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Bill Chameides

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Obama's Energy Plan by the Numbers

Posted: 09/06/2012 4:39 pm

2012-09-06-obama510.309.png

Official White House Photo by Chuck Kennedy

What does the Obama administration plan for our energy future? To find out, we'll let the words tell the story.

How do Obama's words on energy compare to Team Romney's?

Last week, while the Republicans were celebrating the Romney-Ryan ticket in Tampa, Florida, we posted a count-the-words analysis of their energy plan. The plan's overall aim is to achieve energy independence for North America. The numbers told us the path to independence for the Romney team is strong on oil and gas, but not much on renewables; and climate was totally absent.

This week the Democrats are doing their thing in Charlotte, North Carolina, so we figured we’d give the Obama administration's energy policy the same treatment.

For the Romney-Ryan analysis we used a document released days before our post. No such luxury for Obama; as best as we can tell, his most recent vision for America's energy future is the 44-page “BLUEPRINT FOR A SECURE ENERGY FUTURE” [pdf] from March 2011. Certainly not as fresh, but that's what we've got.

In the Clouds with President Obama

Obama's blueprint targets three broad strategies for our energy future:

  1. Developing and securing America's energy supplies,
  2. Providing consumers with choices to reduce costs and save energy, and
  3. Innovating our way to a clean energy future.

But as usual (and as with the Romney plan), the devil is in the details.

So what are the details of Obama’s plan?

OK, so just like the Romney word cloud, "energy" is front and center. No big surprise there.

Obama energy plan word cloud
Obama’s energy plan portrayed in a pictorial word count.

There are some striking differences. In the Romney-Ryan cloud, "U.S." showed up among the most cited (biggest) words; in the Obama plan it's there, but you've got to look for it. And whereas the word "Obama" is prominently featured in the Romney-Ryan plan -- and not in a favorable light -- it's small potatoes, so to speak, in the Obama plan.

The other striking difference is in the emphases placed on energy sources. In the Romney-Ryan cloud "oil" and "gas" are king. In Obama's, "oil" and "gas" are prominent but so are "clean" and "efficiency."

In terms of energy sources, "oil" grabs the top spot for the Obama plan, followed by "clean energy," "gas" and "efficiency." "Renewable" is visible, but individual renewable energy sources are harder to find.

Greater Role for Efficiency and Clean Energy in Obama Plan

Want to be a little more quantitative? After "energy," "oil" and "clean energy" are in a virtual dead heat with slightly more than 100 appearances each. "Gas" (appearing 88 times) and "efficiency" (83 times) aren't far behind. (Team Romney's top three were "oil," "energy" and "gas," with everything else way back in the pack.)

Obama's emphasis on "clean energy" should no doubt make many enviros happy, as should his greater emphasis on "pollution," but be careful -- one person's clean energy is another's dirty polluter. Here's how Obama defines it:

"cleaner sources of electricity, including renewables like wind and solar, as well as clean coal, natural gas, and nuclear power."

I suspect that the inclusion of clean coal and nuclear will mean a bit of heartburn for some green leaners, and others won't welcome natural gas either.

The Race for the Environment Crown

It's interesting (and perhaps surprising) to note that "environment" appears a bit more frequently in the Romney-Ryan plan than in Obama's. Does that suggest that the Republicans have a legitimate claim for the green vote? I don't think so. There's an interesting juxtaposition in the two parties' approach to the environment. On the one hand, Romney-Ryan tend to place energy needs above environmental concerns and thus talk of streamlining and reforming environmental regulations to allow more rapid drilling, as in the following:

"Modernizing America's complex environmental statutes, regulations, and permitting processes is crucial to ensuring that the nation can develop its resources safely and efficiently."

"Regulations should be carefully crafted to support rather than impede development."

Obama's focus, on the other hand, is on developing appropriate environmental regulations so that oil and gas resources can be extracted safely. Two examples:

"environmental regulations that permit the beneficial development of this [gas] resource."

and

"working with local communities, state regulators, industry, and other Federal agencies to build a clean energy future by permitting environmentally responsible development of renewable energy on public lands."

Energy Independence vs. Energy Security

Interestingly, while the Romney-Ryan plan's fundamental and prominently stated goal is achieving energy independence, the Obama blueprint doesn't even mention it. Instead, Obama places emphasis on energy security, hence the report’s title (“Blueprint for a Secure Energy Future”) and the plan's stated objective to:

"secure America's energy future by producing more oil at home and reducing our dependence on oil by leveraging cleaner, alternative fuels and greater efficiency."

