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Andrew Levine

Andrew Levine

Posted: July 19, 2010 10:26 AM

So What If Democrats Lose?

What's Your Reaction:

Conventional wisdom has it that the Democrats are poised to lose in the 2010 elections; that they may even lose control of Congress. I would venture, though, that this nightmare won't come to pass; that Republican vileness and craziness will ultimately assure Democratic victories. But I could be wrong: If Obama persists in promoting "bipartisanship" in the face of Republican intransigence, the conventional wisdom could prove correct.

Lesser evils are still lesser and are therefore to be preferred. On the other hand, they are also evils, and are therefore to be despised. The Democrats have given us much to despise: perpetual war, subservience to Wall Street, milquetoast (and ultimately retrograde) reforms, abject servility before noxious pressure groups, immobility in the face of ecological catastrophe, and on and on. How much does it then matter that the Republicans are even worse? That question admits of no clear answer. But it is clear that this indeterminacy is a consequence of a disabling structural problem.

If "democracy," means what the word implies, rule by the demos, the people, all liberal democracies are undemocratic; at best, they respect the form, but not the substance, of genuine popular rule. But each "democracy" is undemocratic in its own way. The party system is mainly to blame. This has been evident early in the nineteenth century, when it became clear that, with political parties mediating public participation in political life, the propertied classes had nothing to fear from extending the franchise to the masses. The party system made democracy safe for capitalism.

However, in most countries, the party system allows for the electoral expression of views voters actually hold -- once the ideological superstructure has had a go at shaping opinion. In recent decades, mass media have been especially effective in securing the status quo, but we should not discount the impact of the educational system and, in benighted quarters (which is to say, almost everywhere), of religion. The story is familiar throughout the world: citizens vote; then the results are compromised away as ruling alliances form.

In this respect, America is indeed "exceptional." Our parties have all but duopolized the electoral system, making ballot access for "third" parties prohibitively difficult. The result is that everyone to the left of, say, Eisenhower Republicans is effectively disenfranchised -- except sometimes briefly and impotently in primary contests. Thus the compromises and betrayals that take place after elections elsewhere happen here before elections take place. The results are similar; little, if anything, changes. But the American way impoverishes the political culture even more profoundly than in liberal democracies, where there is something to vote for.

Of course, when the right candidate appears, muddleheaded progressives can convince themselves that they there is something to vote for. That happened in 2008. Obama was the establishment candidate from the get go. But he became a Rorschach candidate in whom voters saw what they wanted to see. Those who feel betrayed are therefore wrong. Disappointment is another matter. Even I, who never expected much, never thought it would come to this.

The tragedy is that, thanks to American exceptionalism, there is no constructive way to express this disappointment electorally -- because to vote against a Democrat one must vote for a Republican or at least vote (or not vote) in a way that makes it easier for a Republican to win.

In a more democratic political system, it would be salutary for the lesser evil to lose now and again. But with our media and party system, the lesson that will be drawn if the Democrats lose is that Obama's "agenda" was too much for the country. Of course, the opposite is true. Back when he had political capital to spare, Obama was timid when "audacity" was required. Thus he let an historical opportunity pass.

But Obama is the president we have; and the only real choice we will have in November is to vote for a Democrat or a Republican. The obvious conclusion is that the system must be changed. But there is no hint of that in the offing. Ironically, Obamamania made that always dim prospect even more improbable. Now at least that problem has passed. However the deeper problem remains: our institutions still compel us to choose between the very bad and the even worse.

This is why we really have no choice but to help the Lesser Evil prevail. Democrats deserve to lose, and Obama with them. But with so much at stake, we have no choice but to let them walk. Reluctantly therefore, and with a view ultimately to changing the institutional framework that makes such awful choices necessary, we must see to it that they win.

 
 
 
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08:18 PM on 07/27/2010
voting for a third party won't help. our political culture itself is torn at the seems, and americans will continue to believe in the same conservative ideals that have been pounded into their brains since the revolution. try a constitutional convention and a grassroots education movement
02:39 PM on 07/20/2010
It is so refreshing to read an eloquent statement of our current political state that expresses my view exactly!

I absolutely share Mr. Levine's belief that "Obama was the establishment candidate from the get go. But he became a Rorschach candidate in whom voters saw what they wanted to see. Those who feel betrayed are therefore wrong. Disappointment is another matter. Even I, who never expected much, never thought it would come to this."

