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Carlos A. Ball

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Why the Proposition 8 Ruling Has a Good Chance of Being Affirmed by the Supreme Court

Posted: 02/ 8/2012 1:19 pm

It is easy to forget, at a time when the question of same-sex marriage dominates the current debates over gay rights, that one of the most important gay rights issues twenty short years ago was whether voters could enact state constitutional amendments prohibiting the enactment of laws protecting lesbians, gay men, and bisexuals from discrimination. In a 1996 opinion called Romer v. Evans, the Supreme Court held that such state constitutional amendments violated the federal constitution.

The Romer case arose because gay rights opponents in Colorado were able to persuade a majority of state voters that when municipalities like Denver and Boulder enacted laws prohibiting sexual orientation discrimination, they were conferring "special rights" on gay people. But the Supreme Court, in an opinion written by Justice Anthony Kennedy, concluded that the Colorado constitutional amendment impermissibly targeted gay people and deprived them of significant legal rights enjoyed by all other citizens.

The federal appellate court opinion striking down Proposition 8 relies extensively on Justice Kennedy's ruling in Romer. Proposition 8, like the Colorado constitutional amendment in Romer, singles out a group of individuals for disfavored status and deprives them of rights they previously enjoyed. The California Supreme Court, prior to Proposition 8, had held that same-sex couples had a constitutional right to marry. Proposition 8, the federal appellate court has now concluded, is unconstitutional because it denies gay people of that pre-existing right without a valid justification.

The federal appellate court did not reach the more legally contentious question of whether same-sex couples have a fundamental right to marry. It also did not reach the question of whether the government, under equality principles, can prohibit same-sex couples from marrying when it allows different-sex couples to do so. Instead, it addressed a question that is largely unique to California: May state voters amend the state constitution to deprive same-sex couples of a right (that of marriage) that they already enjoyed under state law?

It bears noting that, if the Supreme Court decides to hear the Proposition 8 case, Justice Kennedy will probably provide the deciding vote, breaking the likely tie between the four more liberal judges and the four more conservative ones. The federal appellate court has made it easier for Justice Kennedy to side with the liberal judges because all he would have to do is apply the Romer opinion that he wrote sixteen years ago to the California same-sex marriage controversy.

It is true that the limited nature of the Proposition 8 ruling makes it less of a bonanza for gay rights proponents than it might seem at first. If the Supreme Court issues an opinion following the appellate court's reasoning, it might have a limited impact on legal challenges to same-sex marriage bans in other states. But it is precisely the narrow nature of the appellate court's ruling that significantly improves the chances of it being affirmed by the Supreme Court. And even if such a Supreme Court ruling does not immediately translate into legal victories in other states, a decision by the nation's highest court holding that same-sex couples in California, the country's most populous state, can marry would nonetheless be a tremendous victory for marriage equality proponents.

 
 
 
 
 
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09:10 PM on 02/12/2012
"In a 1996 opinion called Romer v. Evans, the Supreme Court held that such state constitutional amendments violated the federal constitution."
Mr. Ball, if you could, please explain why then Michigan has such a constitutional amendment; would it if challenged in court, have to be removed from the constitution?
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Diana Scrimger
11:49 AM on 02/09/2012
The Yes on prop 8 side is going to win in the US Supreme court. Marriage is between a man and a woman. The biggest twist in the case is this! Is pornography legal? We the people do not think that it is! We will all be celebrating when the No on Prop 8 side looses the case!
11:05 AM on 02/11/2012
Pre-adolescents should at least graduate from high school -- or at least be able to demonstrate the ability to think like they have -- before attempting to comment upon such subjects as constitutional law.

"Is pornograph­y legal? We the people do not think that it is!"

