iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Alex Nowrasteh

GET UPDATES FROM Alex Nowrasteh
 

Economic Judgment on Arizona's Immigration Law

Posted: 04/24/2012 4:53 pm

On April 25, the U.S. Supreme Court will hear oral arguments over the constitutionality of Arizona's controversial immigration law. But jurisprudence aside, the economic verdict is already in: The law has damaged Arizona's economy.

Arizona's immigration law burdens businesses with regulation and penalizes workers. It has driven tens of thousands of laborers, consumers and entrepreneurs from the state, turning its bad economy even worse.

At its heart, Arizona's immigration policy is an unfunded mandate that raises the cost of hiring workers and expanding production. Neither is good policy in even the best of economies, which we are far from experiencing currently.

The worst example: E-Verify. It's an electronic verification system that employers are supposed to use to check the legal work status of all new employees. Besides failing to detect unauthorized immigrants 54 percent of the time -- thus flunking its core function -- E-Verify falsely identifies legal workers as illegal about one percent of the time.

Arizona's immigration law also expands the so-called "business death penalty," where second-time offenders who knowingly or intentionally hire unauthorized workers lose their business licenses. This penalty deters businesses from moving to Arizona, expanding within in the state, or even starting up in the first place.

Businesses hire fewer new workers when confronted by expensive and complicated regulations such as Arizona's. Richard Melman, described as the "Steven Spielberg of the restaurant industry," halted plans to open an Asian-themed restaurant in Scottsdale after E-Verify became mandatory. He said, "You put in $3 million or $4 million, and you can be shut down for a mistake. Why take a chance? I want to see how it plays out."

E-Verify and the business death penalty didn't open up jobs for Americans; it drove entrepreneurs from the state.

All of this is reflected in Arizona's unemployment rate, which has been at or above the national average since mid-2008. Contrary to rhetoric, unauthorized migrants don't just sit around breaking immigration laws all day (and they are also far less likely than naturalized citizens to commit violent and property crimes in general, by the way). Immigrants fill low-wage jobs, start businesses, buy products from Americans, and grow the economy. But tens of thousands of these productive workers have either gone deeper into the informal economy or left the state completely. Their economic contributions have left along with them.

Unauthorized immigrants rarely compete for the same jobs as natives because they have poor language skills that put them at the bottom of the labor market. Communication in English is more important than brawn for better-paid professions; a productive immigrant labor force, therefore, tends to push more Americans up the wage ladder.

In Arizona they are concentrated in agriculture, construction, manufacturing, leisure and hospitality, food preparation, and the retail trade. Without an available supply of low-skilled workers, many of those businesses fail and prices for the goods they produce would rise.

Agriculture is a prime example. Farmer Tim Dunn grows black-eyed peas and garbanzo beans near Yuma, but he is having trouble finding enough labor to pick them. "We just don't see people walking up, looking for jobs like they used to," he says. Other farmers across the state tell similar stories.

Dunn's choice is not between paying low or high wages -- it is between paying low wages, stopping production, or shifting to more expensive crops that don't require pickers. As a result, Arizona farmers are shifting from growing profitable crops like alfalfa and tomatoes to less profitable crops like cotton and wheat because they can be harvested with machines. This amounts to government-created labor scarcity -- and it does not produce prosperity or greater wealth for Americans at large.

The Supreme Court will ignore the mighty contribution of unauthorized immigrants to Arizona's economy. Getting rid of immigration laws that restrict the movement of peaceful and healthy migrants would allow them to contribute even more. Arizona should be making it legal for them to work instead of increasing penalties on Americans for hiring the employees they want. Whether or not Arizona's immigration law is constitutional, it is bad economic policy, and the last thing an economy struggling to create jobs needs.

Alex Nowrasteh is the immigration policy analyst at the Cato Institute's Center for Global Liberty and Prosperity.

 

Follow Alex Nowrasteh on Twitter: www.twitter.com/AlexNowrasteh

FOLLOW POLITICS
On April 25, the U.S. Supreme Court will hear oral arguments over the constitutionality of Arizona's controversial immigration law. But jurisprudence aside, the economic verdict is already in: The la...
On April 25, the U.S. Supreme Court will hear oral arguments over the constitutionality of Arizona's controversial immigration law. But jurisprudence aside, the economic verdict is already in: The la...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 62
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2  Next ›  Last »  (2 total)
photo
voyager48
Illegitimi Non Carborundum
11:30 AM on 04/30/2012
"All of this is reflected in Arizona's unemployment rate"

It sure is - but not the way you depict.

