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Alan Elsner

Alan Elsner

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U.S. Must Safeguard Regional Stability as It Handles Egypt Crisis

Posted: 02/ 2/11 08:27 PM ET

The Obama administration is rightly focused on helping Egyptians establish democracy and get rid of a regime that has totally lost the support of the people. However, as it maneuvers to help fashion an orderly transition of power, the United States should also make regional stability and preserving the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty a very high priority.

Stability seems like a fairly prosaic ideal to put aside soaring aspirations for democracy and freedom. But it is fundamental. Without stability, a peaceful transition to true democracy will not happen, and in its absence, extremism will flourish.

Israel has been unfairly portrayed by some in the blogosphere as supporting the Mubarak regime and opposing peaceful democratic change in Egypt. This is untrue. As Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Tuesday, "We encourage the promotion of values of freedom and democracy in the Middle East."

However he noted that "if extremist forces are allowed to take advantage of democratic processes in order to take power, like what happened in Iran and other places, the consequences will mean that peace and democracy are hurt."

Israel is the first, the firmest and the truest democracy in the Middle East and its people have great sympathy for ordinary Egyptians. They know that Egypt under Mubarak has stagnated, and they hope that its people, and all people in the Arab world, can soon have the same rights that Israelis take for granted -- freedom of speech and assembly, the right to organize politically and to vote and the right to earn an honest living through productive labor.

It is also essential that any future Egyptian government commits itself to honor all past commitments made by previous administrations -- and the United States must make this crystal clear to all political players in Egypt. This is a bedrock principle of international relations. Just as successive Israeli governments, whether led by the right or the left, have honored all the international obligations undertaken by its predecessors, Israelis expect the same from Egypt.

It's not as if Israel has been the only, or even the main beneficiary, of the peace treaty. The countries fought four wars between 1948 and 1967 which took thousands of lives and wasted billions of dollars on unproductive military spending. Peace with Israel will be crucial for the future rulers of Egypt if they are to meet the expectations of their people for economic progress and an escape from the grinding poverty that afflicts so many.

The Middle East badly needs a stable Egypt, anchored to the West through its peaceful relationship with Israel. Even as the masses demonstrate in Cairo, Iran is steadily expanding its influence in the region, which it seeks first to destabilize and then to dominate.

Iran, through its Hezbollah allies, already has established a powerful position, perhaps even a dominant presence, in Lebanon. Through its Shi'ite, it has a powerful voice in Iraq and through its alliance with President Assad it has a foothold in Syria.

Tehran clearly aims, through its illegal nuclear weapons program, to intimidate the Gulf emirates and Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter. Egypt is a natural bulwark against Iranian aggression -- but in order to play that role it must be stable.

The Egyptian uprising is primarily about two things -- its people's wish for more control over their lives and their desire for more jobs and more prosperity. To achieve this, Egyptians need peace and stability. Thousands of Egyptian jobs were lost last week when major companies like Nestle, Nissan and British Gas withdrew from Egypt. Israel imports twice as much from Egypt as it exports, although trade between the two countries could vastly expand if Egypt's new rulers allow it to.

Egyptians should understand, and the United States should emphasize to them, that Israel is not part of their problem. It is part of their solution.

 

Follow Alan Elsner on Twitter: www.twitter.com/alanelsner

The Obama administration is rightly focused on helping Egyptians establish democracy and get rid of a regime that has totally lost the support of the people. However, as it maneuvers to help fashion a...
The Obama administration is rightly focused on helping Egyptians establish democracy and get rid of a regime that has totally lost the support of the people. However, as it maneuvers to help fashion a...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
omobob
left coast, usa
01:02 PM on 02/03/2011
> Egypt is a natural bulwark against Iranian aggression

I thought the preemptive strike policy of the IDF already has that job, No?
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RubalKhali
Philosophy is the stray camel of the faithful
04:40 AM on 02/04/2011
long past time to fan you omobob.
09:16 AM on 02/03/2011
"Israel has been unfairly portrayed by some in the blogosphere as supporting the Mubarak regime and opposing peaceful democratic change in Egypt. This is untrue."

