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Campaign 2012: The Disconnect Widens

Posted: 01/10/12 08:28 AM ET

Given that the country is facing huge problems and still digging out from the worst financial crisis since the Depression, some might expect that the seemingly endless debates and breathless saturation of media coverage of it all would converge into a real discussion of our major problems. But only if they haven't been paying attention.

Though the country is sorely in need of solutions, and the public hungry for real debate, that's not what was served up in Iowa -- either by the candidates or the vast pack of media covering their every word. What we got instead was a deluge of attack ads, largely financed by the super PACs allowed by the Citizens United decision. "The real winner of the 2012 Iowa Caucuses may not be any of the Republican candidates," writes Steven Rosenfeld on AlterNet, "but a new political animal that is ugly, loud, anti-democratic and coming to your state in the upcoming primaries and caucuses: the super PAC."

According to the Center for Responsive Politics, 264 super PACs have been spawned for the 2012 race and they've already spent almost half of the $32 million they've raised. In Iowa, nearly $13 million was spent by super PACs, with $4.6 million being spent on behalf of Mitt Romney. And because of reporting loopholes, of the dozen outside PACs that flooded Iowa with ads, only two have disclosed their donors, so Iowa voters, along with those in New Hampshire and South Carolina, don't get the pleasure of learning who is responsible for such elevated political discourse.

And what was all that money spent on? According to the Campaign Media Analysis Group, 45 percent of the ads were negative ads focused on Newt Gingrich. It's how the new politics works. Of course, negative ads have always existed, but now they can make up a huge portion of a candidate's messaging, and can be outsourced to shadowy outside groups. It's what allowed Mitt to neutralize Newt while he traipsed around unctuously reciting lyrics to "America the Beautiful" and making corny jokes about "corn as an amber wave of grain."

The results show that negative advertising works -- if your definition of "works" is driving up an opponent's negatives while also driving up voters' cynicism, resignation, and despair about their political system. As 57-year-old retiree and Iowa resident Jill Jepsen told the Los Angeles Times, "I can't listen to it. It makes me sick."

She's hardly alone. Though the media portrayed the caucuses as a titanic struggle to see which candidate would channel the fury of Iowa Republicans who were desperate to unseat President Obama, the facts tell a different story. Romney might have eked out a victory, but he did so with the lowest percentage of the vote of any Iowa winner since the caucuses began, and even got a smaller percentage of the vote than he did in 2008.

All told, the total number of Iowans that showed up was only 122,000, which translates into 19.9 percent of registered Republicans, down from 21.1 in 2008. To put those numbers in perspective, nearly twice as many -- 240,000 -- showed up at the Democratic caucuses in 2008. "Given the Republican enthusiasm for getting rid of the Obama administration and the wind at their backs after the 2010 election," said Drake University professor Dennis Goldford, "to me that was a disappointing turnout." Perhaps people have more on their minds than the HPV vaccine, contraception, which federal agencies to close down, the march of European Socialism, and the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City, as brilliantly managed as they apparently were.

According to the latest stats, unemployment stands at 8.5 percent, down only .6 of a percentage point since August. The number of long-term unemployed barely changed at 5.6 million, which accounts for over 42 percent of the jobless. The employment-population ratio was unchanged from the month before at 58.5 percent. And almost half of all Americans can now be classified as either in poverty or low income.

Last week in the New York Times, Jason DeParle detailed five major studies that have recently shown the decline in economic mobility in the United States, which now lags behind most European countries and Canada. "It's becoming conventional wisdom that the U.S. does not have as much mobility as most other advanced countries," said Brookings economist Isabel Sawhill. "I don't think you'll find too many people who will argue with that."

But neither will you find too many of the candidates talking about it. Former George Bush aide John Bridgeland, who helped found Opportunity Nation, professed himself "shocked" by America's standing relative to Europe and Canada. "Republicans will not feel compelled to talk about income inequality," he said. "But they will feel a need to talk about a lack of mobility -- a lack of access to the American Dream."

Well, if they're feeling that need, they're doing a hell of a job resisting it. Sure they talk about jobs, but mostly in a clownish contest for who can make the most outrageous claims about President Obama's European Kenyan Outsider Un-American Socialism. That might feed the anger of a small minority of Americans, but it does little to convince the majority that any of the candidates have a handle on the economic problems we're facing.

