2012
Hey Einstein, what do you propose: ban China and India from doing business with Afghanistan.

Maybe it's time to stop bogarting that reeefer!
08:43 AM on 05/11/2012
we're 10000 miles away from the states telling the afghans they can't have trade with their immediate neighbor? Doesn't anyone else think there is something wrong with that? What if the chinese told us that we can't have any trade with canada?
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larryjensen554
When bad men combine,the good must associate
03:02 PM on 05/11/2012
who cares about trade with Canada what you need some moose horn?
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butchcliff
The future is unwritten
06:13 AM on 05/13/2012
Canada one of our biggest trading partners & friends. We got moose too & it's not horn it's antler
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Fireslayer
06:53 AM on 05/11/2012
So?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
04:35 AM on 05/11/2012
The USA is trying to keep a lid on IRAN, why, Because Israel says so...AND since 1945 the master plan has been to Control all Middle East OIL fields, (Prof. N. Chomsky)........
http://www.presstv.ir/detail/228401.html
Today Afgan is building a nat GAS pipeline to Iran in order to buy that product. The USA says this, the USA says that, but the bottome line is that IRAN will be the POWERHOUSE of entire Middle East. the story. In the face of mounting pressure and threats from the Obama administration, Islamabad is insisting that it will complete a long-delayed project to build a pipeline to import natural gas from Iran.

