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Ali Safavi

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Iran: People's Vitality, Regime's Paleness

Posted: 03/25/10 12:37 PM ET

On Tuesday, March 16, Iran was once again the scene of boisterous anti-regime protests nationwide, this time in celebration of an ancient occasion, Chaharshanbeh Souri (Festival of Fire). Despite a flurry of threats and a hodgepodge of suppressive measures arranged by flustered authorities, Iranians, led by youths, came out in force in defiance of the regime and its Supreme Leader.

Festival of Fire is a ritual leading up to the New Year on the first day of spring on March 21. To celebrate, people light up bonfires on the last Tuesday night of the year and jump over the fires singing a popular verse hoping for the deflection of the "yellowy paleness" of last year's ills and inviting the "red vitality" for the coming year. For most, this year, the paleness represented the brutal ruling regime and the vitality pictured the nine-month-old popular uprising against it.

The powerful symbolism of Festival of Fire was already enough to inject a terrifying chill in Iran's already shivering rulers. Coupled with chants of "death to dictator," it served as a potent reminder that Iranians are as resolute as ever in their arduous quest for democratic change.

Since the start of the massive nationwide protests last June, the trajectory of events has laid bare two main conclusions previously dismissed by those in the West who were under the illusion that they can unclench the mullahs' fists through the offer of incentives and concessions.

First, the regime is bursting with copious terminal tumors and crises, most notably the irremediable fissures within. Second, there is a vast potential permeating Iranian society which is geared towards bringing about fundamental regime change. Taking these realities into account must serve as the hallmarks of any coherent western policy towards Iran.

All in all, this means that the situation cannot be reverted to the old days where the mullahs ruled comfortably with an iron fist. This was evident during the most recent protests. Prior to the Festival of Fire protests, the regime depleted almost all of the fuel of its archaic suppressive and propaganda machinery. The theme of brutality and intimidation characterized most statements emanating from state-run media and officials.

Even the ultimate authority, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, pitched in the last minute by churning out a religious decree against the celebrations, saying that Festival of Fire "has no religious basis and is harmful and must be avoided." Meanwhile, Mir Hossein Moussavi, the increasingly inconsequential leader of the "Green Movement," urged his supporters to refrain from turning Festival of Fire into anti-regime protests.

On top of all this, the regime sentenced six more people detained during December protests to death and carried out widespread arrests. And, on the day of protests, as Newsweek noted, "Security forces [came] out into the streets en masse and there have been sporadic clashes."

None of these measures proved effective, however. Fresh video clips again surfaced on popular websites like YouTube showing Iranian youths chanting "death to dictator," "death to Khamenei" and burning pictures of Khamenei and his predecessor Khomeini over bonfires and amid loud cheers.

In east Tehran's Majidieh district, youths defied the tense suppressive atmosphere and managed to set a State Security Force vehicle on fire. In the capital's Baharestan Park, young Iranians set a building used by the paramilitary Bassij ablaze amidst heavy clashes. In Amir Abad, protestors chanted "henchman Khamenei, the time for your death has arrived." Meanwhile sounds of firecrackers and sonic grenades crackled throughout Tehran and at least 30 other cities much to the chagrin of the bullying security forces.

The New York Times reported, "Many neighborhoods 'rocked' with bonfires and music later in the evening ...The celebrations were scattered around Tehran but took place in almost all of the city's neighborhoods."[2]

Indeed, this was a major victory for the Iranian people seeking to overcome the military-police state's suppressive onslaught. It was also a major defeat for Iran's rulers. And, last but certainly not least, it sent a message to some pundits who had written off the uprising after their anticipated "Day of Final Action" on the February 11 revolution anniversary failed to materialize: the uprising is still alive and well and is here to stay. Those had pundits failed to recognize that the road to democratic change in Iran is much more laborious and requires immense sacrifices.

Interestingly enough, while correctly suggesting that the Green Movement and Moussavi are not serious strategic factors in Iranian politics, some card-carrying apologists of Tehran in Washington, DC, nevertheless drew misleading conclusions about the uprising, which overlook basic yet crucial facts about Iran. They argue, "The future course of Iranian politics will be charted within the parameters of the Islamic Republic, not by efforts to overthrow it."