I'm sick of voting for "the lesser evil" and wish Mr. Levine would lay out ideas for changing "the institutional framework". Publicly-funded elections and campaign-funding caps would be a good start.
03:10 PM on 07/20/2010
Term limits for senators and congressmen would work much better that tax funded campaigns.
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jmpurser
See My micro-bio
03:15 PM on 07/20/2010
No, really, it wouldn't. The proof being that we HAVE term limits now. They're called "elections".
03:54 PM on 07/20/2010
No way. The baby is thrown out with the bath water. Bernie Sanders, for example, would be gone. Term limits are the lazy solution and no solution at all.
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jmpurser
See My micro-bio
08:46 AM on 07/20/2010
"Do what you did, get what you got."

Do you LIKE what you got for the last 30 years? As long as the Democratic party can run hard to the right and STILL get the left to vote for it because it's the "lesser evil" there will be no change in America. We will continue to "chose" between the arsonist and the termites and wonder why our house is falling down.

If you want change find and support a third party. If you can't bring yourself to do that then admit you are the problem.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
indie00015
10:09 AM on 07/20/2010
jmpurser is spot on. Andrew Levine offers that the system is completely broken (he's right about that), but that we have no choice to continue with a slow breakdown toward national destruction, only that we slow the rate of destruction by choosing the lesser of two evils. If that is the case, I suggest everyone pack up their belongings and move somewhere overseas.

Our nation is like the addict who isn't willing to go into rehab. We know the addiction will eventually kill us, but we're not hurting enough (yet) for the radical change needed to get us on the right course. So we rationalize that we're only doing cocaine (the democrats). At least it's not heroin (the republicans).

I'm torn. Part of me says we should race to rock bottom. If we're going to crash eventually, let's get the pain over with. If that means voting for third party candidates that lose, for a time, let's have at it. At least it will send a clear message to the two-party ruling class that we CAN and WILL knock
em out.
12:23 PM on 07/20/2010
This is only an option if you start at the grass roots level. A third party needs to take seats in the Statehouse way before we think of the Whitehouse. The problem third partyies have had to this point is that they go against the established parties where the rules are stacked. If Tea Baggers run a presidential candidate in the race, it helps the Dems by splitting the right wing vote. If a candidate fom the left runs as a third party like Nader, then he throws the election (with the help of the Supreme Court) to Bush. Think of the influence 8 third party Senators would have in the Senate today. Instead of a weaker financial reform bill, the third party could have forced the bill to get stronger to shut off the filibuster. Third party needs to take local seats and statewide seats and then national seats. Third party candidates for Prez are ego trips. The real progressive possibilities are on the local arena.
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jmpurser
See My micro-bio
12:47 PM on 07/20/2010
Third parties don't have to win to change things. They just have to prevent one of the two big parties from winning because their formerly loyal supporters left.

Agree that the place to start with real third parties is local.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
capitaldysfunction
White male never voted Republican
04:58 AM on 07/20/2010
I personally think the political scientists/analysts are right. The political cataclysm of a Republican victory in November, following up on the economic cataclysm near the end of W's second term, will be another confirmation of "its the economy, stupid" and an affirmation that parliamentary democracy would be a vast improvement over the conservatively-designed plutocratic system of divided government that awaits after the November election.

Listening to the political arguments of one side pointing fingers at an executive controlled by one party and the other side pointing back at a legislature controlled by another political party is the equivalent of water torture. It certainly has nothing to do with what mature political debate should be about, or the responsibility that a democracy should be able to clearly establish.

Perhaps the lack of mature political debate in America has resulted in the failure to develop a mature electorate.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
PurpleTomato
Exile the Secessionists
04:17 AM on 07/20/2010
I'm still hopeful that the Democrats will maintain control of both houses of congress.I don't believe the American people are foolish enough to put the same people who caused this mess back in power.
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jcaunter
Profile: schizoid, INTJ
06:11 AM on 07/20/2010
Same people? Are you crazy? The people who caused this mess are the Wall Street elites, and they are 100% in control of BOTH parties.

The point the author was attempting to make is that even though that is true, Democrats are still slightly better than Republicans. Maybe. So we should support Democrats.