To note just one of these largely ignored problems, as HuffPost's Arthur Delaney reported, in the long lead-up to the Iowa caucuses, the candidates "[had] nothing to say about the big, bipartisan foreclosure fraud settlement sought by the Hawkeye State's top law enforcement official." As Arthur explains, the Iowa Attorney General has been the leader of a group of state-level AGs negotiating a settlement with the big banks over fraud and foreclosure abuse. Many think the settlement is too soft. Others are in support. But the GOP candidates for president? They're just silent. A database search for "Iowa," "caucuses," and "foreclosures" results in not a single comment from a candidate or one of their surrogates.

Something else you didn't hear them talk about is Arthur's report on heating oil subsidies being cut back just as winter takes hold. The White House and Congress agreed to cut the assistance by 25 percent, or $1.2 billion. What that means is that fully one million people will not have as much heat this winter. "I got the temperature down to 65, and I got to keep a jacket on and a couple of sweaters in the house," said 81-year-old Ralph Olivieri of Coventry, R.I., who, along with his wife Alexis, will use up their remaining heating oil in a few weeks. Maybe they can warm themselves with visions of how well the 2002 Salt Lake City Winter Olympics were managed.

Perhaps this disconnect -- between what people are really concerned about and what the candidates and the media following them are talking about -- is contributing to the fact that, according to Gallup, for all of 2011, an average of only 17 percent of Americans were satisfied with the way things are going.

And perhaps it's why Congress ended 2011 with an 11 percent approval rating, a record low. Or why, according to an NBC/WSJ poll, only 27 percent say they think favorably about the Republican Party. The Democrats aren't much better at 32 percent.

What these numbers -- and those about voter turnout in Iowa -- show is that, yes, Americans are unhappy with the economy, and many are unhappy (for various reasons) with President Obama's response to the economy. But simply pointing that out isn't enough to convince voters a candidate can do any better. What voters want, and what the country needs, are solutions -- not another blizzard of cowardly, anonymously-funded attack ads.

So what did we get as the circus moved to New Hampshire? As Jason Linkins noted while live-blogging the first of two New Hampshire debates: "The debate did not 'pivot to jobs' until its last third, and it ended with a CNN-type goofball question, essentially, 'What would you rather be doing tonight?'"

But it did feature Rick Perry saying he would "send troops back to Iraq," and Rick Santorum claiming that the mere mention of the words "middle class" amounts to "class warfare."

In fact, Rick Santorum is one of the few candidates who has made an attempt to talk about working people and economic mobility, but in one of his first post-Iowa New Hampshire rallies he got into a colloquy with a student about gay marriage. As Joe Klein pointed out on Hardball, "during the course of this entire hour he spent with them, he never mentioned his manufacturing plan or his economic policy." And that's because, as Howard Fineman pointed out, opposing gay marriage "is what he cares most passionately about." According to the New York Times' Michael Shear, Santorum's passion didn't go over well: "The students booed Mr. Santorum during the 10-minute exchange and loudly booed when he left the room."

Unfortunately, as the unreal reality show finishes up in New Hampshire and heads down to South Carolina, the disconnect widens, the cynicism grows, and the resignation spreads.

 
 
 

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Mike Rock
Right wingers, prepare to lose debate.
02:16 PM on 02/25/2012
Crowing too soon, when the One Percent Party can muster $1 trillion in secret money.

Think that's an over-estimate? It's a bargain. The Bush presidency enriched the tiny top fraction by $4 trillion.
08:48 PM on 01/15/2012
There will be more dissatisfied if new bill gets passed. Enemy Expatriation Act HR3166 & S.1698. It is a MUST read. Please look it up.
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Droid Noir
Graphic Designer, Writer.
08:31 PM on 01/15/2012
Ms. Huffington, the disconnect should not longer be the issue at hand but rather that even if you had a candidate that actually professed the same views as the electorate, would they actually reflect them in their politics and further, have the power to institute them. In this game, known as politics, there might be the illusion that your votes have meaning, have effects, but I'd rather suggest that 'Americans', need to take their country back, whatever that means, because right now it is surely not in their possession.
10:52 PM on 01/15/2012
Agreed!
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
07:07 PM on 01/15/2012
At some point - about 20 years ago - the economy was disengaged from the welfare of the American worker. Outsourcing, union-busting and expanding debt turned finance into the mining of American assets.

All of this made it easy to buy politicians instead of electing them.

