Craig Crawford

Craig Crawford

Posted: March 5, 2008 09:44 AM

Only a Dream Ticket Prevents Democratic Nightmare

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Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama might be stuck with each other -- not just for the long haul to the Democratic nominating convention, but well beyond. They might have to run together, whatever the order and whether they like it or not.

The most likely scenario going forward is that unelected delegates, the so-called super delegates, will decide this thing -- and they might not make a choice in sufficient numbers to give either hopeful the nomination before the convention.

If Clinton or Obama cannot find some miraculous way to lock down a nominating majority in the remaining primaries and caucuses, look for undecided super delegates to opt for the easiest way out and urge them to run together for the November election. More on Craig Crawford's Trail Mix

Follow Craig Crawford on Twitter: www.twitter.com/craig_crawford

 
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- blastocyst I'm a Fan of blastocyst 27 fans permalink

Rocky and Apollo Creed became buds. Why not Hillary and Obama? Would shut up MSM for about 10 minutes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:01 PM on 03/05/2008
- army193 I'm a Fan of army193 9 fans permalink
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Hillary can't pick Obama she has stated he isn't ready to be President.­...Obama can't pick the past and claim he wants to change Washington.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:54 PM on 03/05/2008

Let's see, Hillary says Obama is not fit to be President. Well, if she is the nominee (which is not likely) and taps Obama for VP then how could she reconcile the fact that she said he is "unfit" to be President. Undoubtedly, the VP has to be capable to assume the helm if something tragic happened to the President, Right?

No matter what anyone says, making hay of that ticket would be too good for the Republicans to pass up in the fall. Make no mistake, by that time McCain and his VP would refresh America's memory by replaying Hillary's sound bites over and over again. What would have been a dream ticket (prior to Hillary's rants) would suddenly become a nightmare for the Democratic Party.

Ha!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:15 PM on 03/05/2008
- blastocyst I'm a Fan of blastocyst 27 fans permalink

You know words are always bandied about. Look at Bush and his step-child McCain. Much more vitriol, flaming rhetoric and scorched earth there.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:24 AM on 03/06/2008

He would have to be nuts to pick her as a running mate. There's no room in those pant suits for anyone else's opinion. Even as VP, it would be HER way or the highway.

Clinton is to Obama as Putin is to Medved...M­evdev.... Med....or WOT-ever :)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:23 PM on 03/05/2008

Agree. If it was an actual marriage I wouldn't even give it a week and that is being generous. We should have them tested on eHarmony.com if they are considering a joint ticket.

I don't know who will win the nomination, but I'm confident that Hillary would easily take him in a fight.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:35 PM on 03/05/2008

Assuming either Hillary as Pres. and Barack as VP, or vice-versa, the FIRST thing she/he should do is....name Bill Ambassador to... Burkina Faso? or maybe Fiji? and only enough budget for postage stamps. Bye-bye!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:51 PM on 03/05/2008

Are you kidding me ? - We need him as Ambassador to Canada.

News of his " exploits " will keep the press so busy that there will be no further " unfortunate memos" leaking across the border.

...tell him we have REAL Cuban cigars up here & it's done.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:16 PM on 03/05/2008
- LDW I'm a Fan of LDW 5 fans permalink

Obama just made his first foray into foreign relations, by contacting the Canadian government to assure them that his NAFTA rhetoric to the American eletorate was not sincere.

This was foolish, naive and showed an extreme lack of judgement, and it proved that he will lie to the American people, lie to cover up the lie, and lie to try to minimize the impact of all his lies.

In one fell swoop, he has proven that he is not the New & Different kind of politician he portrayed himself as.

He's shown himself to be a light-weight, naive panderer, lacking the most basic foresight or vision.