Note that though both plans propose to increase domestic oil production, Obama's additionally proposes to decrease America's dependence on oil by focusing on alternate energy sources and efficiency. Such a two-pronged approach is not evident in the Romney-Ryan plan -- the emphasis is clearly placed on increasing production, not decreasing demand or oil dependence.

Obama's Energy Plan by the Numbers

Word or term (and its derivatives) Number of times used Number of times used per page** (Romney plan)
Energy 408 9.3 (7.0)
Oil 105 2.4 (7.3)
Clean Energy 102 2.3 (0.1)
Gas 88 2 (3.9)
Efficiency* 83 1.9 (0.05)
Renewable 43 1.0 (0.1)
Environment 34 0.8 (1.1)
Nuclear 29 0.7 (0.3)
Solar 26 0.6 (1.1)
Wind 26 0.6 (0.5)
Biofuels
17 0.4 (0.05)
Coal
10 0.2 (0.7)
Pollution
9 0.2 (0)
Conservation
4 0.1 (0.1)
Climate
1 0.02 (0)
Green Energy
0 0 (0.05)
Alternative Energy
0 0 (0.1)
Energy Independence
0 0 (1)

* no derivatives
** averaged over the length of the document.

Climate by Any Other Name

With Romney-Ryan's "climate" scorecard showing a big goose egg, Obama's plan wins by a hair -- with a single mention in a list of three goals:

"These important investments are helping to develop cutting-edge technologies with real world applications that can tackle our nation's toughest energy challenges, address global climate change and advance a clean energy economy."

On the other hand, "greenhouse gas" comes up nine times in Obama's plan, each in the context of steps being taken to reduce emissions. The Romney-Ryan plan does mention "greenhouse gas," but the one reference is in the context of criticizing the Obama administration's proposed rules limiting emissions from new power plants.

Contrasts in Plans Reveal Very Different Paths Toward Energy Future

Viewed through their numbers, the two plans appear to offer a stark contrast. The Romney-Ryan plan aspires to achieve energy independence for North America by aggressively boosting oil and natural gas extraction, while environmental concerns associated with such activity do not figure prominently, nor do efforts to conserve and become more efficient.

The Obama plan, which seems to be a good deal more diversified, does not aspire to energy independence, but instead emphasizes energy security (that is, being less susceptible to swings in oil prices caused by political instabilities in foreign countries by reducing our dependence on oil). And this naturally translates into a greater focus on developing other forms of energy and becoming more efficient.

There also appears to be a fundamentally different vision for the future. The Obama plan talks of a “clean energy future” and therefore investing in innovative, clean energy technologies, arguing that "targeted and sustained investments in clean energy research and development [like alternative transportation fuels, advanced batteries] that can jumpstart private sector innovation are critical to our long term economic growth, energy security, and international competitiveness."

The Romney plan favors "not picking winners" and focusing "government investment on research across the full spectrum of energy-related technologies."

So there you have it; those are the two plans. Now what are the chances that we'll see a thoughtful debate between the candidates on the energy issue?

_______________

Note from my couch

Like many of you, I tuned in for much of Tuesday night's opening of the Democratic National Convention. Energy was certainly not the loudest or the most mentioned among the many issues and policy solutions alluded to last night, but there were at least several mentions (here and here, for example). And we've got two more nights left.

Crossposted with TheGreenGrok. | Follow us on Facebook.

 

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Official White House Photo by Chuck Kennedy What does the Obama administration plan for our energy future? To find out, we'll let the words tell the story. How do Obama's words on energy compare to ...
Official White House Photo by Chuck Kennedy What does the Obama administration plan for our energy future? To find out, we'll let the words tell the story. How do Obama's words on energy compare to ...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
neillevine
want to go into waterwheel business
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
neillevine
want to go into waterwheel business
12:18 PM on 09/09/2012
There is currently excess hydro and wind sitting idle. Storing this electricity as hydrogen would create ectra revenue. Only 3% of existing dams generate. Also, Edison used waterwheels because they are economically better than wind. Unfortunately, Obama is sitting on his hands.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
04:26 PM on 09/08/2012
Obama's energy plans have mostly sucked. They are based on pro nuke and clean coal Chu's biased DOE energy cost reporting that led them to invest in Solyandra think solar was far more expensive that the market was telling them.

Still infinity better than the GOPT plans.

Rooftop solar, offshore wind used to charge eletric vehicles and backed up by easte energy fuels systems is cheaper than nukes clean coal wqars for oil or conamomted freash water.