AZ unemployment rate April 2010 = 9.6% US unemployment rate = 9.0%. The difference is 0.8 %
AZ unemployment rate March 2012 = 8.6%, US unemployment rate = 8.2%. The difference is 0.4%

The gap has halved since SB1070 in contrast to California - the bastion of sanctuary policies where their unemployment rate gap has widened by 0.5% in the same period.

Also relevant is Alabama's HB56 which has seen a dramatic 2% drop in unemployment in the 9 months since its inception, with their unemployment rate going from being 0.2% above the national average to 0.9% below it!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
atexasdem
Pointing out the foolishness of republican voters.
10:45 AM on 04/26/2012
Workers fleeing Arizona for jobs in other states should be aware that many companies, especially in the construction industry will not hire them because of their reputation for disruptions in the workforce.
It seems that Arizona workers have developed a reputation for bringing their bigotry with them and believing that what is acceptable in Arizona is also acceptable in other states. Texas for instance has thriving construction and oil field industries. With the high numbers of Hispanic workers racist comments are not tolerated and are a disruption to teamwork. Most employers are choosing to avoid this situation by simply not hiring Arizona workers and the discord they tend to cause.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
04:00 PM on 04/26/2012
And you know this how?

Are you a construction worker or an employee of a construction company?

Or are you someone who just enjoyed making up stories?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
atexasdem
Pointing out the foolishness of republican voters.
05:13 PM on 04/26/2012
I'm a native born, tried and true Texan. I can see why you can't get a job. Stay in Jersey, your not tough enough for Texas.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
atexasdem
Pointing out the foolishness of republican voters.
05:41 AM on 04/27/2012
I'm a native Texan who's not jobless.
photo
Snake1994
Snakebite!
04:58 PM on 04/25/2012
Unauthorized immigrants don't break immigration laws! How do you supposed they got here? And how many laws are they breaking once they're here? Phony ID's, phony SS cards, phony drivers license's. Do you want me to go on?
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
Trepasky
Sanity is neither free nor easy
04:09 PM on 04/25/2012
Alabama and Airizona two GOP/TP experiments of smaller GOV by spending the tax payer money to fund their ideology.

1) Forcing the states to defend bad legislation
2) Reducing business customers by forcing undocumented to leave the state
3) Reducing state and city tax revenues, sales, tax, and more because of a lower demand for products and people leaving the state
4) Increase the cost for businesses to do business in the state

The GOP never passes up a good opportunity to increase the role of GOV and the need for highly paid lawyers to defend their ideologically driven legislature.
photo
bad spelling grammar
Help save Big Cats from extinction!
03:03 PM on 04/25/2012
Anything that hurts Arizona is ok in my book, they are competing against Florida for the stupidest state award in this country and with laws stating that conception begins before a sperm fertilizes and egg I think they just won.
06:27 PM on 04/25/2012
Congrats..if they ever make a Four Stooges movie you got a gig.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
becky bradshaw
"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth
12:08 PM on 04/25/2012
Mr. Nowrasteh is a lobbyist for unlimited immigration, so we should receive his opinion as such.

We can measure the impact of "loose" immigration laws (status quo) in two ways. The first measure, as advocated by Alex, measures the economy as perceived by the ownership class. If a policy increases the value of enterprise, then the policy is good.

But "loose" immigration laws can be measured in a second manner, that is, the effect on the average person. If a policy reduces the quality of life, then that policy is bad.

And, so it is true for our immigration laws. If you operate a business which can benefit from cheap labor, illegal immigration is a good thing. However, if you work for wages, then illegal immigration is bad.

We now have examples of a more restricted immigration policy in both Arizona and Alabama. The results are following expectation. Alabama's December unemployment rate fell to 8.1%, down from 8.7% in November and 9.8% in September.

“In the last three months alone, we’ve seen an unprecedented drop of 1.7 percentage points,” noted Alabama Republican Gov. Robert Bentley
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Chief Johnson2
We, Hispanics, are the future.
11:01 PM on 04/27/2012
On December unemployment always decrease everywhere.
photo
voyager48
Illegitimi Non Carborundum
10:45 AM on 04/25/2012
I think the point is that artificially propping up either pricing or unprofitable industries is detrimental to all. If we cannot compete and an industry is deemed to be strategic - then the government can use tariffs to protect it.

