OH-2012 President: 47% Romney (R), 44% Obama (D) (Gravis 9/2)

Gravis Marketing
9/2; 1,381 registered voters, 2.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
Gravis release

Ohio

2012 President
47% Romney (R), 44% Obama (D) (chart)

2012 Senate
44% Mandel (R), 44% Brown (D) (chart)

Comments

[JOHNLD777]

05:46 AM on 09/08/2012

No need to argue over an automated telephone poll that the neighbor's chicken could have answered. More reliable to throw jelly beans in the air. My only fear in this election is there are people ready to give the keys to two bumpkins and sell our Country out because they are convinced they are supposed to hate Obama. No foreign policy (confront Russia and China) , no common sense, and deception as a planned strategy. Ryan is a tea bagger and Mitt is a flip flopper extreme who could care less so long as he wins. Scary and frightening beyond words!

[lbrooks51115]

05:10 PM on 09/09/2012

John,

Well said...Watched Romney and cannot figure out what his position is..Claims he is not going to give the rich a tax break but yet his plan calls for it..Claims he is going to repeal Obama Care but supports covering pre-exisiting condition and kids coverage under the parents policy. This guy will say or do anything to get elected and anyone with common sense sees that..This guy is a joke..

[A New Jersey Farmer]

05:05 PM on 09/06/2012

ADP numbers have not always predicted the government jobs figures, but the trend seems to be clear. The market is improving,

[Awaiting theIdiocracy]

05:09 PM on 09/06/2012

Yes, ADP is only private sector, and we're still hemorrhaging public sector jobs. I'm guess 140-150,000 net.

[WhatHaveRepublicansDone]

12:10 PM on 09/06/2012

My post got eaten, but he is the jist of it. ADP says job creation at over 200,000 beating estimates by more than 50,000. First time unemployment claims down 12,000 this week, the dow and nasdaq soaring today and planned layoffs at a 20 month low. Great way to end the DNC!

[ciscoguy]

03:47 PM on 09/07/2012

Whoops, looks like you were off by a mere 104,000. It's time to let Obama go.

[WhatHaveRepublicansDone]

03:58 PM on 09/07/2012

Your not very smart are you?  I was off by nothing, those are the ADP numbers, the numbers that came out today is from a different bureau. 

[WhatHaveRepublicansDone]

11:57 AM on 09/06/2012

Looks like the repubs rooting for America to fail is going to have to go on for another month. ADP says job growth was over 200,000 beating estimates by over 50,000 unemployment claims down 12,000 form last week and planned layoffs are at a 20 month low. So lets recap the last two weeks for both parties, Romney loses ground in the election during his convention, Obama is gaining ground during his convention and then positive job numbers to bookend the DNC. And all the repubs can do is try to point to a little disagreement in the platform, which actually shows that Obama is the leader of his party unlike Romney. Obama said put the language back in and it was done. Romney too chicken to take on his party platform and we should expect him to be able to deal with foreign leaders.

[Rock River AR 15]

10:11 PM on 09/05/2012

NEWS FLASH - Obama cannot fill stadium. Bails to arena!

[dpearl]

10:15 PM on 09/05/2012

The facts and Weather.com says otherwise

[stillow1]

10:21 PM on 09/05/2012

If I were Dems I'd move it indoors too....you probably don't want to be outside when its cloudy, espeically after booing the allmighty....possibility of some divine lightning bolts maybe.........................

[Rock River AR 15]

10:34 PM on 09/05/2012

lol

[11thGenerationAmerican]

04:40 PM on 09/06/2012

Severe thunderstorms in Raleigh right now. Looks like it raining in Charlotte now too. That, and the fact that there was a waiting list of more than 20,000 for seats beyond capacity at BOA Stadium negates your talking point. Better luck next time.

[Rock River AR 15]

08:01 PM on 09/06/2012

wrong, dry most all day here. 1 mile from dnc

[gbshabo]

09:33 PM on 09/05/2012

So, Ohio has a population that consists of 0.75% Hispanics. Wow who knew.

