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Tech Bubble Death Watch: Pinterest And The Billion-Dollar Startup Club

The Huffington Post  |  By Posted: Updated: 05/18/2012 5:42 pm

Look out!

So, the Facebook IPO did not exactly take off like a rocket. That's a blow to those, like us, who see a tech bubble forming around every corner. But never fear, bubbleteers: There's hope in a herd of billion-dollar startups.

Upstart scrapbooking website Pinterest on Thursday nailed down $100 million in financing, which gives it a valuation of $1.5 billion. If you are surprised to hear this, then perhaps you have not been paying attention to the fact that a growing crowd of startups are worth a cool billion, writes Huffington Post small-business editor Nate Hindman.

The ranks include Twitter, Airbnb, Dropbox, Evernote, Square, and more, Nate points out in a helpful, traffic-friendly slideshow format. In fact, according to research firm PrivCo, there are 20 privately held internet companies now with valuations of $1 billion or more, the Wall Street Journal writes. In comparison, at the height of Tech Bubble 1.0, in the late 1990s, the Billion Dollar Club topped out at just 18, according to the WSJ.

This may not be evidence of a tech bubble -- inflation makes $1 billion worth a bit less today than in 1998, so you'd expect to see more $1 billion companies today than 14 years ago.

But consider: There are now nearly as many private Internet companies with $1 billion valuations as there are public Internet companies worth that much: The Facebook IPO pushed the number of publicly traded $1 billion Internet companies up to 22, Fortune's Dan Primack wrote in his "Term Sheet" newsletter this morning (no link available).

And it's not just the valuation that's an issue, but the quickness with which some of these companies have gotten so valuable. Pinterest, for example, was valued at $200 million in October, and as yet has no revenue. And then there's the attitude of the investors driving up their price. The WSJ writes:

The valuation frenzy is being driven by investors' desires to find the next big hit a la Facebook, and a belief that this time it's different with the new generation of Web companies. Many of the start-ups are experiencing strong growth—generally with users and sometimes also with their revenue—and are benefiting from a confluence of tech trends such as social media and mobile technologies that give these companies huge audiences.

Sounds awfully familiar. And it also sounds like the boom in billion-dollar babies deserves our second-ever Tech Bubble Death Watch rating. Like the one we gave Facebook's IPO, this one's a five.

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So, the Facebook IPO did not exactly take off like a rocket. That's a blow to those, like us, who ...
So, the Facebook IPO did not exactly take off like a rocket. That's a blow to those, like us, who ...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Christ Johnson1
05:51 PM on 05/21/2012
I should make a site that sells bubbles.
09:52 AM on 05/21/2012
Tech bubbles are by nature easier to create than any other valuation. Indeed, there is no substance. It seems that the concept of substance (i.e. a value attached to an asset that can be reasonably measured) has vanished from the financial world. And this is one of the reasons why our economy struggles. Rare IPO's or offerings with substance (like Ford and Tesla) can be less hyped, and therefore generate less profits. When we pay close attention to what makes the financial world tick, we can only come to the concluson that the financial world lives in a bubble of its own (just look at how many "financial products" are not directly connected to material assets and you will understand why Wall Street has become a casino that from time to time helps the economy). Wall Street certainly no longer provides fair economical representation of the real economical world. And until that is changed, we will go thru cycles of bubbles and busts.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gerald4
licensed mechanical and electrical engineer
10:44 AM on 05/21/2012
Exactly!

The "Value" is all "Hype"!

What did P. T. Barnum say?
01:44 PM on 05/20/2012
It's another tech bubble. Yet another desperate attempt to pretend we still have a viable economy. Here in California, the homeland of tech companies, we are in a depression with close to 20% unemployment, despite business booming for Silicon Valley vulture capitalists. They have a plan they are about to put in place, to put ocean liners off the coast with cubicles foreign tech talent can rent to live in, outside American jurisdiction, Americans need not apply. They are calling it Blueseed. They insist on the lie that Americans don't have the tech ability, but of course we do, we just aren't cheap enough or willing to work under slave like conditions. Meanwhile Meg Whitman is planning to lay off 12,500 tech workers from HP. After all why hire Americans when you can get a desperate person from India or China to live on a slave ship? It's in the Sunday San Francisco Chronicle. Touted as a wonderful thing. For who? Guess.
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T Trump
Sarcasm / Truth / Mocking
06:33 PM on 05/19/2012
I predict Facebook will only be worth $10,00 a share by 2013, I'm putting all my money in the new start-up http://www.flipflopwines.com/
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Christian Howell
The STEM. The Whole STEM. Nothing but the STEM.
01:29 PM on 05/19/2012
What we are truly in now is an internet ad bubble. Large portions of these valuations are prospective ad revenue. What's needed right now is a for-pay model that works for consumers.
11:12 AM on 05/19/2012
Welcome to Laputa, the cloud-cuckoo land where ideas are more real than . . . reality!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DARK STAR
One small step for Man...
11:07 AM on 05/19/2012
Just goes to show you ideas are worth more than anything, even revenue.
04:44 AM on 05/22/2012
That's the way it should be!!! Ideas power the world.

