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Dave Johnson

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Is a Flat Tax Fair?

Posted: 10/23/11 10:03 PM ET

Conservatives are always pushing for a "flat tax." It sounds so simple: One easy rate, so we all pay the same, easy to calculate... Get rid of deductions and lower the tax rates. So simple, but it turns out it is a simple trick, a scam to enrich the 1%, like so much else that conservatives are selling. Don't fall for it -- it means taxes will go up for the 99% of us who aren't really, really rich. See if you can guess what happens if you are in the top 1%. Or, just scroll down and see the the chart.

What We Have Now

We have what's called a "progressive' tax system. This means as you make more you pay more taxes. The first "bracket" of XX dollars you make is taxed at a low rate. The next XX dollars are taxed at a higher rate, and so on. Many people think if you "go into a higher bracket" you pay more on all the money you make, but that is not how it works. If a bracket starts at $1 million, and you make $1 million plus $1 you only pay the higher rate on the $1 that is in that bracket. Yes, that means that a 5% increase on taxes over $1 million would mean that person pays a nickel. Yes, all that screaming by Republicans is over a nickel. Screaming is what they do best.

The reason we have a progressive tax system is because we have a democracy. People who make more do so because of the investment in government that We, the People make. We, the People pool our money collectively and use it to build the infrastructure that lets people make so much money. That's the roads, schools, police, courts, etc. -- the whole system -- that provides the foundation for our businesses to go out and compete in the world. And when our businesses do well, we ask them to pay back a dividend to the rest of us for enabling that to happen.

No Deductions

Conservatives always call for getting rid of deductions, because they are complicated. Get rid of deductions, they say, simplify the system, and you can lower tax rates. Here is the game they are playing. Suppose you have a small business, a grocery store. Suppose you buy $100,000 in inventory and sell it for $130,000. If you get rid of deductions that means the small grocery owner pays taxes on $130,000 because that is the income of the store.

If you say the business owner should be allowed to "deduct" the amount paid for inventory, we're back to deciding which deductions to allow. So we are right back where we started, except now the conservatives have lowered tax rates (at the top) and their big corporate sponsors will be gaming the system to give themselves more and more and more deductions just like they already do.

What Happens With A Flat Tax?

Conservatives object to the idea of the rich paying back more. They say that taxes are theft -- government confiscating money that people have earned, ignoring that our democracy enabled them to earn it in the first place. They call taxation "redistribution" of wealth. Of course, as AlterNet's Joshua Holland points out, redistribution is the core job of government. He points out that when government collects taxes and builds a sidewalk that everyone can walk on -- or homeless people can sleep on -- that is redistribution. Courts, schools, police, ports, airports -- all of it is redistribution of wealth.

So conservatives call for a "flat tax." Most notably Republican presidential candidates Rick Perry and Herman Cain are calling for various forms of this. This means everyone pays the same tax rate as everyone else, regardless of income. Because this is about scrapping democracy's progressive tax system, this necessarily means that the rich will pay a lot less. Guess who pays more to make up for that? A good example of this effect is the 9-9-9 tax plan.

The 9-9-9 Plan

The Tax Policy Center takes a look at Republican candidate Herman Cain's "9-9-9" tax plan, in a post titled, Herman Cain's 9-9-9 Tax Plan

Herman Cain's plan would eliminate the current individual income tax, corporate income tax, payroll tax, and estate and gift tax and substitute three taxes imposed at a 9 percent rate: 1) a 9 percent "national sales tax" 2) a 9 percent "business flat tax", and 3) a 9 percent "individual flat tax."

They have a table here that shows how people's taxes would change under the 9-9-9 plan. Jared Bernstein made a chart illustrating these numbers in his post 9-9-9 in One (Really Long) Graph.

So here you have it: the change in tax liabilities, compared to current tax policy, under 9-9-9, for different income groups, in one incredibly unsettling graph.

In the following chart the blue lines that are above zero illustrate how much more most of us will pay. The red lines below zero show how much less the rich and really rich will pay. The blue lines -- representing taxes on most of us -- go up. The red lines -- representing taxes on the top few -- go ... well, see for yourself.