It's fair to say that if the Israeli leader has been contacting other major officials and urging them to support Mubarak. He has been.Therefore, it's perfectly true to say that the Israeli government is in support of a repressive, hated, undemocratic Mubarak regime and oppose peaceful regime change in Egypt.

In addition, it is odd that you make not a single argument for why the United States needs a "stable" Egypt. You seem to think that we should take your word for it that what is best for Israel is automatically best for the United States. That is not the case.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sam Bark
It's a MAD world after all...
02:31 AM on 02/04/2011
amake616 -- You are so quick to jump on Israel for calling for a stable government in Egypt....
Your inference that the alternative is a Democracy in Egypt is laughable.... Is that like the ONE in Iran and Gaza?
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scholasticus
I don't have to believe your "-ism".
07:08 AM on 02/03/2011
"Israel is the first, the firmest and the truest democracy in the Middle East..."

And yet, 5,000,000 gentiles live under the political and military control of 5,000,000 Jews in the former Palestine Mandate. Utterly false democracy.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sam Bark
It's a MAD world after all...
02:34 AM on 02/04/2011
Your math is very interesting...... but does not compute in arabic numbers....

There are 7.1 million inhabitant in Israel of which 5.4 are Jews.... where are the 5 million Arabs? Gaza is under Hamas control whi declare WAR on Israel....
The PA rule the West Bank.... so what gives?
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RubalKhali
Philosophy is the stray camel of the faithful
04:36 AM on 02/03/2011
Israel started all the wars save one with the Arabs. Peace and stability would be better served by cutting Israel off from the billions in aid and weapon transfers.
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AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
08:54 AM on 02/03/2011
fanned - and why has Israel not been condemned for not signing the non-proliferation treaty? Who knows what Israel has in its nuclear arsenal?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
StCuthbert
Anytime the mods are ready...
11:27 AM on 02/03/2011
That is simply not true.
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Amryxx
politeness rules, but with sharpened edges
12:41 AM on 02/03/2011
Suppose that the new Egyptian government go, "bah, screw the peace treaty". It could be for a variety of reasons - even to deflect the woes of their populace. The motivation doesn't matter.

The question is, what is the US going to do about it? Operation Ajax: 2nd Edition?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
11:27 PM on 02/02/2011
The U.S. should not be propping up Egypt and we should not be propping up Israel. Israel's security will come from abandoning aggression and the occupation. Security will come through a just peace, something Israel has resisted.
08:05 AM on 02/03/2011
Stability is the new codeword, replacing security - of course it is only one way. To explain his position, Mr Elsner is Senior Director, Communications and Research with the Israel Project.
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blessedfrog
Smedley Butler
09:44 PM on 02/02/2011
Stability via oppression and poverty is neither tenable nor acceptable
09:44 PM on 02/02/2011
US must safeguard regional stability even if that means propping up dictators and suppressing millions of people.
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Vlady
Better Late
11:10 PM on 02/02/2011
child telling the truth
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AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
08:55 AM on 02/03/2011
Done it for years - why change now?
08:59 PM on 02/02/2011
That's funny Mr.Elsner, you never mentioned the Palestinians in your article....hmmmmmm
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Vlady
Better Late
11:13 PM on 02/02/2011
...such as the chairman Arafat, the Egyptian
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08:58 PM on 02/02/2011
Not to sound naive, or anything, but given our very real lack of success in bringing peace to the Middle East--Two Wars, ongoing efforts at destabilizing governments, and complete bollocking up of the Israel/Palestine mess--why is it on our shoulders to do anything there to control the course of events?

Let's let France or England or Spain or somebody else give it a try. Maybe they'll have better luck than we have.
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Vlady
Better Late
11:19 PM on 02/02/2011
>>Let's let France or England or Spain or somebody else give it a try

Those countries bogged down in the trade conflicts of soccer players
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AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
09:00 AM on 02/03/2011
Let's let the people of the Middle East decide for themselves. We are not the army of the world, the police of the world, the dictator of the world - although some would portray us in those terms.

Seems like every time we interfere in the workings of other countries and stick our nose into their governments, we end up paying the price of dead and wounded troops, a huge bite from our tax dollars, and the short end of the stick.
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02:00 PM on 02/03/2011
I agree, totally. That was my point, exactly!