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Bill McKibben

Bill McKibben

Posted: August 4, 2010 02:58 PM

Crossposted with TomDispatch.com.

Try to fit these facts together:

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the planet has just come through the warmest decade, the warmest 12 months, the warmest six months, and the warmest April, May, and June on record.

* A “staggering” new study from Canadian researchers has shown that warmer seawater has reduced phytoplankton, the base of the marine food chain, by 40% since 1950.

Nine nations have so far set their all-time temperature records in 2010, including Russia (111 degrees), Niger (118), Sudan (121), Saudi Arabia and Iraq (126 apiece), and Pakistan, which also set the new all-time Asia record in May: a hair under 130 degrees. I can turn my oven to 130 degrees.

* And then, in late July, the U.S. Senate decided to do exactly nothing about climate change. They didn’t do less than they could have -- they did nothing, preserving a perfect two-decade bipartisan record of no action. Senate majority leader Harry Reid decided not even to schedule a vote on legislation that would have capped carbon emissions.

I wrote the first book for a general audience on global warming back in 1989, and I’ve spent the subsequent 21 years working on the issue. I’m a mild-mannered guy, a Methodist Sunday School teacher. Not quick to anger. So what I want to say is: this is fucked up. The time has come to get mad, and then to get busy.

For many years, the lobbying fight for climate legislation on Capitol Hill has been led by a collection of the most corporate and moderate environmental groups, outfits like the Environmental Defense Fund. We owe them a great debt, and not just for their hard work. We owe them a debt because they did everything the way you’re supposed to: they wore nice clothes, lobbied tirelessly, and compromised at every turn.

By the time they were done, they had a bill that only capped carbon emissions from electric utilities (not factories or cars) and was so laden with gifts for industry that if you listened closely you could actually hear the oinking. They bent over backwards like Soviet gymnasts.  Senator John Kerry, the legislator they worked most closely with, issued this rallying cry as the final negotiations began: "We believe we have compromised significantly, and we're prepared to compromise further.”

And even that was not enough.  They were left out to dry by everyone -- not just Reid, not just the Republicans. Even President Obama wouldn’t lend a hand, investing not a penny of his political capital in the fight.

The result: total defeat, no moral victories.

Now What?

So now we know what we didn’t before: making nice doesn’t work. It was worth a try, and I’m completely serious when I say I’m grateful they made the effort, but it didn’t even come close to working. So we better try something else.

Step one involves actually talking about global warming.  For years now, the accepted wisdom in the best green circles was: talk about anything else -- energy independence, oil security, beating the Chinese to renewable technology. I was at a session convened by the White House early in the Obama administration where some polling guru solemnly explained that “green jobs” polled better than “cutting carbon.”

No, really?  In the end, though, all these focus-group favorites are secondary.  The task at hand is keeping the planet from melting. We need everyone -- beginning with the president -- to start explaining that basic fact at every turn.

It is the heat, and also the humidity.  Since warm air holds more water than cold, the atmosphere is about 5% moister than it was 40 years ago, which explains the freak downpours that seem to happen someplace on this continent every few days.

It is the carbon -- that’s why the seas are turning acid, a point Obama could have made with ease while standing on the shores of the Gulf of Mexico. “It’s bad that it’s black out there,” he might have said, “but even if that oil had made it safely ashore and been burned in our cars, it would still be wrecking the oceans.” Energy independence is nice, but you need a planet to be energy independent on.

Mysteriously enough, this seems to be a particularly hard point for smart people to grasp. Even in the wake of the disastrous Senate non-vote, the Nature Conservancy’s climate expert told New York Times columnist Tom Friedman, “We have to take climate change out of the atmosphere, bring it down to earth, and show how it matters in people’s everyday lives.” Translation: ordinary average people can’t possibly recognize the real stakes here, so let’s put it in language they can understand, which is about their most immediate interests. It’s both untrue, as I’ll show below, and incredibly patronizing. It is, however, exactly what we’ve been doing for a decade and clearly, It Does Not Work.