2011-10-24-djpics-Averagetaxchangefrom999plan10182011OPT.jpg

This post originally appeared at Campaign for America's Future (CAF) at their Blog for OurFuture. I am a Fellow with CAF.

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wmnorton
Moderate where moderate used to be
04:04 PM on 10/28/2011
Flat/Fair tax has always and continues to be just another way for the rich to pay a lot less and everyone else to pay a lot more. Some people say it is obvious that Americans don't understand math since they keep playing the lottery, I say it's because they keep falling for these flat/fair tax scams. Rick Perry talked about SS being a Ponsi scheme, but the flat/fair tax schemes I have seen are the ones that fit the definition­, take money from the poor and give that money to the rich. And this has been going on for thirty years, so at this point it is not their money, I have been paying their share of the tax burden, so it's my money and I want it back.
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10:23 AM on 10/25/2011
The Deficit Commission is considerin­g the eliminatio­n of the tax deduction for job-based health insurance:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/28/health-care-tax-break-deficit_n_788852.html
Job-Based Health Care Threatened

"WASHINGTO­N — Job-based health care benefits could wind up on the chopping block if President Barack Obama and congressio­nal Republican­s get serious about cutting the deficit.

Budget proposals from leaders in both parties have urged shrinking or eliminatin­g tax breaks that help make employer health insurance the leading source of coverage in the nation and a middle-cla­ss mainstay.

The idea isn't to just raise revenue, economists say, but finally to turn Americans into frugal health care consumers by having them face the full costs of their medical decisions.

[snip]

Repealing the tax break would raise several hundred billion dollars a year, depending on how it's done. Many economists believe employers would boost pay if they didn't provide health care..."

Anyone who thinks employers would boost pay to compensate is delusional­.
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10:34 AM on 10/25/2011
David Walker, formerly the President of the Peter G. Peterson foundation, was on some talk show where he mentioned that the two deductions whose elimination would generate revenue were:

o employers' job-based health care deduction

o home mortgage deduction
10:19 AM on 10/25/2011
As much as people love to talk about "fair" here you need to point out a few things.

1) Nothing in life is fair, nor will it ever be.
2) It may not be fair for a billionaire to pay 5% in federal income tax, but it is also not fair for the majority of the country to not pay any federal income tax either.

Whatever anyone else says, the 51% of households not paying federal income tax need to start paying federal income tax. You can't have a democracy in place when a majority are reaping the benefits without paying the price, it just doesn't work.
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drkazmd65
Mom Taught me - Question Everything - Thanks Mom!
12:21 PM on 10/25/2011
And,... exactly what specific benefits are those in bottom 47% reaping from our Government that balance out the much more huge benefits those who find themselves in the top few percent recieve?

How about instead of deriding those in the bottom 40-odd % for not paying a net Federal Income tax at the end of the year - we figure out a way to get them a living wage sufficient that they can net high enough income to pay a net Federal Income tax at year's end?

How about we tax capital gains as actual income - at least over a certain minimum level?

How about we remove the income cap on SS and Medicare taxes?

How about we enforce the AMT?

The day I make a million+ per year in taxible income,... that's the day I smile knowingly that although I know my marginal top tax rates are high - that I live in a country that has helped make it possible for me to do so well financially.

When all the money, and all the power are concentrated in the hands of a select few - your democracy has ceased to be a democracy and is now an oligarchy.
02:04 PM on 10/25/2011
A living wage is a myth, understand that first off. In order for a middle class to exist there has to be a lower class, by very definition. The question is to the size of that class and how to make the middle class emerge and resilient.

Having said all that, why is it that historically far more people paid federal income tax than they do today? Even back in olden times the lower classes paid something. Now they pay nothing. Now, not only do the truly poor pay nothing, but the lower middle class pay nothing and even sometimes the truly middle class get a pass.

Why would you remove the payroll cap? Payroll taxes are specifically levied to pay for a benefit program. If you remove the cap then you essentially make those over the current cap pay more and more for the same benefit. Think of auto insurance. Your neighbor with the ten DUI's and wrecks gets the same policy for the same premium? Is that fair? No.