So what we have is a capitalism that is exploiting workers and politicians who think it is a good idea.
wbearl
Retired Manager Mechanical Operations
11:00 PM on 01/15/2012
Why is it that people are so fixated on our current problems having a birth date of some time in the last 20 years? Our problems started almost 100 years ago. It has taken 17 Presidents and hundreds of politicians to get us where we are. It has taken greedy companies and unions to get us here. While this mess started in 1917, the momentum picked up in the 70's. Politically Nixon had trashed the Democratic Party at the polls and the Democrats were out for retribution, which started the game that the politicians are playing today, tit for tat. We had just finished a war and with all of the returning Vets and down sizing of the military industrial base, there was an acute shortage of jobs. Companies had been giving out pretty easy contracts to unions because business was good. By the late 70's we were in serious trouble. Unemployment was double digit, inflation was double digit, companies needed major retooling for the first time since WW2. Companies were asking for give back from their unions and getting refusals. In the end the unions lost because in retooling companies down sized, farmed out work to non union shops or moved over seas. The people of America lost because we lost jobs, taxes from workers and companies.
11:37 PM on 01/15/2012
thank you a person with perspective on history who knows some facts...Americans need to realize we've been played. Each party props the other up so it is them against us...they're the winners we the losers. the unionized edu. system has fixed the electorate so they can't reason or use fact only propaganda promoted as fact by the liberals...however, big gvt is also o'k with republicans, most are RINO's and are just taking turns in the drivers seat. "When a gvt betrays the people by amassing too much power & becoming tyrannical, the people have no choice but to exercise the original rights of self defense-to fight the government." Alexander Hamilton we're in deep and the propaganda is being eaten up all over especially by the far left, It's a shame that the American citizenry can't trust one another and get on the same page. I think most folks pretty much want reasonable governance. Our only hope is to get the mess. out Re-Elect No-One after 3-5 election cycles maybe they'll get the hint, they work for us not special interest or themselves. Big gvt and corp America bad mix...all this nonsense must stop and quick. I wish the unions who are suppose to be for the people would become part of the answer, but, no everyone wants more power... Color of green what it's all about.
06:13 PM on 02/15/2012
Hmm... So, the Butch Slapping LBJ gave Barry Goldwater in '64 didn't trigger a Republican tit-for-tat avalanche of Republican payback that resulted in R M Nixons' election in '68 over the far more honorable HHH? According to many historians, that did happen. Why is it not in your sequence of events? When you start labeling a "mess in 1917" I need something more in the way of facts. The facts you quote during my lifetime failed to fix the date or the cause for the animosity between the parties accurately - and omitted the dramatic changes executed by Reagan, his successor Bush and the Bush of the first eight years of this century. Because all your errors favor the Republicans, I'm inclined to dismiss your rant as partisan. Just more of the "They all do it" excuse that developed during Watergate.
06:50 PM on 01/15/2012
If you're right that Americans are primarily interested in answers to our major problems - and I agree with you on that point - I'm waiting for the folks on the left to point their fingers at their own left-leaning media figures who have moderated/orchestrated/facilitated the 1,000+ GOP debates we've seen so far. At least it seems like that many.
Instead of focusing on issues of substance, the GOP candidates have been asked the most ridiculous questions aimed solely at questioning their faith, personal beliefs, and personal backgrounds while also effectively getting them to attack each other.
Want more substance? Let's have some debates run by conservatives with no axe to grind.
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SonOfUgh
Your micro-bio is empty
07:17 PM on 01/15/2012
Did you see the Faux Noise debate? It was just more of the same. The candidates were spoon fed questions to allow them to deliver some portion of their stump speech before the debate moved on to the next candidate. None of the debates, not even the conservative run ones, have been any good. They are "reality TV" pablum for the masses.
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Cye
10:28 PM on 01/15/2012
Sorry, but its the Republicans that continually politicize sex and religion. And then complain when the chickens come home to roost.

Most western industralized countries manage to go through entire elections without discussons about abortion, gays and creation (live in Australia, I know. I can't remember the last time abortion or evolution was even mentioned in an election). Yet these are exactly the obsessions of the Republican party. But its OUR fault for taking them to task over it?

And frankly, I think if a person wants to become President, then they should be prepared to speak exhaustively about their personal beliefs. People want to know the character and beliefs of the person with the codes to America's nuclear arsenel. Would you be happy for somebody like Palin, who had some kind of witch doctor perform a cleansing ritual on her, to take charge of America's resouces? I wouldn't.
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aliceandthecat
the most curious thing I ever saw
06:31 PM on 01/15/2012
Citizens United has allowed an unprecedented amount of money to flow into the coffers of super PACs. Money which may well come from foreign countries.