Not exactly top-of-the-ticket material.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:45 PM on 03/05/2008

Brilliant analysis. You are really, really smart. Here I thought Clinton was the twister of facts, and you've informed me that it's really Obama.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:49 PM on 03/05/2008

We need to change this endless cycle of hate, obstruction, and pitiful progress that we see each election and term. It is getting very tiring and we end up with politicians we don't respect, don't want to elect, and then want to impeach and convict, based on some combination of fact, stereotypes, and bad assumptions. We start each cycle with a victorious party intent on maximizing the implementation of their political agenda that may not be representative of the demographics of their own party, There is certainly no concern for the other - which just happens to be 170 million people. It is no wonder it takes forever to get any legislation passed and when we do has been watered down and stuffed with specials interests. The one thing we do know is that we see both parties as being ineffective, but the fact is they are just mirroring us.

If we are going to change things then we need to actually sit down and learn about each other and the needs of our parties, while dispelling the age old false stereotype that get us even more enraged. I would suggest that we find a way to have a ticket that is represented by both parties and then we can really focus on an agenda that brings a balance view and much higher execution without the constraints of the petty tactics.

The combo of McCain/Obama or Obama/McCain might be just the thing we need.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:26 PM on 03/05/2008

Uh, no thank you.

Conservatism has nearly destroyed this country.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:40 PM on 03/05/2008
- racom I'm a Fan of racom 3 fans permalink

All this ,'I'm fighting for Hillary' and 'I'm fighting for Barrack' shooting at one another reminds me of the line in terminator 2 movie. You may remember it, John Connors watches the kids playing with toy guns, shooting one another, and says to the terminator, "we're not gonna make it, are we"? How can we go against the bad guys in Nov when we're on our self-destruction course? We're not gonna make it, are we?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:14 PM on 03/05/2008
- mvpeach10 I'm a Fan of mvpeach10 5 fans permalink

Only logical that Hillary be at the top and Obama as VP so that he can get some experience­...He's young and will have his chance. That's the only sensible ticket. Otherwise, she should remain as the US Senator from NY, a very prestigious job and suitable to her good mind. She should not agree to be his VP. She's far to much the better candidate for the job of President than he is at this point in his career.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:06 PM on 03/05/2008
- Moose49 I'm a Fan of Moose49 8 fans permalink
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Why would this be logical if, at the end of the primary process, he has more delegates than her?

In fact, one could argue that, as a far more inspirational and transformative leader, he is much better suited to be the head of state and that if they somehow teamed up, she could serve as veep in a more COO-type role which would be more suited to her policy wonkery. Though as I've noted in a previous post, I cannot imagine her ever agreeing to do this, just as I cannot imagine Obama agreeing to be Hillary's veep, which would make him third banana.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:31 PM on 03/05/2008
- argeec I'm a Fan of argeec 7 fans permalink

I'm beginning to think it may be best if McCain wins.
Then he can go ahead and screw things up really, really bad and we can get a decent candidate in 2012.
Then Edwards can come back and say "I told you people what we needed to do".

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:51 PM on 03/05/2008
- nellie I'm a Fan of nellie 501 fans permalink
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I don't want Obama to choose Hillary. I don't like her campaign lies and distortions. That's the nightmare. Obama/Edwards 08.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:48 PM on 03/05/2008
- JakeEasy I'm a Fan of JakeEasy 13 fans permalink

Here's my favorite. All the superdels vote for Al Gore. Then at the convention we make Gore president, someone like Richardson VP. Clinton as Majority Leader. Obama gets the next Supreme Court nod. Edwards as AG.

Anyone vote for that?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:31 PM on 03/05/2008

Best idea I've heard all day.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:51 PM on 03/05/2008
- Moose49 I'm a Fan of Moose49 8 fans permalink
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Almost assuredly a fantasy and my first choice is still for Obama to be president, but I could certainly live with that scenario and would vastly prefer it to Hillary being the nominee.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:33 PM on 03/05/2008

You do that and large portion of blacks will stay home in November. That means McCain wins. In reality after such ugly compaign unless Obama is on the ticket - Dems have no chance...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:38 PM on 03/05/2008

It could only be improved by Kucinich becoming the next Speaker of the House.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:39 PM on 03/05/2008
- ema I'm a Fan of ema 23 fans permalink
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Edwards/Kucinich. Then I could vote without holding my nose.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:55 PM on 03/05/2008

There is one very logical way to look at this. The super delegates are going to decide this race. That is a fact. Neither candidate can get to the 2024 delegates needed to secure the nomination.