Yes, it is legal, and is protected by the First Amendment to the Constitution... so who is this "we the people" that you're babbling about?
06:05 PM on 02/13/2012
Your freshman English teacher would give you an F on this comment;
The semantic structure of Sentence 1 is convoluted; the noun phrase 'Yes side' was broken in half and the meaning could very easily taken as '8 side'. Writing a phrase like ' Marriage is' as a definition appears to make the statement that the sole characteristic of the word is being brought out; in other words the verb phrase 'is between a man and a woman' allows one to wonder if perhaps what was meant would be something like 'Customary use of the word marriage in society shows that it is defined as a formal relationship of close and intimate nature between a man and a woman.' God forbid that customary usages should ever be given up lest the world fall into the abyss of meaninglessness!
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drfast
Looking Forward
09:16 AM on 02/09/2012
I don't understand why pundits believe that this decision would be split 5-4. It seems like a no-brainer to me....you can't vote away a group of people's rights. I don't see how the 4 conservative supremes could write a cogent argument in favor of discrimination against a class of people. If they did....it would expose them for what they are PARTISANS!
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LuLou Murder
Don't blame God, it's not Her fault.
10:57 AM on 02/09/2012
Let's put it this way: Clarence Thomas is so partisan he would rule against Loving v. Virginia, even though it would invalidate his own marriage.
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drfast
Looking Forward
08:21 PM on 02/09/2012
LOL....I don't think that it is going to get to the SCOTUS...prop 8 proponents would worry that we would have a federal ruling that supports gay marriage.
10:51 PM on 02/08/2012
How wonderful it would be -for justice to prevail. I would like nothing better than to see Prop 8 completely back-fire on it's proponents -and go down in History as a shameful example of hateful discrimination!
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Quislet
It is a good day. I woke up breathing.
10:38 PM on 02/08/2012
I think that if this case does reach the Supreme Court, they may duck the issue by ruling that the defendents do not have standing.
09:54 PM on 02/08/2012
There is another possibility to consider. There is no right to appeal to the Supreme Court. Rather, a party files a petition which is only granted if enough justices vote to hear the case. With some 7,000 petitions filed every year and only some 70 cases taken, there has to be some compelling reason for the justices to be interested in this case. As the case does nothing more than apply existing Supreme Court precedent, there is no incentive for the court to take the case. There are no conflicts between the circuits and no federal statute was overturned. It is possible that the Supreme Court will never take this case at all.
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drfast
Looking Forward
09:17 AM on 02/09/2012
Good point. But there is also another case floating around that the pundits referred to as a better case for the SCOTUS.
09:48 PM on 02/08/2012
From your mouth to god's ear.
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Jason1953
Go green!
05:18 PM on 02/08/2012
You are assuming that the conservative Justices would vote against allowing same sex marriage. That is not a given at all.
04:58 PM on 02/08/2012
Do you think there is a danger that opinions like this may cause more politicians to tow the party line on gay rights lest they vest a right that they cannot later take back? This idea that there are no do-overs may hamper legislative efforts... which seems to be the only area where gay rights are advancing at the moment.
04:50 PM on 02/08/2012
From the beginning the fight against Prop 8 has been wisely aimed toward the only vote on the Supreme Court that counts. Not only is the SCOTUS likely to decline hearing an appeal, the Prop 8 proponents would be smart not even to try. It's a defeat they should avoid.
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drfast
Looking Forward
09:18 AM on 02/09/2012
I agree....it is a lose lose for them. The will rule that it is unconstitutional and it would be the law of the land....probably not something the chief justice wants at all.
04:04 PM on 02/08/2012
Regardless of whether the Supreme Court decides to hear the case or neglects to rule on the larger issue, simply affirming the lower court's ruling will give a legal precedent to any challenge of state's with similar laws.
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mmcgrew
03:08 PM on 02/08/2012
Would it be better if the Supreme Court refuses to hear it and just lets it stand? I don't know the ins and outs well enough.
03:07 PM on 02/08/2012
While it might be true that the SCOTUS might take up the case as long as it remains limited to California because they don't want it to affect other states, the fact that people present it as such and frame it as such, indicates that the majority believes that laws regarding marriage are state issues. Yet when it comes to allowing interracial marriage, it was a federal case, Loving Vs. Virginia, that applied to all states. States don't have the individual right to outlaw interracial marriage. Nobody comments on that, yet everybody goes on the assumption that states do have these "new" rights regarding same sex marriage.
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Gyrlznluv
It's Not What They Call U,It's What U Answer too!
03:00 PM on 02/08/2012
All Americans should be allowed the same rights and civil liberties. Civil rights are provided by the founding documents of this nation, not the whim of the populace that decides to exercise their vote.
02:39 PM on 02/08/2012
The 9th Circuit holding is so narrow that it applies only to California. It is entirely possible that that the Supreme Court will not grant cert.