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Dean Baker

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Poverty: The New Growth Industry in America

Posted: 08/29/2012 8:43 am

Recent trends in poverty rates should have the country furious at its leaders. When we get the data for 2011 next month, we are likely to see yet another uptick in poverty rates, reversing almost 50 years of economic progress. The percentage of people in extreme poverty, with incomes less than half of the poverty level, is likely to again hit an all-time high since the data has been collected.

The situation is made even worse by the fact that so many of those in poverty are children. In 2010, 27 percent of all children in the country were reported as living below the poverty level. For African-American children, the share in poverty is approaching 40 percent.

Many will blame the welfare reform law in 1996 that passed with bipartisan support. That is appropriate. This bill involved a great deal of political grandstanding and removed guarantees that could have protected millions of families in a severe downturn like what we are now seeing.

Advocates of this bill who now profess surprise at the result need to turn to a new line of work. There were plenty of people at the time who warned that the lack of federal guarantees could lead to severe hardship in an economic downturn. No one has a right to be surprised on this one. The surge in the poverty rate in a downturn like the present one was a predictable and predicted outcome of the legislation.

However, there is the other side of the story, the overall state of the economy, which is the more important cause of the increase in the poverty rate. The vast majority of the people in this country rely on work for the bulk of their income and that would also be true for the tens of millions of people in poverty, if work was available. These people cannot find jobs in today's economy, or at least not full-time jobs that pay anything close to a living wage.

The reason why so many of these people cannot find jobs is the incredible economic mismanagement by people with names like Robert Rubin, Alan Greenspan, and Ben Bernanke. These people thought that the bubbles that drove the economy in the last two decades, the stock bubble in the '90s and the housing bubble in the last decade, were really cool. They somehow thought that either the bubbles would not burst or that it would be easy to pick up the pieces after a crash. In Robert Rubin's case, he personally profited to the tune of more than $100 million from the housing bubble after he left his post as Treasury Secretary to take a top position at Citigroup.

As much as it is important to have strong safety net protections to ensure that people are able to survive tough times, it is even more important to have a strong economy that can generate good paying jobs. Unfortunately, there is nothing on the political agenda at the moment likely to bring the economy back towards full employment any time soon.

Both presidential candidates claim to be committed to deficit reduction as though there is magical process that causes private businesses to start hiring workers when they see that schools are laying off teachers and defense contractors are laying off factory workers. Just as few politicians had the courage in 1996 to stand up and say that the welfare reform bill would jeopardize the security of millions of families, few politicians are prepared to stand up now and say that we actually need more government investment to create jobs and rebuild the economy.

The reality is that the collapse of the housing bubble created an enormous demand gap in the economy. In the short term, this gap can only be filled by the government, whether we like it or not. Until we do get the economy back on its feet, and start creating the millions of jobs that are needed, the poverty numbers will continue to be horrible. That is why the main route for fixing poverty requires fixing the economy.

This post is part of the HuffPost Shadow Conventions 2012, a series spotlighting three issues that are not being discussed at the national GOP and Democratic conventions: The Drug War, Poverty in America, and Money in Politics.

HuffPost Live will be taking a comprehensive look at the persistence of poverty in America August 29th and September 5th from 12-4 pm ET and 6-10 pm ET. Click here to check it out -- and join the conversation.

 

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Recent trends in poverty rates should have the country furious at its leaders. When we get the data for 2011 next month, we are likely to see yet another uptick in poverty rates, reversing almost 50 y...
Recent trends in poverty rates should have the country furious at its leaders. When we get the data for 2011 next month, we are likely to see yet another uptick in poverty rates, reversing almost 50 y...
 
 
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01:55 PM on 09/03/2012
It seems like mismanagement to most of us. But, to those people for whom the Greenspans and Bernankes actually work, who are NOT hq'd in DC, but rather in NY, it is going almost exactly to plan. Increasing the national debt each and every year, increasing the average american's personal debt every month, is what they want, because it increases the amount of interest they collect every month/quarter/year.
10:38 PM on 09/02/2012
The main problem is, the government has maxed out it's credit cards. Just spending more money will not fix the problem and soon we will likely be forced to spend much less on social programs, not by Republicans, but by our foreign creditors. Greece is our most likely future, regardless of who is elected in November.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dvdpt
08:40 PM on 09/02/2012
politic need to change
let the new generation run pollitic
put a age limit like 50yrs and younger
politican now are out of touch
politican don't care they won't be around
01:39 PM on 09/02/2012
GOP = Government of Poverty...............for everyone but them, their relatives, and their pay-to-play friends!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Gurus4You
Don't be Republican or Democrat, be Objective!
12:36 PM on 09/02/2012
I thought obama would have brought back government sponsored organizations like the WPA & CCC which were success at building infrastructure projects and putting some money in the pockets of working people.....he got a big stimulus plan approved, what happened?
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robadeau
Your labels have expired
03:52 PM on 09/02/2012
Republicans is what happened. Oh, and his own team who decided the stimulus he wanted was too big and so it was cut from $2T to just under $800B, which effectively killed any chance for meaningful recovery.
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JPT Longgolf
Just the Facts Please
12:30 PM on 09/02/2012
When the poverty stricken are carrying around Smart phones, buying new LED TV's, cable television,etc, etc I don't see the issue except poor Choices.
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robadeau
Your labels have expired
03:53 PM on 09/02/2012
There is, apparently, quite a lot you don't see.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DeepThought24
NATURE, REASON, FACTS and SCIENCE...not
12:23 PM on 09/02/2012
The biggest problem with poverty today is that is acceptable to blame everyone except yourself.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Gurus4You
Don't be Republican or Democrat, be Objective!
12:38 PM on 09/02/2012
I agree and there's a mind-set that sympathizes and makes victims of those in poverty yet demonizes people for being successful.
03:46 PM on 09/02/2012
Praise the bank robber for being successful and punish the victims. There now isn't that better.
05:40 PM on 09/02/2012
Well you do not seem to use much with your deepthought. It also points out you most likely have no contact with the poor.