This mistaken contention is the result of identifying the massive and deep-rooted upheavals in Iran with Moussavi and other likeminded politicians who have gone out of their way to insist that they want to reform the existing regime from within. The reality, however, is that the demands of the nationwide protests were not born in June 2009. Rather, these uprisings are the outburst of more than 30 years of pent-up rage against suppression, corruption, human rights violations and a plethora of social ills. The June 2009 presidential election was simply an opportunity for that pent-up rage to reveal itself.

So, just because the Green Movement appears to be losing steam as a result of poor leadership, it does not mean that the profound grievances and corresponding demands of the Iranian people will simply vanish with it. Tehran apologists cannot use this poor argument to revert attention from the Iranian people back to the decaying confines of the regime.

The Iranian people know that democracy can only be obtained through regime change. This explains why during the Fire Festival they not only mocked the Supreme Leader's religious decree but also ignored calls by Moussavi to refrain from politicizing the event.

Instead, tens of thousands heeded calls by the main organized Iranian opposition in exile, the Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK), and came out in protest. In short, the celebrations perfectly capped off an unprecedented Iranian calendar year laden with unrelenting protests. The revolt also revealed the importance of a dedicated organization and strong leadership to guide protestors to their true destination.

Washington should heed the spirit of the Iranian people's Festival of Fire celebrations and once and for all throw the ill policies of the years past, including the terror label against the MEK, into the fire and recognize the vitality of the Iranian people's resolve to bring about democratic regime change. That would be the most pragmatic and sensible way to thwart a nuclear-armed Iran and avoid foreign military action. The choice lies with President Obama.

 
 
 
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10:56 AM on 04/16/2010
I love how every article you people write about Iran, no matter what the subject is, ends with your desperate plea for the MEK/MKO to be removed from the State Department's foreign terrorist organization list.

The fact is that the MKO's 30 years of so-called "struggle" has been nothing but that, self-promotion. Can someone identify 1 step that the MKO/MEK has taken post revolution that has been purely about promoting democracy in Iran and serving the people of Iran and has not been about self-promotion?

All I ask is 1 example out of this 30 years of "struggle".

The fact is that serving the people of Iran doesn't require "ideological revolution" or "divorcing your spouse" with what MKO has been keeping busy in these years of struggle.

It's a cult created in the sick mind of Rajavi and his gang. Stay away from the Iranian people with whom you have no goals in common.
12:46 PM on 03/30/2010
The author introduces many valid points. Indeed, "the regime is bursting with copious terminal tumors and crises, most notably the irremediable fissures within. Second, there is a vast potential permeating Iranian society which is geared towards bringing about fundamental regime change. Taking these realities into account must serve as the hallmarks of any coherent western policy towards Iran". For, the Iranian mullahs extended their rule by hiding behind the Iran-Iraq war followed by the U.S. Iraqi invasion. Today, Tehran can no longer fool anyone. As the protesters in Iran have keenly suggested: "neither Gaza, nor Lebanon; we will die for Iran." As Mr. Safavi's article asserts, the people of Iran have rejected this regime. They need from the Western Democracies a comprehensive and decisive stance against the mullahs and with the people. This is not possible while Iran's largest and most organized dissident group, the NCRI and the MEK are unjustly restrained. President Obama should continue to demonstrate his support for the Iranian people by exposing Iranian mullahs & by promoting "universal rights." As with the Iranian opposition groups, he should stay neutral. Removing the politically motivated "terrorist" tag levied against the Iranian resistance is the most peaceful way to promote democratic change in Iran. The U.S., as the Europeans have done, will thus avoid siding with the mullahs. The bipolar U.S. approach must end. Iranian people's wishes are totally compatible/consistent with the most cherished pillars of democracy.
03:40 AM on 03/29/2010
A well written article, thanks to Mr. Safavi
The sooner President Obama realizes that standing with Iranian people is the only viable solution in dealing with Mullahs tyrannical regime, is the sooner the US can stop wasting resources in Middle East. Fundamentalist extremism centered in Iran and exported outward must be uprooted.
Nuclear Mullahs will threat the stability of the region and in the later security of all nations.
Sanctions though very important, they are not enough! They must be coupled with recognizing Iranian people resistance and their legitimate outcry for democracy. In this regard, the U.S. must untie hands of Iran major opposition (MEK) which pursues a nuclear free, secular and democratic Iran, by removing them from the unjust, collusive blacklist.
09:57 AM on 03/28/2010
The article eloquently describes the awkward situation of Iranian ruling system, i.e. the paleness of the regime and red vitality of the people despite of severe suppression for decades.
Hopefully the signs indicate the destruction and shattering of regime.
Salute to the perseverance and firmness of resistance forces.
08:49 PM on 03/26/2010
The important point in this article which the author well pointed out is that the struggle and resistance in Iran is not dead contrary to some pro-negotiation policy with Iran claiming.
Two points,
- People continue their struggle against the regime regardless of harsh suppressionfrom the mullahs in Iran. The fire celebration is a proof to that.