Jan 20th 2012 the day to protest the damaging impact of Citizens United.

http://movetoamend.org/start-group

In Phoenix AZ.
Maricopa County, an affiliate of Move to Amend, is holding a citizens gathering at the Sandra Day O’Connor Federal Court House, 401 W. Washington Street on January 20th from 11am - 5pm.

Repost and spread the word.
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SonOfUgh
Your micro-bio is empty
07:19 PM on 01/15/2012
The freedom of foreign investors to "buy free speech" under Citizens United seemed to me to be the most egregious part of the ruling. Yet you hear very little about that from the media. Is China or Saudi Arabia or Russian billionaires buying the next U.S. President? With the Super PACs, how will anyone know?
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aliceandthecat
the most curious thing I ever saw
08:10 PM on 01/15/2012
F2!
06:28 PM on 01/15/2012
Public is hungry for real debate? Public feels disconnected from the GOP debates, primaries? It's not hard to see why. It ceased to be a crisis for the 1% within months of Lehman Bros demise because the Feds wasted no time in bailing out the TBTF banks. But the other 99% which have suffered in the crisis' aftermath because the bailout never really helped them cope with it in the first place. Duh. Media is only addressing the 1% and no one else. Media is a huge part of the problem folks...
02:06 PM on 01/16/2012
But you forgot the third leg of the stool. Now the 99% are supposed to pay up again to fix whatever the bailout was supposed to fix the first time by allowing the elite, the politicians, and the punditry to impose an "austerity" program on those who can least afford it and who had absolutely zero to do with creating the problem in the first place. Class warfare? To quote a particularly loathsome example of the political class, you betcha.
Snow Time
A proud 53%er
06:10 PM on 01/15/2012
Over 160,000 Democrats left the Party on Iowa since 2008!

It's good they wised up to and rejected Obama's and the Left's shenanigans!
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SonOfUgh
Your micro-bio is empty
07:21 PM on 01/15/2012
Please provide some citations and reasoning to back up your assertions. They are, in my opinion, without any basis in fact or logic but I am willing to see you try to prove me wrong.
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Azlegit
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Cye
10:29 PM on 01/15/2012
Hmm, it would be interesting to see how the Republicans fared over that same period.
nothingchanges
too soon old, too late smart
05:01 PM on 01/15/2012
IMPO..........the vast majority of America's problem can be traced to a single cause..........MONEY.

Specifically the corruption that money can buy, and the corrupt politicians that corporate money puts into office.

The 112th Congress of the United States of America, has I believe the lowest approval ratings in American history.

There's a reason. They deserve it.

They were put into office by American voters, but that's not who they represent.

They work for the corporations that fund their campaigns, cause that's where the money is, and that's really what all this is about, when you come right down to it................Money.

We have now reached the point (1% control more financial wealth than the bottom 95% of Americans COMBINED) where the majority of people no longer have ANY say whatsoever in how this country is governed. In a bidding war for politicians "favors", we simply no longer have the resources to "compete'.

Without campaign finance reform, things will only get worse. Citizens United will see to that.

This country is sick, without a doctor to be found.

“Fascism is capitalism in decay”, and decay is caused by corruption.

This country's leadership is rife with it, and unless that changes our Democratic Republic form of government will not survive.
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06:10 PM on 01/15/2012
AMEN!
I have resigned completely to do whatever it takes to survive this "government by and for the rich and powerful".

Ethics? Really?
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Grokenspiel
I grok, therefore I spiel
01:32 AM on 01/16/2012
Overall, a powerful comment, nothingchanges. It's cynical, but the cynicism is ably justified.