You don't think AMT is enforced? LOL. Tell that to the lil' AMT line on my taxes last year that resulted in my writing a check for another 80k.

You realize a 1mm annual income is not the top 1%, it is the top .01%, right?
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masterkcb1
Ambition is a dream with a V8 engine
01:44 AM on 10/25/2011
The fact is, we dont need to raise taxes on the rich, we just need to close the loopholes that allow them to get away with soo much. If we closed the loopholes than having a flat tax would be perfect, it would be far and equitable for everyone involved. If the rich pay a higher % of taxes than it would only be logical that they get preferential treatment by the government. The real problem is that 47% of americans pay no taxes at all and they are draining the government dry.
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SeenItBefore
Ya want to super size that?
10:48 AM on 10/25/2011
Once again, the lower income Americans pay little or no taxes because they don't/can't earn enough money at Rick Perry's minimum wage service jobs to qualify for minimum taxation. They DO pay into SSI and Medicare, and FUTA, or their state's EI.
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drkazmd65
Mom Taught me - Question Everything - Thanks Mom!
12:23 PM on 10/25/2011
"The fact is, we dont need to raise taxes on the rich, we just need to close the loopholes that allow them to get away with soo much."

You present a false dichotomy.

Fact is - we need to do both.
08:20 PM on 10/24/2011
There is fair. And there is simple.

I don't know what is fair, but I do know that the current 16,000 page tax code is neither fair nor-simple. No government should require the estimated 6 billion hours of their citizens time to comply with the tax code. How can it be fair that a $2,000,000 house with an 80% mortgage gets 10X the benefit of a $200,000 house with the same 80% loan? If they want to encourage home ownership why not have no deduction but send every homeowner a $5,000 check each year. Just one of thousands of issues with the current code. But....not to worry...it is very likely there will be tweaks and we will be left with more of the same.
apiazza
There is no such thing as a fiscal conservative.
10:30 PM on 10/24/2011
People who don't have kids are subsidizing those who do. People with kids should pay more!
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10:30 AM on 10/25/2011
People who don't want undeclared wars are subsidizing those that do.

The U.S. hasn't declared war since December 8, 1941.
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SeenItBefore
Ya want to super size that?
10:50 AM on 10/25/2011
True, in Texas, all property owners pay school taxes as long as they own property. We have been paying for schools for 45 years.

We never had children.
05:04 PM on 10/24/2011
Eliminate the cap on payroll taxes . Working middle class citizens pay 7.75% on their income in payroll taxes while a person making a million dollars a year pays only 0.7 % .......... is that fair ?
10:35 PM on 10/24/2011
References to payroll taxes are to Social Security's Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance (OASDI) and Medicare's Hospital Insurance (HI)
Let's look at the caps. A person who retired in 2011 at age 66 and paid into OASDI and HI at the maximum amount for 45 years from age 21 to age 66, would get a OASDI Benefit Check of $2,366 per month. That same person paid into OASDI from the years 1966 to 2010 for a maximum contribution for OASDI ranging from $254.10 in 1966 to $6621.60 in 2010 and totaling $129,851.39. The last month before retiring he would have paid into OASDI $551.80 out of a monthly income of $8,900.
To be clear:
Dec 2010 PAID $551.80 Total payments made $129,851.39
Jan 2011 GOT $2,366.00

If the same person had paid the same contributions into an account earning 7.2% interest, compounded annually, would have in the account at the end of 2010 $418,828.69. The monthly dividend on the same 7.2% interest would be $2,512.97.

