iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
David Callahan

GET UPDATES FROM David Callahan
 

A Perfect Failure: Why the 401(k) Has Been a Flop

Posted: 06/07/2012 6:35 pm

The big stock market slide of the past month has been bad news for the over 50 million Americans with 401(k) plans. Many of these investors have yet to recover from the 2008 crash and have been counting on a market upswing to make up for lost ground.

Yet even if stocks do rebound, the truth is that most 401(k) holders will never accumulate enough money in these accounts for a secure retirement. Few workers and their employers contribute at the level needed to build up a serious nest egg, and the median balance in a 401(k) for people approaching 65 is under $100,000, according to a recent study by my colleague at Demos, Robert Hiltonsmith. On top of that, 401(k)s have been battered by two major stock market crashes in the past 12 years and, further, many Americans have withdrawn money from their 401(k)s to cover emergency expenses. Experts on retirement forecast that millions of middle class baby boomers will fall into poverty, or near poverty, in old age -- thanks to the failure of the 401(k) experiment.

Why has the 401(k) been such a flop? Five reasons stand out.

First, the 401(k) system of individualized accounts is inherently inefficient. While traditional pension funds invest worker contributions in large pools, keeping administrative costs low, each 401(k) holder pays fees to the firms that manage their individual accounts. Those fees can add up big time and chisel away at savings. According a recent Demos report, 401(k) nest eggs end up nearly 30 percent lower over a lifetime of saving thanks to fees.

Second, the 401(k) system has never covered all workers. Some 40 percent of employees do not have access to a 401(k) plan, and many workers with this option choose not to participate or contribute negligible amounts. Given such huge gaps in who is covered by 401(k)s, it's wrong to see this system as the primary private supplement to Social Security.

Third, 401(k)s expose individuals to too much risk. While investment firms always tout long-term "historical returns" of the stock market, real-life individuals can be in big trouble if they need to retire during a prolonged slump in stocks. Pooled pension funds, in contrast, can better manage such downturns and buffer individuals. Such funds are also managed professionally, while the 401(k) lets ordinary Americans decide how their money is invested. Yet many workers are clueless about how to allocate their savings among the menu of investment options that most 401(k) plans offer and often don't revisit their choices even as market conditions change.

Fourth, the 401(k) system depends on the financial industry acting in the best interests of investors -- which, too often, it doesn't do. Research has found that the fees charged by 401(k) plans and mutual funds are often excessive, far beyond the actual costs of managing investments. Financial firms have a bottom-line interest in pushing these fees as high as the market will bear -- an interest in conflict with the needs of investors. Investment advisors and firms have historically not had a legal fiduciary responsibility to act in the best interests of 401(k) holders. And while the Dodd-Frank Wall Street reform empowered the SEC to write rules that could impose such a responsibility, it has not yet done so.

Fifth, consumer choice does not offset the failures of the 401(k) system. In a truly competitive marketplace, educated consumers would shop for 401(k) plans with the lowest fees and switch to those plans. But surveys have found that most Americans don't have a clue about the fees associated with their 401(k)s. And switching plans can be difficult for individuals, since employers choose the plans. In turn, employers can find it time consuming to move to a new plan. Wall Street charges such high fees for 401(k)s because they can in the face of consumer ignorance and high barriers to switching plans.

It is easy to forget that 401(k) plans have only been around for three decades. We have learned a lot in that period, and the jury is now in: The 401(k) experiment has failed. This system does a better job of enriching the financial sector than in providing retirement security to Americans.

It's time for a new approach. One idea, offered by economist and Demos Senior Fellow Teresa, is the Guaranteed Retirement Account (GRA), which would supplement Social Security and be a universal system of individual accounts where investments are managed in pooled savings with low fees and buffers for individuals who retire during turn downs in the stock market.

The 401(k) system emerged after elected leaders changed the tax code in 1978. There is no reason we have to live with this mistake forever.

 
 
 

Follow David Callahan on Twitter: www.twitter.com/Demos_Org

FOLLOW MONEY
 
 
  • Comments
  • 83
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2  Next ›  Last »  (2 total)
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
04:52 PM on 06/13/2012
There are no reserve guarentees on 401K there for no motive to make money for the holders as well as the investors. We knew 15-20 yrs. ago that it was bad with employeer manditories we couldn't get out You disagree, tell me.
02:19 AM on 06/11/2012
Two major crashes since Glass Steagall repealed. More of the same on the way...
02:17 AM on 06/11/2012
I agree. What a mess. Some say, "Give it more time." It won't help. A lot of people are going to be eating dog food in retirement.
10:49 PM on 06/10/2012
Just my two cents - I do not think that 401K plans in general are a failure - though there are many aspects that produce sub-optimal results.
A defined benefit plan has two components - savings / investing (periodic, usually annual cash contributions to a trust account) and payout management. Usually a board of professionals (frequently people in the plan provider) oversee asset managers, actuaries and accountants.
When the savings / investment component fails to produce the intended results, the ability of the plan to meet it's obligations will require contributions by the plan provider - i.e,. if the market enters a prolonged downturn, the plan provider must add cash (or sometimes securities) to make up the difference.
The difficulty here is that the plan provider (usually the employer) may have other more pressing needs for the money, and thus lets the plan go unfunded (think the IL state plan whose funding ratio is substantially below normal).
The author brings up valid points - mutual fund choices with high expense ratios can lead to sub-optimal outcomes; plan participants will not always manage their 401K plans in a manner best suited to their needs; leakage; declining wages; unemployment, or simply having children - all of these situations can cause plan participants to accumulate far less money than would be ideal.
But the answer is not to eliminate the 401K plan - what would take it's place? There's too little information available on the GRA to make an informed choice.
11:52 AM on 06/10/2012
So basically the 401k is like everything else in a captialist society, if you aren't aware of what your money is doing or who is managing it, someone is willing to take it from you. Although, one of the great things about the 401K, if you are intelligently invested and are able to handle the pressure of managing your own finances without the need to be babysat, it could be a great tool.
Of course thats provided market crashes stay as the exception and don't become the rule.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
JackAS12
Citizen
06:13 AM on 06/10/2012
I started my pension career in a Defined Benefit world. The Defined Benefit Retirement plans starts with asking the question," What level of funding is needed to provide enough income to replace my income at retirement"? Lets say you hope to have 70% of the income in retirement you had while working and the sources are Private Pension, Social Security and Personal Savings. 401(k) plans do not use this type of thinking. They could if you started with an estimate of what combination of employer and employee contributions are needed over a 30 year career plus earnings to arrive at an ending balance which when converted to a life time income is enough to live on. 401(k) plans came in as supplemental plans to Defined Benefit Retirement plans. They are savings plans which have become the retirement plan of choice for most employers. A major weakness is the loan provision. You cannot get a loan or inservice withdrawl from a Defined Benefit Retirement plan.