It's blatantly apparent to me now that things have to get much, much worse in America before we can have serious social and societal changes. So I say put the Republicans back in power; that way they can ruin the country just that much faster than the Democrats are currently ruining it, and bring about the day of our very own Bastille right here in America that much sooner.
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Turukano
In 20 years, everyone will say they voted Obama
06:50 AM on 07/20/2010
Oh, give the class war bull a rest. The world is not black and white.

As for Bastille, you do realize that the Reign of Terror afterwords was pretty horrible.
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PurpleTomato
Exile the Secessionists
06:57 AM on 07/20/2010
I will remain hopeful if you don't mind,and i will work harder to get progressives in office.
03:14 PM on 07/20/2010
I afraid the current one party rule is making this mess worse. Please tell your congressmen to stop this reckless spending. Started with Bush and is excellerating under Obama.
03:58 PM on 07/20/2010
Can you publish the some of texts of the letters you wrote protesting spending during the Bush era? I'll bet they're non-existent.
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PurpleTomato
Exile the Secessionists
07:06 PM on 07/20/2010
My congressmen are with you on this,i am not.I'm a proud progressive democrat.Our President is trying to clean up the mess made by Bush and his cronies.
03:28 AM on 07/20/2010
The media has been bought. Information is controlled. Think about the bell curve. You readers are the rare few.

Radio chains, TV, newspaper chains, and right wing propaganda mills (think tanks) promote baloney. Even college educated Republicans and Democrats are prone to the most visceral thought processes. I am pretty sure we could devise a galvanic skin response test that would predict belief systems.

The weakness of a democracy is that if you can confuse the electorate you can get away with anything.
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09:20 AM on 07/20/2010
Google Operation Mockingbird

They say that it is no longer in operation.
12:56 PM on 07/20/2010
Thermo puts his finger on an important consideration. The posters here, believe it or not and wether right or left or up or down, are the ones in our society who are well informed. Well, maybe trying to be well informed. Think for a moment about the 95 % who don't even try, and who are pushed around by ignorance, stupidity (think bell curve), all the biases and xenophobia, not to mention indifference, and it's not hard to understand why we are so easily manipulated.
02:31 AM on 07/20/2010
What kind of perfect progressive nirvana were you expecting?
01:30 AM on 07/20/2010
Still, you fail to ask the right questions. What is going to happen when you realize that ever incumbent just got fired?

Unaffiliated living in Colorado, running for the US Senate
charleymiller2010
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Turukano
In 20 years, everyone will say they voted Obama
02:04 AM on 07/20/2010
Never going to happen. Even in your fantasy, the new politicans will be doing the same as the old ones. Grow up.
04:02 PM on 07/20/2010
The "incumbents are getting fired meme is a myth". In the election in June only 5 out of 85 incumbents were fired and most of them had some kind of scandal going on. The media of course stuck to the story anyway and tailored their headlines to read something like, "Incumbent X bypassed by voter outrage." I live in Colorado and you're listening to your own echo chamber.
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Rooster Coburn
Less Gov't + More Responsibility = A Better World
01:21 AM on 07/20/2010
"So What If Democrats Lose?"

Dunno? Sales of 'Prilosec' fall maybe?
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Turukano
In 20 years, everyone will say they voted Obama
02:05 AM on 07/20/2010
Could be like the Republicans and arm ourselves with machine guns. They really know how to be sore losers.
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01:13 AM on 07/20/2010
Voting for the lesser evil means nothing less than surrender to those who vilify and marginalize progressives.
If the Party of the Lesser Evil were to consistently lose elections because progressives refused to be taken for granted, political reforms (such as instant runoff voting and public financing of elections) will finally begin to get some badly needed attention.
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Turukano
In 20 years, everyone will say they voted Obama
02:06 AM on 07/20/2010
There is no progressive party because progressives are a small minority. We talk big but have no real power. Do you really want to live in a country where extreme political views actually have power?
02:47 AM on 07/20/2010
Keep claiming the opposite of reality is true. Your force of will will no doubt make it happen.
04:08 PM on 07/20/2010
I don't regard progressive views as extreme at all. They were once the mainstream views of most Democrats and the fact that you use them as an example of extermism shows how far to the right this country has moved. So, yes, I do want progressives in power. That said, I never once thought of Obama as a progressive. Those who did were hearing what they wanted to hear. "A lesser evil" though? That is pure hyperbole and renders the term "evil", like the overused term "awesome" meaningless.
04:23 PM on 07/22/2010
Actually, instant runoff voting would be one of the least-effective reforms possible, because it still doesn't break out of the "lesser of two evils", two-party-dominated system; despite what you may have heard, it still has spoilers. A simple example, with 9 voters and 3 candidates:

4: A > B > C
1: B > A > C
1: B > C > A
3: C > B > A

If it's just A vs. B in this election, B wins, 5:4. But when you add candidate C, the winner changes to A. That's a spoiler. Which means candidate C's party is screwed, because everyone who would consider listing C first next time will think better of it, and rank B higher. Which is exactly the result we have under today's voting system.