Step two, we have to ask for what we actually need, not what we calculate we might possibly be able to get. If we’re going to slow global warming in the very short time available to us, then we don’t actually need an incredibly complicated legislative scheme that gives door prizes to every interested industry and turns the whole operation over to Goldman Sachs to run.  We need a stiff price on carbon, set by the scientific understanding that we can’t still be burning black rocks a couple of decades hence. That undoubtedly means upending the future business plans of Exxon and BP, Peabody Coal and Duke Energy, not to speak of everyone else who’s made a fortune by treating the atmosphere as an open sewer for the byproducts of their main business.

Instead they should pay through the nose for that sewer, and here’s the crucial thing: most of the money raised in the process should be returned directly to American pockets. The monthly check sent to Americans would help fortify us against the rise in energy costs, and we’d still be getting the price signal at the pump to stop driving that SUV and start insulating the house. We also need to make real federal investments in energy research and development, to help drive down the price of alternatives -- the Breakthrough Institute points out, quite rightly, that we’re crazy to spend more of our tax dollars on research into new drone aircraft and Mars orbiters than we do on photovoltaics.

Yes, these things are politically hard, but they’re not impossible. A politician who really cared could certainly use, say, the platform offered by the White House to sell a plan that taxed BP and actually gave the money to ordinary Americans. (So far they haven’t even used the platform offered by the White House to reinstall the rooftop solar panels that Jimmy Carter put there in the 1970s and Ronald Reagan took down in his term.)

Asking for what you need doesn’t mean you’ll get all of it.  Compromise still happens. But as David Brower, the greatest environmentalist of the late twentieth century, explained amid the fight to save the Grand Canyon: “We are to hold fast to what we believe is right, fight for it, and find allies and adduce all possible arguments for our cause. If we cannot find enough vigor in us or them to win, then let someone else propose the compromise. We thereupon work hard to coax it our way. We become a nucleus around which the strongest force can build and function.”

Which leads to the third step in this process. If we’re going to get any of this done, we’re going to need a movement, the one thing we haven’t had. For 20 years environmentalists have operated on the notion that we’d get action if we simply had scientists explain to politicians and CEOs that our current ways were ending the Holocene, the current geological epoch. That turns out, quite conclusively, not to work. We need to be able to explain that their current ways will end something they actually care about, i.e. their careers. And since we’ll never have the cash to compete with Exxon, we better work in the currencies we can muster: bodies, spirit, passion.

Movement Time

As Tom Friedman put it in a strong column the day after the Senate punt, the problem was that the public “never got mobilized.” Is it possible to get people out in the streets demanding action about climate change? Last year, with almost no money, our scruffy little outfit, 350.org, managed to organize what Foreign Policy called  the “largest ever coordinated global rally of any kind” on any issue -- 5,200 demonstrations in 181 countries, 2,000 of them in the U.S.A.

People were rallying not just about climate change, but around a remarkably wonky scientific data point, 350 parts per million carbon dioxide, which NASA’s James Hansen and his colleagues have demonstrated is the most we can have in the atmosphere if we want a planet “similar to the one on which civilization developed and to which life on earth is adapted.” Which, come to think of it, we do. And the “we,” in this case, was not rich white folks. If you look at the 25,000 pictures in our Flickr account, you’ll see that most of them were poor, black, brown, Asian, and young -- because that’s what most of the world is. No need for vice-presidents of big conservation groups to patronize them: shrimpers in Louisiana and women in burqas and priests in Orthodox churches and slumdwellers in Mombasa turned out to be completely capable of understanding the threat to the future.

Those demonstrations were just a start (one we should have made long ago). We’re following up in October -- on 10-10-10 -- with a Global Work Party. All around the country and the world people will be putting up solar panels and digging community gardens and laying out bike paths. Not because we can stop climate change one bike path at a time, but because we need to make a sharp political point to our leaders: we’re getting to work, what about you?

We need to shame them, starting now. And we need everyone working together. This movement is starting to emerge on many fronts. In September, for instance, opponents of mountaintop removal are converging on DC to demand an end to the coal trade. That same month, Tim DeChristopher goes on trial in Salt Lake City for monkey-wrenching oil and gas auctions by submitting phony bids.  (Naomi Klein and Terry Tempest Williams have called for folks to gather at the courthouse.)

