The Hidden Message in JP Morgan's $2-Billion Loss

The real skill of these "wealth managers" lies in their ability to convince you they have an expertise that doesn't exist. This latest debacle is one more example demonstrating that these investment gurus are emperors with no clothes, a significant, little-understood peril to your financial security.
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Unless you were living under a rock, you are aware of JP Morgan's stunning $2-billion loss. According to The Wall Street Journal the loss was caused by a trader in London nicknamed "the London whale." Mr. Whale guessed wrong in making complicated trades tied to the values of corporate bonds, causing massive losses in the bank's derivative positions.

Jamie Dimon, the Chief Executive of JP Morgan, called the trades "flawed, complex, poorly reviewed, poorly executed and poorly monitored." Mr. Dimon was nonplussed by this event, adding, "We will admit it, we will fix it and move on."

If you are a shareholder in JP Morgan, you are not "moving on" so quickly. According to Reuters, the bank lost $15 billion in market value since this announcement. Standard & Poors revised its outlook on the bank from stable to negative, while affirming its A/A-1 issuer credit rating.

In an odd coincidence, the state of New York announced the appointment of JP Morgan as the new advisor for its $2-billion adviser-sold 529 plan, marking its entry into the college savings market. JP Morgan's "Global Multi-Asset Group" will handle the new business. It manages $74.6 billion in assets.

Mr. Dimon was right. JP Morgan is "moving on." The question is whether investors in this 529 Plan, and other clients whose assets are managed by this bank, are doing the same. The massive loss suffered by the bank is yet another indication of the inability of this huge institution (or anyone else) to predict the direction of the markets. Yet, the entire securities industry is premised on the false assumption that its members can add value by stock picking, market timing, and fund-manager picking.

The real skill of these "wealth managers" lies in their ability to convince you they have an expertise that doesn't exist. This latest debacle is one more example demonstrating the irrefutable fact that these investment gurus are emperors with no clothes, representing a significant, little-understood peril to your financial security.

You can't fight this system, but you don't have to be part of it.

Dan Solin is a senior vice president of Index Funds Advisors. He is the New York Times bestselling author of The Smartest Investment Book You'll Ever Read, The Smartest 401(k) Book You'll Ever Read, The Smartest Retirement Book You'll Ever Read, and The Smartest Portfolio You'll Ever Own. His new book is The Smartest Money Book You'll Ever Read. The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein. Furthermore, the information on this blog should not be construed as an offer of advisory services. Please note that the author does not recommend specific securities nor is he responsible for comments made by persons posting on this blog.

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