The average account balance at $100,000 at age 65 converts to around $500 a month for life.
Good Luck! Many Public Employee Retirement plans pay $100,000 a year. Maybe the public sector knows something about retirement plans the private sector does not.
11:53 PM on 06/08/2012
Just logging in to your 401k account is like trying to access Fort Knox and the US Nuclear launch codes at the same time. Never mind requesting a rollover or distribution. If you ever became senile and couldn't navigate the log-in gymkhana your money would be sealed away forever. ( or until they turned it over to the Feds..)
08:37 PM on 06/08/2012
Huh? 401ks have been a failure? Of course not. The people who were asking for them (guess who?) have gotten exactly what they wanted... sheer unlimited profits from a sheer unlimited number of suckers who bought into the shell game that is called the stock market. And the "game" continues.
06:40 PM on 06/08/2012
You left out another remarkably little understood defect of the 401(k): the taxation of all capital gains made by your investment as regular income. This can make an enormous difference and can totally wipe out the supposed benefit of your employer's matching contribution. If you had taken your own contributions and invested them over decades in quality shares, you would only have to pay, at current rates, 15% on your gains. But if you put your money into a 401(k), all of your gains are taxed at maximum rate as ordinary income. A vast difference. The 401(k) is a joke and has been deceptively mis-sold to workers for years.
03:47 PM on 06/08/2012
I wonder why more employers don't offer cash-balance plans.
03:28 PM on 06/08/2012
The author of this article does not provide hardly any evidence that his central thesis, or any of his 5 points, are true. And point number one does not even make sense because most pensions hire a panoply active money managers to invest- these managers also cost money; if I were to accept the first point, you would have to find me evidence that the administrative cost of the 401k plan itself is expensive (it's probably 20 basis points per year). Second, it's like saying automotive transportation has failed because some people can't afford cars. Third, uhh, every 401k I have participated in has bond funds and money market funds; the issue is not exposure to risk, it's that participants do not take the time and money to seek out financial planning (the same reason Americans are fat and unhealthy). Fourth, funds aren't managed for investors- the evidence here, again, is the fees. And again any active manager hired by a pension will have largely similar expense rations and trading costs; moreover if you read the link it says the "average fund returns 7%". This is absurd- the 401k doesn't make the average funds available- you **choose** among many that the employer has picked, which means you likely get better than average, not average. Fifth, again with the high fees. Unsubstantiated and based on terribly sloppy work.
JB1977
My micro bio is empty
03:15 PM on 06/08/2012
This article is terrible. The 401k system has some flaws, but many of the criticisms in the article simply aren't true. Obviously it would be nice to get a guaranteed retirement income/defined benefit pension, but those days are over, at least for the foreseeable future. As an alternative, a 401k provides:
1. Putting money into a retirment account which provides a tax deduction from the worker's income.
2. Many employers provide a matching of funds
3. Many 401k's have a variety of choices which enable people to invest based on risk tolerance (i.e., different types of bonds and different types of stocks). One could invest solely in government bonds if they wanted to (virtually no risk)
4. Many employers use Vanguard, whose fees are usually around one quarter of one percent (awfully low)
5. Workers could read a few magazines/internet articles and get a general idea about how their money should be invested
6. The fact that people don't save enough isn't the fault of the 401k - it's the fault of stagnant incomes, rising health and education costs, etc.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
Mollyannie
Thinking "I can't" guarantees failure
10:25 AM on 06/10/2012
Additionally, the employee contibutions become automatic--deducted every pay without the employee's having to think about it or be tempted to use it for short-term goals. The "set it and forget it" aspect is great.
JB1977
My micro bio is empty
02:23 PM on 06/10/2012
Definitely
02:58 PM on 06/08/2012
You are so correct!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Joe Meeker
Nos sunt legio.
02:36 PM on 06/08/2012
It can work if you are informed. Unfortunately, the financial industry makes more money if you are not informed and has no desire to change. If your 401k doesn't offer no-load mutual funds with expense ratios of 1% or less and consistently positive 36month rolling returns you need to either force them to offer such funds or opt to maximize your IRA contributions first before sinking money in something that doesn't have your best interests in mind.
photo
Count of Anjou
Fiscal Conservative & Taoist
12:58 PM on 06/08/2012
The fundamental principle of investing in the stock market is to NEVER invest any funds you cannot afford to lose. The 401(k) violates this principle.