Finance Reform: How Short Memories Are Created

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It is often remarked that people have short memories when it comes to financial crises, that the lessons of Enron and Worldcom and the Dotcom boom quickly receded. This is how political will resurfaces to begin the process of winding back regulation. It is how companies whose reputations became rightly and severely tarnished during a crisis arise fiery and Phoenix-like from the dirt into which they were trampled.

Now we can see the shortening of memory taking place in real time, thanks to an article in the New York Times: "Wall St. Hiring in Anticipation of an Economic Recovery".

There is much that the article gets right:

  • That the recovery experienced by the bank follows their rescue by Washington
  • That while Wall St is hiring, the employment prospect across the rest of the US remains bleak
  • That the recovery in banking is not reflected in other sectors where jobs are not returning - like manufacturing, where since June 2008 the NYT notes employment fell by 14 percent compared to 8.5 percent in the financial sector nationwide.


These caveats, however, cannot compete in the memory against the more breathtaking assertions:

  • That the rebound of the biggest banks after being pumped with billions of dollars in taxpayer money is somehow a "remarkable recovery"
  • That the fact that Wall St employment never fell below the level to which it fell after the Dotcom bust (in which no one was bailed out) means "it actually weathered this recession -- the worst since the Depression -- better than the previous one".

Hogwash.

The most jarringly unqualified assertion of all is that the recovery in Wall St jobs is actually good for the local economy. As the paper reminds us:

"New York City is cutting services like day care and adult literacy programs to help balance its budget, while Albany is facing a $9.2 billion deficit in the state budget this year."

And notes that:

"Each job in the securities sector generates two additional positions in New York City, according to the federal Bureau of Economic Analysis. In part, that is because the average salary is much larger, with Wall Street employees earning an average of $392,000, compared with $63,875 for other workers in the city."

The New York Times has a difficult line to straddle here. As a New York paper it knows that the state of New York's economy took a direct hit when the banks ran into trouble. Wall St generates 20 percent of the state's tax base, albeit an increasingly volatile revenue that translates into volatile public service capacity.

But as a national paper that aspires to be a paper of record, it has to look beyond the interests of the local population if it is to provide appropriate context to its coverage.

Nationally, employment in the US in June 2010 was down 4.8 percent on pre-crisis levels, because of a crisis with its roots on Wall St. No recovery in employment on Wall St is going to be of benefit to these others.

Globally, of course, the situation is even worse: there are 33 million people more unemployed than there were on the eve of the financial crisis -- an unprecedented increase.

Then of course there are the other more severe global repercussions of Wall Street's crisis:


Until it is clear that the Street has accepted its responsibility for the crisis and accepted hard-wired constraints that will prevent it from happening again, how can those with good memories join in the celebrations when Wall St starts rehiring?

And as Paul Volcker opined in an article published July 9th in the New York Times itself, the financial reform legislation recently passed by Congress fails to get close to evading that prospect, the result of a remorseless firestorm of Wall St lobbying and influence.

Next up: how to forget about sleep.

NothingPersonalBlog.com

 

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JPETERB   12:22 PM on 7/17/2010
While still by far the best popular daily published in the USA, who buys the New York Times for "all the news that is fit to print." and expects a generous, well written and accurate collection of current events, potential trends and un-spun facts? I typically buy it on Tuesday for the Science News section, and even that section is a select 'bite' of health and science 'news' and is somewhat spun for popular effect. Like the rest of the US press, the industry has been hollowed out from within. The NYT can only print what sells and what sells in not the unvarnished facts about actual world events. Just look at the fate that befell the Wall Street Journal, a paper I occasionally bought when events required that perspective. I have all but stopped buying the WSJ after the owner mixed the Editorial into the Front page with an almost laughable and predictable information bias.
Countess   04:56 PM on 7/15/2010
I don't know how intelligent people can buy the propaganda that the president and the corporate democrats will push that this bill actually does something to fix the problem of too big to fail and the reckless gambling when it is obvious it does neither. The democrats specialize in passing half-as- reforms that always fall short of solving the problem they claim to be fixing. They are giving reform a bad name.
ThePeacemakers   07:09 PM on 7/15/2010
They get away with it by letting failed Centrist policies get labeled "progressive" - they encourage it. The media encourages the labeling. Then the status quo can remain in tact. Failures become "progressive" failures and they move on to the next Centrist piece of ....
cabot   12:59 PM on 7/15/2010
Not only is it sad that Americans have such short memories and attention spans, but despicable that these politicians and financial giants would be corrupt and greedy enough to manipulate the conversation and deceive the people. President Obama has not kept his word to the letter in many of his campaign promises about cleaning up corruption, healthcare reform, investigating Bush and Cheney abuse of the constitution, etc. The right-winger parties are manipulating their sheep to continue on a path that is opposed to their self interest. I'm so exhausted with them all that I'm resigned to the fact that if the Republicans are in power then I , being in a certain financial bracket, would benefit in some ways and screw the fools who vote them in. On the other hand, if the Dems. win and finally do all that they should, then my soul would be happier!
its miller time   03:22 PM on 7/15/2010
I personally don't blame Obama, you can't move forward without support. Looking back, I wanted what he wanted and I think we both still do. Obama, any of us foresaw the steadfast opposition by Republicans or depth of the Depression/Recession in 2008, making change slow and difficult.

HCR was mishandled, he wanted it done in the first year. After a year of h*ll he had to bring HCR to a close, yes at the expense of middle class or it would die; and neither Party would look at it
again in the foreseeable future. He achieved his main goal, uninsured and less fortunate. The fight for the healthy could and will be fought for another day.

President Obama has accomplished more than any other President within the first 17 month of a first term let alone during a Depression. I think we don't see it because the Country is in such a low place right now and we personally can't feel those changes, yet.

If New Policy is weak, that is the Congress and Senates fault. The Democratic Party although having majority can and should not expect a 100% full support on any issue. Bipartisanship is required. The Republicans obsession to derail everything Obama touches has cost the
People and this Country dearly and policy to be weak.

One man cannot turn a 100 years of a Political system around, it is naive at best, he now knows that and so should we.

respectfully, Joanne
jhNY   12:29 PM on 7/15/2010
"As commodity speculation swelled, retail gasoline and home heating oil prices surged beyond $4 per gallon. Trade associations attributed as much as $1 or more of these prices to speculation, despite the more than adequate inventories and a decline in demand. Global food prices were similarly rocked and the UN estimates that an additional 130 million people were driven to hunger as a result." From elsewhere on HuffPo today. These costs must also be tallied with all the other extractions from world stability made by our betters on The Street, unless somehow the figures cited here are another way of saying the same thing, which to my pitiful understanding of figures and economics generally, they do not.
jhNY   12:25 PM on 7/15/2010
I like that stat abou the average MYC worker earning 63 grand a year. That's derived by getting ten busboys to stand next to a mid-level investment bank exec, not counting in the bonuses, or all the tips the busboys share with well-heeled waiters (none).

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