Why do fossils and nukes get ANY breaks? We don't want more of them. Or CO2 levels have already reach levels that cause stiffness and drowsiness, cost the world trillions of lost productivity and quality of life. We do we the taxpayer have to deal with Nukes poo? Why 500M$ per reactor per plant per year for nukes and clean coal in breaks?

Solar wind and waste get 1% of that?

Money buys politicians. Fossils and nukes have 100 times what solar wind and waste have, and they don't want to threaten the systems they have already paid for. Koch brothers in particular.

Vote for the green party, peace and freedom, Kucinich grayson, Warren CPC-progressive folks in the primaries and local elections when it won't let a GOPT republic hater in.

We cannot let the GOPT win back the gov.
09:38 AM on 09/07/2012
We do not need to and should not depend on the power companies, gas companies, or the Obama administration=Federal government to break the corporate monopoly and control of energy. Many average people are building their own electrical generating systems and saving 50-75% on power bills.
People are building their own solar and wind generating systems. They are using simple plans, tools that most homeowners have, and inexpensive materials available at the local home improvement stores. There are many websites that show you how to do this. One is power4patriots.com. Go there and see for yourself. Also, go to you tube for more instructional videos. Be aware that the federal government-energy consortium is trying to shut down these sites because they do not really want energy independence. They have a vested interested in keeping the US citizens enslaved to the energy companies and under the Federal government control.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
08:55 AM on 09/07/2012
Hopefully, the documents were prepared with rather more attention to the order of the words than their frequency. Romney uses oil and energy interchangeably, and doesn't care about efficiency. OK, but it's not really getting us very far in understanding policy differences. The clearest thing is the regulation quotes, where Riminy and Ryanoccio are promising to gut any constraint on damage.
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neillevine
want to go into waterwheel business
06:06 PM on 09/06/2012
In my book, a verbal cloud is a load of fog. While the Democratic platform includes hydro and all of the above, from experience, Obama has done little for water power, waterwheels or hydrogen, which based on projected cost would undercut wind and solar, Obama's favorites. For example, only 3% of existing dams generate. Not only have I been following this closely, I am a vested interest in certain aspects so this summary is accurate so far as I know.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
09:00 AM on 09/07/2012
Hydrogen is nonsense. I guess even Bush looked at that funny when it was on his desk. It's a poor substitute for even synthetic hydrocarbons, for which there is a huge and energy-paid-for infrastructure.

Little dams are of little use to anyone. Pretty much all the useful dam capacity has been built, and is along the Columbia, Colorado and at Niagara. Little hill communities can make up to a MW if they want to pipe water down their hill, but it's not inexpensive to build, and maintain small-scale systems. Low-pressure waterwheel systems are just expensive obstructions. By the time they've paid back their capital costs, they've failed. If you want lots of power, the sun and the wind take you much further.
01:28 PM on 09/07/2012
The average person can build their own solar panels in just hours, using common household tools and inexpensive materials. In some cases, the local utility company will actually help in adapting it to the home electrical system. People have report a 50-75% reduction in power bills. Resources are on line and you tube.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
neillevine
want to go into waterwheel business
02:29 PM on 09/07/2012
You have to be getting someting out of this because you are talking nonsense. Wind and solar are two dollar electricity compared to ten cents for hydro and waterwheels. If there is an existing dam, it would be cheap to see it generate electrcity and hydrogen can supplement natural gas up to twenty percent.

True, it was in front of Bush. I believe patronage demands scuttled it. Take nuclear, which I oppose. No safety systems would make it dirt cheap. All the precautions jack up the price and it is still radioactive.
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markspence
03:36 PM on 09/07/2012
Interesting. Is there any reason we don't see more support for a hydrogen economy in the private sector, given its promise?
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neillevine
want to go into waterwheel business
04:18 PM on 09/07/2012
It is Obama. He is catering to foreign despots. For example, Iran made threats over the Strait of Hormuz. An Obama surrogate called their nuclear plans a weapon of peace. This is his thinking.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dallasdunlap
05:45 PM on 09/07/2012
markspence - The problem with hydrogen is that it takes about as much energy to break it away from a water or hydrocarbon molecule as you get from burning it. That's not an insuperable problem if you have free energy. Iceland, eg, uses geothermal to produce hydrogen for vehicle fuel. One could imagine using nuclear or solar energy to produce hydrogen. It is a fuel/energy storage material that will require a lot of infrastructure to make it work, and the infrastructure doesn't exist yet.