The big environmental groups are starting to wake up, too.  The Sierra Club has a dynamic new leader, Mike Brune, who’s working hard with stalwarts like Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth. (Note to enviro groups: working together is fun and useful). Churches are getting involved, as well as mosques and synagogues. Kids are leading the fight, all over the world -- they have to live on this planet for another 70 years or so, and they have every right to be pissed off.

But no one will come out to fight for watered down and weak legislation.  That’s not how it works. You don’t get a movement unless you take the other two steps I’ve described.

And in any event it won’t work overnight.  We’re not going to get the Senate to act next week, or maybe even next year. It took a decade after the Montgomery bus boycott to get the Voting Rights Act. But if there hadn’t been a movement, then the Voting Rights Act would have passed in… never. We may need to get arrested.  We definitely need art, and music, and disciplined, nonviolent, but very real anger.

Mostly, we need to tell the truth, resolutely and constantly. Fossil fuel is wrecking the one earth we’ve got. It’s not going to go away because we ask politely. If we want a world that works, we’re going to have to raise our voices.

Bill McKibben is founder of 350.org and the author, most recently, of Eaarth: Making a Life on a Tough New Planet. Earlier this year the Boston Globe called him “probably the country’s leading environmentalist” and Time described him as “the planet’s best green journalist.” He’s a scholar in residence at Middlebury College. To hear him discuss why the public needs to lead the fight against global warming in Timothy MacBain's latest TomCast audio interview, click here or, to download it to your iPod, here.

Copyright 2010 Bill McKibben

 

Follow Bill McKibben on Twitter: www.twitter.com/billmckibben

 
 
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06:28 PM on 08/11/2010
Bill, I.ve read this article and also your book - Eaarth. I agree with you that we need to get the Co2 number down. One thing thats missing from this debate though is the role of the consumer. Auto makers who build Suv's or Coal Fired Power Plant Owners are simply responding to Consumer Demand. Gas prices go up. Suv sales go down. Auto makers build less of them. Electricity Use rises. More Power Plants are built to cope with the demand. And of course the chance to make more profit is there as well!! Unfortunatly all consumers are so interwoven into the Economic Fabric, that it is almost impossible to reduce ones own Carbon Footprint. Almost nobody wants to be Unemployed and virtially everybody wants to have some spending power. The campaigns to change over to energy efficient bulbs and appliances can only make a small dent in the Co2 numbers. We need to drastically reduce our consumption of everything while somehow not reverting to living in the Middle Ages or destroying the World Economy. Personally I see no way that this can be done. Any suggestions would be appreciated.
Ian
02:45 AM on 08/09/2010
Bill, you are in this documentary we made, take a peek!! :)

Go Green Revolution!!

Sonia Rolland

http://current.com/entertainment/movies/92440891_navigating-copenhagen-the-documentary.htm
08:36 AM on 08/07/2010
According to some, factory farms are the worst contributors to global warming. The definitely contribute to our polluted lakes.
04:44 AM on 08/07/2010
Come on Bill, Let's address the issue. Where does your 350 number come from? Phil Jones pulled it out of his ass, right?
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12:46 PM on 08/06/2010
“www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/global_warming/exxon_report.pdf

"They sought to manufacture uncertainty by raising doubts about even the most indisputable scientific evidence showing their products to be hazardous to human health.

They pioneered a strategy of 'information laundering' in which they used - even covertly established - seemingly independent front organizations to make the industry's own case and confuse the public.

They promoted scientific spokespeople and invested in scientific research in an attempt to lend legitimacy to their public relations efforts.

They attempted to recast the debate by charging that the wholly legitimate health concerns raised about smoking were not based upon 'sound science.'

They cultivated close ties with government officials and members of Congress. While many corporations and institutions seek access to government, Tobacco's size and power gave it enormous leverage."

From a Brown and Williamson Tobacco internal memo:

"Doubt is our product, since it is the best means of competing with the body of fact that exists in the minds of the general public. It is also the means of establishing a controversy."

Sound like PROFESSIONAL deniers of anthropogenic global warming, like Richard2's 1,400+ posts exclusively on this topic?

That's because the fossil fuels industry directly and deliberately lifted such tactics from Big Tobacco's anti-liability campaign - an effort that succeeded for decades.

