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Obama's State of the Focus Group Speech

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The president, we were told, spent a good deal of time in the days leading up to his State of the Union address, going over it with a fine-toothed comb, making changes and additions in longhand.

But judging from the speech, he also spent a lot of time going over the results of focus groups and polls. Indeed, the speech, despite its charm, humor, and occasionally impassioned rhetoric, had the feel of being focus-grouped within an inch of its life. There was a decidedly paint-by-poll-numbers air about it.

Focus group participants say they are concerned about the deficit? Then let's throw in a 3-year spending freeze, delivered with a populist spin. "Like any cash-strapped family," the president said, "we will work within a budget to invest in what we need and sacrifice what we don't. And if I have to enforce this discipline by veto, I will."

Sure, the freeze will actually have little impact on the multi-trillion dollar deficit, exempts budget-bloating defense spending, and, as Steve Clemons puts it, "will essentially forfeit America's growth future to China." But "spending freeze" moved the test dials -- so spending freeze it is!

Remember when serious health care reform was going to be the main path to reducing long-term budget deficits? Not anymore. Now we're going to freeze spending -- except, of course, on the wars of choice we are fighting, at a cost of $250 billion a year, in Iraq and Afghanistan.

The president and his team know that the spending freeze is little more than what The Economist's Ryan Avent calls "a bright shining gimmick." And no one in the administration could really have believed that conservatives would suddenly swoon and fall into line at the mere mention of "freezing discretionary spending."

Indeed, the reaction of Republicans to his announcement that the freeze won't take effect until 2011 was so derisive that Obama fired back with a caustic ad lib: "That's how budgets are done."

The truth is, the American people are not angry because of all the money the government has spent this year -- except, of course, the people who believe Obama was born in Kenya, is a Muslim, and a Socialist. The rest of the people, the ones Obama has a chance of reaching, are angry because the vast majority of that money went to -- and continues to go to -- rescuing Wall Street, which has thanked taxpayers by reducing lending, recording record profits, paying out massive bonuses, and using our money to pay lobbyists to scuttle financial reform. That is what is putting voters on the electoral warpath.

The president's Pander-palooza continued with the middle class-friendly initiatives he announced on Monday and touched on again during the SOTFG (State of the Focus Group). As I wrote earlier this week, these modest tax credits and subsidies "are all very good ideas, but hardly commensurate with the deep crisis America's middle class is in." The New York Times labeled them the "opposite of bold."

They are also incredibly similar to the "middle class bill of rights" Bill Clinton rolled out in the wake of the mid-term shellacking Democrats took in 1994. Obama has apparently decided that he'll cut to the chase and preemptively follow Clinton's third-way strategies. So get ready to wave goodbye to the Big Bang agenda, and say hello to bite-sized programs -- Obama equivalents of school uniforms, extended hospital stays for new moms, and midnight basketball leagues. But when Wall Street was in trouble it didn't get a bunch of micro ideas, it got a huge bailout.

But 2010 isn't 1994. Robert Reich, who, as Clinton's Secretary of Labor had a front-row seat to that time, lays out the vast gulf between then and now, writing on HuffPost that in 1994 "the U.S. economy was coming out of a recession. It was of no consequence that Clinton's jobs proposals were small or that he moved to the right and whacked the budget, because within a year the great American jobs machine was blasting away and the middle class felt a lot better... Today, though, there's no sign on the horizon of a vigorous recovery."

President Obama is not going to be able to micro-trend his way into this recovery. And he's not going to be able to win back the confidence of the American people with worthwhile but small bore initiatives like child care tax credits. And he's got to make sure his team doesn't go around making claims like the one Austan Goolsbee made on MSNBC the other morning, when he told Chuck Todd that child care is "highly tied to the job market" and that many people are out of work because they can't afford to get someone to take care of their children. But people aren't out of work because they can't afford a baby sitter; they're out of work because there are six applicants for every job opening.

And while most State of the Union speeches have a bit of a kitchen-sink feel to them, this one seemed particularly so with its blink-and-you-missed-it mentions of "earmark reform" and cracking "down on violations of equal pay laws -- so that women get equal pay for an equal day's work." It felt less like an overriding vision for the country, and more like an attempt to deliver at least one applause line for every constituency in the country.

That's not political leadership. Obama clearly understands this. It's why he ended his speech by mocking politicians who "do what's necessary to keep our poll numbers high, and get through the next election instead of doing what's best for the next generation." And he just as clearly has the ability to articulate a bold vision for the nation and lead it where it desperately needs to go.

