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Amb. Marc Ginsberg

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Iran's Proxy War in Syria Is Shoring Up Assad

Posted: 07/27/11 03:37 PM ET

If the current trajectory of Syrian street protests continue at their current, bloody pace, last Friday (July 22) may be remembered as the epic day Syria's Assad dictatorial dynasty began a fateful, accelerating process of unraveling.

Finally, after over four months of country-wide protests, every major Syrian city witnessed massive simultaneous demonstrations against the regime. From Aleppo in the north to the capital Damascus, hundreds of thousands of Syrian citizens defied the live fire aimed at them by Assad's security forces chanting the newly-minted forbidden revolutionary anthem "Come On Bashar, Leave!"

Hey Bashar, hey liar. Damn you and your speech,
Freedom is right at the door. So common on, Bashar, Leave!

It is an appalling travesty that because of the media blackout the world cannot witness the wanton killing of innocent Syrians at the hands of their own government. Last Friday, over 32 people were shot dead, bringing the total number of Syrians murdered by the regime to over 1,600. No one has a credible estimate how many more have been abducted or injured.

Numbers are abstract. Casualties in raw numbers do no justice to the mayhem Assad has condoned against his own people.

Visualize this eyewitness report. A solemn funeral procession for a young, married Syrian protestor en route to burial at a cemetery on the outskirts of Homs. Suddenly, Syrian security forces start shooting point-blank into the procession. Within seconds the grieving mother and the son of the protester were struck and instantly killed. Six more grieving relatives were killed, as well.

If Assad's power base is unraveling how long will it take for the coup de grace?

Unfortunately, if Iran has its way, Assad won't be going anywhere anytime soon.

Iran has reportedly provided an emergency financial lifeline to the regime in the amount of $5.6 billion as billions pour out of Syrian banks by nervous depositors seeking safe haven in Beirut or Istanbul-based banks.

As I reported earlier, intelligence analysts have irrefutable proof that Iran has dispatched advisers from its domestic secret police forces (The Law Enforcement Service or LED) and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRCG) to take over direct supervision of anti protest suppression.

The savage repression being committed by the joint Syrian-Iran strike forces is being directed by leadership elements of Iran's so-called volunteer marauders squad known as the Basij (those civilian clad thugs who roamed the streets of Tehran beating Iranians senseless and kidnapping protesters).

Confirming the Iranian intervention, the European Union imposed sanctions against the leadership of the IRGC and certain Syrian security forces, charging IRGC commander Mohammad Al Jafari and Al-Quds Force commander Qassem Suleimani and IRGC deputy commander for intelligence Hussein Taeb for directly providing command and control as well as logistic and equipment support to aid the Syrian regime suppress demonstrations. Not too long thereafter, the U.S. Treasury Department slapped further sanctions on key Iranian commanders aiding and abetting the crackdown against Syrian civilians.

In addition to its shock troops, Iran has also provided Syrian commanders with sophisticated road-side bombs to take out any defecting Syrian military vehicles (which Iran has also provided to Shiite militias in Iraq to be used against Americans), as well as Iranian-built sniper rifles.

According to other Middle East media reports, Iran also constructed in Syria an advanced Nokia Siemens Network (NS) devices for disrupting internal internet communications which permit Syrian forces to identify activists using social media -- the same type of telecommunications interception equipment Nokia was forced to admit in 2008 that hit had sold to Iran.

Given the magnitude of Iran's direct intervention in Syria and Assad's deference to his Iranian riot-control masters, it would not be too much of a stretch to assert that Iran, rather than Syria, is largely overseeing the repression given the extensive role Iranian forces now have in putting down the revolt.

For good measure (and despite the usually untruthful protestations to the contrary), the free-for-all being directed against Syria's citizens also includes elements of Lebanon's terror group and Iran proxy, Hizbullah.

This morning, Syrian/Iranian forces commenced a new, more massive crackdown on the eve of Ramadan, which the Assad regime fears will transform every day into a Friday of demonstrations.