- The current Green opposition of Iran proved that they are incapable of leading the opposition and they are not about the real change. Therefore, a new leadership will emerge and Iranian will follow those who have been fighting this regime the longest and strongest. If that may be MEK, then cudo to them for leading the opposition. Obvisouly they have been always present to stand against Iranian regime.

The question now would be for US of when to change its policy and side with MEK.
08:42 PM on 03/26/2010
Mr. Safavi has indeed got it right. At any rate, in the entire written history, there has not been even one people killer regime that has survived the backlash of its own people. IR of Iran is another one to be defeated soon by the people of Iran.
06:16 PM on 03/26/2010
Looks like the mullahs and their savage supreme leader are having a real bad month. First, the Festival of Fire uprisings, then the majority of US House representatives supporting the Iranian resistance and the Third Option, and today of course the biggy; their point man Al-Maleki down the drain. Oh boy, we feel so bad for the thugs, as the next Biggy is gon-e be their demise. And poor thugs, they ain’t got nowhere to go, but the International Court of Justice, Iranian Resistance’s courts of justice, and may be even a Nuremberg style tribunal.

Man, the momentum has begun and the brave Iranian men and women have brought the battle to the tipping point. There is no return akhond Khamenei…just give it up. The Iranian people certainly won’t give up their rights you have stolen from them for three long decades.

The roaring ocean of tens of thousands of fallen children of this devastated land, the silent cries of grieving mothers for their murdered children, the lonely prayers of all the widows who lost their husbands and husbands who lost their wives, and the brothers and sisters of those whose loved ones were tortured, raped and sent to the gallows, 30,000 of them in 1988 alone, are now being answered by the Almighty God.

The end of savagery in Iran is near…I just want to celebrate…
02:59 PM on 03/26/2010
I like this article. The first and most necessary need of the Iranian people is regime change; brought about by the people and for the people of Iran. The best help for the people of Iran is to assure uncompromised high speed internet accessibility and to untie the hands of the main organized resistance - the PMOI. It is obvious the Iranian regime uses the label attached to the PMOI as a tool to supress the Iranian uprising inside the country.
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alexgeorge
09:31 AM on 03/26/2010
I could not have said it any better. Excellent and powerful point.

And regards those who seem to repeat the stale Tehran's manufactured allegations against the MEK, it seems to me that they are missing the point.

The article by Mr. Safavi was not so much about MEK, but about the constant drum-beat of Tehran's apologists, who have for the past twenty years given American policy makers and public misguided advice about how to deal with the murderous and terrorist mullahs.

Regardless of one's opinions about the MEK, the fact is that they are the only group that has maintained its principled policy that the only solution for Iran is to give the Iranian people the chance to choose their government freely, whatever that might be. This is what MEK's historical leader Massoud Rajavi said 29 years ago: "It is not enough to have gone through the trials of repression, imprisonment, torture, and execution under the Shah and the mullahs. The Mujahedin must also pass the test of general elections. If the Mujahedin were to choose to compensate for the lack of popular mandate by relying on their past sacrifices or organizational prowess, or arms, their resilient, lively, and democratic organization would soon become a hollow, rotten bureaucracy… If the people don't vote for us (after we have overthrown the mullahs' regime), we shall remain in opposition, holding firmly to our principles."