You say, "This country is sick, without a doctor to be found." I personally believe that, although the country is indeed sick at this time, there are doctors to be found, doctors such as Elizabeth Warren, who's itching to render treatment. And judging by the support she's been receiving, she and her colleagues in the healing arts just might get a chance. Makes me a cautious optimist.
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elgeezr
annoying Libs daily with orgasmic gusto
01:18 PM on 01/15/2012
Much to my surprise, I do enjoy Arianna's well written & informative columns. They are not at all what I expected. Once again I say good job Arianna! Keep them coming.
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JoanMeijer
Author of Relentless: The Search For Typhoid Mary
12:18 PM on 01/15/2012
It's a good time not to watch television -
11:59 AM on 01/15/2012
Does anybody besides me have a problem with the statistics used in our political discussions? Unemployment at 8.5%? And yet nearly 50% of us live in poverty? I would say unemployment is easily 30%.
Inflation nearly nonexistent? What a joke.
11% approval of Congress? Where do these people live?
The economy is improving? What are they looking at.....Stock prices?
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elgeezr
annoying Libs daily with orgasmic gusto
01:20 PM on 01/15/2012
Depends on how you define poverty. Do you mean an inability to feed one's family? An inability to get medical aid? Unable to properly clothes onesself? That's my definition. What's yours?
06:20 PM on 01/15/2012
Please add adequate shelter to your list...
12:15 AM on 01/16/2012
Is your definition absolute or relative? Anyway, that is not what I commented on.

However measured, the numbers I keep seeing in the media on unemployment, poverty, inflation, the economy, etc. don't seem to have any connection to what my eyes are seeing.
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Mary Blickhahn
Mary Quite Contrary
04:04 PM on 01/15/2012
Well said that is what I have been asking!
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BarryWolk
OCCUPY CONGRESS!! Never Vote reThuglican Again!!
08:37 AM on 01/15/2012
The current three parts of our Gov't, Exec, Legislative and the Judiciary are COMPLETELY out of touch with the vast majority of everyday Americans and if the gov't doesn't start opening their eyes soon there will be a revolution against them that will throw them ALL out on their butts!

I din't think that The People have much patience left for all of these Plutocrats in charge of everything and this includes the main stream media and their complicity in not reporting the important issues as the Constitution mandates them to. ('Freedom of the Press' comes w/responsibilities!)
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MeinNH
Ooooo Silly Me
10:58 AM on 01/15/2012
Great Comments...Fanned!
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Chris1962
NYC
01:14 PM on 01/15/2012
>>>The current three parts of our Gov't, Exec, Legislativ­e and the Judiciary are COMPLETELY out of touch with the vast majority of everyday Americans and if the gov't doesn't start opening their eyes soon there will be a revolution against them that will throw them ALL out on their butts!>>> The great shellacking of 2010 should've been a wakeup call for Harry and O, yet their still fighting to keep spending and spending, despite a downgrade and the debt hitting $16T. Go figure.
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SonOfUgh
Your micro-bio is empty
07:24 PM on 01/15/2012
So, if and when the GOP get shelacked in 2012, you will be calling on them to "wake up"? I thought not.
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OliverTwist
Contrarian advocate for truth and justice
07:32 AM on 01/15/2012
Wonderfully on the mark.
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CanuckistanCommie
I ain't no Commie but Pat Buchanan thinks so!!
03:28 AM on 01/15/2012
Many people forget that your nation like any other nation is a company.
Their job is to run that business responsibly for each and every one of its shareholders....YOU Your country loses money, you inherit loss. Your country gains money, you inherit money.
The Board of Directors: President, Congress(CFO) and Senate remaining board are supposed to run your business responsibly. They have failed.
So in 2012, you need to look at each and every board member and decide who needs to go.
Each board member has a responsibility written in their job descriptions. Have they performed to the task?? Yes?? Then keep them... No?? Fire em!

Remember that it is YOUR monies that is invested in your nation!!! Right now, the board is running at a loss, one that you are inheriting. Inheriting to a tune of $46,893.00 for each and every citizen of your nation.
IMO, your country's board members are too busy with inside trading for themselves to care about their investors.... you.
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Vballboy60
The Dudes abides...with the moderation
06:21 AM on 01/15/2012
Love the "your country's board members are too busy with inside trading for themselves to care about their investors"!

American political theater....so entertaining and dangerous.
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Dennydorite
To Serve Man--A Cookbook
07:08 AM on 01/15/2012
Poor analogy. Government is not run, nor should it be, as a business. Read the Constitution if you want a description of the duties of government.
This is the real problem:
http://www.thenation.com/blog/37038/thomas-jefferson-feared-aristocracy-corporations
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CanuckistanCommie
I ain't no Commie but Pat Buchanan thinks so!!
12:16 PM on 01/15/2012
It is a business sorry.. And must be treated as one. That;s the problem. Those who choose to run the business have little accountability and treat the nation like it has an open end credit card. Just like any other business, you get in too deep you go bankrupt and few people will be willing to do business with you.
12:42 AM on 01/16/2012
No it's not being run as a business. Big business is running it!