01/04/2008 03:35 pm ET | Updated May 25, 2011

Hillary Must Win in New Hampshire

Hillary Clinton is a juggernaut. You're not going to get past her with one lucky punch. Obama might have knocked her down last night, but it's going to take three of those knockdowns before she is down for the count.

Here's the problem for Senator Clinton: She already has one strike in Iowa and South Carolina is a guaranteed third strike (yes, I just mixed my sports analogies, but roll with the punches (yes, I guess that pun was intended)).

I could be wrong, but I doubt it. I'm calling South Carolina for Obama now. Let's get real. About fifty percent of South Carolina Democratic primary voters are black. If they thought Obama wasn't viable, they would seriously consider Senator Clinton. But now that Obama is on the precipice of winning this thing, no way he doesn't get a gigantic portion of the African-American vote.

As Chris Rock said when he was introducing Obama at the Apollo recently, "[You] want to be on the right side of history, because you'd be real embarrassed if he won and you wasn't down with it. 'Oh man, I can't call him now. I [voted for] that white lady. What was I thinking? What was I thinking?!'"

So, I guess it's really Chris Rock calling South Carolina for Barack Obama. He might be kidding, but what he's talking about is very real. So, it would be a major surprise if Obama lost South Carolina with this kind of momentum.

So, that leaves New Hampshire. That also makes this do or die for Hillary Clinton. Even she can't lose three in a row and survive. If she loses New Hampshire, this thing is over.

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