But he didn't do it tonight.

P.S.: It was great to hear the president embrace the Move Your Money concept, "proposing that we take $30 billion of the money Wall Street banks have repaid and use it to help community banks give small businesses the credit they need to stay afloat."

 
 
 

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02:16 PM on 02/06/2010
I was a big Obama supporter. I am still willing to give him a chance--Bush left him with an awful mess. However, his lack of experience is starting to show. I am not so sure I agree with his cabinet choices either, especially Arnie Duncan--who appears to be against unions. To make matters worse, he consults with the likes of Mayor Bloomberg, on matters of education. Really ? You believe that a businessman,billionaire and a union-busting lawyer are qualified to run our city schools ? Why ? Just because he says so ? I can't believe that Obama is against unions, I thought he was supposed to be "a man of the people". What a disappointment so far.
06:48 PM on 02/02/2010
Where are our journalist, there is a problem brewing, and has been for years. Please someone be a real journalist, and go after real stories that really matter to the American people.

Oh here's one, I dare you:

http://thegeorgiaguidestones.com/Message.htm


This American Stonehenge was commissioned in 1979 long before todays radio talk show persons were on the air.
06:47 PM on 02/02/2010
Where are our journalist, there is a problem brewing, and has been for years. Please someone be a real journalist, and go after real stories that really matter to the American people.
Oh here's one, I dare you:
http://thegeorgiaguidestones.com/Message.htm

This American Stonehenge was commissioned in 1979 long before todays radio talk show persons were on the air.

You want to do real news then do this story, but NO WAY are you going to face the truth.
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08:41 AM on 02/02/2010
Ms. A. Might I ask a favor of you? I would like to know why a national event that was filmed, televised and previously shown in it's entirety is nowhere to be found on C-Span. I am talking about the President's Q&A session with Republican's last week. I do think this is a serious problem on many levels that needs to be addressed.

Please and thank you!
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TheRLeePost
A 'blue' Southerner
12:59 AM on 02/02/2010
It's no crime to want to please and to give people what they want, but, you're right here, Ariana. That might be good for a waiter, but not a leader in times of dire economic circumstances, a cry I've always heard, but believe this time it's true.

WE aren't making it any easier, though, for the President. Just shouting JOBS, JOBS, JOBS isn't constructive. Last year, the Democrats, very disappointingly rushed to take advantage of the desperate situation of millions of unemployed Americans.

Instead of addressing the recession at the point where it began, they used the existing public pressure to do 'something' to appropriate billions of dollars for government projects at every level without any real expectations as to exactly 'who' that was going to assist. Just throwing money out there, and going to bed thinking, "well there is money out there, so something will be done with it," is so utterly incompetent.

If not incompetent, then it was intended to be a political payoff to certain constituencies. I'd rather it were the former, to which I respond with just a "what's new?" shrug; the latter is incensing.

WE must provide 'out of the box' thinking and solutions. But, first we must understand the economic Rubic's cube. What started the recession? Was it the lack of the government not building enough roads? Hardly. I've addressed this topic here -->http://therleepost.blogspot.com/2010/01/great-recession-have-you-paid-attention.html.
-RLee
http://therleepost.blogspot.com
12:51 PM on 02/01/2010
I wholeheartedly agree with your assertion here. The speech seemed was like the President holding my hand and walking me around the edges of all the problems facing Washington and the nation right now without taking me with him deep into the issue and giving me and the country his vision for a way out. He didn’t clearly tell me what he wanted me to do. What got his campaign off the ground was the intense grassroots momentum, like he was leading a movement and not a campaign; but now that he is in office he has turned back into a politician. His strength is his ability to get people to support his vision, but over the last year and including the SOTU he didn’t express any clear plan for much of anything. As the speech ended I felt glad that he is my President, but as the minutes turned to hours, I felt more and more like I was played by a politician who can talk without saying anything.
10:28 AM on 02/01/2010
Maybe he should work on increasing his poll numbers...he can mock it all he wants but if he put forth policy that created jobs his poll numbers would surely go up even on the right.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mkellyo
09:58 AM on 02/01/2010
Arianna, you get attention by attacking your president who you say you support. According to you, he just doesn't do anything right or what you think he should do. A change in tone might also include progressives supporting Obama.
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GOODREASON
01:42 AM on 02/01/2010
Thank you Arianna for your unbiased thinking. I respect you for this.
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DonRoberto
08:39 PM on 01/31/2010
Sorry, Ms. Huffington, but despite the great respect I have for your accomplishments, I have to disagree with your conclusion here. The State of the Union address was exactly what was called for at this point in time; it's hard to understand how you could expect anything *but* what was actually delivered.

