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Carl Pope

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How We Know They've Been Lying

Posted: 11/16/11 09:44 PM ET

Last week, the Obama administration announced, to great consternation on the oily right, that it would require that the Keystone "Export" XL pipeline be rerouted to avoid the Ogallala aquifer in Nebraska and, as a result, would delay a final decision until 2012, after the next election.


Immediately, TransCanada, the pipeline's developer, told the state of Nebraska, "Hey, no problem, we really didn't need to go over the aquifer after all, we're glad to move it, as long as you can give us a quick thumbs up."


When the Obama administration, appropriately, said, "Well, no, if we move the pipeline we will need to analyze the new routing and do a complete job of looking at whether it is in the national interest," TransCanada made another move -- this one even more revealing: The company immediately filed for the southern stub of its original route -- the stub whose only function is to carry Canadian oil from Cushing, Oklahoma (where it currently is fed to U.S. refineries that feed the Midwest and Great Plains) to Texas refineries, which can export refined diesel and gasoline to Europe, Latin America, and Asia.


This, of course, confirmed what opponents of the pipeline have been saying for some time -- that Keystone was an "export" not an import play, and that its real economic purpose was to reduce the amount of gas and diesel from Canada available to Midwest consumers -- and raise the price. Sure enough, just the prospect of completing even a stub of Keystone "Export" XL and ending the Midwest oil "glut" was enough to increase the price of oil by $3/barrel.


Meanwhile, leaving the land of Oz for the land of reality, the Obama administration moved forward with its new emissions and fuel-economy standards for passenger vehicles, finalizing regulations that require that the U.S. auto fleet by 2024 use only half the oil to travel a mile that it does today. The Administration pointed out that the new rules "alone will slash oil consumption by 4 billion barrels and cut 2 billion metric tons of greenhouse gas pollution over the lifetimes of the vehicles sold in those years" -- saving about twice as much oil each year as the entire capacity of the original Keystone proposal. In 2030, these standards will save American families $44 billion at the gas pump, reduce our oil use by 23 billion gallons, and cut carbon pollution by an amount equal to the annual emissions from 72 coal-fired power plants -- and that's just in one year.


These two sets of events illustrate the stark difference between the real economy -- where a pickup-truck driver is better off if he doesn't have to buy gas as often -- versus the speculative world of the market manipulators, where having a "glut" of oil in the Midwest constitutes a crisis that must be solved by building as many pipelines as necessary to make sure that gas doesn't remain "underpriced" in the Midwest (it was running $3.99 a gallon in much of Chicago today). In the real economy, efficiency, innovation, and performance are good for America. In the speculative economy, they are bad for the companies and speculators that have, effectively, purchased our politics. 


So the White House has helped American drivers -- and the environment -- and the economy -- twice in the past week. Once by refusing to be stampeded into rubber-stamping a speculative, export pipeline (even though the industry hasn't given up and won't).  And a second, and more enduring time, by ensuring that American drivers will be able to  walk into a showroom and buy a vehicle that uses only half as much oil to get them to work. 


But, unless we thank him, I wouldn't hold my breath for a lot of public kudos. Big Oil still wields a mighty megaphone.

 
 
 

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Last week, the Obama administration announced, to great consternation on the oily right, that it would require that the Keystone "Export" XL pipeline be rerouted to avoid the Ogallala aquifer in Nebr...
Last week, the Obama administration announced, to great consternation on the oily right, that it would require that the Keystone "Export" XL pipeline be rerouted to avoid the Ogallala aquifer in Nebr...
 
 
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10:58 PM on 11/17/2011
Having the proof is one thing. Getting it through the courts, then enforcing the ruling are two different things completely. This is only the beginning, a distraction preventing any interference with the corporate will.
05:08 PM on 11/17/2011
Really? Only $3.99 a gallon? We could use some of that out here in California!
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Lucile S
Lib and a truth lover.
02:01 PM on 11/17/2011
Congratulations Pope, you've just noticed TransCanada is above all a CORPORATE BUSINESS. Wich makes money. Wich negotiates to lower its costs. Wich deals with customers only.
You're right it's an export pipeline, not built for Americans use. But we knew that since the beginning.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
03:48 PM on 11/17/2011
Who's we?

Most Americans sure didn't know that.
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Lucile S
Lib and a truth lover.
06:30 AM on 11/18/2011
People who are well-informed. Just read this:

http://dirtyoilsands.org/files/OCIKeystoneXLExport-Fin.pdf
(overview page 3)
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GuyRC
FYI: there is a cream for micro-bio.
05:53 PM on 11/17/2011
You forgot

... which manipulates the market to increase profits...
Zip Zinzel
If a Nation expects to be both Ignorant & Free . .
11:07 AM on 11/17/2011
WE NEED TO MAKE SURE WE HEAVILY TAX EVERY DROP OF OIL PASSING THROUGH THIS PIPELINE
. . So that there turns out to be an actual benefit to the US Consumers, which won't happen otherwise.
(This is what Sarah Palin did in Alaska, except that she sprung it on the oil companies after the fact, essentially holding them hostage)

_
We also need to make sure that the pipeline operators are one of the major oil companies, not some underfunded shell organization that will file for bankruptcy if any boo boos occur.

