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The Interest Rate Debate: The Red Herring of College Costs?

Posted: 04/30/2012 12:42 pm

In the last few weeks President Barack Obama's plan to keep the interest rate on student loans at 3.4 percent (rather than allowing them double them in July, as the law currently requires) has become an important part of the American political discussion. It provoked considerable debate in Congress and even inspired the president to show up on late-night television to “slow jam” about the policy change he proposes.

But how important is interest rate on federal student loans, really? Keeping the rate low is probably good, but it’s not that important. The administration and even Republican opponents (who have proposed their own solution to keep the rate low) are talking about this as if it’s an important effort to cut colleges costs. According to a piece at the Center for American Progress:

Young Americans and their families simply cannot afford to have Congress sit by and do nothing while the interest rates on Subsidized Stafford Loans are set to double in July. ... It is imperative that Congress acts to keep college affordable for 7.4 million college students and their families.

It might be the administration’s most important effort to deal with college costs, but if so, that’s pretty disappointing, because it doesn’t really do anything to reduce the cost of college. Keeping the interest rate low, it turns out, would save the average borrower about $9 a month.

According to an article by Jordan Weissmann at The Atlantic:

Inane politics aside, what's frustrating about this issue is how little it matters in the scheme of college affordability. States are still spending less on higher-ed than they were ten years ago, despite dramatic increases in enrollment. If colleges could easily make themselves more efficient, this might not be a problem. But it's proven extremely difficult to create productivity gains in education, even with the help of modern information technology. So instead, tuition has increased. The federal government has responded by expanding grant aid and the availability of student loans. Sadly, this may have just encouraged some colleges to increase their tuition, rather than focus on cutting costs. We don't know how severe this problem really is; researchers have reached mixed, often contradictory conclusions. But overall the literature suggests it might be real.

The other problem is that loans don’t really make college more affordable, they just force the students to pay the cost after they’ve left school.

The student loan interest debate is a sideshow, Weissmann writes. It might be worse. It actually might be we call a red herring, a deliberately misleading detail to distract people from the actual issue.

The current debate over the student loan interest rate allows politicians of both parties to pretend that they’re working to correct an issue and keep “college within reach.” Americans can concentrate on the strategies they’re pursuing to keep that rate low. But the interest rate on Stafford student loans is a very small part of the real problem with college costs, which is that students have huge loans.

I really, really want to believe this is something the federal government is going to address (because state governments have just given up now) but the bizarre political fight over this very minor issue suggests that real reforms won’t be forthcoming.

Granted, keeping the interest rates on student loans where they are is probably a pretty good thing. New college graduates will have the most debt in a generation. Their job prospects are also likely to be pretty crappy. They shouldn’t have to pay more money because of the actions of Congress.

But fixing this problem is a good thing the way, say, doing the dishes is a good thing; what we really need is a kitchen renovation. This is a minor, minor fix.

[Cross-posted at the Washington Monthly]

______________________________

(Okay, admittedly I’m totally at fault here, I see that I’ve written an awful lot of stories in the last few days about the student loan interest rate fight. Egg on face and all that.)

 

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In the last few weeks President Barack Obama's plan to keep the interest rate on student loans at 3.4 percent (rather than allowing them double them in July, as the law currently requires) has become ...
In the last few weeks President Barack Obama's plan to keep the interest rate on student loans at 3.4 percent (rather than allowing them double them in July, as the law currently requires) has become ...
 
 
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11:56 AM on 05/01/2012
Not quite... "only $9/month" is a red herring as well. You need to look at the way this disproportionately effects those at the lower levels of the income ladder: The folks have to take out the most loans and are already the people struggling the most to be able to afford college. $40k in loans after 4 years of public college is relatively low amount of loans for a family that is too poor to put down any cash up front, but even at this "low" level of loans an increase of 3.4% amounts to more than $1200/ year, or over $100 a month EXTRA after graduating. And that's assuming the student doesn't aspire to a career with a longer degree/certification requirement such as a Doctor or Lawyer or any number of other professions that require advanced learning. So, while the $9 a month may be accurate, it is deceptive to frame the argument around a very misleading average. Look to the margins, the bottom 1/3 of the effected population, to understand the actual impact.
03:33 PM on 05/01/2012
Subsidized Stafford Loans only, that's what the loan interest rate here is about. One can't have $40k in Stafford loans. The $9 figure assumes he borrows the $5,550 maximum allowable amount as a third- or fourth-year student.
06:25 PM on 05/01/2012
Again, not quite-- $5,500 is the year-1 "freshman" limit. I thought the maximum cap had been raised to about $40k, but I was mistaken: checking with a colleague that works in Financial Aid, the cap is $31k. This still brings my estimate for the highest need, lowest access level students to an impact of just under $90/month, or 10x the average $9 number that is being tossed around.

And yes, you can't hit that max in only four years, but the nationwide 4-year graduation rate is less than 40%: many students need to extend their stay for additional years for a variety of reasons, a phenomena even common amongst the least financially well-off due to the need to work more to support themselves and pay tuition.
02:42 AM on 05/01/2012
You've hit the nail on the head. Thanks for saying what I've been thinking as I pound my head against a wall while listening to all the blather about student loan interest rates.
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Scott EngageAmerica
05:08 PM on 04/30/2012
Of course the student loan debate is a smoke screen. The real problem is the cost of attending college, which has increased 439 percent since 1982—faster than the rate of health care increases (eng.am/v5unNG).
06:46 PM on 05/01/2012
It's not an either/or situation: They can both be problems, both interlocking and exacerbating the other. Also, "smoke screen" implies that the Dems &/or the Reps are arguing to conceal this issue, which I'm not sure is the case.
01:09 PM on 04/30/2012
The loan rate discussion is certainly a red herring. The core of this problem is the ease of which these loans are granted. If you're breathing, and don't have a student loan default, the gov will hand you money.

A more disturbing fact is that MANY universities rely on these loans for income and do NOT even require entrance exams! That's right folks. Students that are not prepared, nor qualified to attend college, are getting loans, which goes into the pockets of these schools, then the students fail out and default on their debt. Taxpayers are footing the bill for these schools to profit because of their lax admittance standards. I know this for a fact, as I worked for a university in the enrollment department.

Congress needs to implement a standardized entrance exam to keep kids that should never go to college from making a huge mistake and universities need to be held accountable for passing/failing students on government loans.

Let's face it. Some people are not college material. Why allow colleges to profit from this government fed gravy train?