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House Republican Unemployment Insurance Proposal Acts As If Economic Slump Is Over

Posted: 12/14/11 10:00 PM ET

House Republicans must think the job market is improving rapidly and that the Congressional Budget Office is way off base in projecting that the unemployment rate will average 8.7 percent in 2011 and 2012.  How else can one explain their proposal to slash federal emergency unemployment insurance (UI) benefits?

The House Republican proposal -- part of their larger proposal to extend the payroll tax cut and UI benefits -- would slash, by 40, the number of weeks potentially available to unemployed workers who are struggling to find a job in some states that were hit the hardest by the jobs slump (see map).  That greatly raises the risk that unemployed workers will run out of UI benefits before they find another job, imposing even greater hardship on them and their families.  It also reduces the amount of support that UI -- one of our highest-bang-for-the-buck stimulus programs -- can provide for the struggling recovery.  And, to add insult to injury, the Republican proposal contains onerous requirements on qualified UI applicants, such as drug tests and requirements to hold or be working toward a GED, that would make it harder for them to receive benefits at all.

Projected Loss of Weeks of UI Under GOP Proposal Compared with Continuation of Current Policy
Current policy provides an unprecedented amount of federal emergency UI because this is an unprecedented economic slump.  Two-fifths of the unemployed have been looking for work for more than 26 weeks, which is the maximum number of weeks of regular UI available in most states.  At no time in the last 60 years (before the current downturn) has the share of the unemployed who have been out of work this long been this high.  Pew Economic Policy Group research indicates that more than half of the long-term unemployed have been searching for work for more than a year.

Under the Republican proposal, workers who exhaust their 26 weeks of regular UI early next year would be eligible for up to 20 additional weeks of federal emergency UI in all states.  In states with an unemployment rate of 6 percent or higher, there would be up to another 13 weeks available, but in most of them that would be it.  Many unemployed workers now receiving emergency federal benefits would experience a premature cutoff next year compared with current policy.  The biggest cuts would come in states with the highest unemployment rates.

Continuing current federal UI policy into 2012 would provide $45 billion of support for a recovery that's still struggling to gain traction.  The Republican UI proposal would provide over $10 billion less support for the recovery and impose needless hardship on the long-term unemployed who are struggling to find a job in an economy in which there are still four times as many people looking for work as there are job openings.

We can only wish we had a job market that was improving so fast that the Republican policy made sense.

Here's more information about that proposal for our wonkier readers:

The Republican proposal maintains the 20-week first tier of Emergency Unemployment Compensation (EUC) available in all states, replaces the 14-week second tier available in all states with a 13-week second tier available only in states with an unemployment rate above 6 percent, and eliminates the third and fourth tiers of 13 weeks in states with an unemployment rate of 6 percent or higher and 6 weeks in states with an unemployment rate of 8.5 percent or higher, respectively.  It continues the policy of allowing states to adopt a three-year "lookback" for the Extended Benefits (EB) program.  However, a four-year lookback is necessary to prevent EB from triggering off in most states over the course of 2012, causing states to lose either 13 or 20 weeks of EB depending on their particular circumstances.


Related Posts:

This post originally appeared on the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities' blog, www.OfftheChartsBlog.org.

 
 
 
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07:00 PM on 12/15/2011
I just don't understand why these folks don't seem to understand what will happen to people like me that are being cutoff in Jan., even though under the current program I would still have another 26 weeks of UI available. I understand that they probably care less about me and my family, but being the good bean counters they claim to be, I would think they would understand that as soon as my benefits run out (san new employment), I am heading down to the welfare office for public assistance and food stamps! It is like the old saying, "pay me now, or pay me later". Either way, the govt is still going to be dishing out the dollars. Why fight about this when it is going to cost the govt either way?? The only thing cutting people off accomplishes is a new crisis with welfare programs. These GOP henchmen haven't thought this through logically. Now they will look very grinchlike and hurt their re-election prospects next fall when logic dictates that you help your fellow citizens in crisis and look far better next fall. AGAIN either way they're gonna pay, why not do it your advantage!!
12:00 PM on 12/15/2011
The title to this article looks like it was meant to be taken sarcastically but I think they really do believe it, at lest republican voters anyway.

