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Charles Gasparino

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Jamie Dimon's "Tempest In A Tea Pot"

Posted: 05/15/2012 5:17 pm

Some not-so-big news: the Justice Department is now investigating the JP Morgan trading loss fiasco.

Of course, all those Eliot Ness types who came up with a 100
reasons why no one should be charged criminally for misleading
investors about the 2008 financial collapse and another 200 reasons
why no one should be charged for the $1.6 billion in missing MF Global
customers' money won't tell you that.

In fact, they've been telling reporters all day that something that
barely registers on JP Morgan's balance sheet --a $2 billion trading loss at a bank with more than $2.2 trillion in assets -- is so
important to investors that they need to unleash an army of FBI agents
to investigate if any wrong doing took place.

What a joke.

OK, a lot people hate Wall Street these days, and the average guy
thinks anyone who wears a suit and works at a bank is a crook, but
there is a masturbatory element to all these inquiries and
investigations that the Justice Department, the FBI and Securities and
Exchange Commission keep telling us that they're conducting about Wall
Street these days.

First, most end up going nowhere and real crimes go undetected. Recall all
the criminal investigations into the activities of Goldman Sachs that
have vanished from the front pages, while real life criminals like the
$50 billion Ponzi schemer Bernie Madoff don't get caught until the
damage is done.

And we're all supposed to take comfort knowing that the FBI is
investigating JP Morgan and its CEO Jamie Dimon for what everyone
agrees is a bad trade.

The funny thing is the people in federal law enforcement who conduct
these "probes" know that much of their work is pure BS, designed to
appease public anger at Wall Street following the 2008 financial
collapse. "I wouldn't even use the word investigation," one Justice
Department official told the Fox Business Network regarding what they're doing (or not doing) about the JP Morgan trading loss. "I
would use something like preliminary inquiry to describe our action
because we just can't afford sit around and wait for something to
happen."

Indeed, what the Feds know and won't tell you is how they manipulate
the press with these fake investigations that are designed to generate fake stories. The easiest headline for any
newspaper to print is that some Wall Street firm or company exec "is
under under investigation" even if those investigations are
perfunctory at best where the crime at hand is pretty remote.

Such is likely the case with the JP Morgan London Whale trading loss. 'News' of the investigation made huge headlines today, with gullible reporters failing to alert readers that the feds are basically on autopolot to investigate any big news story even if they're (a) probably going to do
nothing about the matter, and (b) should have been doing something before the alleged bad stuff
went down, not after.


In many ways, you expect this behavior from some publicity hungry congressman,
but it's really sad when our white collar gatekeepers who are supposed to protect us from really bad stuff have been reduced
to flacks engaged in a desperate attempt to show the public that they
are cracking down on the bad guys of Wall Street, when they really
aren't.

Of course, I can't tell you whether Jamie Dimon, the London Whale or
anyone else at the firm might have committed a crime as more facts
about the trading loss come to light. Before the loss was disclosed,
Dimon described concerns over the high-risk trading strategy as a
"tempest in a teapot," which he says he now regrets.

But a little perspective is in order: JP Morgan will still likely earn record profits for the year, and $4 billion this quarter -- and that's
after taking into account the losses from the trading fiasco. From
that standpoint at least the loss appears pretty negligible.

Unlike what happened at MF Global, not a single customer lost money,
unless those customers hold JP Morgan stock, which has gotten creamed
amid the media feeding frenzy. Meanwhile, Dimon has been pretty open
about the whole thing; he has opened the company's books to
investigators, and has given media interviews explaining the mess in a
fairly candid manner.

In other words, he isn't acting like a guilty man, nor is he pulling a
Jon Corzine, the former CEO of MF Global, who infamously appeared
before Congress evading just about every question put to him as he
tried to suggest he knew nothing about how $1.6 billion in his customers' money vanished into thin air.

Of course, Dimon's openness might be a big act. He may be trying to
give the appearance of honesty when in fact he's hiding something big.
Low probability in my view; I know Dimon for a long time and I don't
think that it's in his DNA to spin at least to this degree.

But if he is, so what? There's got to be bigger scandals out there
that cost bank customers real money, and actually lead to real losses
that could put a company's survival in jeopardy. The JP Morgan trading
loss is neither and not by a long shot.

Our crack investigators at the Justice Department the FBI and the SEC
don't seem to care, and while they're not caring they're wasting their
time and taxpayers' money investigating a trading loss that when you
think about it, really isn't.

Maybe Dimon shouldn't take back that "Tempest in a Tea Pot" statement after all.

 
 
 
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Some not-so-big news: the Justice Department is now investigating the JP Morgan trading loss fiasco. Of course, all those Eliot Ness types who came up with a 100 reasons why no one should be char...
Some not-so-big news: the Justice Department is now investigating the JP Morgan trading loss fiasco. Of course, all those Eliot Ness types who came up with a 100 reasons why no one should be char...
 
 
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05:21 PM on 05/16/2012
If (instead of earning $2billion each quarter for the past two years and then losing $2billion) Dimon had earned just $1billion a quarter for those two years and avoided the $2billion loss; then people would still be calling him a genius. The reason that he took back that "Tempest in a Tea Pot" statement is that people didn’t want to hear that for a $2trillion organization like JPMorgan, $2billion is chump change and essentially a rounding error - it is proportionally the same as you having a thousand one dollar bills and losing one of them.
11:15 AM on 05/17/2012
When we sent the banks Trillions of public dollars to bail them out of their gambling debt, and then we see more of the same behavior...then the "rounding error" is not the issue.