Alex
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Richard Pearce
Atheistic-agnostic Canadian polymath
06:55 AM on 03/26/2010
You know, the hard core communists used to tell themselves that the American people were rising up against their government on a pretty regular basis too.

If that's what it takes to keep your spirits up, feel free.

Though it is interesting that you mentioned the burning of Khomeini. For those who don't know, this is the equivalent of an American 'protester' using the American flag as toilet paper. It might be popular elsewhere, but inside the country it revolts 90% of the people.
06:50 AM on 03/26/2010
Indeed"The choice lies with President Obama."
Very nice article.
When the people on the streets in tehran have to wake up every day and face the brutal forces of the dictator every where, they undrestand very well, the price they have to pay for their freedom.
Washington, by continuing the failed policy of appeasment, can only make this price more expensive for the brave Iranians whom have stood up for their basic rights.
Ahmadinejad con not open his fist. What part of NO washington cannot understand.
I hope US will realize that It is time to CHANGE the wrong policy.
02:45 AM on 03/26/2010
Leadership, ironclad discipline, impeccable organizational skills, evolutionary approach, revolutionary courage, sacrifice, generosity of spirit, intelligence and at the same time an uncommon innocence; these are the hallmarks of a PMOI member and those of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), and it is for all these ultra human characteristics, that separates these fine Children of the Iranian Revolution so unique amongst all the contemporary struggles that have toppled dictatorships and fascist regimes in the course of the last couple of centuries.

And, for they are the true portraits of humanity, despite more than their share of suffering, torture, executions and above all separation from their loved one for three decades of black rule by the mullahs, that constitutes these champions of their people’s liberation as possessing the mark of dignity unknown to us ordinary folks.

Let their antagonists pontificate, sematicize, pedanticise, criticize and hurl aspersions all they want, but the fact remains that as the author so rightly states, because of all that was mentioned above, the current struggle by the Iranian people will only be led and succeed on the back of these extraordinary folks.

Just take a look at any and all revolutions…They have all possessed strong leaderships and charismatic and intrepid leaders…and the PMOI is the only force that can bring that to the field of battle against one of the most savage and thuggish fascisms history has ever recorded…

Thank you,

LEF
01:44 AM on 03/26/2010
Leadership, ironclad discipline, impeccable organizational skills, evolutionary approach, revolutionary courage, sacrifice, generosity of spirit, intelligence and at the same time an uncommon innocence; these are the hallmarks of a PMOI member and those of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), and it is for all these ultra human characteristics, that separates these fine Children of the Iranian Revolution so unique amongst all the contemporary struggles that have toppled dictatorships and fascist regimes in the course of the last couple of centuries.

And, for they are the true portraits of humanity, despite more than their share of suffering, torture, executions and above all separation from their loved one for three decades of black rule by the mullahs, that constitutes these champions of their people’s liberation as possessing the mark of dignity unknown to us ordinary folks.

Let their protagonists pontificate, sematicize, pedanticise, criticize and hurl aspersions all they want, but the fact remains that as the author so rightly states, because of all that was mentioned above, the current struggle by the Iranian people will only be led and succeed on the back of these extraordinary folks.

Just take a look at any and all revolutions…They have all possessed strong leaderships and charismatic and intrepid leaders…and the PMOI is the only force that can bring that to the field of battle against one of the most savage and thuggish fascisms history has ever recorded…

Thank you,

LEF
09:42 PM on 03/25/2010
Execellent piece. The uprising in Iran is alive and becoming more organized. It is time the international community severs ties with the Iranian regime.

The Marxist Islamist label on the PMOI/MEK is a regurgitation of the Shah's SAVAKs misinformation campaign to discredit the opposition during the Cold War era. It is discussed in detail here:http://www.huffingtonpost.com/ali-safavi/mujahedin-e-khalq-pmoimek_b_482770.html

The European Parliament conducted an investigation into the cult allegations and has officialy rejected those allegations: http://ncr-iran.org/images/stories/advertising/ep%20report-with%20cover.pdf
08:53 PM on 03/25/2010
Good for the Iranians. Iran will become a force for peace in the middle east if we assist them. Any talk of being enemies with Iran is foolishness.