[dpearl]

10:22 PM on 09/05/2012

Doug Kaplan's post below indicates that they found 10% Hispanics in a separate ethnicity question. It seems that much of the misunderstandings about this poll result from the "race" question where, white hispanics were not well separated from non-white hispanics.

[bipartisanshipsailed]

09:01 PM on 09/05/2012

I love the it's gotta be credible because I said we are nonpartisan. The question isn't partisanship the question is numbers. Maybe 25 blacks in total would vote for Romney but 25 percent let's be realistic. Not gonna happen. I can't say that the 10 percent likely black voters isn't possible because it is very likely. But the other numbers nope. But again I say all polls have some narrative or agenda to push. News polls are the worst. How good a story would you have if either of the candidates were ahead big? You wouldn't. For all we know Romney could actually winning big or vice versa. I give very few polls much credibility. All other polls I look at with a grain of salt.

[rafaelkafka]

08:33 PM on 09/05/2012

You are toasted, O.!

[PunchingDonkey]

08:25 PM on 09/05/2012

Doug Kaplan, who runs (is?) "Gravis Marketing" is a 2008 college grad. Who cares what this poll says?

[jstanavgguy]

07:31 PM on 09/05/2012

Yea, these polls are not going to make the left happy

[stillow1]

07:08 PM on 09/05/2012

All those in favor say aye...all those oppose say noooooo....lets do that again....and again......total debacle at the DNC....how embarrassing.

[HookedOnPolls]

07:19 PM on 09/05/2012

Oh yeah. They quietly slipped God & Jerusalem out but it was returned quite loudly.

[stillow1]

07:26 PM on 09/05/2012

Yeah....put back in with thunderous booos....unbeleivable....the look on villaraigosa's face was priceless....lets do that again..........ok lets do it yet again........he had no idea how to react to Good being bood...........

[ashenthorn]

11:53 PM on 09/05/2012

As an American voter, I'd just like to say: Who gives a crap which city is the capital of Israel?

[AaronTX]

01:18 AM on 09/06/2012

Exactly.

[John Dillingerr]

05:37 PM on 09/05/2012

doesnt matter.romney will win

too many 'people feel they got scammed by obamamania

[Xenobion]

05:46 PM on 09/05/2012

I feel like I got scammed by Romneymania.

[stillow1]

06:18 PM on 09/05/2012

I felt scammed when my wife put a gift certificate to Morton's Steak house inside a 65" high def TV box for my birthday a few years back...................

[StatsNo1fan]

05:57 PM on 09/05/2012

Hope faded all the way now..

http://www.thesmokinggun.com/documents/shepard-fairey-sentencing-report-683412

[John Dillingerr]

09:15 AM on 09/06/2012

that is hilarious

[Xenobion]

05:07 PM on 09/05/2012

One poll does not make a trend. Wait and see kiddies.

[ConservativeIntellectual]

04:56 PM on 09/05/2012

Waaahhhhhhhh. We're losing Ohio. The poll is flawed. Waaahhhhhhhhh.

[cmbat]

06:23 PM on 09/05/2012

Isn't your tag name an oxymoron.

[dopper0189]

04:49 PM on 09/05/2012

This poling firm has zero credibility! They get result like Romney with 35% of the black and 45% of the Latin vote. There poling in other states has been similarly bad. I simply ignore them, they aren't even worth paying attention to.

[jstanavgguy]

07:34 PM on 09/05/2012

The poll has Romney ahead, so the poll has no credibility.

If the same poll had Obama ahead, you would be telling us that this just confirms that Obama is leading, and will win the election in a landslide.

[dopper0189]

07:47 PM on 09/05/2012

Sorry no I wouldn't do that. I listed the specific reasons I thought the poll was wrong. Simply not "liking" a poll isn't a specific reason to doubt it credibility. But a poll showing that Romney is drawing historic numbers of voters from groups that he has struggled to gather support from is a specific reason to doubt it.  This pollster continues to have questionable demographic far out of line with every other major pollster, and historic norm.