I just wanted the actual numbers out there to be absolutely clear. When you suggest eliminating the cap on payroll taxes, are you also suggesting eliminating the cap on benefits? Or would you recommend that the contributions keep going up while the benefits stop at $2,366? What is fair?
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wmnorton
Moderate where moderate used to be
02:16 PM on 10/28/2011
You forgot, or ignored, the SS paid by employers, note self employeed persons pay both, Since I've been self employeed and had to pay both, I understand that even when i have worked for someone else the employeer share of SS is really wages I should have gotten, but was sent to the government instead of given to me. I worked for 50 years and with my contribution and what the emplyeer had to pay I contributed more than $275000 in payments. Since I retired early (less that 66 years old) I get less than $2366 and I have to pay $99/month for Medicare. But even still what I have paid in should cover what SS pays out no matter how long I live.
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Parkite
Still haven't found what I'm looking for
02:26 PM on 10/28/2011
How many investments earn 7.2% year in year out. It's been 3 years since WS crashed. Most peoples 401(k)s are just now back to 2008 levels.
04:55 PM on 10/24/2011
Have you ever noticed that the people pushing for a flat tax are millionaires ? These pundits , Neil Boortz , Rush Limbaugh , Glen Beck , Sean Hanitty , and all of the others brag about being multi-millionaires and then tell us how great a flat tax would be . What they mean of course is that a flat tax would be great for them . Almost every member of congress is a millionaire as well so when they say that they do not want to raise taxes on millionaires they are talking about themselves . They do not want to raise taxes on themselves ...........
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drkazmd65
Mom Taught me - Question Everything - Thanks Mom!
12:26 PM on 10/25/2011
Of course - I fully expect that likes of millionares to support a tax rate that lets them keep more of their income. It is in their self-interest to do so.

What I continue to remain amazed about is the fact that so many individuals who are likely to never become millionares support that positon.
04:33 PM on 10/24/2011
There are 27 countries that have the flat tax and are happy with it. It's about time we try something different that is fair to everyone no matter what class. The unfairness about our current tax code is that 47% pay NO taxes. If everyone paid something, the economic health of our Republic would be much better.
apiazza
There is no such thing as a fiscal conservative.
10:28 PM on 10/24/2011
I'll bet a majority of those countries have socialized medicine and are happy with it.
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wmnorton
Moderate where moderate used to be
02:32 PM on 10/28/2011
They are almost all former member of the USSR.
04:11 PM on 10/24/2011
Here’s a flat tax formula:

ALL income is subject to Social Security and Medicare with no caps.

Single filer gets a $75,000 exemption; joint filers get a $150,000 exemption.

Interest on municipal and State bonds is exempt only for direct public investments. Economic development bonds etc. are not exempt.

No deductions, no dependents, no tax credits, ALL income is counted the same.

A flat rate of 50% levied on everything over the exemptions.

The 90% demographic is about $150,000 (0%). The 98% demographic is about $350,000 (0 - 29%). The 99% demographic is about $850,000 (29 - 41%). Over $850,000 is 41 – 49.9%. All of these plus 7.65% for SS and Medicare.
10:16 AM on 10/25/2011
Ok, so you want *ONLY* the top 2% to pay *ANYTHING*?

Yea.... back to mars with you junior.
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drkazmd65
Mom Taught me - Question Everything - Thanks Mom!
12:27 PM on 10/25/2011
But,.. it is a 'magic' flat tax,.. I thought that idea would make some of you 'happy' at least.