If the regime is not being pounded militarily into submission, like in Libya, what will trump its Iranian-funded rescue and cause it to erode and collapse from within?

Surely, it will take more sure-footed, hard-nosed leadership from the Obama Administration -- whose approach toward Syria until now has been -- to put it as charitably as possible -- disappointingly callow and erratic. Even the New York Times accused Secretary of State Clinton in a July 18th editorial of diluting her own message to Assad after finally declaring him illegitimate in an unscripted aside.

While foreign military intervention against Assad is a non-starter, the U.S., along with the European Union have not fully unsheathed their economic swords.

Unfortunately, the longer the protests continue the more likely Assad will provoke grim sectarian strife to save itself, a fear the White House has expressed on numerous occasions. That is why urgent, additional economic sanctions are needed now to accelerate the regime's demise and forestall the very sectarian strife the Administration fears.

So what more can the U.S. and its allies do short of military intervention?

Andrew Tabler, one of our country's leading experts on Syria, wrote an instructive essay in Foreign Policy on July 19 declaring that the U.S. and Europe should begin boycotting Syrian oil exports -- setting forth 6 specific rational steps which could be taken to hasten the regime's downfall.

According to Tabler, Syria produces 390,000 BPD, of which it exports 148,000 BPD -- accounting to 1/3 of state revenues. If the European Union were to slap sanctions on the sale of Syrian crude to Europe (imported by Germany, Italy, France and the Netherlands), no more foreign currency from oil imports.

How many more body counts must the US and EU receive before turning off the oil spigot?

The U.S. could also pressure the United Kingdom to halt the operations of Gulfsands Petroleum -- a former Houston-based refiner/extractor, which is tied at the hip to Assad's cousin, Rami Makhlouf. And the U.S. could also pressure the EU to cease all banking ties with the Commercial Bank of Syria, which is used to convert oil sales into hard currency. Finally, the U.S. and the EU should selectively target imported refined gasoline and diesel products -- a sanction already leveled against Iran.

Admittedly, there are no silver bullets by which to topple the Assad regime. As the unorganized protest movement morphs into a more coherent, representative and legitimate National Salvation Council the U.S. has a unique opportunity to put behind it its past regrettable policy missteps and play a far more constructive (and not a tell-tale obstructionist role), in expediting this transition.

Iran has much to lose should Assad & Co. topple. The U.S. has much to gain by their loss. Syria's fate and future (unlike Libya's future) have far-reaching consequences to the region. Assad is not indispensable. He is merely the devil we know and that does not make him the better choice in that equation. The people of Syria deserve better and it is high time before the very violence we most fear tears Syria apart and help accelerate an end to their suffering and plight.

If the Syrian people have risked their lives to muster the courage to proclaim it, Madame Secretary, there is FAR more this Administration can do to leverage additional painful economic sanctions against Syria to hasten its demise. For good measure join them in declaring "So Come On, Bashar, Leave!"

 
 
 
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12:37 AM on 07/30/2011
Well well well. Guess who said this on August 30, 2010.

"For those who supported the invasion in the first place, the liberation theology that gripped those who pressed for Saddam's overthrow has surely become an eternal curse. The fallout from the frenzy of overstatements, misrepresentations and downright lies has transformed the Middle East into a national security sink hole for the United States, and severely undermined our ability to influence the future course of the region.

It seems like an eternity ago when the groundwork was being laid by the neoconservative movement in the U.S. to orchestrate the overthrow of Saddam Hussein....................Unfortunately, Perle and Co. had it dead wrong. "

http://tinyurl.com/3l6b4j5
02:14 AM on 07/29/2011
"The combination, as you pointed out in your State of the Union address, of Saddam's growing arsenal of weapons of mass destruction, and his continued involvement in international terrorism, pose an intolerable threat not only to our friends and allies in the region, but to our homeland as well. There can be no doubt that Saddam has chemical and biological weapons and, according to published intelligence and defector reports, it appears to be only a matter of time before he also acquires nuclear weapons."

