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Al Eisele

Al Eisele

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A Scouting Report on the 2012 GOP Hopefuls

Posted: 04/17/11 04:09 PM ET

Dear Boss:

You asked for a scouting report on the likely 2012 Republican presidential candidates, so here it is.

The good news is that there are a couple of decent prospects who might be ready to play in the big leagues. The bad news is that overall, this is the weakest lineup since the '62 New York Mets.

Here's my take on the ones I followed in spring training. Only a handful, most of them former governors, are worth a second look, starting with Mitt Romney.

Mitt Romney: Mitt, great name for a guy who's good field, no hit. He looks like a president and talks like one too, but he has two problems: One, he's from Massachusetts, and two, he can't handle inside pitching by the right wing.

The last Massachusetts Republican who could hit the high hard one was Cotton Mather, who thought burning witches was the way to win votes. Romney figured a better way was to use the Bay State as a laboratory for national health insurance, but he struck out in his 2008 Iowa tryout, and the Tea Party crowd would like to dump him into Boston Harbor. Besides, the Kennedys own the White House franchise in Massachusetts.

There's also the Mormon thing, which could be a problem. You may have thought religion wasn't an issue after Jack Kennedy's election, but unfortunately, that stuff about polygamy and sacred underwear still bothers a lot of people, according to the sportswriters.

Tim Pawlenty:
He's from Minnesota, the land of 10,000 lakes and almost as many presidential candidates. (See Harold Stassen, Hubert Humphrey, Gene McCarthy, Walter Mondale, Jesse Ventura, and now Michele Bachmann.) He's no Harmon Killebrew, but he can hit for distance as he did while cutting spending and balancing the state budget. John McCain almost picked him as his running mate in 2008 until he called up Sarah Palin from the Wasilla farm team. Problem is Pawlenty's too Minnesota nice and won't break up a double play by taking out the shortstop.

Mike Huckabee: When's the last time Arkansas produced a president? Oh that's right, Bill Clinton, but he was a Democrat. The Huckster's popular in the GOP clubhouse and had a decent season in 2008, he likes his gig on Fox News more than schlepping through the snow in New Hampshire. Besides, America isn't ready for a President Huckabee.

Haley Barbour:
He's a proven big leaguer as a Washington lobbyist, GOP fundraiser and kingmaker, and governor of Mississippi, but his uncertain fielding of questions about the White Citizens Council in Yazoo City and his image as an archetypical good old boy and political fixer may not play well with voters when his team heads north after spring training.

Sarah Palin: Mama Grizzly's still a star despite her dismal performance as McCain's running mate when she failed to hit in the clutch against Katie Couric, and she can still fill a stadium with adoring fans. But her refusal to finish the game in Alaska's statehouse and her anemic batting average on policy issues, especially foreign relations, makes her a big question mark in 2012.

Now for the others, who probably won't make it past Double A. They remind me of the rookie in spring training who wrote to his mother, "Ma, I'll be home soon, they're starting to throw curve balls."

Donald Trump: For sheer New York chutzpah and comic relief, he'd make a great pinch hitter, but the Donald should be disqualified for his "birther" obsession, if not his hair alone. If I was his manager, I'd tell him, "You're Fired."

Newt Gingrich: Talk about retreads. The Newtster's been trying to make it back to the majors ever since House Republicans gave him his release as speaker in 1999. Probably the brightest and most original thinker among the GOP prospects, but there's that problem of his multiple wives. As Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul recently told a Washington audience, "He may have more war positions than he's had wives."

Ron Paul:
The Texas congressman and father of Rand Paul is a good switch hitter, having run for president as a Libertarian in 1988 and as a Republican in 2008. He still has a small but loyal army of fans who love to see him throw knockdown pitches at nearly every government agency. But if he sees any action in 2012, it'll strictly be as a long reliever.

Rudy Giuliani:
He pitched a perfect game on 9/11, but he'll need the political equivalent of Tommy John surgery if he hopes to win any games in 2012.

Rick Santorum:
Losing his Pennsylvania Senate seat two years ago by the biggest margin of any incumbent in 30 years isn't the best way to impress GOP kingmakers, but he's working hard to impress the fans in the conservative grassroots bleachers. Could be the Richard Nixon or the Barry Goldwater of 2012.

Mitch Daniels: Many Republicans consider him the best prospect from Indiana since Dan Quayle, but he doesn't seem to have the fire in his belly. Probably needs a better fast ball and a couple more seasons in the minors.

Michele Bachmann: The outspoken Minnesota congresswoman is the darling of the Tea Party and a media star who knows how to rally the grassroots and raise tons of money, as she proved with a $13 million haul in her last House race. With a better change-up and a little more control, she could be the Sarah Palin of 2012.

Jon Huntsman:
The former Utah governor and ambassador to China could give Mitt Romney a run for his money and prove that a Mormon can win it all.

Chris Christie: He may be hitting .300 in New Jersey, but he better lose 50 pounds and quit bad mouthing opposing players if he hopes to make it to the big leagues.

John Bolton: The last Republican presidential candidate with a mustache was Tom Dewey, and you know what happened to him.

 
Dear Boss: You asked for a scouting report on the likely 2012 Republican presidential candidates, so here it is. The good news is that there are a couple of decent prospects who might be ready to p...
Dear Boss: You asked for a scouting report on the likely 2012 Republican presidential candidates, so here it is. The good news is that there are a couple of decent prospects who might be ready to p...
 
