New Report: Obama Tops, Hillary Slipping In Iowa

The following piece is published on Iowa Independent as well as HuffPost's OffTheBus.

A lot can change in the course of a few weeks, which is evident both in the shifts in this week's power rankings and the continuing volatility of the presidential race in Iowa. Recent polls have varied a bit in their candidate rankings, but they all seem to agree on one point: the presidential race is far from settled.

Below, we seek to answer (for the fourth time) the question, "If the Democratic caucuses were held tonight, how would they result?" We based these rankings on impressions we received from activists, staff, and caucus-goers across the state and, at the most basic level, gut feelings and instincts. We hope only that our work provides one additional point of reference to readers who are interested in the perspective of Iowans who have watched the race unfold here for the past year.

If the Democratic caucuses were held tonight, here is how we think they would turn out.