- from "Open Letter to the President"

signed:
Peter Galbraith
Michael O'Hanlon
Marc Ginsberg
Charles S.Robb
Max Kampelman
Peter R. Rosenblatt
Edward I. Koch
Walter B. Slocombe
Ann F. Lewis
Stephen J. Solarz
Robert J. Lieber
Richard Swett
Will Marshall
R. James Woolsey
Joshua Muravchik

http://tinyurl.com/3nfxcqm
01:20 PM on 07/29/2011
Well said , TU for the link.
These are some of the people that lied us into the war in Iraq they are directly responsible for the hundreds of thousands of innocent Iraqi 's killed .
Also thousands of our brave American troops killed because of their lies.
None of them deserve a public forum.
04:17 PM on 07/29/2011
In 1945, the London Charter of the International Military Tribunal defined three categories of crimes, including crimes against peace. ... The principles were later known as the Nuremberg Principles.

In 1950, the Nuremberg Tribunal defined Crimes against Peace, in Principle VI, specifically Principle VI(a), submitted to the United Nations General Assembly, as:[8][9]

(i) Planning, preparation, initiation or waging of a war of aggression or a war in violation of international treaties, agreements or assurances;
(ii) Participation in a common plan or conspiracy for the accomplishment of any of the acts mentioned under (i).

For committing this crime, the Nuremberg Tribunal sentenced a number of persons responsible for starting World War II. One consequence of this is that nations who are starting an armed conflict must now argue that they are either exercising the right of self-defense, the right of collective defense, or - it seems - the enforcement of the criminal law of jus cogens. It has made formal declaration of war uncommon after 1945.

During the trial, the chief American prosecutor, Robert H. Jackson, stated:

To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_aggression#The_Nuremberg_Principles
02:01 PM on 07/29/2011
You might think that they'd learn their lesson from Iraq. When we broke humpty dumpty, everyone was talking as if sectarian violence was the most obvious fact in the world and the administration was stu.pid. Considering who the demonstrator/rioters are, these folks want the same thing for Syria. The best solution for Syria is gradual democratization.
03:24 PM on 07/29/2011
"The best solution for Syria is gradual democratiz­ation"

.....which is precisely what Assad is trying to achieve:

http://www.news24.com/World/News/Assad-launches-Syria-reforms-20110331

http://shiapost.com/?p=3477

http://mycatbirdseat.com/2011/06/june-21-massive-demonstrations-favoring-bashar-al-assad/
02:53 PM on 07/28/2011
Repeating the unsubstantiated claims about Syria is not proof. Proof of Israeli killings of Palestinians is readily available though, and those killings occur within the borders Israel controls.
If denial of citizenship means their killings are somehow justifiable, a little more elaboration is necessary.
Otherwise it is an apples to apples comparison that would have both countries looking bad should any proof arise that supports the claims about Syria. No proof about the Syrian claims would leave Israel looking bad all alone.
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GohBokhor
www.ifamericansknew.org
01:45 PM on 07/28/2011
All one has to do is mention Bahrain and the entire argument above reveals itself as hot air.
01:42 PM on 07/28/2011
No more wars for Israel Mr. Ginsburg. Let's assist the citizens of the United States of America, where your allegiance should be.
04:41 PM on 07/28/2011
“You are emissaries in convincing the American people that America has much to lose if Iran becomes a nuclear power,” said Ginsberg, adding that Israel cannot do this job alone.

“AIPAC is able to galvanize the support of Congress and the American people from the grass roots up,” he said. “You all are so important, so essential, so crucial to the future of Israel.”

http://www.jewishreview.org/node/13187
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11:30 AM on 07/28/2011
The US made a deal with Russia. The US gets to go into Libya and kick China out (they had a lot of economic stuff going on there) as long as the West leaves Syria alone (Russia's last foothold in the Mediterranean. Makes sense of the US's muted response, doesn't it?
09:26 AM on 07/28/2011
The Iraq war was injustice based on media propagated lies.