Yes, there are competing factions in this country, and yes, President Obama was speaking to most of them in his address; that is, after all, the purpose of the address.

No one, journalists included, is immune from the effects of their own preconceptions on their cognitive filters. But journalists, whether straight news reporters or news analysts, have a special responsibility to be aware of their preconceptions and rise above them. I hope we can rely on you to continue the same high standard of fairness and accuracy that built the Huffington Post in the first place.
08:10 AM on 02/01/2010
Thank you Don Roberto for putting into words what I have been thinking for awhile now reading Arianna's columns .

Arianna we have lived through 8 years of fear mongering by the Bush administration and the Republican party we don't need journalists like yourself jumping on that old band wagon .
Please if you think you have a solution to this countries woes then by all means write the President, I am sure he would welcome sensible solutions and all the help he can get, because good lord he sure has a boat load of problems to fix thanks to the previous administration and the party of No that supported Bush .

I know when crisis hits I want a cheerleader beside me to give me encouragement and brighten the spirits of those around me, I surely don't want a doom sayer or negitive Nel to stir up fear and negativity . President Obama needs our support not condemnation !
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Democrat in the South
Empathy, the most important word
10:25 AM on 02/01/2010
Are you saying you're mad at her for telling the truth?
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DonRoberto
11:40 AM on 02/01/2010
Quite the opposite --- I'm saying her stated opinion may be her opinion, but it is factually incorrect in its insinuations.

And despite your snarky rejoinder, you knew exactly what I meant. If you are really a Democrat, perhaps you should quit employing the GOP tactic of snide insinuation and say what you mean.
05:25 PM on 01/31/2010
Term and age limits and real campaign finance reform is the only road to salvation for our gov.
05:24 PM on 01/31/2010
"SMOKE AND MIRRORS OBAMA" loves to talk, but never really says anything of substance - he is an over educated professor type that doesn't have a clue. It is more important for him to be liked and to have his speeches praised than it is for him to govern. He can not take any critism and stands by the Pelosi/Reid agenda - big mistake, wait till Nov.
pup sydney
needs of regular folks, Italy; cancer;
04:49 PM on 01/31/2010
No speeches, principles and governance by those principles.
Too much to ask is it?
Yes because these 2 parties are compromised goods. Dear Mrs Huffington I beg you, help organize a new party, don't let the future of the USA in the hands of 2 compromised parties, than in 40 forty quarenta years/anos have done NOTHING, and in the hands of a tea party.
NEw parties are needed from the progressive front OR forever keep your/our peace. Not to do anything really new and rely on these guys is treasonous.
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03:35 PM on 01/31/2010
President Oboma is sending in 30,000 troops in Afghanistan on a support mission to build up the Power of a Corrupt U.S. Handpicked Despot that stayed in power winning a crooked/fake election overseen by US... He conducts secret Military Op's with Yemen from the White House... They secretly increase Missile Batteries in 4 "Gulf" countries that we are not allowed to know the location of although I suspect it would include one that is one of the most Religiously oppressive countries in the world... They will start withdrawing Troops in Iraq but are going to leave up to 50,000 Troops fully Armed and At The Ready Combat Brigades that will now be refereed to as "Support Brigades" while there will be a noted increase in the "Blackwater" types... The withdraw of the "Support Troops" in both Iraq and Afghanistan will be determined by "The Conditions On The Ground"... He abandons the use of Diplomacy we were promised when dealing with Iran and others in that region in less than one year...

This Administration has become absolutely 'Reaganesque' in it's approach .... "Great Speeches" with a throng of supporters who attack, insult, and organize to quiet genuine dissent and distort the facts with 'Reaganesque Double Speak' while the Middle Class suffers... There hasn't been a Presidential Press Conference since he found out the "Honeymoon was over in the last one held July 2009 just Photo Op's with 6th graders asking those tough questions that elude the White House Press Corps...
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rougebaisers
10:57 AM on 01/31/2010
Haaaaaaa. You noticed. Although what he did with his visit into the Republican vipers nest later in the week was something that the founding fathers would have done.