But IRV isn't the only option out there. Real voting reform can be possible with approval voting or score voting (AKA range voting), because these methods don't have any "lesser evil" problems in a 3-candidate election.

Check out http://rangevoting.org or http://leastevil.blogspot.com for more information.
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MuchMadness
12:35 AM on 07/20/2010
Seriously, what are the labor unions doing? They are the natural choice to be a vocal movement that acts as a thorn in the side of the Democratic Party and pushes it to the left economically. Let the pseudo-liberal establishment start worrying what will happen to the nation if working class Democrats stay home and if the Republican Party, in the thrall of some nasty extremists, gains more power in congress.
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Turukano
In 20 years, everyone will say they voted Obama
02:06 AM on 07/20/2010
The Unions died years ago. Where was the vocal movement then?
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HappyBalance
People BEFORE Profits
12:35 AM on 07/20/2010
"The Democrats have given us much to despise: perpetual war, subservience to Wall Street, milquetoast (and ultimately retrograde) reforms, abject servility before noxious pressure groups, immobility in the face of ecological catastrophe, and on and on. "

That about sums up the past two years.

"But Obama is the president we have; and the only real choice we will have in November is to vote for a Democrat or a Republican."

Hell and no. Time to start pumping up 3rd and 4th parties. Been fed this lesser evil crap for over 20 years now. Not buying it, not this time.
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Talossa
Liberal. Pro-Israel. Recovering atheist.
01:27 AM on 07/20/2010
Splitting the Labour Party worked so well in Britain for the progressive cause. Just ask Prime Minister Cameron.
03:18 PM on 07/20/2010
Would someone please define what progressives are and what they actually want.
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indie00015
10:16 AM on 07/20/2010
HappyBalance is absolutely on target. This independent has NEVER voted for Republicans, EVER. But given Obama and his party's capitulation, I will never vote Democratic again either. Time for a third party. NOW.
12:31 AM on 07/20/2010
The US needs a parliamentary system so other interests can have access too. Our two party system ensures corporate control forever.
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Turukano
In 20 years, everyone will say they voted Obama
02:08 AM on 07/20/2010
The United States is not mature enough politically to have a parliamentary system. The 40% of people that do not vote will always complain regardless of the system in place.
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09:25 AM on 07/20/2010
"The US needs a parliamentary system ..."

The US needs the rule of law.

There are even, as we know and as Obama knows, admitted war criminals walking around free, happy, and rich.
11:54 PM on 07/19/2010
The challenging scenario. If it is desirable to vote for a Candidate not beholding to existing (read 'corrupted') interests, then it is likely that the Candidate will belong to either a Third Party,
or indeed NO party. An unaffiliated Candidate would have little difficulty in pointing out the hypocritical positions taken by BOTH existing Parties...but using what medium? The Mainstream Media is thoroughly invested in the mechanics of the two Party system as it exists. Although the Internet was integral in raising support for Obama, was it the critical medium?

(Yes, I realize that I've presented questions and no answers. Opinions? Anyone?)
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bighat
Truth as I see it
11:49 PM on 07/19/2010
Good article.

Health insurance: Is anyone pleased? When I see people touting their accomplishments and list the passage of healthcare as one of them I wonder with whom that person is conversing

Many wanted a single payer or public option. So their choice of presidential candidates is someone who made absolutely no effort toward either option or a republican who wants the entire bill repealed.

We need more parties. We have people from the left who believe Obama is a DINO and people from the right who believe Obama is a socialist.

Could it be that our 2 parties are just too big? Both parties take big bucks from corporations all the while knowing they will not lose their base because who else would their base vote?

Blue Dogs and progressives should each have their own party. Republicans should have the tea partiers and those closer in thinking to Olympia Snowe
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HappyBalance
People BEFORE Profits
12:36 AM on 07/20/2010
Agreed and well said.