Standing against injustice is the guiding principle.

The liars have no honor.

Puzzles with so few pieces really should not need hints.
02:18 PM on 07/29/2011
"The Iraq war was injustice based on media propagated lies."
Nobody ever said it better.
The sad part is that the liars with no honor are not in jail were they belong.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Packattack
02:36 PM on 07/29/2011
It was also for person gain.
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08:48 AM on 07/28/2011
sigh. it is now impossible to find anyone in the broader media that can be taken seriously on matters concerning israel. all we hear are shades of propaganda and groupthink.
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Boduognat
Lasciate ogne speranza, voi ch'entrate.
11:30 AM on 07/28/2011
Look at Israeli media if you want different sides of the story. Haaretz, for example offers very wide perspectives about Israeli society. The only problem with is it that they also report objectively on facts regarding the occupation or the Palestinians, and that is enough to brand them as "communist fascist anti-semitic self hating Jews", if we stay polite.
01:44 PM on 07/29/2011
There is certainly a much broader dialogue regrading the occupation and Israeli politics in Israeli media than in US. Haaretz has a much better record, but i wouldn't call Israeli media objective either.
02:22 PM on 07/29/2011
F&F Haaretz represents many decent Israelis who do not support what is being done to the Palestinian Community. Unlike the posters on Huff.
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JacksonJones
Absit iniuria verbis!
01:43 PM on 07/28/2011
This appears to concern Syria and Iran, not Israel, innit?
01:49 PM on 07/28/2011
There's nothing about our position on Middle East matters that does not concern Israel.
MTTM
Your microbio is MT
08:32 AM on 07/28/2011
Why worry about Iranian-Syrian suppression of protests when the US is actively conducting repressive actions against peaceful anti-war protests domestically?

Let's get our house in order before we start casting stones at others.
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phoenixdoglover
My dog loves my progressive treats agenda
05:40 AM on 07/28/2011
I have no doubt that the Syrian government is murdering peaceful demonstrators. I also have no doubt Iran is assisting the Syrian government. That makes their support reprehensible. As for the tendencies of the US, or Israel to lend support to unsavory regimes, I have no doubt about that either, but that doesn't justify what Iran is doing.
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matt t
05:28 AM on 07/28/2011
and that's how Ginsberg likes it to remain.
03:16 AM on 07/28/2011
It's odd that jews are now supporting the muslim brotherhood, who have been described by former CIA agent Robert Baer as fanatics on par with Al Qaeda
12:43 PM on 07/28/2011
They support unrest in Syria regardless of who the players are.
02:00 AM on 07/28/2011
Over 900 peaceful demonstrators were killed in Egypt in less than 6 weeks, that makes the Egyptian uprising the most deadly so far. As if that was not enough, 11000, yes, eleven thousand people remain in jail and are being tried and sentences to death in the military courts. Where are the cries for "open" cameras so the world can see the current Egyptian governments crimes. Where is Hillary championing their cause? To her those who already died, and those who are being tried are worthless, nameless Egyptians, not worth mentioning.
To this day we are getting a health does propaganda against Iran and its 2009 so called "green" revolution. Well, let's look at the numbers the Greens proclaimed: more than 2300 jailed, but over 2000 released within 3 days of captivity; 24 dead (mostly in prison an without trial); Iranian courts convicted 9 security services (3 to their deaths, and 6 to life).
It has now become clear that many Salafi Sunni's were recruited by the Saudi's from Syrian, and were sent to Iraq, unopposed the allied forces, to confront the Shia government in the country. Then, they took part in the "Sunni Awakening" which including training and weaponizing Sunni fighters. Now, they have been sent back to Syria. That's why there are high casualties on both sides.
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blackhawk78
10:55 PM on 07/27/2011
Iran helping Syria, i'm shocked how can that be.
02:01 AM on 07/28/2011
point well taken.
10:24 PM on 07/27/2011
Walking and chewing gum can be a challenge to some. Missing the guiding principle can make comprehension of the linkages difficult.