Here is a rational way for the super delegates to make a decision. Review all the states. Remove any state fom the equation that is going to vote RED or BLUE no matter which candidate wins the nomination. That means don't worry about NY, CA, MA, ID, UT, WY, AK, AZ, SC etc

Now, take the close states that could go either way and do some polls with Obama vs McCain and Clinton vs McCain. Match these results up to the electoral college and see who does better in a general election matchup.

Just for fun, do some more polls with an Obama/Clinton ticket vs McCain and a Clinton/Obama ticket vs McCain and see if that has any effect on the results.

Then if you are worried about congressional seats and senate seats. Do some more polls to see if any of the above tickets do better for gaining seats in congress.

Look at all of these results, keep doing comparisons over time to see if things change as we get closer.

Then the super delegates would actually have some data to use to make a rational decision.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:53 PM on 03/05/2008

Interesting ideas here, but my main concern is the extent to which your plan relies on polls, which have been wildly inconsistent this year.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:01 PM on 03/05/2008
- Nutcase I'm a Fan of Nutcase 49 fans permalink
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Let all of the super delegates declare as neutral. Let Clinton and Obama, each with less than enough, try to get a majority without the super delegates. After a few rounds with no winner, the super delegates, also not a majority, propose a compromise candidate. It could be Edwards, Biden, Dodd or even Gore. All of the super delegates would vote for the one they had decided among themselves was the best choice. Clinton and Obama would have their fair chance. If they couldn't manage it, tough. We might then end up with a qualified candidate that could get the support of essentially everyone.

Je pense, donc je suis populiste.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:34 PM on 03/05/2008

No, it's a nightmare ticket for two reasons. One, this country is not yet ready to vote for a woman and a black man together. (Some days I'm not sure if it is really ready for a woman or a black man alone -- especially the older population, which makes the youth vote important.­) A "dream ticket" would effectively end the dem's bid for the White House. Two, I am pretty sure Hillary would only accept such a ticket if she was on top. Obama is clearly about a different kind of politics and government. It would do him no good to be involved in any way with a Clinton White House.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:13 PM on 03/05/2008

"Obama is clearly about a different kind of politics and government. "

Please stop reading press releases. These are two DLC candidates who will do what it takes for their personal political ambitions. Let's knock these heads together and hammer out a deal.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:35 PM on 03/05/2008
- Nutcase I'm a Fan of Nutcase 49 fans permalink
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You may be right about some people not being willing to vote for a Black or a woman. Prejudice certainly is extant. Your post is witness to a prejudice against us geezers.

Je pense, donc je suis populiste.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:38 PM on 03/05/2008
- ndolomar I'm a Fan of ndolomar 11 fans permalink

batgirl, can you define "ready"? does "ready" mean when you feel comfortable putting leadership in the hands of a non-white/non-male? see, i actually appreciate the fact that i won't be forced to vote between two people who look, talk, act and pee the same because i'm supposed to. see, i was "ready" to think that it truly is possible that ANY american can pursue and achieve the role of president because that's what our history books, teachers, parents and leaders have been saying. so, maybe it's ok that women now occupy the high rungs on the corporate ladder -- or that blacks can own property. "have your fun, but stick to the roe v. wade debate and basketball courts." "it's ok when it's morgan freeman playing him, but god forbid we get a REAL one." "we know we gave you your rights," but it's still better that women and blacks stay within the confines of stereotypes and limited freedom until people are "ready." frankly, as a black woman, i've always felt "ready" to achieve anything my heart desires and that this country offers its citizens, and i don't care if the rest of the country is "ready" or not.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:48 PM on 03/05/2008
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