On this issue, we don't have decades.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tc399
Your personal Eschatologist.
10:54 PM on 08/06/2010
We don't even have hours. We are over the cliff.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dhhh
09:08 AM on 08/06/2010
The key question now is: Do we still have time to change things???If you use all current projections honestly can humanity now make a difference or is the Global warming now on automatic.Can we actually show that it is now or never...We must scare the House Senate and everyone involved into massive action now!!!!!!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ozark Homesteader
http://ozarkhomesteader.wordpress.com
11:32 PM on 08/05/2010
Average temperature in Arkansas for July this year? Eighty-five degrees F. That's days AND nights. We had an unusually snowy winter, but our summer temps have wiped out any extra cool. August is already worse than July. And we've seen only one measurable rain here since mid June. It has fallen around us, but not at our place.

We need a Constitutional amendment to clarify that corporations aren't citizens and to make sure that they can't buy off members of Congress with "contributions" and rig elections with their crazy campaign contributions. Then you'll see the Senate safely vote for climate and energy legislation.

http://ozarkhomesteader.wordpress.com/2010/08/03/hot/
BlackbirdHighway
Brawndo's got electrolites!
04:10 PM on 08/06/2010
A couple decades from now you can expect temperatures over 90 for half of the year. Between that and the lack of rain, farmers aren't going to be growing much of anything.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tc399
Your personal Eschatologist.
10:55 PM on 08/06/2010
Actually, that will happen before 2020.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hikerguy22
This is your carbon footprint
09:07 PM on 08/05/2010
Even NASA believes in Global Warming..
www.nasa.gov/
www.globalchange.gov/
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tc399
Your personal Eschatologist.
10:56 PM on 08/06/2010
It's true. No one has to 'believe in' it.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
silverwolf13
I know that I do not know.
08:34 PM on 08/05/2010
Oh! Oh! Oh! Look! Look! Look! It is hot as Hell. Hell is for bad people. If we are in Hell, we must be bad people. We must have sinned against the Earth and the Maker of the Earth. Therefore, is it not necessary to begin to live within our means and to realize that fossil fuels are finite, as well as polluting, but that the power of the sun and the wind and the tides can supply all of our energy needs, at a cost that does not increase?
05:12 PM on 08/05/2010
Bill McKibben is absolutely right that we need to talk about climate change. There are all kinds of ways to do that, and protests like his 350.org are an important part of the discussion.

Unfortunately, McKibben mischaracterized my comment to Tom Friedman of the New York Times that “we have to take climate change out of the atmosphere, bring it down to earth, and show how it matters in people’s everyday lives.â€

I didn’t mean that people can’t understand climate change. I meant that those of us who spend our careers examining the environment need to do a better job explaining how climate change affects Americans directly, where they live. We haven't told those stories very well, and we need to if we are to mobilize people across the country -- and across party lines -- to enact a comprehensive U.S. climate policy.

Glenn Prickett, Chief External Affairs Officer, The Nature Conservancy
03:05 AM on 08/05/2010
team Obama has been subsidizing cars and big inefficient houses, funding new highways
03:02 AM on 08/05/2010
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/25/business/global/25carbon.html?scp=7&sq=cap+and+trade&st=nyt
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/12697/64796

Carbon trading was meant to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the European Union by making polluting more expensive for heavy industries, encouraging them to invest in cleaner technology. But even supporters admit that the system, also known as cap and trade, is falling far short of that goal. Critics decry it as just another form of financial profiteering with little environmental benefit.

the 'green' lobby is made of bankers and corporations
Al Gore will profit from your higher utilities bills
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tc399
Your personal Eschatologist.
11:53 PM on 08/04/2010
Consensus among climate scientists doesn't prove much and the argument is mis-framed in any case. It IS getting warmer and the weather (as opposed to climate) IS becoming radical. The additional heat and, this, water vapor in the atmosphere is causing the floods and, because the atmosphere mixes unevenly (why we have weather), snow.

