NC-2012 President: 49% Obama (D), 48% Romney (R) (PPP 9/7-9/9)

PPP (D)
9/7/12-9/9/12; 1,087 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
PPP release

North Carolina

Obama Job Approval
50% approve, 49% disapprove (chart)

2012 President
49% Obama (D), 48% Romney (R) (chart)

Comments

[Lat1]

12:58 PM on 09/10/2012

New civitas poll out showing Romney up by 10 in NC. The major caveat it shows Romney winning 30% of black voters. Huh?

[TJampel]

12:54 PM on 09/10/2012

Romney is so cowed in terms of his positions that, I can actually imagine him working fine with a Dem Congress and even claiming to be a progressive again in 2016, should he sense that people have moved leftwards.

That's why he's so despicable to so many people, especially bedrock conservatives, who don't trust him further than their nose.

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

11:45 AM on 09/10/2012

The only way I may actually take Romney somewhat seriously about creating jobs, is when he comes out and says, if elected president, he'll really need a Democratic congress, to get anything worthwhile accomplished. Why was Reagan and Bush 1 considered good presidents? It was bipartisanship.

While Obama gets hit hard for debt, which he is paying interest on for Bush's borrowed money, Romney needs to answer for why Congress has done nothing but obstruct Obama, on signing a job's bill. It included training programs, rebuilding schools, bridges, roads and creates jobs the private sector isn't going to do alone.

[theocrat]

11:03 AM on 09/10/2012

Dems need to fight for states like NC, MO, IN, AZ, GA, MT instead of giving up on them every election.

[CYK]

05:48 PM on 09/10/2012

what's the point of burning $100 million to go from 350 EV to 400 EV when that money is much better spent on helping other candidates or future elections ?

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

10:29 AM on 09/10/2012

I think Obama is going to pull out NC, but I am not going to bet on it. If people vote early, and turn out in high numbers I think he will.

[TJampel]

01:02 PM on 09/10/2012

Doubt Obama will win NC. It's a huge lift; remember, it took a "perfect storm" in 2008 to make it happen; we don't have that this cycle. Over the next 4–8 years, it may become more like VA, and we're also seeing a definite shift away from a white voting population towards a minority one. Just look at the stats for '92 and today. And if Hispanics start registering and voting in anything close to their actual numbers in the state today (something over 700,000) NC could become reliably Dem 8 years from now (of course, Repubs may actually try to court Hispanics next time around, which would be a very sound strategy and, I think, a necessary one)

Still, putting up these numbers makes Willard's folks sweat bullets (OK, we need some non-partisan polling to make this result meaningful).

With Obama able to compete reasonably well in the money game, and fewer and fewer avenues for victory available to Romney, seeing firewall states become suddenly competitive is the very last thing Team Romney needs.

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

01:52 PM on 09/10/2012

Obama needs to try for NC though. In case he loses Iowa or Wisconsin, which could happen. His polling has been neck to neck for some time. NC has been moving in a bluer direction, because of it's changing demographics, whereas Missouri and Indiana, Obama will not do well in 2012. Those states don't have that much diversity, and they've gone back to strong GOP states. NC will be close.

[Awaiting theIdiocracy]

10:08 AM on 09/10/2012

It'll be one point or two, probably for Romney.

[Field Marshall]

09:42 AM on 09/10/2012

Told ya Romney would win NC by 5 points....

[theocrat]

11:04 AM on 09/10/2012

As long as Romney's not President, that's okay.