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Art Brodsky

Art Brodsky

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Air of Inevitability Escaping From AT&T's Takeover of T-Mobile

Posted: 05/16/11 09:08 PM ET

There was a notable hissing sound emanating from Capitol Hill at the end of last week. It was the air being let out of AT&T's trial balloon, "The Inevitable." Thanks to some aggressive questioning from the Senate Antitrust Subcommittee, particularly Chairman Herb Kohl (D-WI) and Sens. Amy Klobuchar and Al Franken ( both D-MN), it quickly became clear that there are lots of problems to the $39 billion takeover of T-Mobile that AT&T either hadn't counted on, didn't want to deal with or thought would simply be overlooked.

AT&T has said repeatedly it expects the deal to be approved, and hasn't yet mentioned any conditions. Granted, it is early in the process, but telling everyone what is expected is part of creating that air of inevitability to intimidate legislators and agency staff that will have to make the call. Adding to the environment, financial and industry analysts have said since the deal was announced on March 20 that it would be approved, albeit with some conditions. That meme, based on the performance of the Antitrust Division in big, high-profile media/telecom cases, has infiltrated much of the thinking and writing about the deal.

As the hearing demonstrated, and as some reporters are starting to pick up, AT&T's deal is not a foregone conclusion, and, in fact, the company still has a lot of explaining to do in order to justify wiping out the fourth-largest national wireless carrier.

It took several minutes of questioning of AT&T Chairman Randall Stephenson for Kohl to get the simple admission that yes, T-Mobile is a competitor for AT&T. "You are competitors, right?" Kohl asked. Stephenson said T-Mobile is "part of the eco-system" of the wireless industry. Kohl, disbelieving the reply, said it was "incontrovertible" that the companies were competitors. Is T-Mobile a competitor for AT&T? T-Mobile USA President Phillipp Humm did a similar dance, all but ignoring the TV commercial Public Knowledge President Gigi Sohn played for the subcommittee at the start of the hearing, which depicted AT&T's network as the weight around its customers, slowing them down relative to T-Mobile's 4G network.

It was hard not to have some sympathy for Humm, who had to argue his company was abandoning the U.S. and was so constrained it couldn't possibly compete any more. Admitting abject failure for so vital and perky a company as T-Mobile in such a public forum had to be excruciating. But that's what the home office demanded, so Humm did it.

The hearing was notable not only for the tough questions tossed at Stephenson and Humm, but for the lack of tough questions posed by those who would normally be forthright in defense of the merger. While it's true, as some commentators said, that no senator came right out and said the merger should be blocked, the questioning did reveal a lot. The onslaught of hostile questions on pricing, consumer rights accompanied by the observations of the creation of a wireless duopoly surely showed that the senators, primarily on the Democratic side, have enough serious doubts about the deal that approval by the Justice Dept. should not be a foregone conclusion.

Even more interesting was the commentary from the Republicans, including from Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), AT&T's home-state senator on the committee. (AT&T has its headquarters in Dallas.) Cornyn issued no clarion calls for the merger to be approved forthwith. He gave no denunciations of government regulators trying to quash the free market and the fate of his great constituent company. He instead settled for some platitudes on broadband access, criticizing the broadband part of the stimulus program and feeding Stephenson some softball questions on innovation and the role of the private sector.

Even then, Stephenson's claim that there are 600 devices in the wireless market (you should pardon the expression) rang hollow, considering it kept a five-year exclusive deal on the iPhone, which is worth much more than, at least 595 of those other devices.

AT&T is pumping millions of dollars into getting this acquisition through, and clearly didn't get its money's worth from the Senate panel. If the Senators send a letter to the Justice Department that in any way would give political cover to the Antitrust Division blocking the merger, then the deal could be in real trouble. The meme is starting to change, as reporters are starting to realize that AT&T's conquest may be a reach too far.

It may have better luck in the House, where the rhetoric can be less constrained than in the Senate. The House Judiciary Committee's Internet Subcommittee has a hearing tentatively scheduled for May 26. The full Committee Chairman Lamar Smith is from Texas, although he is from the San Antonio area that AT&T scorned, moving its HQ from there to relocate up north. There is no shortage of highly charged members on the subcommittee, who could more than make up for the tepid response AT&T got in the Senate.