Facebook changed the world from the Arabian Spring, to connecting people. That is innovation. Know we have to spend more resources on finding alternative energy sources.
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Vascopolis
FACTS and KNOWLEDGE, not HEARSAY and EMOTION
11:07 AM on 05/19/2012
I have never bought anything from any Internet ad, ever, and find them annoying. If anything, I subconciously stay AWAY from buying brands that have annoyed me.

In speaking with middle class friends, everything we buy is based generally on need, or sometimes impulse when it's right in front of you in a big box. I don't know anyone who buys from Internet ads.
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Vascopolis
FACTS and KNOWLEDGE, not HEARSAY and EMOTION
11:02 AM on 05/19/2012
"... a billion is worth a bit less then in 1998..."

WOW!

Is that the understatement of a lifetime.

Media stays clear of pointing out inflation as they make their living from retail advertisers...

$100 to go to a Hockey game ? $40 to take the family for a hamburger? $5 for WATER at airports and,... the best of all FIFTY CENTS A MINUTE FOR A CHAIR IN O'HARE AIRPORT !

"a bit less" huh.
11:16 AM on 05/19/2012
Inflation is the fart in the room that everyone smells but no one is allowed to acknowledge because the doors and windows have been sealed. And because the important rich guy in the room is the one who let it slip.
09:44 AM on 05/19/2012
A lot of these companies would be great 'small businesses' making a few hundred million dollars once they mature. I think these valuations almost set them up for failure. FB would be a great private company but as a public company? We'll see if they are able to keep the stench of evil-ness at bay. People already distrust a lot of their practices.
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bikefolder32
My micro bio is an honor student.
02:46 PM on 05/20/2012
It's this distrust that has sent their actual usage and ad revenue down over the past couple of years, which is why I was a bit surprised to hear that they were going forward with an IPO - it seems to be only guided by a need to cash in their current hype before more people leave the ship. The purchase of Instagram was another red flag that they're looking to diversify away from themselves.
I think the people who invest in them will be looking back on this two years from now and secretly gnashing their teeth at how over-hyped it was.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rnl52
Where is the next one coming from?
08:18 AM on 05/21/2012
And the share price was high, IMHO.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DIgnified
Hello hello again sh-boom & hoping well meet again
05:26 AM on 05/19/2012
Does no one else see this as an attempt to extract more cash for its underwriters and owners. Creating a new bubble to achieve the housing bubble effect without the risk of being stuck with worthless assets like millions of homes. Grab the money, tank the stock. Give people the finger. Wealthy individual.
01:49 PM on 05/20/2012
Yes, we see it. Don't worry. There are just some who have fallen for the polished brown object as usual. Also media hype is a depressing factor, touting the wonderfulness of tech vulture capitalists as if they were any different than Wall Street vultures. Google 'Blueseed' if you want to be horrified beyond measure a the new idea they have generated to eliminate American jobs. But it's good for us...right. Like an injection of ebola, that's how good.
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Y3rMawm
veni, vidi, bibi.
03:36 AM on 05/19/2012
Some day, we will come to grips with reality, and the idea that the only thing making money on the Interwebz is Teh Pr0nz.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
JScott
John Galt's last name is McGuffin-Smithee
03:11 AM on 05/19/2012
How is Pinterest different from the archive feature of Tumblr?????????/
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06:31 AM on 05/19/2012
That's the money question right thurre. I struggle to see the difference.
12:12 AM on 05/19/2012
Ad revenue only goes so far folks. The fact that an internet company was valued at 25x REVENUE is insane. Stay away from this bubble, it is going to pop big time. None of these companies have hard assets or demonstrated earning power. As soon as folks lose interest (which they will, as soon as the next popular internet theme comes along), they are toast. The Facebook valuation was pure comedy.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
frank1946
Tell the Truth
11:36 PM on 05/18/2012
Simple Market Saturation for Social Networks ?

Ad Council adjusted to Ad Boredom, so can Social Net ?

Imitation is the sincerest form of losing Money ?