We also need to that there are no caps on damages - heavy mandatory punative damages & jailtime for bad behavior.
Zip Zinzel
If a Nation expects to be both Ignorant & Free . .
10:56 AM on 11/17/2011
GREAT ARTICLE MR. POPE
" versus the speculative world of the market manipulators, where having a "glut" of oil in the Midwest constitutes a crisis that must be solved by building as many pipelines as necessary to make sure that gas doesn't remain "underpriced"
========

WE NEED TO PASS LEGISLATION TO OUTLAW ALL FUTURE'S TRADING
. . by parties that don't take actual possession of the items they are betting on

ALSO WE NEED TO
1) Re-instate the UPTICK RULE in Short Sales, (in a FREE market, nobody would be taking the other side of these bets)

2) CREATE A BRIGHTLINE, RICO-STATUE-like law that forbids anyone from cancelling any InvestmentTradingActivity.
Current version of this scam works like this: Insiders process temporary transactions which move MarketPrices, and then jump on the other side of the actions. Once unsuspecting investors, take-the-bait, they cancel their original orders, and pocket risk-free profits
THE OLD ENRON-VERSION OF THIS SCAM IN THE CALIFORNIA ELECTRICITY MARKET, had energy traders booking the purchase of electricity in the future to create shortages, then cancelling their original transactions to sell the electricity at higher DISTRESS-Prices

ALL OF THESE ACTIONS SHOULD REQUIRE MANDATORY JAILTIME FOR
. . each and every person involved.
And unlike typical WhiteCollar Crime legislation, the crime needs to be triggered by the activity itself, not having a get-outta-jail-free provision that requires the perps to be proven to "have known" anything in order to be found guilty
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
BlairCase
10:56 AM on 11/17/2011
The Seaway Crude Pipeline runs from Freeport, Tex., to Cushing, Oklahoma. A Canadian company has purchased a 50-percent interest in the pipeline, which is seldom used because of the surplus created by the bottleneck at Cushing. (The lack of pipeline capacity from Cushing creates excessive stockpiles at the oil terminal.) The Canadian company plans to reverse the flow so that the Cushing crude reaches refineries on the Texas Gulf Coast. It's a temporary fix that will keep the Gulf Coast refineries supplied for several years while awaiting the rerouting and completion of the rerouted Keystone Pipeline. The Gulf Coast refineries are designed to refine heavy crude like the crude produced in the Canadian tar sands. They need the Candian crude to replace the lost supply of heavy crude from Venezuela. U.S. refineries do export to other countries. For example, the Gulf Coast refineries buy crude oil from Mexico and then sells Mexico gasoline. If it refused to sell gasoline to Mexico, they would be no crude oil imported from Mexico. However, exports are insignificant compared to exports. Gasoline prices may rise in the Mid-West as the Cushing stockpiles dwindles but drop once the Keystone Pipeline is completed.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MissTake1989
Equal means equal, hypocrites.
05:37 AM on 11/17/2011
I'm against Republicans destroying the environment, etc.

But the economic ignorance being displayed by the opposition to this pipeline is pretty scary.

They seem to think that if they stop the pipeline, Canada will just leave that oil in the sand.
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ILoveFiction
That's unbelievable!
08:20 AM on 11/17/2011
If you want to know what they think, ask a mind reader.
09:49 AM on 11/17/2011
I did, they think everyone is going to go back to riding bikes at the Sierra Club. BTW, it matters not if for import or export, as its a commodity traded internationally and the pricing will go down when there is more supply on the market.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tinyrainbows
03:53 AM on 11/17/2011
How much gov bailout money did RFK Jr get for his green company?
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ILoveFiction
That's unbelievable!
08:17 AM on 11/17/2011
He owns a bank?

I didn't know that.
10:48 PM on 11/16/2011
What does it matter if Keystone is an export or import play? Oil and petroleum products are internationally traded commodities, the largest volume and value of any commodities so traded. Americans are going to pay, pre-tax, the global price for crude and petroleum products, no matter what.

Paraphrasing the logically elusive Mr. Pope, the real lie is the one that says that if the Keystone line doesn't get built that oil from oil sands won't get produced and used and the world's carbon footprint will be smaller. This oil is going to go to market no matter what. As a sovereign country Canada will see to that. The only question is whether it goes to the most efficient (and lowest carbon footprint) market in the US or to China with much greater transportation dislocations. It's call "global" warming for a reason and whether the oil gets used in the US or China is not an issue in any way.

What is an issue is US economic growth and job creation, which poor President Obama doesn't have a clue about.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ekstatik
Granfalloon-free!
11:09 PM on 11/16/2011
The real lie was that Keystone was going to benefit the US more than harm it.
11:22 PM on 11/16/2011
Well there are slight differences in oil prices depending on the location of the energy. The pipieline could be expected to reduce local price differences. Otherwise, I agree that the oil sands will still get used.

Pope is pretty dense to say:
"... that its real economic purpose was to reduce the amount of gas and diesel from Canada available to Midwest consumers." Nope, the purpose is profit from the difference in price of the product in the pipeline from the start to the finish,

Now abour President Obama and Jobs:
He has a plan which Congress won't pass:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/09/08/fact-sheet-and-overview
If you oppose his plan, please explain why.
If you have a better plan, please explain.
10:13 AM on 11/17/2011
Infastructure bank = another gov't program. Why is this needed, do you really think gov't expansion is going to grow the economy? Private companies, are much more efficient at building infastructure projects that make economic sense. While payroll tax reductions offer some temp relief, you are stealing from peter to pay paul.
10:47 PM on 11/16/2011
"the stub whose only function is to carry Canadian oil from Cushing, Oklahoma (where it currently is fed to U.S. refineries that feed the Midwest and Great Plains) to Texas refineries, which can export refined diesel and gasoline to Europe, Latin America, and Asia."

I had been wondering about that. The panama canal expansion made that refining location the ideal global export port. Full global reach.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
BlairCase
10:59 AM on 11/17/2011
Most of ther crude moved from Cushing to the Gulf Coast will be refined for domestic consumption. The Coast Coast refineries need Canadian crude to replace the dwindling supply of crude they presently buy from Venezuela. The United States imports far more than it exports.