Cenk Uygur

Cenk Uygur

Posted: November 4, 2008 04:41 AM

Virginia + Pennsylvania = Good Night Sleep

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It is impossible for John McCain to win this election if he loses Pennsylvania and Virginia on Tuesday night. Even if he won every swing state on the map after that -- including Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada -- he would still lose (you can play around with the electoral map and check for yourself here).

This assumes that Obama will carry every other blue state, plus Iowa. He has double digit leads in all of those states, so that is a fair assumption unless there is colossal voter fraud.

Speaking of which, given Obama's wide lead in many of the states mentioned above, if the results do in fact show him "losing," I would be very, very skeptical of those results. Every polling organization in the country can't be wrong about every state. I don't suspect that we will have this problem, but if we do, I'm not buying any of the crap about a Bradley Effect (in fact, someone on our site has written about the possibility of a Reverse Bradley Effect).

So, we might know who the next President of the United States of America is by 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday night. This has been such a long time coming for those of us who have been fighting this Bush administration for all of these years. I still can't get myself to think about the possibility, even when it appears imminent. I can't imagine the feeling I will have, and we all will have, if and when that happens on what can be one of the most historic nights of our lives.

We will be covering the whole night on our website, from 5PM-2AM EST. We will have guests from major media outlets, to Democratic Congressmen, to some of the top progressives in the country, to our correspondents from all over the country, to your calls. But most importantly, if that magical moment happens, we will not pretend to be objective - we will celebrate with unfettered joy.

Are you ready to make history? Today we get to change the world.

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It is impossible for John McCain to win this election if he loses Pennsylvania and Virginia on Tuesday night. Even if he won every swing state on the map after that -- including Ohio, Florida, North C...
It is impossible for John McCain to win this election if he loses Pennsylvania and Virginia on Tuesday night. Even if he won every swing state on the map after that -- including Ohio, Florida, North C...
 
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That title will win you a Pullet Surprise! How about a "good night's sleep?"

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:37 PM on 11/05/2008
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Palin-McCain must not win. The country needs the Consitution back, branches of Gov't., integrity, prestige, you name it. The W. Show has ruined the world in 8 years. I never thought anyone could wreak such havoc in a relatively short period of time. I missed your XM live show today, driving to work, but hope you will be live tomorrow. You make my 90 Min. r/trip bearable. Thanks!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:48 PM on 11/04/2008
- cylindar I'm a Fan of cylindar 7 fans permalink

You betcha--hahaha!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:41 PM on 11/04/2008
- krocklin I'm a Fan of krocklin 29 fans permalink

If there are not enough paper ballots and some of the machines break down in Northern Virginia they won't even have to flip the votes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:40 PM on 11/04/2008
- Evisionary I'm a Fan of Evisionary 2 fans permalink
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I'm Not going to believe that the republicans are going to steal Virginia! Go Barack!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:09 PM on 11/04/2008
- baghdadjoe I'm a Fan of baghdadjoe 37 fans permalink

Come on, Cenk! Wake up - this thing is far from over.

Why not - JUST THIS ONCE - help us win this thing instead of jinxing the effort? Put down that keyboard and mouse and make some calls.

This is VERY far from over, nothing is in the bag.

NEVER FORGET 2004.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:34 PM on 11/04/2008

With what we experienced in 2000 and 2004 and all the slime the Republicans have dished out again, it's hard to blame Democrats for being paranoid. I've never before felt that there was so much at stake in a presidential election.

I'll be tuned in all the way, Cenk. I don't want to hear anyone but you call this election for Barack Obama.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:31 PM on 11/04/2008

Cenk, Cenk, Cenk. Cenk. Please, you're jinxing things with that headline!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:22 PM on 11/04/2008
- fiorastar I'm a Fan of fiorastar 62 fans permalink
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Virginia is where the election theft for McCain begins. Anyone wanna guess how Richmond and Hampton Roads leans? That's right! Democratic. No problems reported in primarily Republican areas.

Wonder why McCain was acting so confident? He's got the world's greatest election theft machine behind him, pulling his puppet strings.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:52 PM on 11/04/2008

I live in northern Virginia. Our polls will close at 7pm ET. However, after the line I stood in this morning to vote - 2 hours - I have to believe that it will be much later than 8:05pm ET before we know the results from Virginia. If you are still in line at 7pm, you will be able to vote.

They are also experiencing major problems in Richmond, VA - electronic machines breaking and no paper ballot backups available, so I think it will be 10 or 11pm before we know here in the Old Dominion.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:50 PM on 11/04/2008
- Travis2008 I'm a Fan of Travis2008 2 fans permalink

Even if we know by 8:05pm eastern time, that's only 5:05pm on the west coast. And that's only 2:05pm in Hawaii. Many people will be getting off work and heading to the polls. The prospects of a called Obama win, possible bad weather (it's raining this morning in the northwest), and long lines could send those voters home instead of to the polls.

Please...your vote counts. Mr Obama may win today. But there are issues and candidates of local impact on your ballots as well. Please vote, no matter what you hear about the national presidential results.

Don't disenfranchise yourself. Be part of the process. Vote.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:49 PM on 11/04/2008

States have many other things at risk. Governors, senators, congressmen and propositions. California, especially, has TWELVE state-wide propositions, including 2 constitutional amendments. Prop 8 bans gay marriage, prop 4 requires parental consent for a minor's abortion. So please get out and vote!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:39 PM on 11/04/2008
- Terriac I'm a Fan of Terriac 10 fans permalink

I am so excited about tonight. I feel like we're on the brink of something wonderful. But good Democrat that I am, I won't really believe it until I see it. Every vote counts. Get your vote in the bucket if you haven't already done so, and tonight will be our night. A long time coming indeed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:34 PM on 11/04/2008
- jobecky20 I'm a Fan of jobecky20 5 fans permalink
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From what I've read on Huff Post, Obama will lose VA. There aren't enough voting machines in Democratic areas and many that do exist are breaking down, making lines longer. There are no paper ballots either. This is a sham set up by the Republicans.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:34 PM on 11/04/2008
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Thx Cenk for this info. It's because of you and Barack that I'm into politics now.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:07 PM on 11/04/2008

I'm in Central PA, voted for Obama today. Am Independent voter. The older lady next to me was an Obama grandma too and we are both white, so they can take that Bradley effect and stick it......

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:07 PM on 11/04/2008
- BCubedReg I'm a Fan of BCubedReg 6 fans permalink

Thank you.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:36 PM on 11/04/2008
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