Experts Say Obama 'Unlikely' To Win Arizona

09/18/2012 12:16 pm ET

“The reason the administration thinks it can go after Arizona is part factual and part campaign hype,” said Antonio Gonzalez, president of William C. Velasquez Institute, a nonpartisan Latino public policy research organization with offices in California and Texas. “This is the factual part: the Latino vote is surging . . . and that’s their card [in the campaign]. The hype is about campaign tactics and strategy. The incumbent, with plenty of money and staff, decides to say he can play in his opponent’s back yard – ‘I’m going to come and get you on your turf.’ . . . In Arizona, this is more a misdirected play.”