You cannot have it both ways - free trade and subsidized industries. By your example, if it is unprofitable then the way it should be is to import beans from Mexico not Mexicans to grow beans here!
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
10:16 AM on 04/25/2012
How dare AZ businesses try to follow immigration laws in hiring? After all, the DEMANDS of the illegals and their supporters come first - not the law.

Doesn't seem to have affected the businesses in AZ - most are doing quite well. Housing prices are going up, too - more people are buying homes in AZ now, even though prices are higher. Unemployment is also down, even for - gasp - citizens and legal immigrants.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
WILLJLA
Seneca Falls, and Selma, and Stonewall
09:53 AM on 04/25/2012
And don't forget the boycott - I will not go to Az.
12:03 PM on 04/25/2012
I'm sure they won't miss you.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Chief Johnson2
We, Hispanics, are the future.
10:59 PM on 04/27/2012
You can take it like a joke. But this is serious business. I am an American Citizen and an Hispanic, too. I used to go to Arizona 3 or 4 a year to rest for long weekends in my wife aunt"s home. We are not going any more, we don't want to have our kids scare because a policeman stop us and harass us only because we look "illegal".
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
atexasdem
Pointing out the foolishness of republican voters.
10:57 AM on 04/26/2012
It's not safe to visit Arizona. Arizona has become much like the 1960's old south. You are in special danger if you are non white, dress in an unusual manner or say anything considered controversial. Being arrested on trumped up charges while far from home is one of the worst nightmares for any visitor. Fortunately in America we have many beautiful places to see and vacation where we don't have to constantly fear arrest.
photo
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
BlackJAC
It's better to be a black king than a white knight
08:58 AM on 04/25/2012
If it hurts Arizona, then I'm all for it.  Not only should SB 1070 be upheld if it's causing all this damage to them, it should be made part of the state constitution so they'll be stuck with it for decades.
02:43 AM on 04/25/2012
"Arizona's immigration law also expands the so-called "business death penalty," where second-time offenders who knowingly or intentionally hire unauthorized workers lose their business licenses. This penalty deters businesses from moving to Arizona, expanding within in the state, or even starting up in the first place." Really? You mean businesses look for states that do not enforce immigration laws so they can hire illegals and deliberately put their businesses in jeopardy? I don't buy this for a second. And are you aware, sir, that 7 million illegal aliens hold non-agricultural jobs? I'll bet US citizens in Arizona could use some of those jobs.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Emma2011
06:42 AM on 04/25/2012
Non-agricultural jobs that would become available to Americans if Romney's self-deportation plan is allowed to go forward: Dishwasher, domestic maid, delivery boy/messenger, manicurist, dog walker, dry cleaner attendant, nanny, commercial cleaner, home aid for the elderly, landscaper, other restaurant jobs, stable boy....the list goes on.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
prettyinpink
Liberalism-Ideas so good-they're MANDATORY
04:52 PM on 04/25/2012
Perhaps some of those now collecting welfare or extended unemployment benefits can land one of these positions?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
atexasdem
Pointing out the foolishness of republican voters.
10:23 AM on 04/26/2012
If you live in fear that some uneducated, illiterate illegal who can't even read, write or speak English is going to steal your job the problem isn't with him, the problem is with you and your decision to drop out of grade school.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Nuyorican21
Law Clerk
12:47 PM on 06/14/2012
There's a difference between paying a fine and having your business shut down. And training new workers and managers to use E-Verify is also more costs that cut into profit margin. They already have enough paperwork to fill-in every time they hire a worker.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ugly american
"I drank what?"- Last words of Socrates
12:57 AM on 04/25/2012
If the author advocates for foreign nationals and businesses to ignore laws they find unacceptable, does he also advocate the rights for ordinary citizens to avoid punishment for breaking laws they don't like? That would then be an easy bandwagon to join, but it would head the nation toward anarchy.
A good example of where such rights exist is Somalia.
But they are really not a sovereign nation anymore.
Any business anywhere in the world has to abide by the laws of the nation they operate in. Only in the most corrupt can they "buy" the right to do as they please. Only the most corrupt businessmen would do that.
A good example is Walmart presently buying their way out of an investigation in Mexico.
If the author feels that businesses need foreign nationals that badly, they should disavow their US charter and move their business to the country that supplies their workers. They will have all they need without burdensome American regulations. There would be the detail of different regulations in their new country that might not be as friendly as the US.
If they don't hire US citizens, what does America need with them?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ugly american
"I drank what?"- Last words of Socrates
12:34 AM on 04/25/2012
E-Verify is NOT a "burden on business" of any size.
I happen to run a small business. I ran ten people through the system after about a five minute sign-up time. It took entering just a little information. An ID number, a social security number and a name. Enter a fake name, it bounces. It came back every time almost instantly.
Lately, we got to try it on a true illegal alien. We entered his foreign data and sure enough it came back that he was an illegal alien and we should contact the federal authorities.
His visa had expired two days before because of a Navy show he stayed for. We had a good laugh and he took Qantas back to Australia the next day.
No E-Verify is not a burden. If you have thousands of employees, have your HR department do it. But it is simple, effective and accurate.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Emma2011
10:24 AM on 04/25/2012
I support E-verify and a tamper-proof biometric social security card coupled with legalization of the otherwise law-abiding undocumented immigrants.
Biometric technology is already used for passports. E-verify is 99% correct today, so it is good to go.