I have family members who firmly believe the unemployed have no jobs because they're some combination of : lazy, unskilled, drug users, hooked on free government handouts. They believe there is no economic crisis and that there are plenty of jobs; the jobless either don't want them or can't do them.
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msanonymous222
My empty micro-bio is no accident. Is yours?
05:49 PM on 12/15/2011
My best friend has not worked outside the home in 5 years (by choice). I have educated her repeatedly on what has gone on since this recession began. Imagine my surprise when I heard her say to another friend (about me), "She's so smart. I just can't understand why she can't find a job."

I really think it's gotten to a point that unless you're out there IN it, you just--willfully or not--don't get it.
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andrewlgm
11:08 AM on 12/15/2011
Republicans have been cutting unemployment benefits since Obama took office. Now they position themselves agains their own beliefs of "tax-cutting." This time around it's for the poor and middle class, therefore they must oppose their ideals.

Benefits for the poorest is the BEST stimulus to the economy. The poor spend the little money they're receiving, stimulating the economy. Tax cuts for the wealthiest and corporations in time of low demand results in no hiring since companies are not going to produce if there's no consumers buying.

Republicans know this. We have not improved economically in these three Obama years purposefully. Obama's presidency along with the world economy have been filibustered into oblivion quite purposefully.
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anonymous67
11:06 AM on 12/15/2011
Anyone voting Republican in 2012 is just dumber than a stump. This party no longer serves the public interests -- only those of extremists and special interests.
---

"He who oppresses the poor shows contempt for their Maker."

-- Proverbs, Chapter 14, Verse 31
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Robert SF
12:35 PM on 12/15/2011
But the alternative is to vote Democratic, the party that loves blacks and gays. That's a lot to ask of flyover-state Americans.
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SonicUltimate
10:47 AM on 12/15/2011
So, the GOP is ignoring the facts and making policy based on beliefs? I'm shocked I tell you... However, all the noise about jobs and increased hiring is a bit of putting the cart before the horse. The private sector WON'T hire without demand present. The best option as I see it would be a substantial minimum wage increase to increase spending from the bottom of the income spectrum. The increase in demand will foster further growth in terms of jobs. The key would be finding the right amount to increase the minimum wage over the current $7.25/hr.
10:30 AM on 12/15/2011
How else to explain the Republicans proposal to slash unemployment insurance payments to America's unemployed. Because Republicans hate all working and middle class Americans and want to see us dead and gone so they don't have to pay social security and medicare benefits.

NOT ONE PENNY FOR THE POOR, UNINSURED AND UNEMPLOYED, MILLIONS FOR THE 1%.
08:29 AM on 12/15/2011
Economic slump? Most people would say Depression 2.0. I don't see things getting much better any time soon. Why can't the GOP see this? There are more companies planning on further cutting the number of employees they have than there are companies who are planning on doing major hiring. Are the GOP as a group being purposefully blind?
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spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
11:36 AM on 12/15/2011
If things are not going to get better, then you're saying that the extended benefits will never go away?
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Robert SF
12:33 PM on 12/15/2011
The machines now do the work, and that's why socialism or fedualism are the only possible outcomes.
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Josh Crawford
Just the facts, man!
07:51 AM on 12/15/2011
Democrats understand that times are tough and people are struggling (generally through no fault of their own) and need a helping hand to get through these tough times. Republicans think that people are lazy and unworthy of being helped and should just "suck it up" and take care of themselves with NO help from the government. Regardless of which view is morally "right", which makes more sense in the real world that we live in? Do we really want to live in a country where it's every person for themselves or are we more of a "all for one and one for all" kind of country?
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kokobell616
Your micro-bio is pending approval
07:48 AM on 12/15/2011
It is those pesky tax and spend workers that are the problem. Go from manufacturing to greeter just once and they want everybody to think that the economy is in trouble. Can they not see the light through the eyes of the republican elected officials in Washington DC. That they have jobs is the important thing here. Golly gee, first it was the artificially low interest rates that lulled them into thinking that they could afford houses. Then when that bubble burst they thought that the work they were doing was important. For Pete's sake. Now they want the insurance that has been paid for through their work to actually cover their hardship. Brazen! The unemployed need to understand that the profits the republicans are trying so desperately to protect are in fact jobs jobs jobs.

The above statement is in now way a factual statement.

The real statement will be amended and published at a later time to reflect reality.

Thank you for your support.
08:45 AM on 12/15/2011
Is this some kind of superbly-twisted satire? Not getting it koko.
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bornorange
Working hard at being right.
06:44 AM on 12/15/2011
Stone said, " At no time in the last 60 years (before the current downturn) has the share of the unemployed who have been out of work this long been this high."