I know people who have been laid off for a number of years (tech) that went from very good middle class to jobs (for those who could get them) paid little over minimum wage. I also have been there for 4 years but have returned to tech. The real issue is that many jobs no longer exist in this country, whole industries have left this country. Companies also fear hiring laid off middle class workers because they thing they will get a better paying job. If you are over 40 in tech your chances drop to almost nill.

So I hope you get the chance to be laid off so you may have the experience and not be so arrogant and presume you know anything about other people's circumstances.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DeepThought24
NATURE, REASON, FACTS and SCIENCE...not
11:34 PM on 09/02/2012
Maybe the electorate pretty much get what they deserve?

GWB had everyone voting for his wars and now it’s Obama with his wars and more bills/debt.
11:50 AM on 09/02/2012
You seem to assume growth (more stuff, bigger cars, fancier gadgets, longer vacations, etc.). Growth is based on petroleum. Sooner or later, either the world's human population will be too large compared to oil supplies to continue to enjoy "growth", or nature will run its course.
annyp
A Canuck, eh!
01:58 AM on 09/02/2012
The sad part is that the GOP believes that the government doesn't create jobs and that the private sector does. They are in charge and have refused to put through the Jobs Bill because of their beliefs. But the GOP is quick to blame the President for the high unemployment numbers but he is government and government doesn't create jobs. They can't seem to make up their minds what they want.

Although right now they are running around the country yapping about the defense cuts next years and the millions of job losses. You see now all of a sudden government does create jobs. Go figure.
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Black Rhino
11:11 PM on 09/02/2012
What they want is a regulatory environment which induces economic activity in the US.

Revenues have to be generated by growth in business activity. Only then can enough taxes be raised to pay for government programs and social services.
10:37 PM on 09/01/2012
http://www.commondreams.org/view/2012/08/30-12#comment-637258189
Published on Thursday, August 30, 2012 by Common Dreams
Money in Politics: Where Is the Outrage?
by Bill Moyers and Bernard Weisberger
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
JohnJack888
Too many grasshoppers, not enough Ants
05:35 PM on 08/31/2012
With the current economy of the US, this will get worse not better. These people are mostly unskilled and uneducated. What kind of jobs do you think this current economy can create that will EVER employ them? We used to have a solution for this --- FACTORIES. Where someone who wanted to work hard could make a decent living and have pride that he is supporting his family.
We now have a service economy and it is getting worse. Are any of these people going to fill customer service phone rep positions or engineer/design positions etc? What do you think it going to appear and employ them?
We either get factories back here or just get used to these stats.
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AvgJoeBlow
We are smarter than any of us.
10:57 AM on 09/02/2012
You can build all the factories you want. Without the imputus to put Americans to work they all just become more condo lofts for the Rich.

Until you re-enact pre Reagan tariffis.
Institute the same barriers to free trade as our trading partners use quid pro quo.
Re-institute Glass-Steagall
Penalize companies or States that give the farm to Corporations willing to relocate in them.

Nothing will happen.
Do this and things like it, Factories will build themselves.
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Black Rhino
11:14 PM on 09/02/2012
Tariffs?

So, the US consumer has to purchase TV's made in the US? Shoes, furniture, clothing, etc made in the US only?

That's not fair. As a citizen, we have rights to engage in legal trade with other nations. I should be able to purchase a Playstation without govt regulation coming in, and telling me I have to purchase a XBOX.

And, what about the supply chain? Are you suggesting tariffs for raw material and semi-finished goods?

