THE BLOG
03/19/2007 05:08 pm ET | Updated May 25, 2011

Bush Approval: Two New Polls, Trend at 33.9%

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New polls by Time and Newsweek released over the weekend bring the estimated approval of President Bush to 33.9%. Both polls came in well below the previous trend estimate of 34.9% resulting in a substantial shift in the estimate. Time's poll, taken 3/9-12/07 found approval at 32%, disapproval at 61%. Newsweek's was conducted 3/14-16/07 has approval at 30%, disapproval at 60%.

A fuller explanation of these graphs is available here.

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The residuals for recent trend estimates remain well behaved, and the two latest polls are well within the 95% confidence region.

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Estimated approval has bounced around about as much as usual, ranging between 33% and 35% for a while now.

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Cross-posted at Political Arithmetik.