 
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10:50 AM on 05/11/2011
Please don't insult the Mets
06:36 PM on 04/21/2011
Huntsman is the smartest and best qualified. Cain would also be excellent.
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pseudonymXXVI
I (Respectfully) Disagree
11:34 PM on 04/20/2011
What? NOOOO! Trump must win!
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robert horwitz
10:01 AM on 04/20/2011
Al I have been following Policy and Politics for a long time. There is a better chance of me jumping off the top of a really tall tree onto a really large trampoline and landing on the Moon than any of these folks that you critiqued here has a chance of becoming President. This is not just a weak bench. They are all sitting on and supported by a weak bench.
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samtee
Shankapotomus.
07:44 PM on 04/18/2011
Lets see 3 trillion and things are no better maybe worse if people vote O back in it will show just how stupid Americans have gotten.
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pseudonymXXVI
I (Respectfully) Disagree
11:34 PM on 04/20/2011
Republicans filibustered education reform. Oh the irony.
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gutenmorgen
a.k.a. poopdeck
04:05 PM on 04/18/2011
I believe that it was George Bernard Shaw who once quipped: "You Americans elect your King".
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gurukalehuru
cwtc7
04:01 PM on 04/18/2011
Mr. Eisele, you are far too generous, across the board.
01:16 PM on 04/18/2011
Obama's got a billion dollars to spend--and there's more where that came from. He's got the incumbency. He's got his considerable gifts as a campaigner and speaker. He also has a starkly divided Republican party to run against. (This is shaping up to be another '64, when Goldwater had to run against an incumbent Democrat and the moderate wing of his own party at the same time.)

The smart money in the GOP is already looking toward 2016--no incumbent, no billion dollars, and most likely this teabag purity-test thing will have run its course and the GOP might be able to again present a united front.

To belabor the baseball analogy, this is one of those games when the GOP find itself down 10-0 in the late innings and they're bringing in their worst relief pitchers so they can save the arms of their best pitchers for another day. Garbage time.
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Bailey Reynolds
Gulf War vet, Recovering Republican
12:16 PM on 04/18/2011
It's so bad, we should just let Obama keep being president. Would save a lot of money!
11:42 AM on 04/18/2011
Now I like minor league baseball. The tickets are cheap, and if you attended the first game of the Charleston Riverdogs (South Carolina) a few days ago, you would have seen part-owner Bill Murray throwing out the first ball.

So that's my recommendation to the Republican Tea Party - Bill Murray for President. He wouldn't be any worse than the rest of the field.
10:54 AM on 04/18/2011
so we have a bunch of white guys and two white women just to show that the GOP is fair and balanced. no all-stars. but, wait. Mr. Applegate [amn Yankees] is in the wings and he is willing to make one of them a winner for the price of a soul. Michael Chertoff was born to play Applegate but who will be cast as Lola? Let the nominations begin.
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libertarian uprising
A "living" constitution, is a dead constitution.
10:58 AM on 04/18/2011
Why should race matter?
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Nagarjuna
and/or Not Nagarjuna
11:22 AM on 04/19/2011
Don't forget Pizza Guy.
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10:50 AM on 04/18/2011
does not matter who runs on the Republican side, they will win.

over $4.00 gas, three wars instead of two, GITMO still open and spending still crazy.

Can't defend President Obama
11:33 AM on 04/18/2011
You must be joking.
Just not being President Obama does not make the GOP candidate a winner.
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Bailey Reynolds
Gulf War vet, Recovering Republican
12:17 PM on 04/18/2011
LMAO. Really? Hope you're not too disappointed come Nov. 2012, Less Taxes is better.
06:04 PM on 04/18/2011
Yup, less taxes are great allright they're the lowest in decades now, thats why the economy is going full steam ahead and S&P just put the USA on creditwatch.
Reaganomics got us here and It's a DEEP HOLE to dig out of.
10:17 AM on 04/18/2011
These pundits need to just STOP giving Tim Pawlenty credit for being almost good-enough to run. He is not. Persistence isn't a qualifier for President. He didn't balance the state budget - he deferred payments to "out" years (a uniquely Minnesotan prospect, I think). He called taxes "fees", he hurt public education and turned his back on the neediest Minnesotans.
He is not presidential. Even a weak GOP candidate pool doesn't Pawlenty a stronger candidate.
09:41 AM on 04/18/2011
If Mitch Daniels decided to run, he would become the front runner overnight.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Gudrun
My micro-bio is empty
11:36 AM on 04/18/2011
If he runs, it will be to get the heck out of Indiana.
12:12 PM on 04/18/2011
True, I can see where he would prefer not to leave a state which is solvent, with lower unemployment than most, lower taxes than most,and a growing number of businesses moving in to take on the mess the democrats have made of the national economy.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Bailey Reynolds
Gulf War vet, Recovering Republican
12:19 PM on 04/18/2011
No one knows who he is (nationally). He may as well stay home and save his money.
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ritamary
09:26 PM on 04/18/2011
Oh yeah, Mitch Daniels is soooo charismatic...
12:45 PM on 04/19/2011
And Obama proves that charisma alone doesn't work very well.
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theprez21
I like sarcasm
09:28 AM on 04/18/2011
I agree that this is a horrible line-up. The only two 'moderates' that could challenge Obama are Mitt and Pawlenty, but I do not see them getting by the die-hards in the primary. Huntsman is a moderate lonnnnngggggg shot.


Everyone else with potential to win has a closet full of skeletons that come out once the primary is over (Huckabee-a gay hating creationist; Bachmann's looney MSNBC appearances and talk that God wants her to run; Newt-the the doublespeaking Hugh Heffner of the GOP; Barbour-a KKK and lobbyist problem or two; and Palin-the list is too long; Trump-supermodels, wild hair, tv shows and birth certificate expeditions)

Obama goes to the center, stay Presidential and above the fray and hopes the economy keeps recovering, and he gets a 2nd term.