The only conditions which could stifle the House hearing are the obvious facts of this case, which as Sohn, Sprint CEO Dan Hesse, and Cellular South CEO Victor "Hu" Meena testified, are anticompetitive and anti-consumer on any number of levels.

 

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Aerobat
Truth through humor ... and sarcasm
06:20 PM on 05/18/2011
Does anybody remember Cingular? It was a great little company with great service until AT&T took over. This merger has to have been conceived by Verizon because they will be the big winners after AT&T ruins T-Mobile. If AT&T has $3,000,000,000 to spend, they ought to throw some of that money at their own 3G and 4G infrastructure rather than destroy T-Mobile's. T-Mobile 4G is HSPA and ATT 4G is PSA so unless they intend to switch AT&T to HSPA, they will end up scrapping T-Mobile's 4G network ... the two won't work together or on the same phones. If I were a stock holder, I would be very concerned. Verizon will be the winner in this merger.
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lolita
Oh, for the love of...
06:11 PM on 05/17/2011
This merger would have terrible consequences for the Seattle area. The consolidation of the two companies would mean a huge number of layoffs and a huge number of square footage of commercial real estate would be emptied out; a real double whammy for the local economy.
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robert horwitz
03:11 PM on 05/17/2011
Though I have listened to some hearings lately on this particular merger and I am skeptical about it. One thing I have to say is AT&T has great customer support. No kidding around.
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uberlefty
03:52 PM on 05/17/2011
Which will likely decline as the competition is absorbed.
TheAntiOkie
Saying you're Christian doesn't prove anything
01:27 PM on 05/18/2011
I could argue with you about AT&T customer support for hours.

But I won't. 

I know the truth that I've experienced and apparently you have lived another one that is far different.

Having experienced more than one example (four that I can vividly recall) of their CS reps slamming me with unordered services, I no longer am nor will I ever again be a customer of AT&T.  The last time was a bridge too far.  It was the end of a long, long relationship.

I will never again have to waste time wading through the lies of the AT&T CS reps to slog through the ordeal of forcing AT&T to roll back all of the charges they'd slammed me with when one of their employees broke the law and altered my services without my consent.
01:06 PM on 05/17/2011
Art should have declared that he works for a group, Public Knowledge, that is part of a coalition working against the merger, the NoTakeOver Project, which is supported by Sprint corporation. He and his group have a stake in the outcome of the merger proceedings.
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Helzapoppin
Don't Piss Down My Back And Tell Me It's Raining.
12:45 PM on 05/17/2011
Mergers are, by definition, anti-competitive. You just have to laugh when market fundies start chanting about competition, because it's clear they dont believe in it at all.
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momofvegasgirls
My bio is not for sale !
11:42 AM on 05/17/2011
I for one hope this deal tanks. I've happily been with TMobile for over a decade and don't really fancy myself dealing with AT&T's customer service or billing.
TheAntiOkie
Saying you're Christian doesn't prove anything
01:27 PM on 05/18/2011
Smart.  Very smart.
11:24 AM on 05/17/2011
Am not in favor of an AT&T takeover of T-Mobile. As a predominantly happy T-Mobile user, the rates are reasonable, and only will rise with this takeover. In a contract that will hobble me for making different decisions. I have a local store where I go to have problems taken care of, the staff is friendly and supportive, even if I do have to wait in a long line to be waited on; whereas I understand that AT&T service is miserable and rude. So what is the point? Because, unfortunately, what usually happens is the takeovers go to the lowest denominator, and AT&Ts service will be the rule of the day, instead of the better service and support of T-Mobile. Am against the takeover. We don't need fewer choices and more conglomerates.
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Brett y
Patriotically Independent
10:37 AM on 05/17/2011
Please! AT&T has promised $3,000,000,000 and part of their spectrum (something they can't get more of) if this doesn't go through. They wouldn't have promised their spectrum if they hadn't already greased the wheel with the senate. So unless a very loud cry is heard from the public, this is a done deal.
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anchises868
eminently reasonable, never extreme
01:36 AM on 05/17/2011
Hmmm... well it appears that my faith in the Congress of the United States isn't completely misplaced after all...
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edejan
10:49 PM on 05/16/2011
Thank you. Your article gives me the spark of hope I needed to start lobbing emails at everyone possible that could have any influence...you know, the FCC, reps and Senators, and such.