Why do you suppose that is?

This administration will have many of those kind of "notables" before it's done.

Why? Leadership thinking like this:

Nancy Pelosi said, “Think of an economy where people could be an artist or a photographer or a writer without worrying about keeping their day job in order to have health insurance or that people could start a business and be entrepreneurial and take risk, but not job loss because of a child with asthma or someone in the family is bipolar-you name it, any condition-is job locking.”

http://yesbuthowever.com/nancy-pelosi-artists-8136679/
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be practical
Vote for a Democratic Congress
08:29 AM on 12/15/2011
a bit out of context.
10:34 AM on 12/15/2011
PELOSIE IS RIGHT AGAIN!

When people are slaves to their current job because they can't do without health insurance we Americans loose out on the innovation and job growth that could occur if these people were free from the fear of bankruptcy through illness or accident and could go out and start their own businesses.
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Rich Cash
Enlisted in 1971 - Retired in 1996
03:55 AM on 12/15/2011
I've been unemployed since I was downsized from a major retailer in July 2010. I'm a veteran with 25 years of service. I have a BS in Health Care Management, a certificate in Medical Laboratory Science, and 3 years of nursing school. When I retired from the Navy, I got a job as a Human Resources Consultant for a Fortune 100 company and was downsized 4 years later. I applied for a job with the VA as a patient advocate, a job that consisted of making sure patients were able to get from one appointment to the next. I was told I was not qualified for the job. I took a job as a part time cashier for a major retailer and was promoted to a salaried management position in less than a year. I was downsized from that job as well. Recently, I applied for a job as HR manager for a retail store that required experience in HR and retail. A day later, I received a reply that stated I didn't have the required experience. I'm 58 years old. 44% of the unemployed are 50 or older. More than 30% are veterans. If unemployment benefits aren't extended, I'm going to lose my home and my son will have to drop out of college. I spent most of my adult life in defense of my country. I paid for my own education and have never asked anything of anyone. Now that I need help, help will not be forthcoming
08:04 AM on 12/15/2011
you're getting a military retired check of about 3k or about that. you can't sustain on that? even for a little while?
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be practical
Vote for a Democratic Congress
08:31 AM on 12/15/2011
Do you get a military reitement check before 62?
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Rich Cash
Enlisted in 1971 - Retired in 1996
09:06 AM on 12/15/2011
ROFLMAO! I was enlisted. We don't get nearly as much as officers with the same length of service. I get about $1300/month which just about covers my mortgage payment. I also get real goddamn tired of the inference that I should be grateful to someone for my retirement pay. I spent 25 years putting my life on the line to defend you, your family, and everyone you know or ever have known. I earned every frigging dollar of it, and despise anyone who suggests I didn't.
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DustyMills
A liberal tree-hugging Oregonian...
02:29 AM on 12/15/2011
We must look beyond the government to find the many jobs we need, especially when we have one political party who could care less if they had to step over dead bodies on the way to their limo.......

People must look to themselves to create a means of earning a living.......tonight I read an interesting article in the NY Times about people banding together to build owner/operator business......this will be our future, the jobs we lost are not coming back and we need to rethink our opportunities.

Americans need to remember there is power in numbers............

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/15/opinion/worker-owners-of-america-unite.html?_r=1&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=globaleua212
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Robert SF
12:41 PM on 12/15/2011
You're ignoring that what we lost wasn't just lost to an act of god. It was taken from us. So if we band together to create a means of earning a living, they'll just come and take it from us again.
01:40 AM on 12/15/2011
Unemployment in construction is 21.2%, I wish these guys would tell the truth. We all need to education ourself in this tough market only way is a degree or change your career.. search online for High Speed Universities for career advice
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be practical
Vote for a Democratic Congress
08:32 AM on 12/15/2011
Last I knew degrees cost money. If this is not true my kids sure fooled me.
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lisakaz2
Da ministero dell'interno di Snark.
12:58 AM on 12/15/2011
Guess from their vantage pt as the Greedy One Percenters, there's no problem. They won't be happy till 10 ppl are living in a 1 BR basement apt and families are living on the streets ala "A Christmas Carol."
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12:48 AM on 12/15/2011
That is right, lets just have a bunch of unemployed people standing around and doing nothing. I wonder what would happen?