*snark*
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JustinP213
I dislike all political parties.
03:13 PM on 10/24/2011
I am in favor of a progressive tax system. Alas, I'd make some changes:
1) If you make 10 million or more, you pay 50 percent federal income taxes.
2) No deductions/exemptions/personal allowances.
3) If you make 20k or less, you don't pay any federal income taxes.
4) If you make more than 20k, you do (even if it's a mere pittance).
5) Corporations ONLY get tax credits if they hire Americans full-time for at least 2 years (unless a person is fired for gross misconduct/committing a crime).
6) No more marginalized rates. If you make 10 million, you pay 5 million in federal income taxes.
10:17 AM on 10/25/2011
So you would make it expotentially worse to make more money? Why would someone strive to make more if it *COSTS* them net money? Yikes.
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JustinP213
I dislike all political parties.
02:23 PM on 10/25/2011
*Exponentially worse?? Aww, are you on a Fortune 500 CEO's payroll? Yeah, I know, it'd be a crime against humanity if a multimillionaire had to pay 50 percent to Uncle Sam. I guess Zuckerberg wouldn't have founded Facebook if he had to pay 50 percent of his net income to the federal government. Dell would have thought twice about Dell Computer. Innovation would stop. We'd go back to the Dark Ages....
02:53 PM on 10/24/2011
It’s real easy. Look who touts the flat tax, Steve Forbes et.al. They aren’t stupid they aren’t going to propose a system whereby they pay more. Given a revenue neutral switch, if they pay less everyone below them must pay more. So if you make as much or more than billionaire Steve Forbes then vote for it, if not vote against it.
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wrightthewrong
Medicare for All
02:59 PM on 10/24/2011
I just heard today, at lunch (on MSNBC), that Steve Forbes has endorsed Rick Perry and his flat tax. The conversation was all about, "Well, gee, I guess they would have to have a 17% flat tax if they allow the mortgage deduction, and yada, yada, yada..." Anybody with good sense knows that the flat tax will complete the murder of the middle class and the poor, but this good ol' Teavangelicals are convince that Churches, corporations, and charity will take care of us...
03:40 PM on 10/24/2011
Charitable contributions wouldn't be deductible but the Teavangelicals aren’t noted for their mental acumen. Even with a six figure income I pay less than 10% overall with no special deductions.The flat tax is for millionaires and the mathematically illiterate.
04:57 PM on 10/24/2011
Forbes is worth 430 million . Every study has shown that it would take a flat tax of 32% in order to pay for the government and of course that would be subjected to how the economy is doing at any given time .
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FilthyHarry
Expletive Deleted
02:20 PM on 10/24/2011
Hypothetically it could be fair, but given the influence money has on our govt you'll never convince me it wouldn't be implemented in a way that would give rich people a way out.
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drkazmd65
Mom Taught me - Question Everything - Thanks Mom!
12:29 PM on 10/25/2011
Those who have the Gold Rule,...
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TPlekkenpol
02:19 PM on 10/24/2011
I can only read up until the "What we have now" paragraph before I need to comment. Dave, you seem to suffer from Elizabeth Warren-style delusions. You make the argument that "we the people" are the only ones who made it possible for the rich to become rich. What you fail to point out (or even realize?), those rich were ALSO contributing to the very same infrastructure. Put another way, they have already contributed their fair share - and then some, as it should be noted that as their wealth increases, so does the total tax they pay - even WITHOUT a progressive tax system. So it's like this, if that person has already invested in infrastructure and then taken advantage of it (which is supposed to be the goal, right?) to enrich their lives, why would we need to ask MORE of them?
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wrightthewrong
Medicare for All
03:02 PM on 10/24/2011
Okay, first of all, man large corporations are NOT contributing, and they have the greatest usage. Also, capital gains taxes are so low that they do not contribute more than 15 to 17%, and that is not even the percentage that the middle class pays. Flat taxes are totally regressive. They take the burden off the wealthy and place it in the laps of the poor and lower classes. This is fact, not delusion.
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TPlekkenpol
07:50 PM on 10/24/2011
Not every corporation is like GE, and has escaped all liability. Further, it's not just the company itself, but the CEO, CFO, COO, Senior VP's, Junior VP's, Legal Counsel - they are ALL rich, and they are ALL paying enormous amounts in personal income tax BEFORE they are AGAIN taxed on capital gains. Their share of infrastructure burden has been paid many, many times over!!
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Christopher Nagy
The angry middle.
03:09 PM on 10/24/2011
What weighs more, your investments in infrastructure or everyone elses combined? We all pay into it, some of us get rich, and those that do pay more.
skykam
Sarcasm is a dish best served bitter.
02:18 PM on 10/24/2011
Flat tax should not be about percentage but a flat amount. By my calculations (back of an envelope) every man, woman, and child in the country should owe $100,000 annually then keep all earnings above that amount to do what they like with. Those who can't afford the $100,000 should simply report to jail or sell themselves off for scientific experiments. That way you don't have to perform complicated mathematics like multiplying some income amount by some percentage. Just a nice round number.
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02:15 PM on 10/24/2011
It's also not an income tax because the income sources of the wealthiest will be "redefined" as not being income, capital gains, dividends, interest, inheritance will no longer be income and will not be taxed. It isn't loopholes, it's a redefinition. So why don't they redefine wages as not being income? That would make as much sense.