Consumers have rights as well. You are 'free' to open up a mom/pop store, and peddle your wares. Do it well, and you may become well off. But, do not force me as a consumer to shop there. I want choice. I want multi-nationals to compete for my dollar.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
antonioarganda
Force always attracts men of low morality.
11:41 AM on 08/31/2012
I should say that when people talk about capitalism, it’s a bit of a joke. There’s no such thing. No country, no business class, has ever been willing to subject itself to the free market, free market discipline. Free markets are for others. Like, the Third World is the Third World because they had free markets rammed down their throat. Meanwhile, the enlightened states, England, the United States, others resorted to massive state intervention to protect private power, and still do. That’s right up to the present. I mean, the Reagan dministration for example was the most protectionist in post-war American history. Virtually the entire dynamic economy in the United States is based crucialy on state initiative and intervention: Computers, the internet, telecommunications, automation, pharmaceuticals, you just name it. Run through it and you find massive rip-offs of the public, meaning a system in which under one guise or another the public pays the costs and takes the risks and profit is privatized. That’s very remote from a free market. Noam Chomsky
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AvgJoeBlow
We are smarter than any of us.
11:00 AM on 09/02/2012
The Free Market, will always take care of the Market (See Wall Street)
Workers, citizens and tax payers are rubes to be exploited.
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robadeau
Your labels have expired
04:02 PM on 09/02/2012
There is not, nor has there ever been, a free market. It is a utopian concept put forth by those who use lobbying to protect their own special interest or monopolies.
If it isn't a tax authority, it's the mob, or a lord of the manor or a King. One way or another, some as*hat will always try to steal some off the top from those who work hard and produce.
markgoode
a voice from the center
01:23 AM on 08/31/2012
Wow Dean. You managed to get through the entire piece without mentioning OUTSOURCING.

Since Congress passed the law in 2004 that continues to give US companies generous tax breaks every time they shut down operations here and move overseas, taking American jobs with them, over 50,000 factories have closed down. 50,000!

Let's assume 100 workers per factory. That's 5 MILLION JOBS. Apply the multiplier effect, and we're talking many more jobs than that. This wasn't ordinary Americans deciding to buy foreign products because they were cheaper. This was and continues to be A CONCERTED EFFORT by our elected leaders to ship and keep American jobs overseas.
12:35 AM on 08/31/2012
I could never figure out why members of the middle class and poor don't like Collective bargaining (unions). Without unions, a lot of employees would be at the mercy of their employers for pay, work location, and work duties. Some members of these classes are hard core believers in the Republican rhetoric, even though they don't benefit from them. So ,why do the middle class and poor show a disdain for other political parties that may better represent their living standards and economic health?
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AvgJoeBlow
We are smarter than any of us.
11:21 AM on 09/02/2012
Conservative Talk Radio, The Herritage the entire anti-union lobby and Corporate consulting industry just to name a few. The media is the message, when I was a kid, every major news paper had a LABOR section, now not even one. The media is the message. If you can convince people that voting for more tax breaks for the wealthy will create good paying jobs, when evidence is clear the wealthy's wages have increased over 300% in the same time period the working class adjusted for inflation have declined, you can surely convince them organizing for their own collective benifit is against their best interest. Liberal media yea sure.
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robadeau
Your labels have expired
04:05 PM on 09/02/2012
One reason is a lack of education. Do you know it is illegal for teachers in public schools to teach the history of the labor movement in America? Why? Because the anti-labor money managed to pass laws that determined it is a conflict of interest because teachers are union members. So, history is washed of the truth. Just the way the economic slave masters want it.
12:29 AM on 08/31/2012
The Elite Society of the U.S. have decided that everyone must have a college degree to get a job. They detest the notion that anyone can actually make a living using their hands, sometimes a better living than some of their college graduate kids. Not everyone is cut out to go to a university, nor do they want to go to a university. Most jobs in the U.S. don't need a university degree. However, most jobs do need some kind of training beyond high school. Most jobs need the training provided by local community colleges or apprenticeships. Even better, a combination of both community college training and trade school. Employers need to be encouraged to align their education expectations with the actual requirements of the job, and not use a Bachelors degree requirement to enhance company image, or as a carte blanc for the jobs they have. There are actually only 3 - 4 fields that require a Bachelors degree or more, and they are Medicine, Law, Engineering, and Education. If Society would get off of this degree for every job kick, we could probably have less high school drop outs and eliminate poverty on a grand scale. A good number of students drop out of high school because they become discouraged by the fact that they see that employers are requiring university degrees which they know they can't achieve either because they can't handle the school work, or can't afford it. Community colleges/apprenticeships offer an alternative..
markgoode
a voice from the center
01:55 AM on 08/31/2012
Before WWII, very few Americans earned college degrees. The GI Bill and then the influx of women into the workforce increased the percentage of Americans who earn bachelor's degrees to 20%. That number has held steady since the 1970s. Everyone agrees that community colleges, junior colleges, and trade schools are great, certainly superior to fly-by-night online scams. An official certification or AA/AS degree from a local trade school or college is a worthy goal and achievement!
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robadeau
Your labels have expired
04:08 PM on 09/02/2012
An apprenticeship trains a person to do a job. A degree qualifies a person to be trained.
With a BS in Finance and a BA in economics, I found out quickly that I was qualified to be trained. The degree was used as a qualifier for applying for a job, but no employer actually thinks a new graduate can do the work right out the door.