The issue is the fundamental business practice of the banking system since Glass Steagall was repealed(1999)...the banks and their gambling continue to place our public money at risk (...of being needed for further bailouts).
02:20 PM on 05/16/2012
I don't buy it. At the end of the day, there is real money and property that is being sucked out of the middle class into the pockets of the .01%. The "process" is made intentionally to be very complex, most of it very hidden.

The end result proves what I said: The super wealthy are getting richer while everyone else is losing. The distribution of wealth and income is more lopsided than ever.

Meanwhile, no one is going to comment about the crimes as long as "the matter is under investigation".

Three years later, and still no comments because the "matter is still under investigation".

The crooks live a very extravagant life at the expanse of those they ripped off. Some may pass away of natural causes while "the matter is still under investigation".

The financial crimes of 2008 are near 4 years old, and financial criminals are richer than ever. Corzine has not been charged with criminal activity. If he gets charged, the matter will be under investigation until the "end of times"...

The "wheels of justice are too slow" is an excuse to let the .01% off the hook.

People don't get to postpone layoffs, loss of retirements, and increase in education cost. All that activity happens now.
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captaincrawley
If Canada is socialist, then so am I.
06:48 AM on 05/16/2012
Sure. No one "really got hurt". Tell that to the people who own Chase stock. Or the workers facing retirement who hold worthless 401(k)s. Millions of middle class Americans now have their financial futures pegged to the Wall Street Casino, through no wish of their own.
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Kai-HK
Don't Share My Wealth! Share My Work Ethic!
01:47 AM on 05/16/2012
Great article...it is simply a bad trade and it is godo news that JP is simply Big Enough Not To Fail. This is a non-event...time to move on...

K
02:28 AM on 05/16/2012
I think this, like what happened in corzines shop, is another warning bell that we are heaped in systemic risk, still, and a black swan event is very much in the wings, right now. Then you have the structural risk inherent in the EU. Then the demographic risk in europe, japan, and to a lesser degree the US. The three are a really bad combination risk-wise over the next 30 years. For people to advocate ducking their heads in the sand is a big mistake.
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Kai-HK
Don't Share My Wealth! Share My Work Ethic!
09:14 PM on 05/16/2012
Pinetrale:

What systemic risk? MF Global went bankrupt with no systemic ripple. And JP Morgan lost what is a relatively miniscule part of its revenue with absolutely zero systemic issues. I hate to tell you this, but economic losses are part of doing business, especially in environments like this…why is it surprising that companies that make money also sometimes lose money? And then call it a systemic risk?

It is like walking and tripping, and then outlawing walking because occasionally you will trip. So what….move on….

The entities that cause systemic risk are those that inject it into the market, namely the Fed, through monetary policy, and Congress, through regulatory policy. Both amped up the moral and financial hazards that made the economy systemically brittle.

Easily fixed by taking discretionary market-making power out of their hands.

Kai
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Kai-HK
Don't Share My Wealth! Share My Work Ethic!
11:35 PM on 05/20/2012
Pinetrale:

You state, ‘your devoted to a provenly dangerous ideology thats already burned us.’

What? You mean Socialism and the Corpocracy that goes with it? Nope…I am against that provenly ruinous ideology.

You continue, ‘There is no normal market functioning when huge leverage is involved, nor when naked shorting is allowed, and so many other things.’

Agreed. Another reason to get government out of the way so that the impact of both these activities can be muted by aggressive market forces, forces which have been subverted through bad government policies and intervention in the market.

You state, ‘Give me a break with the ideology, its a proven Fail.’

True…government intervention as a market maker is an epic fail. I agree and it is the reason that I would like to see more capitalism be allowed to enforce discipline in the market by rewarding failure with bankruptcy. Let the shorts do that…they took out Enron, LTCM, Lehman, Greece, GM and other companies and countries that have been operating fraudulently or were critically unsustainable. This is great. Or is it fraud that you like so much that you want to protect it from investor vigilantes?

Kai
11:58 PM on 05/15/2012
Chuck...not a mention about the prior bank bailout? No mention of Glass-Steagall? Too-big-to-fail?

Really, Chuck? No mention of these topics...in an article about banking loss?

Unbelievable.
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alientotech
Twilight Zoning on "Bermuda Grass"
11:21 PM on 05/15/2012
yeah until they fill out their yearly fiscal tax returns
05:59 PM on 05/15/2012
So they're going to investigate JP Morgan losing $2 billion of their own money, but are oddly silent on MF Global where $1.6 billion was stolen. This is partly due to Democrats not wanting to investigate a campaign contribution bundler (Corzine).
01:16 AM on 05/16/2012
The should investigate ALL of them.

And prosecute and jail some of the head honchos.

Of course when the 1% buys and owns the politicians, we ordinary Americans are doubtful that anything will really be done.
05:56 PM on 05/15/2012
This is an incredibly well-crafted, considered, intelligent and nearly persuasive piece of pro-bank propaganda.