But everyone seems to be wrapped up in natural versus anthropogenic. What difference does it make? The ecosphere is heating, humans will never stop reproducing as fast as humanly possible (sorry) or burning fossil fuel. Regardless of that, we have just entered the early days of a rapid-onset warming trend. EVERY rapid-onset warming trend in geological history has also generated a major extinction event. Ours will be obvious by 2020 and begin to peak about 2034. Nothing anyone can do will stop it. It just is.
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dhhh
09:21 AM on 08/06/2010
Thank you for your comments.The Methane deposits in Siberia which is un leashing enormous quantity of methane and the Gulf and animal husbandry have helped set of this event...And it doesnt matter anymore whether Its human or natural or whether we could reduce our population ... The Atavistic outcome is we seem to be headed back to the beginning when the atmosphere was Methane and other gases and the Ocean will no longer produce oxygen.. And the Ice bergs will melt and There will be quickly disappearing shore lines all over the World.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tc399
Your personal Eschatologist.
04:24 PM on 08/06/2010
As you say. The methane which was present on proto-earth is still here; it is merely hidden in clathrate and under ice. The argument is about CO2 but it, too, is the wrong argument. We will not stop dumping 30 billion tonnes of CO2 into the atmosphere every year. The earth will warm a little. More water will remain suspended in the atmosphere, providing the positive feedback effect we already see. When it rains, it floods. And it washes off topsoil, causes ocean dead zones, and cannot be harvested. And that positive feedback makes it just a bit warmer and the clathrates begin to bubble out as methane. Methane, short-term (~20 years) is 72 times more potent a greenhouse gas as CO2 and 25 times over 100 years.
Methane is not toxic, but large methane excursions have directly linked with rapid-onset warming events which have all been extinction events. But, since both CO2 and SO4 are colorless and odorless, people don't see them accumulating and thus don't feel any danger.
iconoclast1
give truth a chance
09:06 PM on 08/04/2010
Given that there is 97% consensus among climate scientists, the only prudent thing to do is to continue studying global warming, and start planning for the worst. We have the technological wherewithal to make the switch to clean energy sources but not the political will. Shouldn't we be moving as quickly as possible to clean energy anyway regardless of how much the seas may or may not rise? And I just don't buy the argument that energy sources that are more expensive in the short run are going to kill the economy. Weren't the first cars more expensive than a horse and buggy? Isn't cleaner air worth something? Shouldn't we act together to advance societies toward more sustainable lifestyles?
11:10 PM on 08/04/2010
As with most things regarding global warming, the 97% consensus is a lie.

http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2010/08/97-consensus-is-only-76-self-selected.html
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tc399
Your personal Eschatologist.
11:46 PM on 08/04/2010
Then again, you could be wrong. http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-scientific-consensus.htm
iconoclast1
give truth a chance
11:53 PM on 08/04/2010
Here are multiple sources confirming the 97% figure. How sad for you. The echo chamber is not the place to get credible information. As usual, we see yet another biased person showing off just how misinformed and wrong a person can be. Don't let the facts get in the way of your opinions.

http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/06/22/evidence-for-a-consensus-on-climate-change/
BlackbirdHighway
Brawndo's got electrolites!
09:34 AM on 08/05/2010
There is not only consensus among scientists, but also glaciers, Arctic ice, satellites, and many thousands of thermometers.
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08:59 PM on 08/04/2010
CREATE A POPULIST BENEFIT AND THE POPULOUS WILL JOIN YOU.

Forget Cap and Tax. Just CAP. Companies innovate or die. If you must tax in the short term, use 100% of the money to fund CLEAN, POINT OF USE SOLUTIONS WITHIN THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT and stop mercenaries like the Sierra Club from pushing Big Solar, Big Wind and Big Transmission down the throat of millions of acres of our wilderness. I don't want to work together unless we are working for what is RIGHT and it is incredibly clear that there is a right way to do this (efficiency upgrades, rooftop solar) and a wrong way (desert solar and wind, massive SF6 spewing transmission).

Groups like 350.org should be leading the charge for a generous FEED IN TARIFF payable to ratepayers who produce more clean energy on their home or business than we consume, and should make it clear that we cannot kill off huge swathes of wilderness and call it "Saving the Planet."

Big Solar, Big Wind and Big Transmission are just as bad as the status quo, if not worse. Their emissions from cradle to grave are ENORMOUS and they will cost us a fortune without solving the problem. REAL reductions can only be made from within the built environment.