Romney's plan to make more than ten million consumers and workers flee would be very disruptive and would severely hamper the economic recovery.
09:01 PM on 04/24/2012
Illegals from Mexico are a huge financial burden . The costs of section 8 housing for them and their many children, medical care for their children, education , food stamps etc far outweigh any benefit from cheap labor.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
happylonersarah
Of all the Planets, WHY was I born on this one?
02:12 AM on 04/25/2012
Show us an actual study that proves that.
photo
AlfredE69
Liberty Lovin' Tree Hugger
07:14 AM on 04/25/2012
This is from the US Treasury.

Individuals Who Are Not Authorized to Work in the United States Were Paid $4.2 Billion in Refundable Credits

http://www.treasury.gov/tigta/auditreports/2011reports/201141061fr.html#detailedobj
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
04:23 PM on 04/25/2012
A paper by WIlliam Kerr and Sari Kerr for the Harvard Business School did a survey of relevant studies on immigration (legal or otherwise) in the US and in Europe. On the point of the fiscal effects of immigrants in the US they conclude "that even though migrants initially represent a net cost to the society, this cost is smaller and lasts a much shorter time than the initial cost of a newborn native that has to be schooled. Indeed, by comparison, a newly-born native represented a discounted net cost of $80k. As the initial societal cost of newborn natives is so great, immigrants in their 20s and 30s are attractive from a fi…scal perspective."
http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/09-013.pdf
02:03 PM on 04/26/2012
That makes no sense. If someone works painting houses or gardening and has four children born here they will get benefits that total more than a hundred thousand a year far more than their salaries. Many studies have been done that show that eeven after decades they and their children get far more in benefits than they pay in taxes if they pay anything .I was born here and didnt cost the state anything because my father paid for everything and paid a large percentage of his income in taxes so he paid for the education , housing , food medical care of strangers .
12:33 PM on 05/10/2012
Are you aware that about half of illegal alien women from Mexico have children as teenagers and that almost all of them need welfare to pay for these children ? Would you be able to afford children as a teenager with no education ? As far as illegal alien men , they are typically the ones impregnating these girls.As far as the "scientific" research , I don't have time to dig up the things I have read so you can do your own research . In any case the issue is not decided by studies at left wing biased universities . It is funny that you talk about "peer reviewed" research as if you were talking about chemistry or biology .I live in Los Angeles , a pleace full of the children of illegal alien welfare moms who are now single moms on section eight food stamps etc
As far as the cost of educating the children of illegals , whether illegal or not , someone has to pay and it clearly isn't their parents. The 14th amendment was never meant to confer citizenship on the children of ilegals and it was never (mis)interpreted to do so until recently.
08:56 PM on 04/24/2012
Some more insight on Arizona's mandatory E-verify law......Arizona okayed its mandatory E-verify law three years BEFORE SB1070 was passed. Wonder why there was an uproar about it all of a sudden, hum??? (AZ E-verify law was upheld, btw). And, it's much more efficient in detecting illegal workers since a photo I.D. is now required (not as easy to fake). Surprised that the new "Self Check" option wasn't mentioned where you can know before you even apply for a job if your personal identification info. has already been comprised......