Speaking Monday, Pakistan Foreign Minister Hina Rabbani Khar said that Islamabad must pursue all available means to address the country’s chronic and ever-worsening energy crisis. In addition to brushing aside a threat from US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton of reprisals if Islamabad did not drop the pipeline project, Khar warned that a military attack on Iran, Pakistan’s eastern neighbor, would have “disastrous consequences” for the entire region.
http://www.wsws.org/articles/2012/mar2012/pair-m09.shtml
Today Iran sells electricity to Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, Afgan, Turkey & Pakistan. Lately a joint venture was created for IRAN to drill Iraqs OIL....the USA has won the battle and lost the WAR
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
analyse this
Everything is temporary anyway
08:39 PM on 06/04/2012
You da man, raker...
07:44 PM on 05/10/2012
huff post really scks
07:42 PM on 05/10/2012
It's time to fight back at these American politicians and have them executed the American way...charged with treason selling America out...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
04:39 AM on 05/11/2012
FF: since you have vision and understand what is really happening why not hang around and post some truth so others can SEE as well.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mpstar
03:56 PM on 05/10/2012
My question are they smarter than US,,,It seem this Karazi we keep give him bililions of money and he just laughs at us,,and we just continue to play up to him it seems,,They are breaking America monentry system,,which they sais they would,,Kazari is playing both side of the street.Whe need to get out of there,,,It hasn't changed and it will never change,,We can's change history....The Russian were smart to see that,, SO how long and how many lives do we lose,,for staying there
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
04:43 AM on 05/11/2012
The Soviets left Afgan Bankrupt. Today the Central Banks are looting America with the DEBT based monetary system and are FLEECING us daily....We pay them 388 Billion every year in Interest only never anything on the principle. We are doomed
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
altheschrod
I'm pedaling hard.
03:03 PM on 05/10/2012
Why does it complicate "U.S." sanctions? Since when are we the only ones fighting terrorism in Afghanistan?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
baydolphins
Gone crazy...back soon
12:16 PM on 05/10/2012
we can uncomplicate it by getting out of there...you think they will not go the way of Iran once we are gone...doesn't matter whether we leave today or in 20 years...it will be run by clerics regardless.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SGillLondonUK
SCOTLAND IS NOT ENGLISH PROPERTY
06:36 PM on 05/10/2012
Just like in Vietnam? arrive, turn the country upside down then leave the place much worse than when you arrived. This is not an "american" mission, its a NATO mission to stabiise Afganistan.
mortonrchrd
How you gonna get down that hill
04:45 AM on 05/11/2012
The Hazara ethnic minority are Afghan Shias. The Sunni Pashtuns, who are the Taliban, will always oppose Shia rule there......Google 055 Brigade.....Al Qaida working with the Taliban to slaughter and torture the Hazara.....
I agree with your overall point. Let's leave and let them fight it out. Because fight and kill, they most certainly will.
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kasel1
Sarcastic physicist, musician, author
11:51 AM on 05/10/2012
Treachery rules these bronze-age countries.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SGillLondonUK
SCOTLAND IS NOT ENGLISH PROPERTY
06:39 PM on 05/10/2012
Well it may come as a surprise to you, but the USA isnt so advanced when it comes to Human Rights, You still have capital punsihment, something that every other western country has abandoned. Gay people are still denied the same level of equality as every other american citizen, Women still earn less than men, Your kids take guns to school and shoot their teachers....how does that differ from a bronze-age country?
07:22 PM on 05/10/2012
How many treaties with the native rulers of the 2 'bronze-age' Americas did the marauding, trespassing Europeans honor?
mortonrchrd
How you gonna get down that hill
04:50 AM on 05/11/2012
Fossil records show that Europeans were the first inhabitants of America. Invading Asiatic 'Native Americans' killed them off and seized the continent. They should be deported to Siberia, where they launched their invasion from.
Or do you feel that might makes right, and they stole it fair and square ?
banderson2
82nd ABN Div Paratrooper Ret
11:34 AM on 05/10/2012
We go halfway around the world to tell another country who they can and cannot trade with.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard Pearce
Atheistic-agnostic Canadian polymath
11:15 AM on 05/10/2012
For the US ability to dictate Afghanistan's trade policy with regards to Iran, things are more complicated than the article lets on. It does mention that Afghanistan gets 'about 50% of its oil from Iran', but doesn't mention that, seeing as Afghanistan has no refinery capacity, it is not crude oil, but refined fuel that it is importing from Iran (yeah, I know, there was the meme going around amongst the echo chamber folks that Iran had no refineries, and a meme going around the Iranophobes that Iran didn't have enough refinery capacity to meet its own needs, but the reality is Iran did have that capacity, but the economics made it more profitable to import gasoline and export plastics for a while until the expansions made it profitable to meet all the gasoline needs domestically too) And the crude that the fuel being imported from Iran was made from likely wasn't Iranian, because the Caspian Sea states also take advantage of Iran's good infrastructure to get their goods to market, including their crude oil, but Iran doesn't actually pump that oil south, instead it feeds it into its northern refineries (northern Iran is not oil country) while pumping the equivalent amount of southern oil into the tankers (including the EU-bound ones) and selling the refined CS oil back to the Caspian Sea states, and Afghanistan. If Afghanistan were to bow to America and stop buying fuel from Iran, it is states like Tajikistan that will see revenues drop
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
04:54 AM on 05/11/2012
Great post Richard, the truth always comes out: Commenting on the potential markets for the export of the Iranian gasoline, the Oil Ministry official said negotiations were underway for exporting oil products to neighboring states, including Iraq.

The Oil Ministry also seeks to export other oil products such as diesel, kerosene and liquefied petroleum gas, Zeighami concluded.

Earlier this month, Iranian Oil Minister Massoud Mir-Kazzemi announced that the country is prepared to export gasoline to the neighboring countries due to the excessive production of Iranian oil refineries.

Iran is by now ready to export gasoline to the neighboring countries, Mir-Kazzemi said on the sidelines of the inauguration ceremony of the second phase of Imam Khomeini Oil Refinery’s development project in Shazand located in the Central Iranian province of Markazi.

He also reiterated that Iran is now self-sufficient in the production of gasoline.

Iran increased its gasoline production after the United States and the European Union started approving their own unilateral sanctions against the Islamic Republic over its nuclear program, mostly targeting the country’s energy and banking sectors, including a US boycott of gasoline supplies to Iran.

After the UN Security Council ratified a sanctions resolution against Iran on June 9, the US Senate passed a legislation to expand sanctions on foreign companies that invest in Iran’s energy sector and those foreign companies that sell refined petroleum to Iran or help develop its refining capacity.